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FINAL DESIGN REPORT 
MAY 4, 2015
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 
 
INTRODUCTION 
 
We are the Global Urban Development Program: Stockton team, an international                     
partnership of undergraduate and graduate students of different academic and geographic                     
backgrounds. Our goal is to develop thoughtful and strategic solutions to revitalize South                         
Stockton in partnership with the City of Stockton Planning Commission, Councilmember                     
Michael Tubbs, and the Reinvent South Stockton Coalition (RSSC). 
Our Project is structured into four phases: two phases of Research and two of Design. Our                               
first two phases developed a comprehensive understanding of South Stockton’s current                     
conditions, identifying areas of strength, opportunities for development, weaknesses, and                   
threats to progress, and established target goals to quantifiably measure the success of our                           
design proposals.  
The second two phases focused on carving out said design proposals. This Final Design                           
deliverable provides an understanding of Stockton’s site conditions, our approach to                     
designing for said conditions, and the proposals we have selected which we believe                         
contribute to accomplishing our established goals.  
 
RESEARCH PROCESS 
 
We started our research phase with Deliverable 1, Draft Research, in which we tried to                             
identify key conditions and systemic challenges in Stockton. The work was distributed                       
among team members, which were divided into 5 research groups, each covering one of the                             
main topics in the city: Economic, Political/Legal, Cultural/Social, Environmental and                   
Urban. Conclusions based on the aforementioned analysis were gathered in a SWOT Analysis                         
(strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats). In Deliverable 2, Final Research, we                   
refined our research to identify the most important target goals using SWOT and PESTEL                           
Analysis. We focused more specifically on the current work of the RSSC and tried to come                               
up with quantifiable goals in several Quality-of-Life indicators of the city: Place, Movement,                         
Environment, Health & Safety, Community, Housing and Economic Development. Target                   
goals were given feasible timescales (immediate, short-term, long-term) and were used as a                         
basis for selecting design projects in the next phase. 
 
Portfolio of Target Goals from Final Research. 
 
(Table continued on next page) 
 
 
DESIGN PROCESS 
 
For the design phase of the project, we split up into four different teams in order to better                                   
address specific issues: Industry Revitalization, Environmental Resiliency, Airport Way, and                   
CSU Stockton. The two “macro” level teams focused on industry revitalization and                       
environmental infrastructure/energy efficiency on a larger scale encompassing South                 
Stockton, while the “micro” level teams worked towards designing specific uses for empty                         
lots on Airport Way and planning for a potential CSU in South Stockton. Team members split                               
up based on interest, with 3-6 people in each. Rather than working specifically within our                             
disciplines, we used systems thinking, human-centered design, and holistic problem solving                     
to better understand and attempt to tackle deeply rooted problems. By doing so, we heard                             
from community members whose voices may have been unheard through a traditional                       
approach, and tackled problems from a variety of angles, from zoning to an outreach plan.                             
As team members were spread across Stanford, Stockton, and Ljubljana, meetings were                       
held online and utilized collaborative tools like Google Drive and Bluejeans Conferencing. 
COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT 
 
Coming up with solutions for Stockton required that each team do extensive research, but                           
at the same time, we knew that in order to understand the whole picture, we needed to                                 
ask the opinion of the people who actually lived in Stockton. Our community engagement                           
activity was coordinated with the RSSC and was held on February 7, 2015. We wanted it to                                 
be a session in which the citizens could offer their ideas and solutions for the problems we                                 
were researching and act as a sounding board for any ideas we might have. One concern                               
was to make sure that the activity did not just end up with us lecturing about problems the                                   
city faces, but to encourage an open dialogue with the residents. The first half of the                               
activity was a general discussion, in which three teams (Airport Way, Energy Efficiency, and                           
CSU Stockton) each presented their topic and asked a question that everyone answered on                           
sticky notes and discussed for a few minutes. After all the topics were introduced, all the                               
participants introduced themselves. Then, the large group broke into smaller groups, and                       
the participants were told to join the topic they were most passionate about. For the next                               
45 minutes, participants talked about the specific topic they joined, and were also free to                             
move around to other topics. All the participants stuck with their topics the whole time,                             
and each of the teams got valuable ideas and feedback from the citizens. Factoring in the                               
perspective of the citizens is important in making sure that our solutions meet community                           
needs and are not just purely utilitarian solutions. Their input is taken into account in our                               
proposals for each of the topics.  
 
Community engagement activity in South Stockton on February 7th, 2015. 
INDUSTRY REVITALIZATION 
 
The main goal of the Industry Revitalization team is to identify 3 industries to which                             
Stockton has the most to offer and which could be positioned in the South Stockton area.                               
The industries are strategically selected with regard to the resources, natural and                       
otherwise, locally available. After the selection of industries, a detailed analysis was                       
conducted into the internal incentives and external factors said industries find conducive.                       
This entailed an overview of the current, potential, and required incentives and accounts                         
for the external factors within the framework of PESTEL analysis. Urban and architectural                         
plans and models were constructed in order to best cater to the needs of the industries;                               
this point is crucial for the success of the project, as by far the greatest asset of the City is                                       
the land which it can provide to potential investors in a fiscally attractive environment.  
Using the PESTEL framework an analysis was conducted of the macroeconomic factors                       
affecting Stockton. This was then applied to the selection process for compatible industries                         
in which industries were assessed. The industries were evaluated based on their fit in the                             
South Stockton area. A matrix presenting mutually beneficial externalities was compiled to                       
showcase the synergistic influences of the industries and the City with an emphasis on                           
South Stockton. 
 
 
Rendering of proposed industrial development for South Stockton. 
ENVIRONMENTAL RESILIENCY 
 
The Environmental Resiliency team focused on energy efficiency modeling and program                     
analysis in support of Stockton’s Climate Action Plan. To this end, an easily comprehensible                           
“typical home” energy model was generated to demonstrate the current standards of a                         
house typically encountered in South Stockton. The next step was to propose improvements                         
that would make it comply with the standards imposed by regulations. Benefits of the                           
improvements were quantified in terms of the average annual household electricity bill.                       
The main goal was to create a program that would aim to find the capital required to                                 
implement the changes proposed, in a way that would be financially sustainable and better                           
meet stakeholder needs. In particular, the needs of South Stockton residents, many of                         
whom have a low or moderate income. They would benefit from alterations to their homes                             
with a small initial investment in terms of savings in energy costs and higher quality of life.   
During the community engagement, the team recognized deeply rooted problems such as                       
unhealthy landlord/renter relationships, old housing stock, and budget constraints. As a                     
result, working to improve home energy use in a way that benefits traditionally underserved                           
communities requires rigorous and comprehensive problem solving. Key points discussed                   
include lack of awareness of available resources, distrust, and the need for better-designed                         
incentives. The implementation plan included a discussion of who the stakeholders are and                         
what role they might play, existing outreach strategy, incentive programs, and funding in                         
order to tackle some of the main concerns and challenges voiced at the community                           
engagement. One idea to improve energy efficiency engagement involved retrofitting an old                       
home into a demonstration center, bundling other services such as subsidized materials for                         
home improvement, meeting spaces, community garden, etc.  
 
 
Possible home retrofit packages for an energy efficiency program in South Stockton.
AIRPORT WAY
 
The Airport Way team focused on the vacant lots along South Stockton’s Airport Way, which                             
many community members have described as a potential neighborhood center which is                       
currently severely underdeveloped. The goals of the team were to reduce the number of                           
vacant lots over the course of the next twenty years, to make the street safer for                               
pedestrians and bicyclists, to increase the use of bikes and public transportation, to find                           
options for financing the development, and to bring jobs to the area. 
Some potential programs the team considered were recreation areas for sports and                       
afterschool activities, a public garden with adjoining market and restaurant, a grocery                       
store, an after school activities center, a public park, a shared tool shed, and overall street                               
infrastructure redesign. 
The team gathered information needed to produce designs on key plots, made the program                           
list, consulted with local firm WMB Architects about zoning and building regulations, and                         
participated in the community engagement session. 
 
 
Rendering of proposed community center on Airport Way in South Stockton. 
CSU STOCKTON 
 
The CSU Stockton team focused on the need for a public university in Stockton. To that                               
end, they examined the California Public State University system as a whole, determined                         
the financial feasibility of a CSU Stockton, and used CSU Stanislaus as a model to calculate                               
necessary factors, such as the optimal square footage for the campus. The team chose two                             
potential sites that seem the most realistic for a potential CSU institution: one along MLK /                               
Highway 99, as seen below, and one in North Stockton.  
The team worked on individual projects such as engineering and design of the CSU, energy                             
analysis of the campus buildings, financial feasibility and funding, and potential                     
programs/courses that would meet the needs of the city and its economy. The team also                             
looked at public relations to advocate for CSU Stockton. This preliminary analysis will                         
hopefully serve as a stepping stone for the current bill under discussion in the California                             
State Assembly.  
 
 
Proposed master plan for CSU Stockton on site in South Stockton. 
 
TEAM MEMBERS 
 
Organizers 
Derek Ouyang, age 23, graduated from Stanford University in 2013 with dual                       
Bachelor’s in Civil Engineering and Architectural Design, and will return in the                       
fall for a Master’s in Structural Engineering. He co-created the Global Urban                       
Development Program in 2012. He was project manager of Stanford’s first-ever                     
entry to the U.S. DOE’s 2013 Solar Decathlon and has been featured as an                           
up-and-coming architect in the Los Angeles Times, in Home Energy magazine’s                     
“30 under 30”, and at TEDxStanford. 
Sinan Mihelčič, age 32, graduated from Ljubljana University in Architectural                   
Design. He co-created the Global Urban Development Program in 2012, both                     
exploring digital collaboration tools in urban planning and architectural design.                   
He established Skupina Štajn in 2008, an emerging young architectural studio in                       
Kamnik, Slovenia. He is a technical assistant in architectural and urban planning                       
studios at the Faculty of Architecture in Ljubljana, as well as a mentor to the                             
AEC class at Stanford. 
Klemen Kušar, age 28, graduated from Ljubljana University in 2012 in                     
Architectural design and in 2013 in Economics. In 2010 he was an exchange                         
student at Aalborg University and attended a summer workshop for the renewal                       
of favela Dona Marta in Rio de Janeiro. He participated in the Global Urban                           
Development Program in 2012. In 2008 and 2010 he was awarded 1st and 2nd                           
place in the Isover Multi-Comfort House Design, and in 2012 was awarded the                         
University of Ljubljana Prešeren Prize for his master’s thesis about public                     
participation in the process of gentrification of urban sprawl. He is author of                         
several articles regarding this matter. 
Faculty Advisors 
John Barton received his BA and M. Arch degrees from U.C. Berkeley. He worked                           
at a number of Bay Area firms before founding Barton Architect in 1990. John has                             
taught design and architecture at U.C. Berkeley, Cañada College, San Jose State                       
University and is currently the Director of the Architectural Design Program at                       
Stanford University. John enjoys cooking, playing lacrosse, and reading good                   
literature and history. He likes Saturdays when the Cal Bears play football.  
Glenn Katz is an instructor in the Civil & Environmental Engineering Department                       
at Stanford University. He specializes in BIM education and was an AEC educator                         
for Autodesk. He is the primary advisor for the Global Urban Development                       
Program. 
Andreja Cirman, PhD, is Associate Professor at the Department of Money and                       
Finance at the University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Economics (FELU) in Slovenia.                       
For six years she had served as associate dean for academic affairs at FELU and                             
since 2011 she serves as FELU MBA program director. Her main fields of expertise                           
in research and teaching are housing, real estate and public finance. 
Mentors 
Mikko Tuovinen, age 28, graduated from the UEF with M.Sc (“Master 
of EU law”) degree. He is passionate about EU, energy, climate and competition                         
policies, and he is a substitute Member of the Municipal Council of Liperi                         
(Finland) and a substitute Member of the Technical Committee of Liperi. Mikko                       
has held also other positions of trust and chaired many associations, primarily in                         
Finland, and is doing an internship at the Court of Justice of the European Union.                             
His role in GUDP is to help with anything related to public relations. 
Rob Best, age 26, is a Ph.D candidate in Sustainable Design and Construction                         
program of the Civil and Environmental Engineering department at Stanford                   
University. His research focuses on network planning, integration, and                 
optimization of urban infrastructure systems. He has a B.S. in Engineering from                       
Harvey Mudd College and an M.S. in Civil and Environmental Engineering from                       
Stanford. He was the Design and Construction Manager for the Stanford Solar                       
Decathlon Team, a student-driven project to build a net-zero energy home. Rob                       
is also the Projects and Education Director for Engineers for a Sustainable World,                         
a U.S. based nonprofit that advances project-based learning and knowledge                   
sharing on sustainability and engineering nationwide. 
Dimitris Farmakis, age 29, graduated from Stanford University in 2012 with an                       
M.S. degree in Civil & Environmental Engineering (previous degrees in Business                     
and Operations Research). He participated with the Stanford team and took the                       
1st place in the 24th Annual ASC Construction Management competition.                   
Passionate about BIM and green architecture, after Stanford he founded his                     
startup in Greece offering BIM consulting services and participated as a speaker                       
in Design, Green Building and TEDx conferences in Greece. He occasionally                     
teaches remotely at Stanford’s BIM courses as a guest instructor, and works in                         
parallel with a Silicon Valley startup on developing the world’s first BIM based                         
automated construction scheduler. 
Tina Vilfan, age 29, is writing her thesis on revitalisation of old town cores                           
through temporary usage of space at the Ljubljana Faculty of Architecture. She                       
has been working as an architect at Techline projekt d.o.o. for 5 years and has                             
constructed, managed and built projects. For the past year she has been living in                           
Copenhagen, Denmark where she worked at We Architecture and collaborated on                     
several open architectural competitions. She joined the team with participation                   
in the Global Urban Design Course in 2012. 
Naseem Alizadeh was born in 1975 and completed a Bachelor of Architecture at                         
Cornell University (1998) and a Master of Architecture in Urban Design at Harvard                         
University (2002). Her practice, Bureau for Architecture and Urbanism, was                   
established in the year 2009. Development and design of environmentally                   
responsible spaces, buildings, and products is the philosophy of Bureau for                     
Architecture and Urbanism. 
City Partners
Michael Tubbs was elected in 2012 as the youngest City Councilmember in                       
Stockton's history and one of the youngest elected officials in the nation. He                         
represents the 6th District of the City of Stockton, the district he grew up in.  
Forrest Ebbs serves as the Planning Director for the City of Stockton, overseeing                         
all current and advanced planning efforts, managing the Planning and                   
Engineering Division staff, and creating new opportunities for hope and                   
prosperity for the City of Stockton. 
Fred is the Administrator for STAND, a 25-year-old South Stockton neighborhood                     
based nonprofit that works on Community Policing, Affordable Housing and                   
Neighborhood Activities. Fred has studied and worked in international and                   
community development for 38 years. Many like to believe that poverty and                       
crime causes blighted neighborhoods. Wrong. The true cause is municipal neglect                     
in the form of weak code enforcement, absent legal action against slumlords,                       
and lack of public investment in housing in these areas. Our mission is to reverse                             
this decline. 
Lange Luntao is the Youth Advisor for the Reinvent South Stockton Coalition and                         
a college sociology teacher at Aspire Langston Hughes Academy in Stockton. The                       
former Field Director of Councilmember Tubbs' successful campaign for City                   
Council, he is an active supporter of civic and youth engagement efforts in his                           
hometown of Stockton. 
Melanie Vieux is a principal architect at WMB Architects. She received her BArch                         
in 1992 from the California Polytechnic State University at San Luis Obispo,                       
California. She is working on the First Credit Union project in South Stockton. 
Doug Davis is a principal architect at WMB Architects. He received his BArch in                           
1997 from the California Polytechnic State University at San Luis Obispo,                     
California. He is working on the First Credit Union project in South Stockton. 
Students 
  Marveliz Santos, age 21, is a senior majoring in Environmental Systems                     
Engineering at Stanford University. Having moved from the Dominican Republic                   
to New York City as a child, Marv was inspired by the difference of her two                               
homes to study the relationship between the built environment, the natural                     
environment, and the communities that live within them. She hopes to bring                       
some of the lessons learned working for NYC’s Department of Buildings and                       
California’s Coastal Commission back to the Dominican Republic.   
Natalie Gonzalez, age 22, is a senior majoring in Architectural Design at                       
Stanford University. Natalie was born and raised in the Colorado Rockies, which                       
inspired her love of nature and desire to establish a more symbiotic relationship                         
between humans and the earth. Next year she will continue her studies at                         
Stanford through the Sustainable Design and Construction masters program and                   
hopes to establish a sustainable, intentional community in the future. 
Mark Soendjojo, age 21, is a junior majoring in Civil Engineering Structures and                         
Construction at Stanford University. Mark is from Temple City, a suburb near Los                         
Angeles, where he was inspired by the development of various construction                     
projects, like the build-out of the light-rail Metro Gold Line. He is particularly                         
interested in private-public partnerships and transportation infrastructure, as he                 
has worked on the Rental Car Center with the San Diego International Airport.                         
He will be pursuing a master’s at Stanford.  
Christina Zhou, age 22, is a master’s student majoring in Environmental                     
Engineering and Science at Stanford University. Christina hails from Port                   
Washington, New York and has long been passionate about environmental issues,                     
especially environmental justice, policy, and water resources. She is especially                   
interested in sustainable solutions with powerful socio-economic benefits, such                 
as affordability through energy efficiency and the role of vegetation to improve                       
urban air quality and filter stormwater. 
Fotios Spartinos, age 25, is a master’s student in Environmental Fluid mechanics                       
and Hydrology in the department of Civil Engineering at Stanford University.                     
Fotios is from Agrinio, in Western Greece. He acquired his diploma in Civil                         
Engineering from the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki. He is mainly interested                     
in civil infrastructure development and managing risk for such systems and the                       
numerical modeling of flows. In the past, he has been an intern for the                           
Department of Works of the municipality of his home town.  
Hailey Lang, age 24, is a master’s student in Urban and Regional Planning at San                             
Jose State University. A Stockton native, Hailey has always been interested in                       
the development of her community and has completed a multi-year study of her                         
own investigating the relationship between the foreclosure crisis and crime                   
within Stockton. She is active in academic conferences, and recently won the                       
best MA/MS student paper competition at the Association of Pacific Coast                     
Geographers annual conference where she presented her research titled, “The                   
Foreclosure and Crime Burden within Stockton, California”. She also interns with                     
the City of Stockton Planning Department. 
Rok Perme, age 21, is a master student of architecture at the University of                           
Ljubljana. He grew up and attained elementary and high school in Ljubljana,                       
where he is now continuing his university education. Besides architecture he is                       
interested in construction, real estate development and finance. In the school                     
year 2015/2016 he is going to study in Muenchen, Germany as an exchange                         
student. He played football (soccer) for 10 years on a high level, before he                           
started studying.  
Martin Valinger Sluga, age 20, is an undergraduate student in Urbanism on the                         
Faculty of Architecture at the University of Ljubljana, Slovenia. After applying                     
to the university, Martin instantly found himself in the various disciplines of                       
urban planning. He is particularly interested in sustainable urban development                   
and design. Urban research and revitalization in relation to connected                   
socio-economic factors are important to him as well. He is attending a student’s                         
exchange in the Netherlands in September and will pursue a master's in Urban                         
Design in a foreign country the following year. 
 
