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DNV GL © 2015 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2015
The Science of Science based goals
1
Tutorial @ GreenBiz Forum, Scottsdale
Tuesday 17th February 2015
DNV GL © 2015
Objectives
To equip attendees with:
1.An overview of science based goal setting approaches
2.The knowledge of actionable next steps for your
organization
2
DNV GL © 2015
Sustainability Prerequisites
The Environment
resources that support life
The Social Sphere
human interaction in the
environment
Economic
Activity
Financial
Outcomes
‘The Rope
of Context’
DNV GL © 20154
Multiple sources: taken from
Will Steffen 2012, The Great
Acceleration
DNV GL © 20155
Multiple sources: taken from
Will Steffen 2012, The Great
DNV GL © 20156
DNV GL © 2015
Planetary Boundaries
7
Johan Rockström et al, Sep 2009, Nature
Note: Jan 2015
update in
Science
DNV GL © 2015
Sustainability data as driver of change – Key obstacles
8
Source: Oxfam/GRI/BSD think
tank outputs – Feb 2015
(Convetit)
DNV GL © 2015
UNEP Meritas report - Recommendations
Research report on ways to improve the quality of
environmental dimension of sustainability reporting
 All companies should apply a context-based approach to
sustainability reporting
 Multilateral organizations should collaborate to provide
guidance on methodologies for determining ecological (and
social) thresholds and allocations
 Raters should develop frameworks and mechanisms to
apply Context-based assessments
 Reporting standards / guidance bodies should integrate
Sustainability Context more explicitly into their frameworks
9
DNV GL © 2015 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 201310
A SAFE AND
SUSTAINABLE
FUTURE
DNV GL © 2015
The world we want: Goals and targets (snapshot)
11
1.5˚C
temperature
increase
350ppm
CO2 concentration
0 net
Biodiversity loss
4000km3
Annual
freshwater use
0 net
Deforestation
35mn tonnes
Nitrogen removed
from the
atmosphere
70%
Increase in food
production
0%
Child and maternal
mortality
100%
SDGs achieved
by 2030
15%
Land converted to
cropland
276
Ozone
concentration
(Dobson units)
0%
Extreme poverty
100%
Access to safe
drinking water
0%
Child and forced
labour
IIRC
Mandatory
reporting
Beyond
GDP
A new measure of
prosperity
True
Costing and
valuation
0%
Harmful subsidies
DNV GL © 2015
Indicators, targets and goals
S p e c i f i c - M e a s u r e a b l e - A s s i g n e d - R e a l i s t i c - T i m e b o u n d
12
Leading/
Process Indicators
Lagging/
Outcome
DNV GL © 2015
Business Response examples
Future Fit Business Benchmark
International Integrated Reporting Council – Use of
capitals model
Reporting 3.0 Report
ThriveAbility
MultiCapital Scorecard Overview – Ben & Jerry’s
Pivot goals (Andrew Winston)
Science based targets (Nicole Labutong/CDP)
Use of C-FACT approach (Kathrin Winkler)
13
DNV GL © 2015
Future Fit benchmark
14
DNV GL © 2015
Integrated Reporting - The value creation process
15
DNV GL © 2015
SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
www.dnvgl.com
16
PivotGoals Data
The ESG, science-based, and visionary targets of the largest companies
Andrew Winston
GreenBiz Science-Based Goals Workshop // Scottsdale, AZ // February 17, 2015
THE BIG PIVOT STRATEGIES
BUILD A RESILIENT COMPANY
VISION PIVOT
Fight short-termism
Set science-based goals
Pursue heretical innovation VALUATION PIVOT
Change incentives & engage
Redefine ROI
Value natural capital
PARTNER PIVOT
Inspire customers to use less
Collaborate radically
Become a lobbyist
Copyright ©, Andrew Winston, The Big Pivot, 2014
PwC Low Carbon Economy Index
Photo: Ford Motor
Replenish 100% of
water used
100% Renewables Goals
Achieve rail transport that is CO2-
free and
powered by renewables
Bring well-to-wheel CO2 emissions
down to zero
Maersk: Safely
recycle all our
ships at the end of
their service lives
“Zero traffic accidents involving Nissan
vehicles that inflict serious or fatal injuries.”
Are these all based on “science”?
Another standard?
Are these typical?
Pivot Goals:
The Global Fortune 300’s Sustainability Goals
PivotGoals.com Search Criteria:
•Keyword search
• Company Name, Goals (e.g., search for “net zero” or
“deforestation”)
•Checkbox search/narrowing to…
• 29 focus Areas (Climate, Water, Human rights, etc.)
