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Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI)
1. Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI)
Evolving idea or false solace
Goutham Kumar, MD
Consultant
Abdominal Transplant Surgery
Manipal Hospitals
2. Introduction to the concept of KDPI
Calculation of KDPI
Parameters considered in KDPI and their significance
Intended uses
KDPI in Kidney Allocation
Limitations of KDPI
Synopsis
5. The quality of organ at present is objectively determined by
Expanded Criteria Donor (ECD)
Age >60
Age >50 with at least two of the following conditions:
I.Hypertension
II.Serum creatinine > 1.5 mg/dl
III.Cerebrovascular accident
Issues:
Donor age – main criteria in assessment of quality of an organ
Low predictive value because of binary (yes/no) characteristics
ECD stigma – High discard rate (44% in 2010) possibly due to ECD stigma
Why KDPI over ECD?
6. Why KDPI?
KDPI illuminates the fact that not all ECDs are alike
-Some ECD kidneys have reasonably good estimated quality
-Some SCD kidneys actually have lower estimated quality than some ECDs
7. That’s Why KDPI
KDPI
Proposed in order to improve risk stratification of kidneys so that clinicians
can more easily determine if a kidney offer is right for his or her candidate.
The “kidney donor profile index” (KDPI) is a score that informs clinicians about
the potential longevity of a kidney relative to other kidneys.
The calculation of KDPI includes 10 donor factors and is a more precise
measure of donor quality as compared to ECD/SCD dichotomy (only 4 donor
characteristics)
continuous PERCENTILE “score” instead of a binary (yes/no) indicator
9. Calculation of KDRI (Kidney Donor Risk Index)
Mapping of KDRI to KDPI - Relative risk scale to cumulative percentile scale
Steps involved in the calculation of KDPI
10. • University of Michigan - Ann Arbor
• Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model - to estimate the
association between the donor/recipient/transplant factors and graft survival
( Stratified by recipient age, diabetes status and transplant center)
• 69440 - first time, kidney-only, adult transplant
• 10 donor factors and 4 transplant factors were identified with significant
hazard ratio - to model KDRI
• In calculation of KDPI, Donor only KDRI (KDRI-RAO) is used as transplant
factors/recipient characteristics are different for each case.
17. Donor factor
Reference donor Donor 1 Donor 2 Donor 3 Donor 4 Donor 5 Donor 6 Donor 7 Donor 8 Donor 9 Donor 10
Age (yr) 40 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40
Race Non-Black Non-Black Black Non-Black Non-Black Non-Black Non-Black Non-Black Non-Black Non-Black Non-Black
Hypertensive No No No No No Yes No No No No No
Diabetic No No No No No No Yes No No No No
Serum creatinine 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.5 1 1 1
Cause of death Non-CVA Non-CVA Non-CVA Non-CVA Non-CVA Non-CVA Non-CVA Non-CVA CVA Non-CVA Non-CVA
Height(cm) 170 170 170 160 170 170 170 170 170 170 170
Weight(kg) 80 80 80 80 70 80 80 80 80 80 80
HCV status Negative Negative Negative Negative Negative Negative Negative Negative Negative positive Negative
DCD
No No No No No No No No No No Yes
KDRI-median 0.82 0.72 0.98 0.86 0.85 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.89 1.04 0.93
KDPI 31 18 48 35 34 43 43 41 39 54 44
How do the Individual donor characteristic affects KDPI?
18. Rules of thumb
Ideal donor according to KDPI – Age 19, 80kg, 6’3’’, non-CVA, DBD with no
comorbidities
Age increase of 1yr increases KDPI by 1%, every 10yr increase by 12%
Black donor - Higher KDPI by 17%, literally means a 23 yo black donor would be
similar to 40 yo non-black donor
Height – Every 2cm increase in height reduces 1% in KDPI, and vice versa.
Weight – Every 10kg decrease in weight from reference donor weight increases 4%
in KDPI. No change in increase in weight
Hypertension & Diabetes – 12% higher KDPI each
Serum creatinine – 10% Higher KDPI if serum creatinine is increased from 1 to
1.5, then 1% for every 1mg/dL increase in Cr
HCV positivity increases KDPI by 23%
DCD donor increases KDPI by 13%
19. Can we use KDRI/KDPI for other organs?
For Liver and pancreas - Separate organ risk indices LDRI and PDRI respectively are developed,
But does KDRI correlate well with LDRI/PDRI with similar discriminatory power.
On the other hand, KDRI was also shown to have very modest discriminatory power (c=0.54) for
heart transplant outcomes and very little association with lung transplant outcomes (c=0.52)
Stewart DE et al. Is the Kidney Donor Risk Index (KDRI) a Useful Predictor of Graft
Survival for Non-Renal Organs? ATC Abstract #464.
21. KDPI as an analytical tool on DonorNet® - some
intended uses
1. Evaluation of deceased donor kidney
2. Differentiate - Lower versus higher quality ECD kidneys
3. Determination of need to implant both the kidneys or not
4. May help OPO predict which donors/organs may be more
less difficult to place.