Matjaž Dolenc, age 25, graduated from Ljubljana University in 2014 with a                       
Bachelor’s degree in Business and Economics and is currently attending the                     
university for a Master’s degree in International Business. In 2012 and 2013, he                         
participated in a student project which created a new regional development                     
strategy for the Nova Gorica region in Slovenia, focusing on developing                     
entrepreneurship, tourism and regional collaboration. From 2013 to 2014, he                   
was a member of Ustvarjalnik, an initiative aimed at helping creative students                       
develop their ideas, where he led entrepreneurship clubs at high schools in Nova                         
Gorica, Slovenia. 
Črt Jaklič, age 23, is a masters student in architecture at the University of                           
Ljubljana. Črt, a Mirna Peč native, now lives and studies in Ljubljana. He has a                             
special affection for numbers, which resulted in various prizes at mathematical                     
competitions in high school. Now he is deepening his interest in residential and                         
public buildings and is preparing for his master’s thesis about primary schools. In                         
his free time he enjoys hanging with friends, playing basketball, and sleeping.  
Matija Kuzman, age 23, is a masters student in architecture at the University of                           
Ljubljana. He has lived in Ljubljana since birth and is now thinking about going                           
abroad. His first destination is Istanbul, where he will study architecture at the                         
Istanbul technical university next year. He is interested in architecture as well                       
as urban design and interior design, and has yet to fully determine his career.                           
His second interest is music; he has been playing in different bands and                         
orchestras his whole life. He travels a lot and is interested in various cultures,                           
especially different genres of music that emerged in every larger culture.  
Andrej Slemenjak, age 22, graduated from University of Ljubljana in Money and                       
Finance. He attended primary and high school and grew up in Velenje, Slovenia.                         
In his early years he was an active scout and trained handball and aikido. Andrej                             
also participated in several international projects, including Euroscola project.                 
Finance has been his great field of interest, but he enjoys in skiing, cycling and                             
reading a good book. Currently, he is working for a business consulting company                         
and a private equity fund.  
Lovro Kajapi is a Croatian student currently studying at the Faculty of                       
Architecture in Ljubljana, majoring in Urbanism.
 
Samantha Konec, age 22, is a master’s student in architecture at the University                         
of Ljubljana. She comes from Tolmin, beautiful small town in Slovenia, and is                         
currently living in Ljubljana but going abroad next year; she wants to finish her                           
studies in Portugal. Beside architecture she is also very interested in product                       
design; her first collection of sunglasses is just on its way to be presented in                             
several optic stores and optic fairs in Milano and Paris. You can find her at                             
different fitness centers teaching aerobics every afternoon, or maybe at some                     
kite surfing spot every few months. Sport is her passion! 
Teodor Hribovšek, age 23, is a master’s student in architecture at the University                         
of Ljubljana. He grew up in the alpine town of Kamnik. Soon he continued high                             
school in Ljubljana where he attained classical education, including Latin and                     
philosophy. It’s also when he showed keen interest in art and languages. Even                         
though he followed his passion for architecture, he’s currently fluent in 3                       
foreign languages. Later he studied abroad in Madrid and furthered interest in                       
design and architectural composition. He would like to promote simple solutions                     
and sustainable development to solve even the most complex problems and                     
hopes to do so throughout his career.  
Žiga Hudournik, age 22, is a master’s student majoring in Bank and Financial                         
Management, attending the Double Degree Program at the University of                   
Ljubljana. His Bachelor studies include experiences from BI Norwegian Business                   
School, a prestigious Triple Crown institution, where he plans on returning to                       
finish his Master’s thesis. Žiga is currently employed as an analyst for a regional                           
private equity fund and is also actively involved in startups. In 2013 through                         
2014 he co-led the creation of a development strategy for the newly established                         
Slovenian municipality of Ankaran. In 2010 he led the Slovenian Euroscuola                     
project congregation in the European Parliament. He has served as the Slovenian                       
industry representative for a EU-funded environmental cluster co-op project. He                   
was a national champion competitive swimmer for over 10 years and still enjoys                         
swimming as well as sailing, scuba diving, skiing and tinkering with his old-timer                         
Jaguar. 
 
 
   
INDUSTRY REVITALIZATION 
 
INTRODUCTION  
 
The main goal of the Industry Revitalization team was to identify 5 industries to which                             
Stockton has the most to offer and which could be positioned in the South Stockton area.                               
Due to the highly segmented nature of one of the industries, the choices were later on                               
limited to 3 recommendations. 
  
The industries are strategically selected with regard to the resources, natural and                       
otherwise, locally available. After the preliminary listing of industries, a detailed analysis,                       
presented in Deliverable 3, was conducted into the internal incentives and external factors                         
said industries find conducive. This entailed an overview of the current, potential, and                         
required incentives and accounts for the external factors within the framework of PESTEL                         
analysis.  
 
The aforementioned findings have been compiled and presented in a SWOT analysis format.                         
Using the PESTEL framework an analysis was conducted of the macroeconomic factors                       
affecting Stockton. This was then applied to the selection process for compatible industries                         
in which industries were assessed. The industries were evaluated based on their fit in the                             
South Stockton area. A matrix presenting mutually beneficial externalities was compiled to                       
showcase the synergistic influences of the industries and the City with an emphasis on                           
South Stockton. This matrix was presented in Deliverable 3 and formed the basis for final                             
selection of the 3 industries. Urban plans and models have been constructed in order to                             
best cater to the needs of these industries; this point is crucial for the success of the                                 
project, as by far the greatest asset of the City is the land, which it can provide to                                   
potential investors in a fiscally attractive environment. 
 
Below we present the final 3 industry recommendations. These are assessed in terms of                           
business environment, labour force and investment needs. A cursory environmental impact                     
analysis is also included with each recommendation. Finally, we present a 10-year                       
forecasting model for the growth of the selected industries as a means of showcasing the                             
long-term economic benefits the aforementioned industries can bring to Stockton. 
FOOD PROCESSING 
 
Development strategy 
What to produce? Choosing the exact area in the food processing industry, where the city                             
expects to achieve the highest results - the proximity of agricultural goods, along with the                             
favorable climate, allows wide choice when deciding on the precise area of food processing                           
to start the industry development in.  
Market Research and Business Planning: Examine whether there is a market for the                         
product, obtaining ideas for fine-tuning of the product, decide how to distribute, price and                           
promote your product; gather information on the industry, competitors and customers. 
Business Insurance, Regulations and Food Safety: Pay attention to the regulations and                       
requirements that are related to the area of food processing industry and more specifically                           
to the exact field of interest. 
Manufacturing Strategies: Decide on the various factors, including construction or rental                     
cost, customer location, material availability, trucking access and zoning, production                   
processes and procedures, etc. 
Marketing: In the first place, work on marketing strategy for the industry zone that will be                               
developed in the city. Clustering brings many benefits to all the companies involved, and                           
making connections between them is relevant for the development of both industry and the                           
geographical area. Once the industry is established, promoting activities that will bring the                         
products and their features closer to the public are needed. 
Distribution: Use the benefits the city’s position provides to the industry; investigating                       
prospective buyers, determining customer needs and desires, demonstrating how your                   
product meets customer needs, and making the sale and following up. 
 
Regulations and licensing 
The US food system is regulated by numerous federal, state and local officials. At the                             
federal level, The Food and Drug Administration publishes the Food Code, which is a model                             
set of guidelines and procedures that assists food control jurisdictions by providing a                         
scientifically sound technical and legal basis for regulating the retail and foodservice                       
industries. The Food Code is then used by regulatory agencies to develop or update food                             
safety rules. There are 15 agencies sharing oversight responsibilities in the food safety                         
system, although the two primary agencies are the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)                         
Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS), which is responsible for the safety of meat,                           
poultry, and processed egg products, and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), which is                           
responsible for virtually all other foods. The Food Safety and Inspection Service has                         
approximately 7,800 inspection program personnel working in nearly 6,200 federally                   
inspected meat, poultry and processed egg establishments.  
Besides the regulations on federal level, a number of U.S. states also have their own                             
regulations and codes; meat inspection programs for example, which substitute for USDA                       
inspection for meats that are sold only in-state. Certain state programs have been criticized                           
for undue leniency to bad practices. However, other state food safety programs                       
supplement, rather than replace, Federal inspections, generally with the goal of increasing                       
consumer confidence in the state's produce. In addition to the US Food and Drug                           
Administration, several states that are major producers of fresh fruits and vegetables                       
(including California, Arizona and Florida) have their own state programs to test produce                         
for pesticide residues. California has its own food codes that must be considered prior to                             
any engagement in the industry. 
 
Employment  
In 2011, the U.S. food and beverage manufacturing sector employed about 1.5 million                         
people, or just over 1 percent of all U.S. nonfarm employment. In almost 30,000 food                             
manufacturing plants (as of 2007) located throughout the country, these 1.5 million workers                         
were engaged in transforming raw agricultural materials into products for intermediate or                       
final consumption. Meat and poultry plants employed the largest percentage of food and                         
beverage manufacturing workers, followed by bakeries, and fruit and vegetable processing                     
plants. (USDA, 2012) As food processing is still a relatively labor-consuming industry, there                         
might be many career opportunities for locals. Processes tend to be less automatized,                         
leading the industry to demand more highly educated professional profiles for their                       
workers. 
Within the food processing industry, there are different processes and procedures that are                         
to be respected, and that are related to the specific field of processing (for example,                             
processing almonds differs significantly from the procedures that are to be used when the                           
dairy products are concerned). Due to these differences, the number of workers and their                           
professional profiles vary as well. In general, we can expect every middle size factory in the                               
industry that would be located in this industrial area to employ 100-250 people. 
 
Industry size and value 
The US food industry represents around 16.5 million jobs, and the population spends around                           
$1 trillion per year on food products. In total, food manufacturing accounts for 14% of all                               
U.S. manufacturing employees. 
 
