result management system report for college project
Presentation-for-teachers.pptx
1. Power in the Wind:
Making Statistical and Economic
Project Comparisons
April 22, 2016
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-
NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
2. Where Does the Wind Come From?
• Uneven heating of the Earth
– What if the Earth did not rotate?
CC BY-SA 3.0,
https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curi
d=2310777
http://scioly.org/wiki/index.php/Meteorology/
Everyday_Weather
3. Where Does the Wind Come From?
• Add rotation (and thus the Coriolis effect) and
what happens?
Global Winds
"Earth Global Circulation - en"
by Kaidor - Own work based on
File:Earth Global
Circulation.jpgThe picture of
the Earth is File:Lunar eclipse
from moon-2007Mar03.png
vectorized with Inkscape..
Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 via
Commons -
https://commons.wikimedia.org
/wiki/File:Earth_Global_Circulat
ion_-_en.sv... (link is external)
4. Where Does the Wind Come From?
• Secondary and tertiary
circulations also occur
around the earth
– Secondary
• Hurricanes (tropical cyclones)
• Extratropical cyclones
– Tertiary
• Uneven heating due to terrain
or surface proprties
– Land/sea breezes
– Mountain/valley breezes
– Thunderstorms
– Tornadoes Land and sea breezes compared
License: CC BY-NC 3.0
Source: https://www.e-
education.psu.edu/geog497i/node/329
5. What Happens to the Wind as you Go
Up in Elevation?
A sample graph of wind speeds from 0 to 140 m
Source: NREL
6. Power in the Wind Foundations
• Density
• Volume
• Velocity
• Power
• Energy
3
[ ]
mass
volume
m kg
V m
3
* ]
[
area length AL m
[ ]
length L m
time t s
[ ]
energy J
W
time s
2 2
1 1
*( ) [ ]
2
.
2
. mass velo
K E city mv J
2 2 2
3
1 1 1
( ) ( )
. . 1
2 2 2
2
mv V v AL v
K
Pow
E
Av
t t t
e
t
r
Come up with an equation for power as a function only of Area, Velocity and Density:
7.
8. Power in the Wind
• Let’s check our units:
3
1
2
W
P Av
2
kg m
s
N
J N m
3 2
2
3 3
kg m kg m
m
m s s
2
3
kg m N m J
s s s
Watt
9. Let's say we'd like to know how much power is available in the wind flowing through a
hula-hoop (D= 1 m) for a wind speed of 10 m/s:
A Boeing 747 has an approximate "diameter" of 65 m, but the rotor shown in the
figure below has a diameter of 80 m. How much power is available in the wind for a
turbine of this size at a velocity of 10 m/s?
Using the 747 example from above, note the differences in available power just by
increasing the velocity of the wind by a factor of two from 10 m/s to 20 m/s:
10. Influence of Air Density… Let’s
Investigate How Air Density Changes?
• Let’s look at the Ideal Gas Law
• P= pressure, V = volume, n = # moles, T =
temperature, is the ideal gas constant 8.314
kJ/kg-K
• We are going to reconfigure this to solve for
density and apply it specifically to air.
PV T
nR
R
11. Ideal Gas Law – mass basis
• First we need to move from moles to mass:
• M is the molecular weight of the substance you
are using, and m is the mass.
• Where R is now a constant specific to the gas
used in the equation.
n
m
M
PV m
M
R
T mRT
12. Ideal Gas Law - rearranging
• We know that density is mass/Volume, so let’s
reorganize the terms to solve for this:
• For air, R = 286.9 J/kg-K
– Mainly composed of 78% Nitrogen (R=296.8 J/kg-
K) & 21% Oxygen (R=259.8J/kg-K)
m P
V RT
13. Ideal Gas Law Example
• Example:
– Calculate the air density for standard atmospheric
conditions, T = 15C, P = 101.325 kPa (Pa = N/m2):
3
[ ]
[ ]
kg P Pa
m J
R T K
kg K
3 3
101,325[ ]
1.225
287 (15 273.15)[ ]
kg Pa kg
m m
J
K
kg K
14. Density Conclusion
• Density increases with increasing pressure and
decreases with increasing temperature:
• As air rises, it becomes cooler and the
pressure decreases, thus density will?
P
RT
decrease
15. What Happens to Air Density in the Mile High City?
What Happens to Air Density in Cold Weather?
22. Wind Data Source
• Eastern Wind Integration Data Set
– Model data generated for wind grid integration studies.
• Not real output, but predicted for actual locations.
– No gaps in data
• No QA needed
– Lat & Long provided
23. Capacity Factor
• The amount of energy generated divided by
the amount which could be produced if the
turbine were running at its full capacity all of
the time.
– Typically considered over a year, but could be
measured over any timeframe.
• Example: If a 2 MW (2000 kW) wind turbine
generates 5,956,800 kWh of energy in a year,
what would this project’s capacity factor be?