5. In future, a part of allocation algorithm
28. Problems with Current allocation system
High discard rates
Access variability due to geography and biology
Longevity Mismatch in graft/patient survival
waiting time has become the primary driver of kidney allocation
Histocompatibility components have diminished
This overreliance led to a system that does not accomplish any goal other than
transplanting the candidate waiting the longest
Fails to acknowledge different needs for different candidates (e.g., speed over
quality)
30. Optimal utilization of procured cadaveric kidneys – Reduce discard rates
Promote graft survival for those at highest risk of re-transplant.
Minimize loss of potential graft function through better longevity matching
Improve efficiency and utilization by providing better information about kidney
offers
Provide comprehensive data to guide transplant decision making
Reduce differences in access variability due to geography and biology
Ideal allocation system
31. Candidate age,
Length of time on dialysis,
Any prior organ transplant, and
Diabetes status.
Estimated Post-Transplant Survival (EPTS)
38. Limitations - KDPI
1. Is statistics and data analysis for KDPI sound enough?
The use of risk factors as prognostic tool for the purpose of prospective
individual risk stratification often yields disappointing results.
Ware JH. The limitations of risk factors as prognostic tools. N Engl J Med 2006;355: 2615-7.
39. The predictive power of the KDPI is only moderate (c=0.62), but when
highest and lowest quintiles were compared then c-statistic improved
to 0.78. Better in extremes and ‘muddy’ in middle
Though there is a definite difference between the kidneys with KDPI of
10 and 90, there may not be any difference in KDPI of 40 and 60.
Different KDPI means different interpretation
40. Biopsy and trauma not included in KDPI
KDPI does not include all donor factors potentially associated with kidney
graft outcomes.
Biopsy
No information about damage, trauma, or abnormalities in kidneys
KDPI was developed using graft outcomes from strictly adult transplant recipients; It can
only be used in pediatric donors but not recipients.
.
41. May reduce live-donor kidney transplants?
Potential reduction in live donor kidney transplants in younger patients (53%
in age 18-34, 41% in 35-49)
Overdependence on less available live donors for older patients (33% in 50-
64, 28% in 65 & older
.
Hippen BE, Thistlethwaite JR Jr, Ross LF. Risk, prognosis, and unintended consequences in
kidney allocation N Engl J Med. 2011
42. KDPI based allocation system – disadvantageous for
certain groups
Patients with short term diabetes with similar outcomes as non-diabetics
Elderly recipients
Additionally, the allocation system has been incrementally changed over the years. Initially, the primary driver of kidney allocation was based on the degree of biological match between the kidney and the recipient. Points were given for HLA-A, B, and DR matching. Over time, points for HLA-A and HLA-B were removed and a candidate’s waiting time became the primary driver of kidney allocation.
Unfortunately, the overreliance on waiting time has led to a system that does not accomplish any goal other than transplanting the candidate waiting the longest. This system does not recognize that not everyone has the same ability to survive the wait.
These limitations led the Committee to design a system intended to achieve several objectives…
This graph illustrates another reason why revisions to the kidney allocation system are necessary at this time. Over the 30 years since we have been allocating kidneys, the demand for kidney transplant has increased dramatically, from around 10,000 candidates to over 90,000 candidates while the number of kidney transplants has not kept pace with the growing demand. This means that candidates must wait, oftentimes for years to receive a kidney transplant.
The first proposed change is that of Longevity Matching which uses a formula called Estimated Post-transplant Survival (EPTS). Unlike the liver allocation system or the lung allocation system, the current kidney allocation system does not have a candidate classification based risk of death while on the waiting list or estimated post-transplant survival. Incorporating a metric like estimated post-transplant survival would allow for better matching of candidates and donated grafts so that individuals with very long estimated post transplant survival do not receive kidneys with very short survival (necessitating a second or third transplant from an already limited donor pool) and vice versa.
Four medical factors about the transplant candidate are used to calculate the Estimated Post-Transplant Survival (EPTS) score:
Age
History of diabetes
Length of time on dialysis
History of a prior kidney transplant
These factors are also used in a clinical formula. A percentage score estimates how long a candidate is expected to benefit from a functioning kidney when compared to the experience of other recipients over a recent time. A low EPTS percentage indicates likely longer-term survival, and a high percentage indicates shorter likely benefit. An EPTS of 20 percent, for example, suggests that if the candidate is transplanted, he or she would likely survive longer than 80 percent of other recipients.
The use of EPTS would not change how the majority of kidney candidates get priority for kidneys – only those expected to need and benefit from a transplant the very longest.
Before we begin, it’s important to see where we’re going. The changes that I am about to describe result in a gain in life years for transplant recipients, as well as improved access for candidates who currently face difficulty receiving a transplant while not disrupting the current geographic distribution of kidneys.