Investments  
The size and frequency of investments made in the food processing industry vary in                           
dependability of the exact industry concerned (for example, Blue Diamond invested                     
$31.78m in the equipment for the plant on 36.5 ha land related to almonds processing,                             
providing approximately 300 jobs, directly and directly; due to more complicated                     
procedures and regulations, the investments of similar size in dairy industry are almost 1.5                           
times bigger, etc. ) 
 
Environmental effects 
The two major environmental issues concerning food processing plants are wastewater and                       
solid waste. Because wastewater generation is the industry’s biggest area of concern, new                         
clean technologies focus on source reduction, recycling and reuse of wastewater. The need                         
for an effective water treatment system is therefore a must. Another problem is the                           
discharge of large amounts of water; for example, one medium-sized plant can have a                           
major effect on local water supply and surface water quality. Large food-processing plants                         
will typically use more than 1,000,000 gallons of potable water per day.  
The quantity of solid waste varies by the type of food the industry produces, from rinds,                               
seeds and skins in the fruit/vegetable industry to the fats and acids in the dairy industry.                               
The most effective method to preserve the environment and reduce the disposal costs is to                             
decrease the volume of waste material and by-products generated in the process. Common                         
source reduction methods employed at most plants include improving good housekeeping                     
practices, making process modifications, substituting more environmentally friendly raw                 
materials, and segregating waste streams. If source reduction is not a viable solution,                         
1
alternatives such as using the food by-product as an animal feed or composting it should be                               
used. The newest legislations are stipulating the presence of small recycling plants within                         
the industrial zones, such as ReConserve Inc. in the southern (industrial) part of Stockton,                           
specialized for the solid organic waste that the nearby plants produce.  
The food processing factories should also follow the major technological innovations in the                         
industry, including those in clean technologies and processes. Clean technologies are                     
1
For more details, see http://www.unido.org/fileadmin/import/32129_25PollutionfromFoodProcessing.7.pdf ; useful
also for examining ways of environmental protection.
defined as "manufacturing processes or product technologies that reduce pollution or                     
waste, energy use, or material use in comparison to the technologies that they replace."   
2
 
Clean technologies include: 
● Advanced Wastewater Treatment Practices – use of wastewater technologies beyond   
conventional secondary treatment, 
● Improved Packaging – use of less excessive and more environmentally friendly                     
packaging products, 
● Improved Sensors and Process Control – use of advanced techniques to control                       
specific portions of the manufacturing process to reduce wastes and increase                     
productivity, 
● Water and Wastewater Reduction (Closed Loop/Zero Emission Systems) – reduction                   
or total elimination of effluent from the manufacturing process.   
3
Because the food processing industry has special concerns about the health and safety of                           
the consumer, clean technologies are already being widely used. To run an environmentally                         
friendly plant, the presentation of the technological solutions to the potentially established                       
companies in South Stockton would be necessary as it would it be to inform them about                               
their future possibilities. The city and their partners would have to exercise a strict control                             
over the plants and the companies would have to carry out these regulations consistently. 
 
Differentiation 
For certain products in food processing industry, California and San Joaquin county have the                           
the positive origin effect that can be evoked. For example, the world’s most famous and                             
most dominant nuts (especially almonds and walnuts) come from this region. Furthermore,                       
the citrus fruits are some of the world’s most succulent. 
“Know how” is present as well, due to the long tradition of excellence in the field of                                 
agriculture and food industry in the state. Different professional profiles and education –                         
having long experience in the activities related to the agriculture and food processing                         
(directly or indirectly) make the Stockton area rich in experts, or at least experienced and                             
knowledgeable locals. 
Affordable workforce: unlike many cities nearby, Stockton can offer a workforce whose                       
prices enable investors to be competitive in the market. Numerous food processing                       
companies are present in the state of California. The potential industry located in Stockton                           
would be able to offer companies:  
2
http://www.sustainabletable.org/869/impacts-of-industrial-agriculture
3
http://www.unido.org/fileadmin/import/32129_25PollutionfromFoodProcessing.7.pdf
Good location: important for both transportation and distribution, and for quality of inputs;                         
connection to major state roads (not only land ones; port and airport are located in the city                                 
as well, and they have the capacity to accommodate such undertakings). 
Proximity of inputs: as the top 3 most important characteristics needed for successful                         
establishment of industry in a certain area. 
 
TIRE RECYCLING 
 
Tires are not desired at landfills, due to their large volumes and 75% void space, which                               
quickly consumes valuable space. Tires can trap methane gases, causing them to become       
                 
buoyant, or bubble to the surface. This ‘bubbling’ effect can damage landfill liners that                           
have been installed to help keep landfill contaminants from polluting local surface and                         
groundwater. California recycles almost 90% of all waste tires. The vast majority of the                           
tires are processed for further use, also for export to Vietnam, Indonesia, and China where                             
they are used as a fuel in their thermal power plants. The process of recycling (which is                                 
divided in several sub-categories) is being done in special facilities where tires are                         
shredded, stamped or cut. 
 
Industry overview 
 
The industry shows great dynamics. The number of facilities involved in export shifts                         
rapidly; some of existing facilities ceased operations, while others are expanding them. 
  
Waste tires can be processed in several different ways, for: 
● export: waste tires and processed TDF (tire derived fuel) 
● reuse: retread 
● ground rubber: paving, athletic fields, loose-fill play/ bark/ mulch 
● ADC (alternative daily cover) 
● civil engineering: landfill applications 
● landfill disposal 
● TDF 
   
  
 
The graph above shows waste tire end-use trends by broad market category since 2002. In                             
recent years, rapid and unprecedented growth in exports of tires to Pacific Rim nations was                             
largely responsible for boosting the overall diversion rate beyond the 72-75 percent level                         
(where it had hovered for more than 10 years). The decline in diversion in 2013 was also                                 
due in part to a drop in sales of crumb rubber produced from California tires of about 25                                   
percent, caused by competitive pressures and soft markets, exacerbated by lingering                     
impacts from the collection revenue decline and tire supply shifts caused by the export                           
surge. 
  
Supply and demand balance 
 
California has a large, dynamic infrastructure for collecting and processing waste tires. In                         
2013, the vast majority of tires generated in California flowed to one of 14 processors or to                                 
one of four exporter facilities (i.e., facilities that primarily or exclusively ship baled or                           
shred tires overseas). While export demand softened somewhat for a time in 2013 and                           
crumb rubber sales were down, overall competition for whole tires remained strong and                         
was apparently increasing again in 2014. Some established processors continue to be                       
severely impacted by the trend, with lower volumes and profitability. 
  
It should also be noted that a number of developers are investigating the potential to                             
establish new facilities in California that could use significant quantities of                     
California-generated waste tires for crumb rubber production, pyrolysis, and other types of                       
processes and technologies. So far, none of these proposed or discussed facilities has                         
materialized on a commercial scale. However, if one were to be sited and compete for                             
tires, it could have a significant impact on the supply-demand balance and could negatively                           
affect existing firms involved in managing California scrap tires in terms of access to tires,                             
collection revenues, and competition for sales. Given the current strong demand for                       
California tires, such a venture would likely require attractive pricing to secure an                         
adequate feedstock supply, which can be achieved through the grant program. 
  
Tire Incentive Program (TIP)  
 
The TIP is focused on promoting feedstock conversion and market expansion by providing                         
payments of 10 cents per pound to manufacturers of established products that increase                         
sales, 20 cents per pound for manufacturers shifting feedstock from virgin rubber to crumb                           
rubber for at least 5 percent of feedstock needs, and 20 cents per pound for manufacturers                               
of compound plastic-rubber products (or other combinations of materials) or those using                       
fine crumb rubber of 50 mesh or greater mesh size. This can result in a combined incentive                                 
of up to 40 cents per pound to select manufacturers. 
  
What would the industry bring to Stockton? 
 
The industry would turn one of the Stockton’s brownfields into their recycling facility and                           
would enhance the overall look of the city. Through operating activities there are expected                           
capital inflows to the city, which will also collect tax from industry’s revenue and other                             
activities. Tire recycling would boost people’s perception of the importance of recycling                       
and will decrease unemployment. One million invested in tire recycling facility creates, on                         
average, 6 jobs. Thus, the median income will increase and create, through the job                           
multiplier effect, other businesses, such as restaurants nearby. Tire recycling offers great                       
synergies with the logistics. It may also be upgraded to tire manufacturing as described                           
later. 
  
  
 
This is how a typical tire recycling facility looks like from inside. Man on the picture is                                 
loading the shredded tires. 
What would Stockton bring to the industry? 
 
Stockton offers perfect positioning for such an industry due to its traffic connections. It also                             
has access to a deep-water port, so TDF and other products can be transported to Asia with                                 
more competitive prices. Stockton also offers land that is currently completely unused. As                         
it is described in the document, the perfect location for such a facility has already been                               
selected based on numerous parameters such as proximity of residential objects, traffic                       
connections, and others. One of the most important factors is workforce. Tire recycling                         
demands relatively unskilled workers and some with basic knowledge of operating heavy                       
and light machinery. 
 
Tire manufacturing  
 
A possible alternative or even upgrade from tire recycling is tire manufacturing. The                         
demand of tires in the US was at 288 million units in 2013 (market size of ca. $40 billion), of                                       
which 152 million units were imported. The industry is very competitive, with the four                           
biggest companies (Dunlop, Firestone, Michelin, Goodyear) having a market share of 83%.                       
Future projections suggest there will be a strong demand of tires in the next years, mostly                               
due to the recovery of American automobile industry. Some tire makers have already taken                           
into account future trends and invested heavily in the new production facilities in the US                             
which can be seen in the graph below. 
  
 
 
New investments in tire manufacturing from 2012 - 2013 
  
  
The top states by daily production are Oklahoma (89k), South Carolina (84k), North Carolina                           
(73,2k), Alabama (46,8k), and Mississippi (42k). 
 
Stockton may have a huge competitive advantage in tire supplying, having in mind there are                             
13 million automobiles registered in California. Also, Stockton’s unique location allows                     
export of tires to the west coast of Canada, Japan and Australia with lower costs and more                                 
competitive prices. 
 
The US produces mostly tires for trucks, buses and off-road vehicles, which are, due to                             
their dimensions, more difficult to ship, but can be sold at the higher margins,                           
compensating the relatively expensive domestic workforce. A typical manufacturing facility                   
with 1,000 employees produces 16,000 tires daily. Much like the tire recycling, tire                         
manufacturing offers important synergies with logistics, too.  
 
 
Environmental effects 
 
Due to the large volume produced, tires that are no longer suitable for use on vehicles are                                 
among the largest and most problematic sources of waste in the world today. Although 42                             
states in U.S. regulate the disposal of tires to some degree, discarded tires still present a                               
serious environmental concern. From ca. 5 million tire waste that is generated annually,                         
only 35 percent of rubber from these tires is recycled. This means tons of tire waste goes                                 
into already overcrowded landfills that are still being tolerated by the majority of states.                           
Due to the fact that tires contain a number of components that are ecologically                           
problematic, toxin release is the second major problem. Toxins, heavy metals and oils that                           
are released from decomposition, incineration or fire can pollute the groundwater, air and                         
soil. To avoid these, each site should be individually assessed determining if the shredding                           
is appropriate for given conditions. Another problem which doesn't necessarily reflect as an                         
environmental but more of a health issue, is the fact that waste tires can become a                               
breeding ground for pests (e.g. mosquitoes).   
Tire shredding and the production of scrap tires is therefore the most environmentally safe                           
solution in disposal of worn-out tires. Tire scraps can be used in a number of productive                               
applications, such as tire-derived fuel, civil engineering applications and ground rubber                     
applications. Due to the unpleasant smell of shredded rubber, the tire shredding plant                         
4
should be located in the suitable industrial zone. Another regulation for this kind of industry                             
is the presence of a “dumping ground” or warehouse with sufficient ventilation, the                         
capacity of which is suitable to the quantity of tire scrap the plant produces. A sufficient                               
logistics center and transportation system for the regular removal of material is essential. 
 
LOGISTICS 
 
The logistics industry is a key element of the modern economy and its importance is set to                                 
increase as globalization continues and trade increases. It is a highly location-specific                       
industry and is very competitive in the United States, yet companies on the logistics market                             
have access to the world’s largest consumer market.  
 
The industry is divided into many subsectors:  
● logistics services 
● air and express delivery services 
● freight rail 
● maritime 
● trucking 
   
Industry size and value 
 
The U.S. logistics and transportation spending totaled $1.35 trillion in 2013, and                       
represented 8.5 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP). While many businesses                       
perform this function in-house, others do not; instead, they outsource it to third-party                         
logistics (3PL) businesses. This subsector represented 10.6 percent of the industry in 2013                         
and has been steadily growing in recent years; market size has increased from $127.3 billion                             
in 2010 to $146.4 billion in 2013. 
 
4
http://www.epa.gov/waste/scrap_tires
Investment 
 
Investments in the industry vary in size significantly; they can range from a small                           
warehouse unit to a large distribution center worth hundreds of millions of dollars. There                           
have recently been logistics investments nearby. In Tracy, Amazon recently opened a 1                         
million sq. ft. fulfillment center, creating over 1500 jobs. On average, a $1 million dollar                             
investment in the industry generates 3.8 jobs. The type of investment most suited to                           
Stockton is a distribution center or warehousing facilities. However, as clustering is                       
beneficial to the development of the involved companies and results in a faster growth                           
rate, attempting to achieve this in Stockton would be advisable. 
 
 
Regulation 
 
The logistics industry in the United States is regulated in a similar manner as throughout the                               
developed world. There are many regulations applying to the transportation of goods and                         
the transportation sector in general, from hours of service limits to shipping container                         
sizes. Customs procedures also have a high impact on the logistics industry in terms of                             
international trade. 
 
 
What would Stockton bring to the industry? 
 
Choosing the right location is key when planning logistic centers. Stockton’s location is                         
ideally suited for logistics; it is close to fast-growing large population centers such as the                             
Bay Area and Greater Sacramento, it has relatively inexpensive and adequate land, it has                           
excellent access to highways and railways, with intermodal yards, a deep-water port and an                           
airport. The Central Valley’s suitability for logistics operations has not gone unnoticed;                       
logistics jobs have been steadily shifting there from the Bay Area, primarily due to lower                             
costs. The annual warehouse operating costs in Stockton are estimated at $18.5 million,                         
which compares favorably with Bay Area locations such as Richmond ($21.6 million) and                         
Oakland ($20.6 million). The main advantage Stockton has in comparison with other Central                         
Valley cities is its deep-water port, which other cities in the area lack. Another important                             
factor is the workforce. Logistics companies have a need to employ a range of diverse                             
profiles; however, a large share of jobs in the logistics industry require little to no                             
experience.
 
What would the industry bring to Stockton? 
 
