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Interim Analysis Planned End
ADAPTIVE SAMPLE SIZE RE-­ESTIMATION IN EAST®
PROBLEM
With half of all pivotal trials ending in failure,
sponsors face considerable losses when com-
mitting to up-front investments especially for
late stage, pivotal studies. Large sample sizes are
necessary to ensure sufficient power, but uncer-
tainty about treatment effects makes each study
an expensive gamble.
Adaptive approaches
can mitigate such risks,
but how can you ensure
the study’s integrity and
statistical validity are
maintained?
• DE-RISK INVESTMENT – Avoid expensive up-front commitments of sample size
• ENHANCE SUCCESS – Boost power when initial assumptions fail
• PROMISING ZONETM
– Increase sample size conditional on interim data
• ALPHA CONTROL – Guarantee strong type I error control required by regulators
REDUCE RISK AND ENHANCE YOUR CLINICAL TRIAL SUCCESS
SOLUTION
Designing trials in East effectively de-risks your
trial by adaptively increasing the sample size
and boosting power should initial assumptions
fail. East users quickly construct a variety of
design scenarios, run simulations to assess
parameter tradeoffs and determine the opti-
mal point for interim
analysis.
Of prime importance,
East ensures preserva-
tion of type-1 error
control to fully comply
with the FDA and EMA
guidance for adaptive
trials.
EMPOWER ASSESS SHARE TRUST
www.cytel.com
Compare designs on power,
sample size and number of
events, study duration and ac-
crual duration
Evaluate the trade-off between
accrual duration, sample size,
and study duration to optimize
your clinical trial design
Request an
Evaluation Today
T: +1.617.661.2011
sales@cytel.com
ADAPTIVE SAMPLE SIZE RE-ESTIMATION IN EAST
REDUCE RISK AND ENHANCE YOUR CLINICAL TRIAL SUCCESS
Cui L, Hung HM, Wang SJ. Modification of sample size in group sequential clinical trials.
Biometrics. 1999 Sep; 55(3), 853-­7.
Chen YH, DeMets DL, Lan KK. Increasing the sample size when the unblinded interim result is
promising. Statistics in Medicine. 2004 Apr; 23(7), 1023-­38.
FDA. Guidance for industry: adaptive design clinical trials for drugs and biologics. 2010.
Mehta CR, and Pocock SJ. Adaptive increase in sample size when interim results are
promising: a practical guide with examples. Statistics in Medicine. 2011 Dec; 30(28), 3276-­84.
• DE-RISK INVESTMENT– Avoid expensive up-front commitments of sample size
• ENHANCE SUCCESS – Boost power when initial assumptions fail
• PROMISING ZONETM
– Increase sample size conditional on interim data
• ALPHA CONTROL – Guarantee strong type I error control required by regulators
METHODS – Adaptation based on published methods by Mehta and Pocock (2011);
Cui, Hung, and Wang (1999); and Chen, DeMets, and Lan (2004)
ENDPOINTS – Designs for Normal, Binomial, Survival endpoints
TOOLS – Simulations, Interim Monitoring, Conditional Power calculator
Adapt based on look number, interim sample size, or
information scale
Define the Promising Zone™ based on conditional power,
test statistic, or estimated effect size
Try out multiple adaptation rules to select the optimal one
for your trial
Vary accrual and dropout patterns to perform sensitivity
analysis
Enter multiple values of all these parameters to fine-tune
the design

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Infosheet east-sample-size-re-estimation

  • 1. Interim Analysis Planned End ADAPTIVE SAMPLE SIZE RE-­ESTIMATION IN EAST® PROBLEM With half of all pivotal trials ending in failure, sponsors face considerable losses when com- mitting to up-front investments especially for late stage, pivotal studies. Large sample sizes are necessary to ensure sufficient power, but uncer- tainty about treatment effects makes each study an expensive gamble. Adaptive approaches can mitigate such risks, but how can you ensure the study’s integrity and statistical validity are maintained? • DE-RISK INVESTMENT – Avoid expensive up-front commitments of sample size • ENHANCE SUCCESS – Boost power when initial assumptions fail • PROMISING ZONETM – Increase sample size conditional on interim data • ALPHA CONTROL – Guarantee strong type I error control required by regulators REDUCE RISK AND ENHANCE YOUR CLINICAL TRIAL SUCCESS SOLUTION Designing trials in East effectively de-risks your trial by adaptively increasing the sample size and boosting power should initial assumptions fail. East users quickly construct a variety of design scenarios, run simulations to assess parameter tradeoffs and determine the opti- mal point for interim analysis. Of prime importance, East ensures preserva- tion of type-1 error control to fully comply with the FDA and EMA guidance for adaptive trials. EMPOWER ASSESS SHARE TRUST
  • 2. www.cytel.com Compare designs on power, sample size and number of events, study duration and ac- crual duration Evaluate the trade-off between accrual duration, sample size, and study duration to optimize your clinical trial design Request an Evaluation Today T: +1.617.661.2011 sales@cytel.com ADAPTIVE SAMPLE SIZE RE-ESTIMATION IN EAST REDUCE RISK AND ENHANCE YOUR CLINICAL TRIAL SUCCESS Cui L, Hung HM, Wang SJ. Modification of sample size in group sequential clinical trials. Biometrics. 1999 Sep; 55(3), 853-­7. Chen YH, DeMets DL, Lan KK. Increasing the sample size when the unblinded interim result is promising. Statistics in Medicine. 2004 Apr; 23(7), 1023-­38. FDA. Guidance for industry: adaptive design clinical trials for drugs and biologics. 2010. Mehta CR, and Pocock SJ. Adaptive increase in sample size when interim results are promising: a practical guide with examples. Statistics in Medicine. 2011 Dec; 30(28), 3276-­84. • DE-RISK INVESTMENT– Avoid expensive up-front commitments of sample size • ENHANCE SUCCESS – Boost power when initial assumptions fail • PROMISING ZONETM – Increase sample size conditional on interim data • ALPHA CONTROL – Guarantee strong type I error control required by regulators METHODS – Adaptation based on published methods by Mehta and Pocock (2011); Cui, Hung, and Wang (1999); and Chen, DeMets, and Lan (2004) ENDPOINTS – Designs for Normal, Binomial, Survival endpoints TOOLS – Simulations, Interim Monitoring, Conditional Power calculator Adapt based on look number, interim sample size, or information scale Define the Promising Zone™ based on conditional power, test statistic, or estimated effect size Try out multiple adaptation rules to select the optimal one for your trial Vary accrual and dropout patterns to perform sensitivity analysis Enter multiple values of all these parameters to fine-tune the design