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Competitive Bidding in Power Sector
             – is it working or not?

- Presented by R R Mehta
Power Procurement – Competitive Bidding Process
  Bid Evaluation

      The bids are evaluated for each escalable and non-escalable components of
       capacity charge, energy charge and transportation charges

      The levelised tariff of each bidders are compared incorporating the transmission
       charges from the point of injection to point of supply, accordingly, the bidders
       need to adjust their escalable and non-escalable components as part of their
       winning strategies




Confidential                                                                       Slide   2
Power Procurement – Competitive Bidding Process
  Key Aspects of PPA
              Risk allocation between parties
                   Land Acquisition

                   Fuel Supply

              Technical requirements on minimum load condition

              Assured off take levels

              Force majeure clauses as per industry standards
                   Change in Law in state/country or cross country level

              Lead times for scheduling of power

              Default conditions and cure thereof, and penalties

              Payment security proposed to be offered by the procurer




Confidential                                                                Slide   3
Case I bidding: Observed tariff ranges…
      Evolution of weighted average Case I bids

                                 Weighted Average Case I Tariffs (Rs./kWh)
             5
            4.5
             4
   Rs/kWh




            3.5
             3
            2.5
             2
                  Sept Dec Dec Nov Nov Feb Dec Aug Aug Jan Jan Jan Mar Sept Oct Oct Dec Dec
                  2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010




                        Bids have observed a linear growth trend owing to:
                               o Increased costs of fuel and financing
                   o Higher risk perception on fuel availability and payment front
Confidential                                                                                            Slide 4
Long Term Bid Process - Tariff Quotes

                                                                Capacity Offered Levellized Tariff
          Rank            Name of Bidder and Project
                                                                     (MW)           (Rs./kWh)

               L1    RPG Group - Dhariwal Infrastructure Ltd.         200              3.513
               L2              Reliance Power Ltd.                   1000              4.311
               L3              Vandana Vidyut Ltd.                    150              4.493
               L4             PTC - MB Power MP                       200              4.590
               L5           RKM PowerGen Pvt. Ltd.                    300              4.670
               L6            Indiabulls Power Limited                 490              4.800
               L7               PTC - DB Power                        150              5.593


                    Result of Financial Bid Opening held on 09-Dec-11
Confidential                                                                                    Slide 5
L1 Year-wise Evaluated Tariff
                       Dhariwal Infra.: Levellised Tariff Vs FC Component
               7.0

               6.0

               5.0
                                      Levellised Rs 3.513 pu
    Rs. /kWh




               4.0

               3.0

               2.0                                FC Component

               1.0

               0.0
                     1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25



Confidential                                                                        Slide 6
Power Procurement – Medium Term
      Tariff Components for Medium Term Power tied-up from FY12 to FY14

                                                                                            PPA Date: 16-Jun-10,
               MTPP          PPA Date: 04-Jun-10               PPA Date: 04-Aug-10
                                                                                           Addendum: 21-Jan-11*


                           KSK-WPCL (260MW)                     Abhijeet (55MW)               VIPL (134MW)

                        FY-11-12   FY-12-13   FY-13-14    FY-11-12   FY-12-13   FY-13-14   FY-12-13    FY-13-14

   Fixed Cost (FC)       4.00        3.90          3.00    3.414      3.001      2.47       3.194       2.945

   Variable Cost (VC)    1.465       1.02      1.025       1.75       1.811      1.875      0.989       0.989

               Total     5.465       4.92      4.025       5.164      4.812      4.345      4.183       3.934



   Fixed Cost - % age    73%         79%           75%     66%        62%        57%         76%         75%



   Low Variable Component poses risk of DTPS backing down
Confidential                                                                                             Slide 7
Success or Failure – Probably limited success –WHY?
      GENERATOR:

              Fuel Availability and price uncertainity

              Project Execution risk – Land/Environment/logistics etc

              Assured off take levels

              Inability to get financing at fixed cost matching with the PPA term (Limited access to
               Development Banking resources)

              Payment Security
      DISTRIBUTION LICENSEE:

              Cost reflective timely tariff and Fuel cost variation recovery

              Freedom to change consumption by consumer and consequential losses (under
               recovery of fixed cost for lower off take or loss on alternate disposal/sale)

              Low collection efficiency due inability to pay or due to unwillingness to pay (Socio-
               political issues)

Confidential                                                                                            Slide   8
Thank You

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Competitive bidding in the Power Sector: Is it working or not?