Besides filling vacant lots and increasing economic activity, the industry would decrease                       
unemployment, as locals can fill most of the new job positions, also increasing median                           
incomes in the city. The Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates employment in the area of                             
logistics may increase by 21.9 percent between 2012 and 2022, with 27,600 new jobs                           
added. The employment characteristics of the logistics industry make it especially suitable                       
for Stockton. Logistics companies have a need to employ a range of diverse profiles,                           
blue-collar and white-collar workers alike. For example, a distribution center requires                     
skilled managers but also warehousing staff such as material handlers; positions, which                       
have low job requirements, where no specialized skills or special licenses and certifications                         
are necessary. As Stockton has a relatively less educated workforce than the California                         
average, this represents an opportunity to increase the income of the most at-risk members                           
of the community. 
 
New jobs in the logistics industry would also create new jobs elsewhere in the city economy                               
due to the job multiplier effect, from suppliers, subcontractors to the services sector,                         
which would benefit from an increased disposable income. Altogether, one new logistics job                         
results in 3.47 new jobs elsewhere in the economy. While a $1 million investment generates                             
on average 3.8 direct jobs, due to the job multiplier effect, 13.2 other jobs are also                               
created in the economy. Furthermore, as operational experience is valued in the field and                           
many companies promote from within, the resulting increased career opportunities for                     
lower-paid workers also positively affect the local community. 
 
There is a long-term trend towards the creation of more high-skilled jobs in the logistics                             
industry, especially as companies start to make better use of information systems and apply                           
technological innovations to warehouse management and delivery systems. This represents                   
a unique opportunity for Stockton, should the proposed California State University campus                       
come to fruition, as the university could help the city provide a high-skilled workforce for                             
the industry in the long run through cooperation, the development of relevant study courses                           
and specialized logistics training. 
 
Environmental effects 
Environmental requirements and industry regulations among developed countries don’t                 
differ much one from another, so the environmental effect has been overlooked from the                           
point of developed countries as investment countries.  
The issue with the environmental effects of FDI (foreign direct investment) is the transfer                           
of polluting industries and dividing those into positive and negative effects.                     
Correspondingly, the standards for the formation of environmental effects should be split                       
into two specific areas, where environmental standards influence the capital inflow among                       
countries, and pollution industries of high standard areas invest to slightly lower standard                         
areas, which contribute to transferred pollution. 
There are many different impacts of the logistics industry on the environment. Firstly,                         
there is an impact while occupying land due to transport and storage, such as                           
transportation access, site, ground and material storage transportation and handling                   
facilities. Goods transportation consumes fuel the same as transport and storage                     
equipment. Material consumption and processing waste due to reverse logistics is also                       
problematic. All of these generate waste on different levels. There is also the possibility of                             
production loss and waste due to distribution processing. The way to fix these issues is                             
introduction to advanced logistics technology. This includes promotion of development of                     
green logistics, making efficient forward logistics and smooth reverse logistics in order to                         
form a positive environmental impact of the whole logistics process. 
 
 
INDUSTRY GROWTH FORECAST 
 
In order to present the long-term economic benefit of the selected industries to the City, a                               
projection of growth was computed with regard to relevant revenue and cost drivers of                           
each of the industries. Results in the form of yearly growth figures are summarized in the                               
graph below. 
Food processing 
 
A dominant part of the proposed food processing industry is almond and other nut                           
production, of which over 70% of the world’s total output is produced in California and                             
shipped globally, the proxy for the primary revenue driver is world GDP growth. Costs of the                               
industry are mostly dependant on input prices of raw material; these were proxied by                           
traded futures contracts on orange juice and almonds. 
 
Projected growth closely follows the world GDP forecast and is expected to average                         
between 3.5% and 4%. 
Tire recycling 
 
Due to low procurement costs and plentiful supply the main growth drivers in this industry                             
are revenue based. Since the vast majority of revenue in this industry is created – directly                               
or indirectly - through sales to the Chinese energy market, the base proxy for revenue                             
growth used is the Chinese energy demand chain index. This is further adjusted for                           
petroleum fuel prices to account for transport costs in the form of crude oil price forecasts.                               
Chinese industrial ecological legislature is also taken into account to control for emission                         
regulation constraints.  
The industry is characterised by high potential growth, which is set to increase in the first                               
5-year period, driven by the prevailing energy demand growth factor. In the second 5-year                           
period the growth starts to taper off with the energy demand index due to lower Chinese                               
economy growth rates and further augmented with implantation of emission control                     
regulations. 
Logistics 
The logistics industry presents significant revenue as well as cost driver effects. As in most                             
service industries, revenues are heavily dependant on current economic activity in the                       
relevant market. For this reason the primary revenue driver proxy is real US GDP growth.                             
The primary cost driver in the logistics industry is the cost of fuel. As such the proxy chosen                                   
is real US petroleum price growth, which is itself highly correlated with the price of crude                               
oil. 
Growth in this industry is highly correlated with real US GDP growth as is stated above and                                 
is as such expected to remain in the 2% to 3% range for the forecasting period. 
INDUSTRIES LOCATIONS 
 
 
Industries locations in South Stockton 
 
The implementation of selected key industries in South Stockton was made upon: 
● existing land use (General Plan of Stockton), 
● location of existing nearby industries, 
● location of existing industries in Stockton with similar program, 
● public transport/cycling accessibility, 
● spatial needs of industry, 
● transportation requirements, 
● technology requirements, 
● agricultural preservation limitations, 
● South Stockton Land Use Strategy (mentioned later), etc. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Market research 
 
Although the above mentioned factors are those upon which the relevant selection should                         
be made, the selection is of purely informative nature and for the purpose of the project.                               
Selected sites can only serve as a direct referential case. Due to limited sources, land value                               
of vacant lots, the cost of taxes and market value in the future were the only relevant                                 
factors that were not taken into account entirely. The research was based on the                           
assumption that the city would offer the vacant lots they own (to potential investors and                             
buyers) for low purchase price or "pro bono". Low industrial property taxes and work costs                             
would aid to the willingness of investors to purchase this kind of land and the benefit from                                 
the city's point of view would be the revitalization of brownfields and other degraded                           
industrial sites.  
To include the above mentioned factors, a broader and more detailed research has to be                             
made. This would create a relevant and more accurate financial plan. Within the context of                             
our project this was not possible, so we compared the value of selected parcels to those                               
industrial lands in South Stockton that are currently on market, to try to appraise the                             
approximate value of lands. From the below table we can conclude that the prices for                             
vacant lots are extremely variable and can differ depending on their location, surrounding                         
environment, property type and the valuation of appraiser. The growth of land values is not                             
necessary proportional with the size of the parcel. 
 
Location  Area  Land Value 
3817 Farmington Rd.  4 ha  $ 650,000 
2025 E Weber Ave.  5 ha  $ 975,500 
Airport Way & Sperry Rd.  6 ha  $ 1,250,000 
715 W 8th St.  7,5 ha  $ 1,750,000 
4100 S Highway 99  9 ha  $ 2,100,000 
Airport Way & Zephyr St.  12,5 ha  $ 2,000,000 
3158 Acres El Pinal Dr.  14,5 ha  $ 2,300,000 
Land value for different vacant lots in South stockton (source: http://www.landandfarm.com) 
SOUTH STOCKTON LAND USE STRATEGY 
 
Directions of land use development 
The aforementioned industries and their locations were also selected based upon a                       
strategy, which would bring more systematic and judicious development in pursuit of more                         
coherent and heterogeneous land use.  
The development of the three main land uses in the city (residential, commercial,                         
industrial) would focus on infill, revitalization and mixed use, avoiding segregation of                       
program and low-density area. Commercial development would be concentrated along                   
three city major paths, connecting the city's southern part and downtown, while providing a                           
break through industry zone on the south (for possible future residential development).                       
Residential land use development would concentrate on the future connections between                     
certain neighborhoods providing a more compact shape, while the industry development                     
would concentrate on continuation of the outlined direction, but at the same time allowing                           
potential residential development on the degraded sites. The long red vector between the                         
two industrial (blue) vectors on the south is the area of Airport Way. Currently the area                               
intersects with industrial land use in the south, but in the further development we would                             
combine the two separated industrial areas with a commercial longitudinal line in between                         
them. This would also benefit the nearby residential part to have more areas of mixed use                               
as the opposite of the already existing singular use sites. The industrial parts would                           
continue to develop to the southwest of South Stockton, along the main railway in the south                               
and towards main port, thus creating the space for the development of the residential sites                             
inside the existing boundaries. These would be intersected by the commercial use roads and                           
streets. 
The strategy could be developed in a real development plan of South Stockton as actual                             
mapping of several regions' growing boundaries. The plan would show detailed typological                       
examples of how to efficiently develop new factories within the area and would analyze the                             
benefits of this to the overall city land use. Collaboration and correspondence with the                           
present and future work of Stockton’s Planning Commision, Economic Development                   
Commission and Planning Staff would be crucial to create an effective and comprehensive                         
strategy. 
CSU STUDY PROGRAMMES 
 
During the fourth phase of our project, members of the Industry Revitalization team                         
considered the idea of connecting with the CSU team (see later section), creating several                           
study and educational programs which the CSU could offer the students. These programs                         
would serve as a direct connection with the proposed industries and would be designed in a                               
way that students from CSU would be most suitable for the jobs. Graduated students would                             
have a chance to be employed by one of the companies that would establish itself in the                                 
city or would be offered a working experience during the course of the study. 
There are several benefits of this kind of collaboration. Firstly, apart from the jobs in the                               
industries which would employ the majority of workforce with lower education (eg.                       
manufacturing), industries would also generate jobs which would demand a personnel with                       
higher (or technical) education. Higher paid jobs would also be beneficial for the industries                           
and the city itself, considering the benefits of the aforementioned "Job Multiplier Effect".                         
Another benefit of collaboration would be the employment of young personnel from city's                         
own student base (county, city or local area), thus benefiting the city's demographic and                           
educational parameters.  
Suitable professions for proposed industries: 
● Information Technology, 
● Logistics, 
● Operational Management, 
● Business administration, 
● Environmental Research, 
● Food Technology, 
● Biotechnology, 
● Agricultural technology, etc 
ENVIRONMENTAL RESILIENCY 
 
OVERVIEW 
 
Of the measures in Stockton’s Climate Action Plan, projected voluntary residential energy                       
efficiency savings account for 30-32% of total local reductions. This is both a daunting                           
challenge and an enormous opportunity to reduce energy bills, improve comfort/health,                     
and encourage clean energy jobs. Many inefficient homes are located in South Stockton,                         
simply as a result of the old housing stock, providing a unique opportunity to address many                               
issues while tackling Stockton’s climate goals. 
In this section, a simplified model home will present savings values that make sense to                             
people per home rather than per city. Additionally, funding and financing options,                       
stakeholder goals and outreach strategies will be discussed. In particular, energy efficient                       
demonstration centers will be reviewed as an approach to improve outreach efforts while                         
serving community needs in a more accessible way, with case studies highlighting notable                         
examples. 
 
 
   
COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT 
 
This work was guided heavily thanks to feedback from the Community Engagement                       
workshop. Attendees cited the poor state of homes, inaccessibility of outreach, disconnect                       
in incentives, inability to pay upfront, and lack of trust as barriers to acting on, or even                                 
caring about energy efficiency to save bills, let alone environmental friendliness. These                       
considerations guided the team’s problem solving approach, and shaped our final proposal.  
 
 
 
MODELLING APPROACH 
 
In order to best illustrate the benefits of improving existing houses in terms of energy                             
efficiency, a “typical” home was modeled. The house was assumed to be built in the 1970’s                               
or earlier, before energy codes were developed, with dimensions and construction typical                       
of a home one might find in South Stockton. While not all homes fall into this category, a                                   
sizeable portion of homes in South Stockton belong to this aging housing stock, with high                             
energy consumption and poor indoor air quality.  
 
Baseline House Dimensions 
Floor Area   1064  square feet 
Ceiling Height  9  feet 
Stories  1   
Window area   143  square feet 
Gross wall area estimate  1468  square feet 
 
 
A reference floorplan from a recently constructed home was used to design the house, and                             
its Title 24 energy performance was compared with the baseline old home and old home                             
with energy saving upgrades.The following energy upgrades were applied to the home                       
individually and in combination with one another, and evaluated in terms of performance                         
and cost effectiveness: 
 
 
 
Measure  Improvement  Construction Cost 
Window film  Windows: R 1 -> R 5  1-2 years 
Air sealing  Infiltration: 1 ACH -> 0.6 ACH  1-2 years 
Insulation  Wall: R5 -> R15 
Roof: R15 -> R40 
1-3 years 
 
For each case, energy performance, cost savings, and construction cost were estimated.                       
The cases above have been chosen in order to illustrate the impact of small changes that                               
can be easily carried out, and their combined impact if all are implemented. As seen in the                                 
chart below, though not all of the following measures are modeled, many are simple to                             
install and/or require very little payback.   
Measure Typical difficulty Typical Payback
Seal small air leaks  Average homeowner  1-2 years 
Insulate water heater  Average homeowner  1-2 years 
Energy-saving showerhead  Average homeowner  1-3 years 
Seal large air leaks Skilled homeowner 1-2 years
Seal ducts  Skilled homeowner  1-2 years 
Thermostat  Skilled homeowner  1-2 years 
Heating tune-up  Expert technician  1-3 years 
Ceiling Insulation Skilled homeowner 3-7 years5
 
5
https://www.xcelenergy.com/staticfiles/xe/Marketing/Files/SmartEnergyGuide.pdf
RESULTS 
As expected, many of the improvements we tested were reasonably priced with significant                         
energy savings without too much additional cost. Simply by applying these three measures                       
alone, without changing any appliances or lights, about 30% energy savings are possible. A                           
new house, on the other hand, uses about half of the energy that the old house uses with                                   
additional low-cost measures, such as water heater insulation/maintenance, thermostat                 
controls, energy saving showerheads, radiant barriers, and duct sealing.   
One key finding evident from these figures is the significance of labor costs relative to                             
material costs. With the exception of window film, the majority of costs in all cases was                               
the labor component. This is especially true for sealing leaks, which has an extremely low                             
material cost. 
 
