Lecture by R Saracco Montevideo October 12th 2007 IEEE COMSOC Distinguished Lecturer

1. Roberto Saracco Technology Evolution: Impact on the Telecommunications World Montevideo October 11th, 2007

2. Ambient Evolution Infrastructure driven Terminal, User driven Organized /Structured Creative/Innovative Health Care Automotive Home Gaming Transport Media Tourism Learning Trading Shops

3. Storage Roadmap All rights reserved 2010 2020 SSD 1 TB 5-30 TB 10s TB 10s TB ? 50 ns

4. Processing Roadmap 2010 2020 1c GFlop 100 TFlop 100s PFlop 0.2% 0.001% TFLOPS< 100$ 2Tbps Interc. fabric Gbps Interc. F. 100s’Gbps Interc. F. WperGflop ? Com

6. New Drivers for Ultra Broad Band 2020 2010 2015 Mega… 2 Mpx 15 Mbps TV –HDTV - TrueLifeTV Digital Camera Display 16 Mpx 120 Mbps WQXGA NED Av. Bandwidth per home Home Bandwidth Giga… VDSL-3 HD channel Upload HR Data Detection HD Terminals Niche enterprises take the upper hand 32 Mpx 240 Mbps SED Immersive video 8 Mpx 60 Mbps

7. Infrastructures Roadmap 2010 2020 ? Transparency Alternatives Multiple Players ? Dens

8. Infrastructures - Wireless

9. Italian NGN

11. The growth of the content ecosystem EB 2003 2006 2010 5 41 17 161 988 196 670 Created 700 Storage Transmitted

12. Content vs Biz 2001 – 120 Bl minutes (wireline Italy) 2006 – 600 Bl minutes (wireline Italy) 80,000 minutes each of Television 12,000 minutes each (33 minutes a day)

13. Content vs Biz EB $

14. Content vs Biz

15. The Semantic Information Statistics analyses to retrieve meanings

16. Paradigms Load Sharing Data Sharing Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster

17. Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker

18. Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Bit/Vid Torrent

19. Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Layered/Mashed Bit/Vid Torrent

20. Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Web 2.0 Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Layered/Mashed Bit/Vid Torrent

21. Scenario – Liquid communications

23. Scenario – Mesh communications

24. Scenario – Information wrapping

25. Technology Evolution: Impact on the Telecommunications World Roberto Saracco [email_address] Thanks Montevideo October 11th, 2007