• By Industries and sectors
• Value Chain area (from supply chain to end of life)
• Absolute/Intensity
The PivotGoals Data
• 150 of the Fortune 200 (75%) have sustainability goals
• ~2,000 goals (nearly 4,000 in full database)
• Goals are…
• Specific and mostly time-bound (79%)
• Mostly absolute (84%) vs. relative/intensity (16%)
• Predominantly about operations, although cover value chain:
• Supply chain: 15% (54% of companies)
• Operations: 69% (98% of companies)
• Use phase: 15% (50% of companies)
• End-of-life: 3% (23% of companies)
Note: Calculations as of Sep.2014; results change as new data is loaded
Portion of Companies Setting Goals
for…(Biophysical)
29
Portion of Companies Setting Goals for…
(Social & Process)
30
We Like Round Numbers –
When Goals Are Due
Note: Calculations as of Sep.2014; results change as new data is loaded
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Number
of
Goals
Science-equivalent/Ethics Goals
• 2 categories…
– Science-equivalent (for a large part of business, not full value-chain)
– Ethics-equivalent: moral, ethical, or based on flourishing model
• Of 1,621 goals in eligible categories, 20% are in the
ballpark…
– 155 (10%) Science-equivalent (only a few explicitly science-based)
– 67 (4%) Ethics-equivalent
– 29 (2%) Aspirational (Meet criteria, but undated)
– 60 (4%) May qualify, but not enough data (e.g., no baseline)
• 105 of the 150 companies have at least 1 qualifying goal…
– Unilever (20 qualifying goals)
– Nestle, Maersk, Panasonic, P&G, Woolworths (10 to 7)
– Intel, PTT, Walmart, Kroger, Tesco, Honda, Nissan, Ford, UT, Samsung, Carrefour (5 or 4)
Note: Calculations as of Sep.2014; results change as new data is loaded
“Science-Based” Goals
Big questions about screening for “science-based”
• Based on what? Whose thresholds are we
relying on?
• Is there “science” on social areas?
• Should it “count” if it’s just a “four walls” goal, or
does it need to be value chain?
• Today vs. ultimately?
• How big a part of the business should qualify?
• What if the goal doesn’t have a date attached
(not time-bound)?
• When is “all” or “zero” the only acceptable goal
vs. some or progress?
Note: Calculations as of Sep.2014; results change as new data is loaded

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Thescienceofsciencebasedgoalsdnvglandandrewwinston 150313172848-conversion-gate01

  • 1. DNV GL © 2015 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2015 The Science of Science based goals 1 Tutorial @ GreenBiz Forum, Scottsdale Tuesday 17th February 2015
  • 2. DNV GL © 2015 Objectives To equip attendees with: 1.An overview of science based goal setting approaches 2.The knowledge of actionable next steps for your organization 2
  • 3. DNV GL © 2015 Sustainability Prerequisites The Environment resources that support life The Social Sphere human interaction in the environment Economic Activity Financial Outcomes ‘The Rope of Context’
  • 4. DNV GL © 20154 Multiple sources: taken from Will Steffen 2012, The Great Acceleration
  • 5. DNV GL © 20155 Multiple sources: taken from Will Steffen 2012, The Great
  • 6. DNV GL © 20156
  • 7. DNV GL © 2015 Planetary Boundaries 7 Johan Rockström et al, Sep 2009, Nature Note: Jan 2015 update in Science
  • 8. DNV GL © 2015 Sustainability data as driver of change – Key obstacles 8 Source: Oxfam/GRI/BSD think tank outputs – Feb 2015 (Convetit)
  • 9. DNV GL © 2015 UNEP Meritas report - Recommendations Research report on ways to improve the quality of environmental dimension of sustainability reporting  All companies should apply a context-based approach to sustainability reporting  Multilateral organizations should collaborate to provide guidance on methodologies for determining ecological (and social) thresholds and allocations  Raters should develop frameworks and mechanisms to apply Context-based assessments  Reporting standards / guidance bodies should integrate Sustainability Context more explicitly into their frameworks 9
  • 10. DNV GL © 2015 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 201310 A SAFE AND SUSTAINABLE FUTURE
  • 11. DNV GL © 2015 The world we want: Goals and targets (snapshot) 11 1.5˚C temperature increase 350ppm CO2 concentration 0 net Biodiversity loss 4000km3 Annual freshwater use 0 net Deforestation 35mn tonnes Nitrogen removed from the atmosphere 70% Increase in food production 0% Child and maternal mortality 100% SDGs achieved by 2030 15% Land converted to cropland 276 Ozone concentration (Dobson units) 0% Extreme poverty 100% Access to safe drinking water 0% Child and forced labour IIRC Mandatory reporting Beyond GDP A new measure of prosperity True Costing and valuation 0% Harmful subsidies