Energy Assistance Programs 
Name  Sponsor  Benefits  Requirements 
San Joaquin 
County 
Weatherizati
on Program 
San 
Joaquin 
County 
Human 
Services 
Agency 
Free weatherizations - 
measures include 
insulation, repairs, 
improved appliances, 
etc. 
A member of the household 
receives temporary Aid for Needy 
Families (TANF), Food Stamps, SSI 
or SSP, Veterans and Survivors 
Pension or if the household income 
does not exceed a certain amount  
http://www.benefits.gov/benefits
/benefit-details/1844 
Energy 
Savings 
Assistance 
Program 
PG&E  Repair or replacement 
of refrigerators, 
furnaces or water 
heaters, insulation/ 
caulking, lighting, 
showerheads, etc 
Home 5 years or older, meets CARE 
guidelines 
http://goo.gl/8zvcu3 
Valid through May 2015 
Energy 
Upgrade 
California - 
whole house  
PG&E  Up to $2500 in rebates  PG&E Customers with single family 
homes  
Choose measures from a menu of 
options  
Appliance 
rebates  
PG&E  Depends on the 
appliance 
Purchase of Energy Star or 
approved appliance 
 
Energy Efficiency Financing Options 
Program type    Pro  Con 
PACE (HERO, Figtree)  Approved in Stockton 
No upfront cost- pay with additional 
property taxes 
Vetted contractors (3 in Stockton) 
Choice of payback (5/10/15/20 years) 
Higher property 
tax bills  
Must pay property 
tax (ineligible to 
renters) 
On-bill financing  No upfront cost - pay using portion of 
energy savings 
Financing can stay with the property 
Not available 
Risk for utility if 
bills are not paid 
Loan (i.e. from the 
Golden State Finance 
Authority) 
Up to $50,000 financing, 6.5% interest for 
15 yr loan 
Partner with approved contractor 
Only one Stockton 
based contractor 
No flexibility for 
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)
Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)

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Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Report)

