Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...
The 2011 tohoku, japan quake and tsunami
1. The 2011 Tohoku, Japan Quake and Tsunami: A Financial Impact Assessment
2. Exploit statistics and mathematics to set a normalizedviewpoint and understand the extent of thisevent Financial impact Realeconomic impact
3. Understanding the scale of the event Calculate the daily standard deviation of NIKKEI over the previous 2 years Standard deviation express how much variation or "dispersion" there is from the average (σ)
4. An 8σearthquake The following week’s normalized log movements, as multiples of σ results in a -8σ NIKKEI indexcollapsed by 8 times the averagedailyfluctiation
5. An 8σearthquake The following week’s normalized log movements, as multiples of σ results in a -8σ NIKKEI indexcollapsed by 8 times the averagedailyfluctiation BUT WHAT IT REALLY MEANS?
7. How much 8σis? Kobe earthquake, 1995 -5σ 9/11, 2001 (DJIA) -6σ
8. How much 8σis? Kobe earthquake, 1995 -5σ 9/11, 2001 (DJIA) -6σ Leheman default, 2008 (DJIA) -8σ
9. The Yen surge In onemonth 1 Euro = 122 Yen 1 Euro = 114 Yen -6,5%
10. The Yen surge Reasons: Fund repatriation in preparation for reconstruction Conseguences: Might help rawmaterial import Buthinder export Regionalconsequences: About a quarter of East Asia’s long-term debt is denominated in Yen, that means 1/4Billion
11. The Yen surge Regionalconsequences: About a quarter of East Asia’s long-term debt is denominated in Yen
12. RealEconomic Impact typically, the negative effects of a natural disaster are mostly concentrated in the region of the disaster In the case of Japan’s disaster, however, the negative impact is greater because of the combination of the earthquake and tsunami…
18. 56 bridgesThe government estimates the material damage alone could top $300bn (£181bn), making it by far the world's costliest natural disaster.
19. RealEconomic Impact: sectors agricultural, forestry, and fisheries sectors. electric components and IT equipment Automotive
20. Japan’s principal food commodities include fish and seafood, rice, vegetables, fruits and nuts, and dairy and poultry products -> increase imports Many assembly companies, such as automotive, computers and consumer electronics, have been forced to pause their operations Shortages of electricity and parts have damaged factories in other countries. RealEconomic Impact: consequences