  • 12. DNV GL © 2015 Indicators, targets and goals S p e c i f i c - M e a s u r e a b l e - A s s i g n e d - R e a l i s t i c - T i m e b o u n d 12 Leading/ Process Indicators Lagging/ Outcome
  • 13. DNV GL © 2015 Business Response examples Future Fit Business Benchmark International Integrated Reporting Council – Use of capitals model Reporting 3.0 Report ThriveAbility MultiCapital Scorecard Overview – Ben & Jerry’s Pivot goals (Andrew Winston) Science based targets (Nicole Labutong/CDP) Use of C-FACT approach (Kathrin Winkler) 13
  • 14. DNV GL © 2015 Future Fit benchmark 14
  • 15. DNV GL © 2015 Integrated Reporting - The value creation process 15
  • 16. DNV GL © 2015 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER www.dnvgl.com 16
  • 17. PivotGoals Data The ESG, science-based, and visionary targets of the largest companies Andrew Winston GreenBiz Science-Based Goals Workshop // Scottsdale, AZ // February 17, 2015
  • 18. THE BIG PIVOT STRATEGIES BUILD A RESILIENT COMPANY VISION PIVOT Fight short-termism Set science-based goals Pursue heretical innovation VALUATION PIVOT Change incentives & engage Redefine ROI Value natural capital PARTNER PIVOT Inspire customers to use less Collaborate radically Become a lobbyist Copyright ©, Andrew Winston, The Big Pivot, 2014
  • 19.
  • 20. PwC Low Carbon Economy Index
  • 23. 100% Renewables Goals Achieve rail transport that is CO2- free and powered by renewables Bring well-to-wheel CO2 emissions down to zero
  • 24. Maersk: Safely recycle all our ships at the end of their service lives
  • 25. “Zero traffic accidents involving Nissan vehicles that inflict serious or fatal injuries.”
  • 26. Are these all based on “science”? Another standard? Are these typical?
  • 27. Pivot Goals: The Global Fortune 300’s Sustainability Goals PivotGoals.com Search Criteria: •Keyword search • Company Name, Goals (e.g., search for “net zero” or “deforestation”) •Checkbox search/narrowing to… • 29 focus Areas (Climate, Water, Human rights, etc.) • By Industries and sectors • Value Chain area (from supply chain to end of life) • Absolute/Intensity
  • 28. The PivotGoals Data • 150 of the Fortune 200 (75%) have sustainability goals • ~2,000 goals (nearly 4,000 in full database) • Goals are… • Specific and mostly time-bound (79%) • Mostly absolute (84%) vs. relative/intensity (16%) • Predominantly about operations, although cover value chain: • Supply chain: 15% (54% of companies) • Operations: 69% (98% of companies) • Use phase: 15% (50% of companies) • End-of-life: 3% (23% of companies) Note: Calculations as of Sep.2014; results change as new data is loaded
  • 29. Portion of Companies Setting Goals for…(Biophysical) 29
  • 30. Portion of Companies Setting Goals for… (Social & Process) 30
  • 31. We Like Round Numbers – When Goals Are Due Note: Calculations as of Sep.2014; results change as new data is loaded 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Number of Goals
  • 32. Science-equivalent/Ethics Goals • 2 categories… – Science-equivalent (for a large part of business, not full value-chain) – Ethics-equivalent: moral, ethical, or based on flourishing model • Of 1,621 goals in eligible categories, 20% are in the ballpark… – 155 (10%) Science-equivalent (only a few explicitly science-based) – 67 (4%) Ethics-equivalent – 29 (2%) Aspirational (Meet criteria, but undated) – 60 (4%) May qualify, but not enough data (e.g., no baseline) • 105 of the 150 companies have at least 1 qualifying goal… – Unilever (20 qualifying goals) – Nestle, Maersk, Panasonic, P&G, Woolworths (10 to 7) – Intel, PTT, Walmart, Kroger, Tesco, Honda, Nissan, Ford, UT, Samsung, Carrefour (5 or 4) Note: Calculations as of Sep.2014; results change as new data is loaded
  • 33. “Science-Based” Goals Big questions about screening for “science-based” • Based on what? Whose thresholds are we relying on? • Is there “science” on social areas? • Should it “count” if it’s just a “four walls” goal, or does it need to be value chain? • Today vs. ultimately? • How big a part of the business should qualify? • What if the goal doesn’t have a date attached (not time-bound)? • When is “all” or “zero” the only acceptable goal vs. some or progress? Note: Calculations as of Sep.2014; results change as new data is loaded