  • 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY    INTRODUCTION    We are the Global Urban Development Program: Stockton team, an international                      partnership of undergraduate and graduate students of different academic and geographic                      backgrounds. Our goal is to develop thoughtful and strategic solutions to revitalize South                          Stockton in partnership with the City of Stockton Planning Commission, Councilmember                      Michael Tubbs, and the Reinvent South Stockton Coalition (RSSC).  Our Project is structured into four phases: two phases of Research and two of Design. Our                                first two phases developed a comprehensive understanding of South Stockton’s current                      conditions, identifying areas of strength, opportunities for development, weaknesses, and                    threats to progress, and established target goals to quantifiably measure the success of our                            design proposals.   The second two phases focused on carving out said design proposals. This Final Design                            deliverable provides an understanding of Stockton’s site conditions, our approach to                      designing for said conditions, and the proposals we have selected which we believe                          contribute to accomplishing our established goals.     RESEARCH PROCESS    We started our research phase with Deliverable 1, Draft Research, in which we tried to                              identify key conditions and systemic challenges in Stockton. The work was distributed                        among team members, which were divided into 5 research groups, each covering one of the                              main topics in the city: Economic, Political/Legal, Cultural/Social, Environmental and                    Urban. Conclusions based on the aforementioned analysis were gathered in a SWOT Analysis                          (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats). In Deliverable 2, Final Research, we                    refined our research to identify the most important target goals using SWOT and PESTEL                            Analysis. We focused more specifically on the current work of the RSSC and tried to come                                up with quantifiable goals in several Quality-of-Life indicators of the city: Place, Movement,                          Environment, Health & Safety, Community, Housing and Economic Development. Target                    goals were given feasible timescales (immediate, short-term, long-term) and were used as a                          basis for selecting design projects in the next phase. 
  • 4.     DESIGN PROCESS    For the design phase of the project, we split up into four different teams in order to better                                    address specific issues: Industry Revitalization, Environmental Resiliency, Airport Way, and                    CSU Stockton. The two “macro” level teams focused on industry revitalization and                        environmental infrastructure/energy efficiency on a larger scale encompassing South                  Stockton, while the “micro” level teams worked towards designing specific uses for empty                          lots on Airport Way and planning for a potential CSU in South Stockton. Team members split                                up based on interest, with 3-6 people in each. Rather than working specifically within our                              disciplines, we used systems thinking, human-centered design, and holistic problem solving                      to better understand and attempt to tackle deeply rooted problems. By doing so, we heard                              from community members whose voices may have been unheard through a traditional                        approach, and tackled problems from a variety of angles, from zoning to an outreach plan.                              As team members were spread across Stanford, Stockton, and Ljubljana, meetings were                        held online and utilized collaborative tools like Google Drive and Bluejeans Conferencing. 
  • 5. COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT    Coming up with solutions for Stockton required that each team do extensive research, but                            at the same time, we knew that in order to understand the whole picture, we needed to                                  ask the opinion of the people who actually lived in Stockton. Our community engagement                            activity was coordinated with the RSSC and was held on February 7, 2015. We wanted it to                                  be a session in which the citizens could offer their ideas and solutions for the problems we                                  were researching and act as a sounding board for any ideas we might have. One concern                                was to make sure that the activity did not just end up with us lecturing about problems the                                    city faces, but to encourage an open dialogue with the residents. The first half of the                                activity was a general discussion, in which three teams (Airport Way, Energy Efficiency, and                            CSU Stockton) each presented their topic and asked a question that everyone answered on                            sticky notes and discussed for a few minutes. After all the topics were introduced, all the                                participants introduced themselves. Then, the large group broke into smaller groups, and                        the participants were told to join the topic they were most passionate about. For the next                                45 minutes, participants talked about the specific topic they joined, and were also free to                              move around to other topics. All the participants stuck with their topics the whole time,                              and each of the teams got valuable ideas and feedback from the citizens. Factoring in the                                perspective of the citizens is important in making sure that our solutions meet community                            needs and are not just purely utilitarian solutions. Their input is taken into account in our                                proposals for each of the topics.     Community engagement activity in South Stockton on February 7th, 2015. 
  • 6. INDUSTRY REVITALIZATION    The main goal of the Industry Revitalization team is to identify 3 industries to which                              Stockton has the most to offer and which could be positioned in the South Stockton area.                                The industries are strategically selected with regard to the resources, natural and                        otherwise, locally available. After the selection of industries, a detailed analysis was                        conducted into the internal incentives and external factors said industries find conducive.                        This entailed an overview of the current, potential, and required incentives and accounts                          for the external factors within the framework of PESTEL analysis. Urban and architectural                          plans and models were constructed in order to best cater to the needs of the industries;                                this point is crucial for the success of the project, as by far the greatest asset of the City is                                        the land which it can provide to potential investors in a fiscally attractive environment.   Using the PESTEL framework an analysis was conducted of the macroeconomic factors                        affecting Stockton. This was then applied to the selection process for compatible industries                          in which industries were assessed. The industries were evaluated based on their fit in the                              South Stockton area. A matrix presenting mutually beneficial externalities was compiled to                        showcase the synergistic influences of the industries and the City with an emphasis on                            South Stockton.      Rendering of proposed industrial development for South Stockton. 
  • 7. ENVIRONMENTAL RESILIENCY    The Environmental Resiliency team focused on energy efficiency modeling and program                      analysis in support of Stockton’s Climate Action Plan. To this end, an easily comprehensible                            “typical home” energy model was generated to demonstrate the current standards of a                          house typically encountered in South Stockton. The next step was to propose improvements                          that would make it comply with the standards imposed by regulations. Benefits of the                            improvements were quantified in terms of the average annual household electricity bill.                        The main goal was to create a program that would aim to find the capital required to                                  implement the changes proposed, in a way that would be financially sustainable and better                            meet stakeholder needs. In particular, the needs of South Stockton residents, many of                          whom have a low or moderate income. They would benefit from alterations to their homes                              with a small initial investment in terms of savings in energy costs and higher quality of life.    During the community engagement, the team recognized deeply rooted problems such as                        unhealthy landlord/renter relationships, old housing stock, and budget constraints. As a                      result, working to improve home energy use in a way that benefits traditionally underserved                            communities requires rigorous and comprehensive problem solving. Key points discussed                    include lack of awareness of available resources, distrust, and the need for better-designed                          incentives. The implementation plan included a discussion of who the stakeholders are and                          what role they might play, existing outreach strategy, incentive programs, and funding in                          order to tackle some of the main concerns and challenges voiced at the community                            engagement. One idea to improve energy efficiency engagement involved retrofitting an old                        home into a demonstration center, bundling other services such as subsidized materials for                          home improvement, meeting spaces, community garden, etc.       Possible home retrofit packages for an energy efficiency program in South Stockton.
  • 8. AIRPORT WAY   The Airport Way team focused on the vacant lots along South Stockton’s Airport Way, which                              many community members have described as a potential neighborhood center which is                        currently severely underdeveloped. The goals of the team were to reduce the number of                            vacant lots over the course of the next twenty years, to make the street safer for                                pedestrians and bicyclists, to increase the use of bikes and public transportation, to find                            options for financing the development, and to bring jobs to the area.  Some potential programs the team considered were recreation areas for sports and                        afterschool activities, a public garden with adjoining market and restaurant, a grocery                        store, an after school activities center, a public park, a shared tool shed, and overall street                                infrastructure redesign.  The team gathered information needed to produce designs on key plots, made the program                            list, consulted with local firm WMB Architects about zoning and building regulations, and                          participated in the community engagement session.      Rendering of proposed community center on Airport Way in South Stockton. 
  • 9. CSU STOCKTON    The CSU Stockton team focused on the need for a public university in Stockton. To that                                end, they examined the California Public State University system as a whole, determined                          the financial feasibility of a CSU Stockton, and used CSU Stanislaus as a model to calculate                                necessary factors, such as the optimal square footage for the campus. The team chose two                              potential sites that seem the most realistic for a potential CSU institution: one along MLK /                                Highway 99, as seen below, and one in North Stockton.   The team worked on individual projects such as engineering and design of the CSU, energy                              analysis of the campus buildings, financial feasibility and funding, and potential                      programs/courses that would meet the needs of the city and its economy. The team also                              looked at public relations to advocate for CSU Stockton. This preliminary analysis will                          hopefully serve as a stepping stone for the current bill under discussion in the California                              State Assembly.       Proposed master plan for CSU Stockton on site in South Stockton.   
  • 10. TEAM MEMBERS    Organizers  Derek Ouyang, age 23, graduated from Stanford University in 2013 with dual                        Bachelor’s in Civil Engineering and Architectural Design, and will return in the                        fall for a Master’s in Structural Engineering. He co-created the Global Urban                        Development Program in 2012. He was project manager of Stanford’s first-ever                      entry to the U.S. DOE’s 2013 Solar Decathlon and has been featured as an                            up-and-coming architect in the Los Angeles Times, in Home Energy magazine’s                      “30 under 30”, and at TEDxStanford.  Sinan Mihelčič, age 32, graduated from Ljubljana University in Architectural                    Design. He co-created the Global Urban Development Program in 2012, both                      exploring digital collaboration tools in urban planning and architectural design.                    He established Skupina Štajn in 2008, an emerging young architectural studio in                        Kamnik, Slovenia. He is a technical assistant in architectural and urban planning                        studios at the Faculty of Architecture in Ljubljana, as well as a mentor to the                              AEC class at Stanford.  Klemen Kušar, age 28, graduated from Ljubljana University in 2012 in                      Architectural design and in 2013 in Economics. In 2010 he was an exchange                          student at Aalborg University and attended a summer workshop for the renewal                        of favela Dona Marta in Rio de Janeiro. He participated in the Global Urban                            Development Program in 2012. In 2008 and 2010 he was awarded 1st and 2nd                            place in the Isover Multi-Comfort House Design, and in 2012 was awarded the                          University of Ljubljana Prešeren Prize for his master’s thesis about public                      participation in the process of gentrification of urban sprawl. He is author of                          several articles regarding this matter.  Faculty Advisors  John Barton received his BA and M. Arch degrees from U.C. Berkeley. He worked                            at a number of Bay Area firms before founding Barton Architect in 1990. John has                              taught design and architecture at U.C. Berkeley, Cañada College, San Jose State                        University and is currently the Director of the Architectural Design Program at                        Stanford University. John enjoys cooking, playing lacrosse, and reading good                    literature and history. He likes Saturdays when the Cal Bears play football.   Glenn Katz is an instructor in the Civil & Environmental Engineering Department                        at Stanford University. He specializes in BIM education and was an AEC educator                          for Autodesk. He is the primary advisor for the Global Urban Development                        Program.  Andreja Cirman, PhD, is Associate Professor at the Department of Money and                        Finance at the University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Economics (FELU) in Slovenia.                        For six years she had served as associate dean for academic affairs at FELU and                              since 2011 she serves as FELU MBA program director. Her main fields of expertise                            in research and teaching are housing, real estate and public finance. 
  • 11. Mentors  Mikko Tuovinen, age 28, graduated from the UEF with M.Sc (“Master  of EU law”) degree. He is passionate about EU, energy, climate and competition                          policies, and he is a substitute Member of the Municipal Council of Liperi                          (Finland) and a substitute Member of the Technical Committee of Liperi. Mikko                        has held also other positions of trust and chaired many associations, primarily in                          Finland, and is doing an internship at the Court of Justice of the European Union.                              His role in GUDP is to help with anything related to public relations.  Rob Best, age 26, is a Ph.D candidate in Sustainable Design and Construction                          program of the Civil and Environmental Engineering department at Stanford                    University. His research focuses on network planning, integration, and                  optimization of urban infrastructure systems. He has a B.S. in Engineering from                        Harvey Mudd College and an M.S. in Civil and Environmental Engineering from                        Stanford. He was the Design and Construction Manager for the Stanford Solar                        Decathlon Team, a student-driven project to build a net-zero energy home. Rob                        is also the Projects and Education Director for Engineers for a Sustainable World,                          a U.S. based nonprofit that advances project-based learning and knowledge                    sharing on sustainability and engineering nationwide.  Dimitris Farmakis, age 29, graduated from Stanford University in 2012 with an                        M.S. degree in Civil & Environmental Engineering (previous degrees in Business                      and Operations Research). He participated with the Stanford team and took the                        1st place in the 24th Annual ASC Construction Management competition.                    Passionate about BIM and green architecture, after Stanford he founded his                      startup in Greece offering BIM consulting services and participated as a speaker                        in Design, Green Building and TEDx conferences in Greece. He occasionally                      teaches remotely at Stanford’s BIM courses as a guest instructor, and works in                          parallel with a Silicon Valley startup on developing the world’s first BIM based                          automated construction scheduler.  Tina Vilfan, age 29, is writing her thesis on revitalisation of old town cores                            through temporary usage of space at the Ljubljana Faculty of Architecture. She                        has been working as an architect at Techline projekt d.o.o. for 5 years and has                              constructed, managed and built projects. For the past year she has been living in                            Copenhagen, Denmark where she worked at We Architecture and collaborated on                      several open architectural competitions. She joined the team with participation                    in the Global Urban Design Course in 2012.  Naseem Alizadeh was born in 1975 and completed a Bachelor of Architecture at                          Cornell University (1998) and a Master of Architecture in Urban Design at Harvard                          University (2002). Her practice, Bureau for Architecture and Urbanism, was                    established in the year 2009. Development and design of environmentally                    responsible spaces, buildings, and products is the philosophy of Bureau for                      Architecture and Urbanism. 
  • 12. City Partners Michael Tubbs was elected in 2012 as the youngest City Councilmember in                        Stockton's history and one of the youngest elected officials in the nation. He                          represents the 6th District of the City of Stockton, the district he grew up in.   Forrest Ebbs serves as the Planning Director for the City of Stockton, overseeing                          all current and advanced planning efforts, managing the Planning and                    Engineering Division staff, and creating new opportunities for hope and                    prosperity for the City of Stockton.  Fred is the Administrator for STAND, a 25-year-old South Stockton neighborhood                      based nonprofit that works on Community Policing, Affordable Housing and                    Neighborhood Activities. Fred has studied and worked in international and                    community development for 38 years. Many like to believe that poverty and                        crime causes blighted neighborhoods. Wrong. The true cause is municipal neglect                      in the form of weak code enforcement, absent legal action against slumlords,                        and lack of public investment in housing in these areas. Our mission is to reverse                              this decline.  Lange Luntao is the Youth Advisor for the Reinvent South Stockton Coalition and                          a college sociology teacher at Aspire Langston Hughes Academy in Stockton. The                        former Field Director of Councilmember Tubbs' successful campaign for City                    Council, he is an active supporter of civic and youth engagement efforts in his                            hometown of Stockton.  Melanie Vieux is a principal architect at WMB Architects. She received her BArch                          in 1992 from the California Polytechnic State University at San Luis Obispo,                        California. She is working on the First Credit Union project in South Stockton.  Doug Davis is a principal architect at WMB Architects. He received his BArch in                            1997 from the California Polytechnic State University at San Luis Obispo,                      California. He is working on the First Credit Union project in South Stockton. 
  • 13. Students    Marveliz Santos, age 21, is a senior majoring in Environmental Systems                      Engineering at Stanford University. Having moved from the Dominican Republic                    to New York City as a child, Marv was inspired by the difference of her two                                homes to study the relationship between the built environment, the natural                      environment, and the communities that live within them. She hopes to bring                        some of the lessons learned working for NYC’s Department of Buildings and                        California’s Coastal Commission back to the Dominican Republic.    Natalie Gonzalez, age 22, is a senior majoring in Architectural Design at                        Stanford University. Natalie was born and raised in the Colorado Rockies, which                        inspired her love of nature and desire to establish a more symbiotic relationship                          between humans and the earth. Next year she will continue her studies at                          Stanford through the Sustainable Design and Construction masters program and                    hopes to establish a sustainable, intentional community in the future.  Mark Soendjojo, age 21, is a junior majoring in Civil Engineering Structures and                          Construction at Stanford University. Mark is from Temple City, a suburb near Los                          Angeles, where he was inspired by the development of various construction                      projects, like the build-out of the light-rail Metro Gold Line. He is particularly                          interested in private-public partnerships and transportation infrastructure, as he                  has worked on the Rental Car Center with the San Diego International Airport.                          He will be pursuing a master’s at Stanford.   Christina Zhou, age 22, is a master’s student majoring in Environmental                      Engineering and Science at Stanford University. Christina hails from Port                    Washington, New York and has long been passionate about environmental issues,                      especially environmental justice, policy, and water resources. She is especially                    interested in sustainable solutions with powerful socio-economic benefits, such                  as affordability through energy efficiency and the role of vegetation to improve                        urban air quality and filter stormwater.  Fotios Spartinos, age 25, is a master’s student in Environmental Fluid mechanics                        and Hydrology in the department of Civil Engineering at Stanford University.                      Fotios is from Agrinio, in Western Greece. He acquired his diploma in Civil                          Engineering from the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki. He is mainly interested                      in civil infrastructure development and managing risk for such systems and the                        numerical modeling of flows. In the past, he has been an intern for the                            Department of Works of the municipality of his home town.   Hailey Lang, age 24, is a master’s student in Urban and Regional Planning at San                              Jose State University. A Stockton native, Hailey has always been interested in                        the development of her community and has completed a multi-year study of her                          own investigating the relationship between the foreclosure crisis and crime                    within Stockton. She is active in academic conferences, and recently won the                        best MA/MS student paper competition at the Association of Pacific Coast                      Geographers annual conference where she presented her research titled, “The                    Foreclosure and Crime Burden within Stockton, California”. She also interns with                      the City of Stockton Planning Department. 
  • 14. Rok Perme, age 21, is a master student of architecture at the University of                            Ljubljana. He grew up and attained elementary and high school in Ljubljana,                        where he is now continuing his university education. Besides architecture he is                        interested in construction, real estate development and finance. In the school                      year 2015/2016 he is going to study in Muenchen, Germany as an exchange                          student. He played football (soccer) for 10 years on a high level, before he                            started studying.   Martin Valinger Sluga, age 20, is an undergraduate student in Urbanism on the                          Faculty of Architecture at the University of Ljubljana, Slovenia. After applying                      to the university, Martin instantly found himself in the various disciplines of                        urban planning. He is particularly interested in sustainable urban development                    and design. Urban research and revitalization in relation to connected                    socio-economic factors are important to him as well. He is attending a student’s                          exchange in the Netherlands in September and will pursue a master's in Urban                          Design in a foreign country the following year.    Matjaž Dolenc, age 25, graduated from Ljubljana University in 2014 with a                        Bachelor’s degree in Business and Economics and is currently attending the                      university for a Master’s degree in International Business. In 2012 and 2013, he                          participated in a student project which created a new regional development                      strategy for the Nova Gorica region in Slovenia, focusing on developing                      entrepreneurship, tourism and regional collaboration. From 2013 to 2014, he                    was a member of Ustvarjalnik, an initiative aimed at helping creative students                        develop their ideas, where he led entrepreneurship clubs at high schools in Nova                          Gorica, Slovenia.  Črt Jaklič, age 23, is a masters student in architecture at the University of                            Ljubljana. Črt, a Mirna Peč native, now lives and studies in Ljubljana. He has a                              special affection for numbers, which resulted in various prizes at mathematical                      competitions in high school. Now he is deepening his interest in residential and                          public buildings and is preparing for his master’s thesis about primary schools. In                          his free time he enjoys hanging with friends, playing basketball, and sleeping.   Matija Kuzman, age 23, is a masters student in architecture at the University of                            Ljubljana. He has lived in Ljubljana since birth and is now thinking about going                            abroad. His first destination is Istanbul, where he will study architecture at the                          Istanbul technical university next year. He is interested in architecture as well                        as urban design and interior design, and has yet to fully determine his career.                            His second interest is music; he has been playing in different bands and                          orchestras his whole life. He travels a lot and is interested in various cultures,                            especially different genres of music that emerged in every larger culture.   Andrej Slemenjak, age 22, graduated from University of Ljubljana in Money and                        Finance. He attended primary and high school and grew up in Velenje, Slovenia.                          In his early years he was an active scout and trained handball and aikido. Andrej                              also participated in several international projects, including Euroscola project.                  Finance has been his great field of interest, but he enjoys in skiing, cycling and                              reading a good book. Currently, he is working for a business consulting company                          and a private equity fund.  