  • 1. Competitive Bidding in Power Sector – is it working or not? - Presented by R R Mehta
  • 2. Power Procurement – Competitive Bidding Process Bid Evaluation  The bids are evaluated for each escalable and non-escalable components of capacity charge, energy charge and transportation charges  The levelised tariff of each bidders are compared incorporating the transmission charges from the point of injection to point of supply, accordingly, the bidders need to adjust their escalable and non-escalable components as part of their winning strategies Confidential Slide 2
  • 3. Power Procurement – Competitive Bidding Process Key Aspects of PPA  Risk allocation between parties  Land Acquisition  Fuel Supply  Technical requirements on minimum load condition  Assured off take levels  Force majeure clauses as per industry standards  Change in Law in state/country or cross country level  Lead times for scheduling of power  Default conditions and cure thereof, and penalties  Payment security proposed to be offered by the procurer Confidential Slide 3
  • 4. Case I bidding: Observed tariff ranges…  Evolution of weighted average Case I bids Weighted Average Case I Tariffs (Rs./kWh) 5 4.5 4 Rs/kWh 3.5 3 2.5 2 Sept Dec Dec Nov Nov Feb Dec Aug Aug Jan Jan Jan Mar Sept Oct Oct Dec Dec 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 Bids have observed a linear growth trend owing to: o Increased costs of fuel and financing o Higher risk perception on fuel availability and payment front Confidential Slide 4
  • 5. Long Term Bid Process - Tariff Quotes Capacity Offered Levellized Tariff Rank Name of Bidder and Project (MW) (Rs./kWh) L1 RPG Group - Dhariwal Infrastructure Ltd. 200 3.513 L2 Reliance Power Ltd. 1000 4.311 L3 Vandana Vidyut Ltd. 150 4.493 L4 PTC - MB Power MP 200 4.590 L5 RKM PowerGen Pvt. Ltd. 300 4.670 L6 Indiabulls Power Limited 490 4.800 L7 PTC - DB Power 150 5.593 Result of Financial Bid Opening held on 09-Dec-11 Confidential Slide 5
  • 6. L1 Year-wise Evaluated Tariff Dhariwal Infra.: Levellised Tariff Vs FC Component 7.0 6.0 5.0 Levellised Rs 3.513 pu Rs. /kWh 4.0 3.0 2.0 FC Component 1.0 0.0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Confidential Slide 6
  • 7. Power Procurement – Medium Term Tariff Components for Medium Term Power tied-up from FY12 to FY14 PPA Date: 16-Jun-10, MTPP PPA Date: 04-Jun-10 PPA Date: 04-Aug-10 Addendum: 21-Jan-11* KSK-WPCL (260MW) Abhijeet (55MW) VIPL (134MW) FY-11-12 FY-12-13 FY-13-14 FY-11-12 FY-12-13 FY-13-14 FY-12-13 FY-13-14 Fixed Cost (FC) 4.00 3.90 3.00 3.414 3.001 2.47 3.194 2.945 Variable Cost (VC) 1.465 1.02 1.025 1.75 1.811 1.875 0.989 0.989 Total 5.465 4.92 4.025 5.164 4.812 4.345 4.183 3.934 Fixed Cost - % age 73% 79% 75% 66% 62% 57% 76% 75% Low Variable Component poses risk of DTPS backing down Confidential Slide 7
  • 8. Success or Failure – Probably limited success –WHY? GENERATOR:  Fuel Availability and price uncertainity  Project Execution risk – Land/Environment/logistics etc  Assured off take levels  Inability to get financing at fixed cost matching with the PPA term (Limited access to Development Banking resources)  Payment Security DISTRIBUTION LICENSEE:  Cost reflective timely tariff and Fuel cost variation recovery  Freedom to change consumption by consumer and consequential losses (under recovery of fixed cost for lower off take or loss on alternate disposal/sale)  Low collection efficiency due inability to pay or due to unwillingness to pay (Socio- political issues) Confidential Slide 8