24 365
8 0 /
/ 7
# 6
hr days
hr yr
day y
r
r
h yr
5,956,800 /
0.34 34%
2000 8760 /
kWh yr
kW hr y
F
r
C
25. Procedures for the Competition
• Choose a location and its accompanying data for this
exercise
• Create a histogram
• Select a Power Curve
• Calculate the energy produced from the selected turbine at
your site using the histogram and the power curve
• Calculate and record the Levelized cost of energy
• Calculate and record the capacity factor
• Iterate until you believe you have found the best turbine for
your location.
• Compare results with the class and see who came up with
the lowest LCOE and highest CF. Discuss!
26. Calculating Energy
• https://youtu.be/GVHc1zpLnXw
25 /
0 /
[ ]
m s
at each velocit
v
y
m s
Power t
Energ me
y i
Wind Speed
[m/s]
Alstom Eco
74/1670 Class
II
Al
80
Cl
3 0
4 32
5 98
6 185
7 301
8 460
9 671
10 938 1
11 1232 1
12 1495 1
13 1634 1
14 1669 1
15 1670 1
16 1670 1
17 1670 1
18 1670 1
19 1670 1
20 1670 1
21 1670 1
22 1670 1
23 1670 1
24 1670 1
25 1670 1
28. Levelized Cost of Energy
• en = energy, to be calculated from wind resource data
and selected wind turbine power curve
• TIC = total installed cost for project (equation to be
provided for educational purposes)
• fcr = fixed charge rate - an annualized presentation of
the cost of financing a wind project
• rc = recurring charges. Typically provided per unit of
energy, e.g. $/kWh. For instance, operation and
maintenance costs.
TIC rc
LCOE fcr
en en
29. LCOE Example Problem
• Under the following conditions for a wind turbine
project, calculate the levelized cost of energy for
this project:
• Total installed cost for the project is $30,000,000
• Average amount of energy produced at the project
site is 61,320,000 kWh/yr
• Fixed charge rate (fcr) = 0.09
• Operation & Maintenance charges (recurring
charges rc/en) = $0.01/kWh
$30,000,000*0.09
$0.01/ $0.054 /
61,320,000
kWh kWh
kWh
LCOE
TIC rc
LCOE fcr
en en
30. Competition
We are supplying wind data for several locations.
You will form teams and choose which data set you
would like to work with. You will then characterize
this wind resource with a histogram and calculate
the energy production by applying a power curve.
Several are provided to you. Cost data has also
been provided. Your objective is to minimize the
LCOE of your wind turbine installation by choosing
an optimal turbine for your location. You will also
calculate the resulting capacity factor of your
design.
31.
32. Levelized Cost of Energy
• en = energy, to be calculated from wind resource data
• TIC = total installed cost, to be calculated from the
following equation which is a function of the turbine
size:
𝑇𝐼𝐶 = $150 ∗ 𝑠𝑤𝑒𝑝𝑡 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎 𝑚2
+ $250 ∗ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑝𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟 𝑘𝑊 +
$1,500,000 (𝑏𝑎𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑦𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑚)
:
0.11
$0.015 /
TIC rc
LCOE fcr
en en
Assumptions
fcr
rc
kWh
en
Editor's Notes
The surface of the earth is heated unevenly due to different levels of incident radiation at different latitudes (hotter at the equator than the poles). This uneven heating causes both ocean currents and wind convection currents to form, as warm always flows toward cold.
If the earth did not rotate (assuming the sun still heats somehow from all directions), convection cells, as shown in the figure at right, would form in the atmosphere. Air at the equator would heat up, which reduces its density causing it to rise to the top of the troposphere. From there, the warm air would spread toward the poles, cooling along the way and ultimately subsiding at the poles to head back towards the equator along the surface.
Because of rotation of the earth, and thus the Coriolis effect, the circulation patterns in the atmosphere are much more complex than this. The figure below shows the resulting circulation "belts" which also form around the mid-latitudes and poles. Closest to the equator is the Hadley Cell. The Ferrel Cell is in the mid-latitudes and then the Polar Cell is in the polar region. Jet streams form at the intersection of these cells at high levels of the atmosphere.
Add Weibull equations
Add a pie chart, cumulative chart,
https://youtu.be/8tNOL4ZL9Do
I am making a slight sidestep here to make a comparison between large wind and small wind. The power curve for a small wind turbine generally has a different look to it than the one shown above. This is because in order to accomplish the level power output beyond the rated power point requires several technologies for pitching and controlling the blades. These technologies are not often cost effective to apply in smaller machines so their methods of control may be more passive, relying on stall, or just mechanically simpler. Note the power curve below for an Endurance S-434 wind turbine, which peaks out at about 6 kW in a 13 m/s wind. There are many other variations of wind turbine power curves, but the one below as well as the one above are good representations of small and large wind systems, respectively.