  • 15. Lovro Kajapi is a Croatian student currently studying at the Faculty of                        Architecture in Ljubljana, majoring in Urbanism.   Samantha Konec, age 22, is a master’s student in architecture at the University                          of Ljubljana. She comes from Tolmin, beautiful small town in Slovenia, and is                          currently living in Ljubljana but going abroad next year; she wants to finish her                            studies in Portugal. Beside architecture she is also very interested in product                        design; her first collection of sunglasses is just on its way to be presented in                              several optic stores and optic fairs in Milano and Paris. You can find her at                              different fitness centers teaching aerobics every afternoon, or maybe at some                      kite surfing spot every few months. Sport is her passion!  Teodor Hribovšek, age 23, is a master’s student in architecture at the University                          of Ljubljana. He grew up in the alpine town of Kamnik. Soon he continued high                              school in Ljubljana where he attained classical education, including Latin and                      philosophy. It’s also when he showed keen interest in art and languages. Even                          though he followed his passion for architecture, he’s currently fluent in 3                        foreign languages. Later he studied abroad in Madrid and furthered interest in                        design and architectural composition. He would like to promote simple solutions                      and sustainable development to solve even the most complex problems and                      hopes to do so throughout his career.   Žiga Hudournik, age 22, is a master’s student majoring in Bank and Financial                          Management, attending the Double Degree Program at the University of                    Ljubljana. His Bachelor studies include experiences from BI Norwegian Business                    School, a prestigious Triple Crown institution, where he plans on returning to                        finish his Master’s thesis. Žiga is currently employed as an analyst for a regional                            private equity fund and is also actively involved in startups. In 2013 through                          2014 he co-led the creation of a development strategy for the newly established                          Slovenian municipality of Ankaran. In 2010 he led the Slovenian Euroscuola                      project congregation in the European Parliament. He has served as the Slovenian                        industry representative for a EU-funded environmental cluster co-op project. He                    was a national champion competitive swimmer for over 10 years and still enjoys                          swimming as well as sailing, scuba diving, skiing and tinkering with his old-timer                          Jaguar.         
  • 16. INDUSTRY REVITALIZATION    INTRODUCTION     The main goal of the Industry Revitalization team was to identify 5 industries to which                              Stockton has the most to offer and which could be positioned in the South Stockton area.                                Due to the highly segmented nature of one of the industries, the choices were later on                                limited to 3 recommendations.     The industries are strategically selected with regard to the resources, natural and                        otherwise, locally available. After the preliminary listing of industries, a detailed analysis,                        presented in Deliverable 3, was conducted into the internal incentives and external factors                          said industries find conducive. This entailed an overview of the current, potential, and                          required incentives and accounts for the external factors within the framework of PESTEL                          analysis.     The aforementioned findings have been compiled and presented in a SWOT analysis format.                          Using the PESTEL framework an analysis was conducted of the macroeconomic factors                        affecting Stockton. This was then applied to the selection process for compatible industries                          in which industries were assessed. The industries were evaluated based on their fit in the                              South Stockton area. A matrix presenting mutually beneficial externalities was compiled to                        showcase the synergistic influences of the industries and the City with an emphasis on                            South Stockton. This matrix was presented in Deliverable 3 and formed the basis for final                              selection of the 3 industries. Urban plans and models have been constructed in order to                              best cater to the needs of these industries; this point is crucial for the success of the                                  project, as by far the greatest asset of the City is the land, which it can provide to                                    potential investors in a fiscally attractive environment.    Below we present the final 3 industry recommendations. These are assessed in terms of                            business environment, labour force and investment needs. A cursory environmental impact                      analysis is also included with each recommendation. Finally, we present a 10-year                        forecasting model for the growth of the selected industries as a means of showcasing the                              long-term economic benefits the aforementioned industries can bring to Stockton. 
  • 17. FOOD PROCESSING    Development strategy  What to produce? Choosing the exact area in the food processing industry, where the city                              expects to achieve the highest results - the proximity of agricultural goods, along with the                              favorable climate, allows wide choice when deciding on the precise area of food processing                            to start the industry development in.   Market Research and Business Planning: Examine whether there is a market for the                          product, obtaining ideas for fine-tuning of the product, decide how to distribute, price and                            promote your product; gather information on the industry, competitors and customers.  Business Insurance, Regulations and Food Safety: Pay attention to the regulations and                        requirements that are related to the area of food processing industry and more specifically                            to the exact field of interest.  Manufacturing Strategies: Decide on the various factors, including construction or rental                      cost, customer location, material availability, trucking access and zoning, production                    processes and procedures, etc.  Marketing: In the first place, work on marketing strategy for the industry zone that will be                                developed in the city. Clustering brings many benefits to all the companies involved, and                            making connections between them is relevant for the development of both industry and the                            geographical area. Once the industry is established, promoting activities that will bring the                          products and their features closer to the public are needed.  Distribution: Use the benefits the city’s position provides to the industry; investigating                        prospective buyers, determining customer needs and desires, demonstrating how your                    product meets customer needs, and making the sale and following up.    Regulations and licensing  The US food system is regulated by numerous federal, state and local officials. At the                              federal level, The Food and Drug Administration publishes the Food Code, which is a model                              set of guidelines and procedures that assists food control jurisdictions by providing a                          scientifically sound technical and legal basis for regulating the retail and foodservice                        industries. The Food Code is then used by regulatory agencies to develop or update food                              safety rules. There are 15 agencies sharing oversight responsibilities in the food safety                          system, although the two primary agencies are the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)                          Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS), which is responsible for the safety of meat,                           
  • 18. poultry, and processed egg products, and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), which is                            responsible for virtually all other foods. The Food Safety and Inspection Service has                          approximately 7,800 inspection program personnel working in nearly 6,200 federally                    inspected meat, poultry and processed egg establishments.   Besides the regulations on federal level, a number of U.S. states also have their own                              regulations and codes; meat inspection programs for example, which substitute for USDA                        inspection for meats that are sold only in-state. Certain state programs have been criticized                            for undue leniency to bad practices. However, other state food safety programs                        supplement, rather than replace, Federal inspections, generally with the goal of increasing                        consumer confidence in the state's produce. In addition to the US Food and Drug                            Administration, several states that are major producers of fresh fruits and vegetables                        (including California, Arizona and Florida) have their own state programs to test produce                          for pesticide residues. California has its own food codes that must be considered prior to                              any engagement in the industry.    Employment   In 2011, the U.S. food and beverage manufacturing sector employed about 1.5 million                          people, or just over 1 percent of all U.S. nonfarm employment. In almost 30,000 food                              manufacturing plants (as of 2007) located throughout the country, these 1.5 million workers                          were engaged in transforming raw agricultural materials into products for intermediate or                        final consumption. Meat and poultry plants employed the largest percentage of food and                          beverage manufacturing workers, followed by bakeries, and fruit and vegetable processing                      plants. (USDA, 2012) As food processing is still a relatively labor-consuming industry, there                          might be many career opportunities for locals. Processes tend to be less automatized,                          leading the industry to demand more highly educated professional profiles for their                        workers.  Within the food processing industry, there are different processes and procedures that are                          to be respected, and that are related to the specific field of processing (for example,                              processing almonds differs significantly from the procedures that are to be used when the                            dairy products are concerned). Due to these differences, the number of workers and their                            professional profiles vary as well. In general, we can expect every middle size factory in the                                industry that would be located in this industrial area to employ 100-250 people.   
  • 19. Industry size and value  The US food industry represents around 16.5 million jobs, and the population spends around                            $1 trillion per year on food products. In total, food manufacturing accounts for 14% of all                                U.S. manufacturing employees.    Investments   The size and frequency of investments made in the food processing industry vary in                            dependability of the exact industry concerned (for example, Blue Diamond invested                      $31.78m in the equipment for the plant on 36.5 ha land related to almonds processing,                              providing approximately 300 jobs, directly and directly; due to more complicated                      procedures and regulations, the investments of similar size in dairy industry are almost 1.5                            times bigger, etc. )    Environmental effects  The two major environmental issues concerning food processing plants are wastewater and                        solid waste. Because wastewater generation is the industry’s biggest area of concern, new                          clean technologies focus on source reduction, recycling and reuse of wastewater. The need                          for an effective water treatment system is therefore a must. Another problem is the                            discharge of large amounts of water; for example, one medium-sized plant can have a                            major effect on local water supply and surface water quality. Large food-processing plants                          will typically use more than 1,000,000 gallons of potable water per day.   The quantity of solid waste varies by the type of food the industry produces, from rinds,                                seeds and skins in the fruit/vegetable industry to the fats and acids in the dairy industry.                                The most effective method to preserve the environment and reduce the disposal costs is to                              decrease the volume of waste material and by-products generated in the process. Common                          source reduction methods employed at most plants include improving good housekeeping                      practices, making process modifications, substituting more environmentally friendly raw                  materials, and segregating waste streams. If source reduction is not a viable solution,                          1 alternatives such as using the food by-product as an animal feed or composting it should be                                used. The newest legislations are stipulating the presence of small recycling plants within                          the industrial zones, such as ReConserve Inc. in the southern (industrial) part of Stockton,                            specialized for the solid organic waste that the nearby plants produce.   The food processing factories should also follow the major technological innovations in the                          industry, including those in clean technologies and processes. Clean technologies are                      1 For more details, see http://www.unido.org/fileadmin/import/32129_25PollutionfromFoodProcessing.7.pdf ; useful also for examining ways of environmental protection.
  • 20. defined as "manufacturing processes or product technologies that reduce pollution or                      waste, energy use, or material use in comparison to the technologies that they replace."    2   Clean technologies include:  ● Advanced Wastewater Treatment Practices – use of wastewater technologies beyond    conventional secondary treatment,  ● Improved Packaging – use of less excessive and more environmentally friendly                      packaging products,  ● Improved Sensors and Process Control – use of advanced techniques to control                        specific portions of the manufacturing process to reduce wastes and increase                      productivity,  ● Water and Wastewater Reduction (Closed Loop/Zero Emission Systems) – reduction                    or total elimination of effluent from the manufacturing process.    3 Because the food processing industry has special concerns about the health and safety of                            the consumer, clean technologies are already being widely used. To run an environmentally                          friendly plant, the presentation of the technological solutions to the potentially established                        companies in South Stockton would be necessary as it would it be to inform them about                                their future possibilities. The city and their partners would have to exercise a strict control                              over the plants and the companies would have to carry out these regulations consistently.    Differentiation  For certain products in food processing industry, California and San Joaquin county have the                            the positive origin effect that can be evoked. For example, the world’s most famous and                              most dominant nuts (especially almonds and walnuts) come from this region. Furthermore,                        the citrus fruits are some of the world’s most succulent.  “Know how” is present as well, due to the long tradition of excellence in the field of                                  agriculture and food industry in the state. Different professional profiles and education –                          having long experience in the activities related to the agriculture and food processing                          (directly or indirectly) make the Stockton area rich in experts, or at least experienced and                              knowledgeable locals.  Affordable workforce: unlike many cities nearby, Stockton can offer a workforce whose                        prices enable investors to be competitive in the market. Numerous food processing                        companies are present in the state of California. The potential industry located in Stockton                            would be able to offer companies:   2 http://www.sustainabletable.org/869/impacts-of-industrial-agriculture 3 http://www.unido.org/fileadmin/import/32129_25PollutionfromFoodProcessing.7.pdf
  • 21. Good location: important for both transportation and distribution, and for quality of inputs;                          connection to major state roads (not only land ones; port and airport are located in the city                                  as well, and they have the capacity to accommodate such undertakings).  Proximity of inputs: as the top 3 most important characteristics needed for successful                          establishment of industry in a certain area.    TIRE RECYCLING    Tires are not desired at landfills, due to their large volumes and 75% void space, which                                quickly consumes valuable space. Tires can trap methane gases, causing them to become                          buoyant, or bubble to the surface. This ‘bubbling’ effect can damage landfill liners that                            have been installed to help keep landfill contaminants from polluting local surface and                          groundwater. California recycles almost 90% of all waste tires. The vast majority of the                            tires are processed for further use, also for export to Vietnam, Indonesia, and China where                              they are used as a fuel in their thermal power plants. The process of recycling (which is                                  divided in several sub-categories) is being done in special facilities where tires are                          shredded, stamped or cut.    Industry overview    The industry shows great dynamics. The number of facilities involved in export shifts                          rapidly; some of existing facilities ceased operations, while others are expanding them.     Waste tires can be processed in several different ways, for:  ● export: waste tires and processed TDF (tire derived fuel)  ● reuse: retread  ● ground rubber: paving, athletic fields, loose-fill play/ bark/ mulch  ● ADC (alternative daily cover)  ● civil engineering: landfill applications  ● landfill disposal  ● TDF 
  • 22.          The graph above shows waste tire end-use trends by broad market category since 2002. In                              recent years, rapid and unprecedented growth in exports of tires to Pacific Rim nations was                              largely responsible for boosting the overall diversion rate beyond the 72-75 percent level                          (where it had hovered for more than 10 years). The decline in diversion in 2013 was also                                  due in part to a drop in sales of crumb rubber produced from California tires of about 25                                    percent, caused by competitive pressures and soft markets, exacerbated by lingering                      impacts from the collection revenue decline and tire supply shifts caused by the export                            surge.     Supply and demand balance    California has a large, dynamic infrastructure for collecting and processing waste tires. In                          2013, the vast majority of tires generated in California flowed to one of 14 processors or to                                  one of four exporter facilities (i.e., facilities that primarily or exclusively ship baled or                            shred tires overseas). While export demand softened somewhat for a time in 2013 and                            crumb rubber sales were down, overall competition for whole tires remained strong and                          was apparently increasing again in 2014. Some established processors continue to be                        severely impacted by the trend, with lower volumes and profitability.     It should also be noted that a number of developers are investigating the potential to                              establish new facilities in California that could use significant quantities of                     
  • 23. California-generated waste tires for crumb rubber production, pyrolysis, and other types of                        processes and technologies. So far, none of these proposed or discussed facilities has                          materialized on a commercial scale. However, if one were to be sited and compete for                              tires, it could have a significant impact on the supply-demand balance and could negatively                            affect existing firms involved in managing California scrap tires in terms of access to tires,                              collection revenues, and competition for sales. Given the current strong demand for                        California tires, such a venture would likely require attractive pricing to secure an                          adequate feedstock supply, which can be achieved through the grant program.     Tire Incentive Program (TIP)     The TIP is focused on promoting feedstock conversion and market expansion by providing                          payments of 10 cents per pound to manufacturers of established products that increase                          sales, 20 cents per pound for manufacturers shifting feedstock from virgin rubber to crumb                            rubber for at least 5 percent of feedstock needs, and 20 cents per pound for manufacturers                                of compound plastic-rubber products (or other combinations of materials) or those using                        fine crumb rubber of 50 mesh or greater mesh size. This can result in a combined incentive                                  of up to 40 cents per pound to select manufacturers.     What would the industry bring to Stockton?    The industry would turn one of the Stockton’s brownfields into their recycling facility and                            would enhance the overall look of the city. Through operating activities there are expected                            capital inflows to the city, which will also collect tax from industry’s revenue and other                              activities. Tire recycling would boost people’s perception of the importance of recycling                        and will decrease unemployment. One million invested in tire recycling facility creates, on                          average, 6 jobs. Thus, the median income will increase and create, through the job                            multiplier effect, other businesses, such as restaurants nearby. Tire recycling offers great                        synergies with the logistics. It may also be upgraded to tire manufacturing as described                            later.       
  • 24.   This is how a typical tire recycling facility looks like from inside. Man on the picture is                                  loading the shredded tires.  What would Stockton bring to the industry?    Stockton offers perfect positioning for such an industry due to its traffic connections. It also                              has access to a deep-water port, so TDF and other products can be transported to Asia with                                  more competitive prices. Stockton also offers land that is currently completely unused. As                          it is described in the document, the perfect location for such a facility has already been                                selected based on numerous parameters such as proximity of residential objects, traffic                        connections, and others. One of the most important factors is workforce. Tire recycling                          demands relatively unskilled workers and some with basic knowledge of operating heavy                        and light machinery.    Tire manufacturing     A possible alternative or even upgrade from tire recycling is tire manufacturing. The                          demand of tires in the US was at 288 million units in 2013 (market size of ca. $40 billion), of                                        which 152 million units were imported. The industry is very competitive, with the four                            biggest companies (Dunlop, Firestone, Michelin, Goodyear) having a market share of 83%.                        Future projections suggest there will be a strong demand of tires in the next years, mostly                                due to the recovery of American automobile industry. Some tire makers have already taken                            into account future trends and invested heavily in the new production facilities in the US                              which can be seen in the graph below.    
