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Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and Transformation - Professor Sir David King

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Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and Transformation - Professor Sir David King (Securing Asia 2015)

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Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and Transformation - Professor Sir David King

  1. 1. 14th July 2015 Smart, Secure and Sustainable Cities India, Windsor Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and Transformation. Professor Sir David King UK Foreign Secretary’s Special Representative for Climate Change Chair, Future Cities Catapult, UK
  2. 2. Total Population of the World in Billions Source: IIASA Middle Class* *Middle class here defined as daily per capita spending of between $10 and $100 in PPP terms
  3. 3. 21st Century Challenges Conflict and terrorism Water resource Energy security and supplyHealth and development Food production Climate change Ecosystems Minerals Population – the driver Conflict and terrorism Water resource Energy security and supply Food production Climate change Ecosystems Minerals Demographics – the driver
  4. 4. 2008 >50% 2050 >70%
  5. 5. GLOBAL URBAN GROWTH
  6. 6. MGI Commodity Price Index (years 1999- 2001=100) Source: McKinsey Global Institute 2011
  7. 7. Crude Oil Price versus Crude Oil Production from 1998 to present Source: Murray, J. and King, D. (2012) Oil’s Tipping Point has Passed, Nature, Volume 481, 433-435
  8. 8. Sea Level and Temperature Measurements Source: Met Office & Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Liverpool
  9. 9. Cumulative total anthropogenic CO2 emissions from 1870 (GtCO2)
  10. 10. Risk of fatal heat stress
  11. 11. Risk of Crop Failure (Rice)
  12. 12. Probability of exceeding 4°C
  13. 13. Change in Return Period of present 100-year flood event Data extracted from Hallegatte et al. (2013)
  14. 14. Traffic
  15. 15. “Circular Economy” Source: Ellen MacArthur Foundation
  16. 16. Low Carbon Vehicles Source: Gordon Murray Designs
  17. 17. Energy & Urban Density D. Lam & P. Head (Arup) in O.R. Inderwildi & D.A. Kind (Eds.), ‘Energy, Transport & the Environment, Springer 2012
  18. 18. People vs. Cars: Bogota Source: Courtesy of Enrique Penalosa
  19. 19. VariaLift Airship
  20. 20. THANK YOU If you’d like to know more about our work: Visit our website futurecities.catapult.org.uk Follow us on Twitter @FutureCitiesCat Contact us directly info@futurecities.catapult.org.uk
  21. 21. 15 20 25 30 35 40 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Gigatonnesp.a. Forecast Required path
  22. 22. David King, John Browne, Richard Layard, Gus O’Donnell, Martin Rees, Nicholas Stern, Adair Turner

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