  • 25.     New investments in tire manufacturing from 2012 - 2013        The top states by daily production are Oklahoma (89k), South Carolina (84k), North Carolina                            (73,2k), Alabama (46,8k), and Mississippi (42k).    Stockton may have a huge competitive advantage in tire supplying, having in mind there are                              13 million automobiles registered in California. Also, Stockton’s unique location allows                      export of tires to the west coast of Canada, Japan and Australia with lower costs and more                                  competitive prices.    The US produces mostly tires for trucks, buses and off-road vehicles, which are, due to                              their dimensions, more difficult to ship, but can be sold at the higher margins,                            compensating the relatively expensive domestic workforce. A typical manufacturing facility                    with 1,000 employees produces 16,000 tires daily. Much like the tire recycling, tire                          manufacturing offers important synergies with logistics, too.       Environmental effects    Due to the large volume produced, tires that are no longer suitable for use on vehicles are                                  among the largest and most problematic sources of waste in the world today. Although 42                              states in U.S. regulate the disposal of tires to some degree, discarded tires still present a                                serious environmental concern. From ca. 5 million tire waste that is generated annually,                          only 35 percent of rubber from these tires is recycled. This means tons of tire waste goes                                  into already overcrowded landfills that are still being tolerated by the majority of states.                            Due to the fact that tires contain a number of components that are ecologically                            problematic, toxin release is the second major problem. Toxins, heavy metals and oils that                            are released from decomposition, incineration or fire can pollute the groundwater, air and                         
  • 26. soil. To avoid these, each site should be individually assessed determining if the shredding                            is appropriate for given conditions. Another problem which doesn't necessarily reflect as an                          environmental but more of a health issue, is the fact that waste tires can become a                                breeding ground for pests (e.g. mosquitoes).    Tire shredding and the production of scrap tires is therefore the most environmentally safe                            solution in disposal of worn-out tires. Tire scraps can be used in a number of productive                                applications, such as tire-derived fuel, civil engineering applications and ground rubber                      applications. Due to the unpleasant smell of shredded rubber, the tire shredding plant                          4 should be located in the suitable industrial zone. Another regulation for this kind of industry                              is the presence of a “dumping ground” or warehouse with sufficient ventilation, the                          capacity of which is suitable to the quantity of tire scrap the plant produces. A sufficient                                logistics center and transportation system for the regular removal of material is essential.    LOGISTICS    The logistics industry is a key element of the modern economy and its importance is set to                                  increase as globalization continues and trade increases. It is a highly location-specific                        industry and is very competitive in the United States, yet companies on the logistics market                              have access to the world’s largest consumer market.     The industry is divided into many subsectors:   ● logistics services  ● air and express delivery services  ● freight rail  ● maritime  ● trucking      Industry size and value    The U.S. logistics and transportation spending totaled $1.35 trillion in 2013, and                        represented 8.5 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP). While many businesses                        perform this function in-house, others do not; instead, they outsource it to third-party                          logistics (3PL) businesses. This subsector represented 10.6 percent of the industry in 2013                          and has been steadily growing in recent years; market size has increased from $127.3 billion                              in 2010 to $146.4 billion in 2013.    4 http://www.epa.gov/waste/scrap_tires
  • 27. Investment    Investments in the industry vary in size significantly; they can range from a small                            warehouse unit to a large distribution center worth hundreds of millions of dollars. There                            have recently been logistics investments nearby. In Tracy, Amazon recently opened a 1                          million sq. ft. fulfillment center, creating over 1500 jobs. On average, a $1 million dollar                              investment in the industry generates 3.8 jobs. The type of investment most suited to                            Stockton is a distribution center or warehousing facilities. However, as clustering is                        beneficial to the development of the involved companies and results in a faster growth                            rate, attempting to achieve this in Stockton would be advisable.      Regulation    The logistics industry in the United States is regulated in a similar manner as throughout the                                developed world. There are many regulations applying to the transportation of goods and                          the transportation sector in general, from hours of service limits to shipping container                          sizes. Customs procedures also have a high impact on the logistics industry in terms of                              international trade.      What would Stockton bring to the industry?    Choosing the right location is key when planning logistic centers. Stockton’s location is                          ideally suited for logistics; it is close to fast-growing large population centers such as the                              Bay Area and Greater Sacramento, it has relatively inexpensive and adequate land, it has                            excellent access to highways and railways, with intermodal yards, a deep-water port and an                            airport. The Central Valley’s suitability for logistics operations has not gone unnoticed;                        logistics jobs have been steadily shifting there from the Bay Area, primarily due to lower                              costs. The annual warehouse operating costs in Stockton are estimated at $18.5 million,                          which compares favorably with Bay Area locations such as Richmond ($21.6 million) and                          Oakland ($20.6 million). The main advantage Stockton has in comparison with other Central                          Valley cities is its deep-water port, which other cities in the area lack. Another important                              factor is the workforce. Logistics companies have a need to employ a range of diverse                              profiles; however, a large share of jobs in the logistics industry require little to no                              experience.  
  • 28. What would the industry bring to Stockton?    Besides filling vacant lots and increasing economic activity, the industry would decrease                        unemployment, as locals can fill most of the new job positions, also increasing median                            incomes in the city. The Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates employment in the area of                              logistics may increase by 21.9 percent between 2012 and 2022, with 27,600 new jobs                            added. The employment characteristics of the logistics industry make it especially suitable                        for Stockton. Logistics companies have a need to employ a range of diverse profiles,                            blue-collar and white-collar workers alike. For example, a distribution center requires                      skilled managers but also warehousing staff such as material handlers; positions, which                        have low job requirements, where no specialized skills or special licenses and certifications                          are necessary. As Stockton has a relatively less educated workforce than the California                          average, this represents an opportunity to increase the income of the most at-risk members                            of the community.    New jobs in the logistics industry would also create new jobs elsewhere in the city economy                                due to the job multiplier effect, from suppliers, subcontractors to the services sector,                          which would benefit from an increased disposable income. Altogether, one new logistics job                          results in 3.47 new jobs elsewhere in the economy. While a $1 million investment generates                              on average 3.8 direct jobs, due to the job multiplier effect, 13.2 other jobs are also                                created in the economy. Furthermore, as operational experience is valued in the field and                            many companies promote from within, the resulting increased career opportunities for                      lower-paid workers also positively affect the local community.    There is a long-term trend towards the creation of more high-skilled jobs in the logistics                              industry, especially as companies start to make better use of information systems and apply                            technological innovations to warehouse management and delivery systems. This represents                    a unique opportunity for Stockton, should the proposed California State University campus                        come to fruition, as the university could help the city provide a high-skilled workforce for                              the industry in the long run through cooperation, the development of relevant study courses                            and specialized logistics training.    Environmental effects  Environmental requirements and industry regulations among developed countries don’t                  differ much one from another, so the environmental effect has been overlooked from the                            point of developed countries as investment countries.   The issue with the environmental effects of FDI (foreign direct investment) is the transfer                            of polluting industries and dividing those into positive and negative effects.                      Correspondingly, the standards for the formation of environmental effects should be split                       
  • 29. into two specific areas, where environmental standards influence the capital inflow among                        countries, and pollution industries of high standard areas invest to slightly lower standard                          areas, which contribute to transferred pollution.  There are many different impacts of the logistics industry on the environment. Firstly,                          there is an impact while occupying land due to transport and storage, such as                            transportation access, site, ground and material storage transportation and handling                    facilities. Goods transportation consumes fuel the same as transport and storage                      equipment. Material consumption and processing waste due to reverse logistics is also                        problematic. All of these generate waste on different levels. There is also the possibility of                              production loss and waste due to distribution processing. The way to fix these issues is                              introduction to advanced logistics technology. This includes promotion of development of                      green logistics, making efficient forward logistics and smooth reverse logistics in order to                          form a positive environmental impact of the whole logistics process.      INDUSTRY GROWTH FORECAST    In order to present the long-term economic benefit of the selected industries to the City, a                                projection of growth was computed with regard to relevant revenue and cost drivers of                            each of the industries. Results in the form of yearly growth figures are summarized in the                                graph below.  Food processing    A dominant part of the proposed food processing industry is almond and other nut                            production, of which over 70% of the world’s total output is produced in California and                              shipped globally, the proxy for the primary revenue driver is world GDP growth. Costs of the                                industry are mostly dependant on input prices of raw material; these were proxied by                            traded futures contracts on orange juice and almonds.    Projected growth closely follows the world GDP forecast and is expected to average                          between 3.5% and 4%.  Tire recycling    Due to low procurement costs and plentiful supply the main growth drivers in this industry                              are revenue based. Since the vast majority of revenue in this industry is created – directly                                or indirectly - through sales to the Chinese energy market, the base proxy for revenue                              growth used is the Chinese energy demand chain index. This is further adjusted for                            petroleum fuel prices to account for transport costs in the form of crude oil price forecasts.                               
  • 30. Chinese industrial ecological legislature is also taken into account to control for emission                          regulation constraints.   The industry is characterised by high potential growth, which is set to increase in the first                                5-year period, driven by the prevailing energy demand growth factor. In the second 5-year                            period the growth starts to taper off with the energy demand index due to lower Chinese                                economy growth rates and further augmented with implantation of emission control                      regulations.  Logistics  The logistics industry presents significant revenue as well as cost driver effects. As in most                              service industries, revenues are heavily dependant on current economic activity in the                        relevant market. For this reason the primary revenue driver proxy is real US GDP growth.                              The primary cost driver in the logistics industry is the cost of fuel. As such the proxy chosen                                    is real US petroleum price growth, which is itself highly correlated with the price of crude                                oil.  Growth in this industry is highly correlated with real US GDP growth as is stated above and                                  is as such expected to remain in the 2% to 3% range for the forecasting period. 
  • 31. INDUSTRIES LOCATIONS      Industries locations in South Stockton    The implementation of selected key industries in South Stockton was made upon:  ● existing land use (General Plan of Stockton),  ● location of existing nearby industries,  ● location of existing industries in Stockton with similar program,  ● public transport/cycling accessibility,  ● spatial needs of industry,  ● transportation requirements,  ● technology requirements,  ● agricultural preservation limitations,  ● South Stockton Land Use Strategy (mentioned later), etc. 
  • 34. Market research    Although the above mentioned factors are those upon which the relevant selection should                          be made, the selection is of purely informative nature and for the purpose of the project.                                Selected sites can only serve as a direct referential case. Due to limited sources, land value                                of vacant lots, the cost of taxes and market value in the future were the only relevant                                  factors that were not taken into account entirely. The research was based on the                            assumption that the city would offer the vacant lots they own (to potential investors and                              buyers) for low purchase price or "pro bono". Low industrial property taxes and work costs                              would aid to the willingness of investors to purchase this kind of land and the benefit from                                  the city's point of view would be the revitalization of brownfields and other degraded                            industrial sites.   To include the above mentioned factors, a broader and more detailed research has to be                              made. This would create a relevant and more accurate financial plan. Within the context of                              our project this was not possible, so we compared the value of selected parcels to those                                industrial lands in South Stockton that are currently on market, to try to appraise the                              approximate value of lands. From the below table we can conclude that the prices for                              vacant lots are extremely variable and can differ depending on their location, surrounding                          environment, property type and the valuation of appraiser. The growth of land values is not                              necessary proportional with the size of the parcel.    Location  Area  Land Value  3817 Farmington Rd.  4 ha  $ 650,000  2025 E Weber Ave.  5 ha  $ 975,500  Airport Way & Sperry Rd.  6 ha  $ 1,250,000  715 W 8th St.  7,5 ha  $ 1,750,000  4100 S Highway 99  9 ha  $ 2,100,000  Airport Way & Zephyr St.  12,5 ha  $ 2,000,000  3158 Acres El Pinal Dr.  14,5 ha  $ 2,300,000  Land value for different vacant lots in South stockton (source: http://www.landandfarm.com) 
  • 35. SOUTH STOCKTON LAND USE STRATEGY    Directions of land use development  The aforementioned industries and their locations were also selected based upon a                        strategy, which would bring more systematic and judicious development in pursuit of more                          coherent and heterogeneous land use.   The development of the three main land uses in the city (residential, commercial,                          industrial) would focus on infill, revitalization and mixed use, avoiding segregation of                        program and low-density area. Commercial development would be concentrated along                    three city major paths, connecting the city's southern part and downtown, while providing a                            break through industry zone on the south (for possible future residential development).                        Residential land use development would concentrate on the future connections between                      certain neighborhoods providing a more compact shape, while the industry development                      would concentrate on continuation of the outlined direction, but at the same time allowing                            potential residential development on the degraded sites. The long red vector between the                          two industrial (blue) vectors on the south is the area of Airport Way. Currently the area                                intersects with industrial land use in the south, but in the further development we would                              combine the two separated industrial areas with a commercial longitudinal line in between                          them. This would also benefit the nearby residential part to have more areas of mixed use                                as the opposite of the already existing singular use sites. The industrial parts would                            continue to develop to the southwest of South Stockton, along the main railway in the south                               
  • 36. and towards main port, thus creating the space for the development of the residential sites                              inside the existing boundaries. These would be intersected by the commercial use roads and                            streets.  The strategy could be developed in a real development plan of South Stockton as actual                              mapping of several regions' growing boundaries. The plan would show detailed typological                        examples of how to efficiently develop new factories within the area and would analyze the                              benefits of this to the overall city land use. Collaboration and correspondence with the                            present and future work of Stockton’s Planning Commision, Economic Development                    Commission and Planning Staff would be crucial to create an effective and comprehensive                          strategy.  CSU STUDY PROGRAMMES    During the fourth phase of our project, members of the Industry Revitalization team                          considered the idea of connecting with the CSU team (see later section), creating several                            study and educational programs which the CSU could offer the students. These programs                          would serve as a direct connection with the proposed industries and would be designed in a                                way that students from CSU would be most suitable for the jobs. Graduated students would                              have a chance to be employed by one of the companies that would establish itself in the                                  city or would be offered a working experience during the course of the study.  There are several benefits of this kind of collaboration. Firstly, apart from the jobs in the                                industries which would employ the majority of workforce with lower education (eg.                        manufacturing), industries would also generate jobs which would demand a personnel with                        higher (or technical) education. Higher paid jobs would also be beneficial for the industries                            and the city itself, considering the benefits of the aforementioned "Job Multiplier Effect".                          Another benefit of collaboration would be the employment of young personnel from city's                          own student base (county, city or local area), thus benefiting the city's demographic and                            educational parameters.   Suitable professions for proposed industries:  ● Information Technology,  ● Logistics,  ● Operational Management,  ● Business administration,  ● Environmental Research,  ● Food Technology,  ● Biotechnology,  ● Agricultural technology, etc 
  • 37. ENVIRONMENTAL RESILIENCY    OVERVIEW    Of the measures in Stockton’s Climate Action Plan, projected voluntary residential energy                        efficiency savings account for 30-32% of total local reductions. This is both a daunting                            challenge and an enormous opportunity to reduce energy bills, improve comfort/health,                      and encourage clean energy jobs. Many inefficient homes are located in South Stockton,                          simply as a result of the old housing stock, providing a unique opportunity to address many                                issues while tackling Stockton’s climate goals.  In this section, a simplified model home will present savings values that make sense to                              people per home rather than per city. Additionally, funding and financing options,                        stakeholder goals and outreach strategies will be discussed. In particular, energy efficient                        demonstration centers will be reviewed as an approach to improve outreach efforts while                          serving community needs in a more accessible way, with case studies highlighting notable                          examples.         
  • 38. COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT    This work was guided heavily thanks to feedback from the Community Engagement                        workshop. Attendees cited the poor state of homes, inaccessibility of outreach, disconnect                        in incentives, inability to pay upfront, and lack of trust as barriers to acting on, or even                                  caring about energy efficiency to save bills, let alone environmental friendliness. These                        considerations guided the team’s problem solving approach, and shaped our final proposal.         MODELLING APPROACH    In order to best illustrate the benefits of improving existing houses in terms of energy                              efficiency, a “typical” home was modeled. The house was assumed to be built in the 1970’s                                or earlier, before energy codes were developed, with dimensions and construction typical                        of a home one might find in South Stockton. While not all homes fall into this category, a                                    sizeable portion of homes in South Stockton belong to this aging housing stock, with high                              energy consumption and poor indoor air quality.    
  • 39. Baseline House Dimensions  Floor Area   1064  square feet  Ceiling Height  9  feet  Stories  1    Window area   143  square feet  Gross wall area estimate  1468  square feet      A reference floorplan from a recently constructed home was used to design the house, and                              its Title 24 energy performance was compared with the baseline old home and old home                              with energy saving upgrades.The following energy upgrades were applied to the home                        individually and in combination with one another, and evaluated in terms of performance                          and cost effectiveness:   
  • 40.     Measure  Improvement  Construction Cost  Window film  Windows: R 1 -> R 5  1-2 years  Air sealing  Infiltration: 1 ACH -> 0.6 ACH  1-2 years  Insulation  Wall: R5 -> R15  Roof: R15 -> R40  1-3 years    For each case, energy performance, cost savings, and construction cost were estimated.                        The cases above have been chosen in order to illustrate the impact of small changes that                                can be easily carried out, and their combined impact if all are implemented. As seen in the                                  chart below, though not all of the following measures are modeled, many are simple to                              install and/or require very little payback.   
  • 41. Measure Typical difficulty Typical Payback Seal small air leaks  Average homeowner  1-2 years  Insulate water heater  Average homeowner  1-2 years  Energy-saving showerhead  Average homeowner  1-3 years  Seal large air leaks Skilled homeowner 1-2 years Seal ducts  Skilled homeowner  1-2 years  Thermostat  Skilled homeowner  1-2 years  Heating tune-up  Expert technician  1-3 years  Ceiling Insulation Skilled homeowner 3-7 years5   5 https://www.xcelenergy.com/staticfiles/xe/Marketing/Files/SmartEnergyGuide.pdf
  • 42. RESULTS  As expected, many of the improvements we tested were reasonably priced with significant                          energy savings without too much additional cost. Simply by applying these three measures                        alone, without changing any appliances or lights, about 30% energy savings are possible. A                            new house, on the other hand, uses about half of the energy that the old house uses with                                    additional low-cost measures, such as water heater insulation/maintenance, thermostat                  controls, energy saving showerheads, radiant barriers, and duct sealing.   
  • 43. One key finding evident from these figures is the significance of labor costs relative to                              material costs. With the exception of window film, the majority of costs in all cases was                                the labor component. This is especially true for sealing leaks, which has an extremely low                              material cost.    Energy Assistance Programs  Name  Sponsor  Benefits  Requirements  San Joaquin  County  Weatherizati on Program  San  Joaquin  County  Human  Services  Agency  Free weatherizations -  measures include  insulation, repairs,  improved appliances,  etc.  A member of the household  receives temporary Aid for Needy  Families (TANF), Food Stamps, SSI  or SSP, Veterans and Survivors  Pension or if the household income  does not exceed a certain amount   http://www.benefits.gov/benefits /benefit-details/1844  Energy  Savings  Assistance  Program  PG&E  Repair or replacement  of refrigerators,  furnaces or water  heaters, insulation/  caulking, lighting,  showerheads, etc  Home 5 years or older, meets CARE  guidelines  http://goo.gl/8zvcu3  Valid through May 2015  Energy  Upgrade  California -  whole house   PG&E  Up to $2500 in rebates  PG&E Customers with single family  homes   Choose measures from a menu of  options   Appliance  rebates   PG&E  Depends on the  appliance  Purchase of Energy Star or  approved appliance    Energy Efficiency Financing Options  Program type    Pro  Con  PACE (HERO, Figtree)  Approved in Stockton  No upfront cost- pay with additional  property taxes  Vetted contractors (3 in Stockton)  Choice of payback (5/10/15/20 years)  Higher property  tax bills   Must pay property  tax (ineligible to  renters)  On-bill financing  No upfront cost - pay using portion of  energy savings  Financing can stay with the property  Not available  Risk for utility if  bills are not paid  Loan (i.e. from the  Golden State Finance  Authority)  Up to $50,000 financing, 6.5% interest for  15 yr loan  Partner with approved contractor  Only one Stockton  based contractor  No flexibility for