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SCL Antwerp - Alan Waller, Solving Efeso, Embrace the Supply Chain of the Future
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Solving Efeso ©
2013 Professor Alan Waller OBE Antwerp, Belgium 2 June 2015 Leveraging the Supply Chain for Competitive Advantage SCL Antwerp - Embrace the Supply Chain of the Future
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Professor Alan Waller OBE Vice President, SC Innovation, Solving Efeso Visiting Professor,Cranfield School of Management Immediate Past International President, CILT Global Research Committee, APICS SCC President, Leaders in Supply Chain Europe Chairman, ELUPEG Europe Director and Trustee, Transaid
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Ever more demanding customers and consumers Changing market boundaries and new channels Aggressive global competition Industry consolidation and alliances Sustainability/ Risk/ Environmental issues Financial/Economic pressures Speed of technology change Shortening product life cycles Hypercompetition + Globalisation Competitive Pressures in the Supply Chain Serving localised customer needs through longer, more complex supply lines Supply Chain Management in a Global World
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Agenda Global Developments The Role of Supply Chain Next Generation Supply Chains The Challenges and Opportunities of Strategic Change Making it Happen - Case Study in Indonesia The Way Forward
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Agenda Global Developments The Role of Supply Chain Next Generation Supply Chains The Challenges and Opportunities of Strategic Change Making it Happen - Case Study in Indonesia The Way Forward
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 The Emerging Value Chain- The Global Picture VALUE CHAIN RESPONSE Retailers Increased customer reach Enhanced propositions/choice Increased availability Increase SC control Responsible sourcing Manufacturers Focus on core Network/outsource Agility Volume economics Supply Chain visibility Collaboration Sustainability Management of risk Process driven Systems ERP Bolt-ons /APS Joining SC players Process driven Technology New products New channels New customers Low cost Consumers Ever more demanding - collectively and individually Pro-active Interactive Multi-channel Omni-channel Responsible buying Logistics Companies Dedicated solutions Value-Added solutions Collaborative solutions Break the vicious circle
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Agenda Global Developments The Role of Supply Chain Next Generation Supply Chains The Challenges and Opportunities of Strategic Change Making it Happen - Case Study in Indonesia The Way Forward
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Organisation of the Future: Supply Chain Management in the Boardroom Supply Chain Management coordinates the internal and external networked resources to drive VALUE through the business Ext. Finance IT HR Comm. R & D Supply Chain Sales & Mktg. Strat. Planning Leading Processes Value Adding Processes Support Processes Core Business Processes VALUE CREATION The Supply Chain strategy will complement and enable the overall business strategy for top line growth Excellence in Supply Chain execution will deliver the bottom line results The Supply Chain leader of the future will have to: Understand interfacing functions Make increasingly strategic decisions Move from "value delivery" to "value creation" Manage risk in the extended enterprise Merit board level recognition SUPPLY CHAIN AS A FUNCTION- AND AS A PROCESS!
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Supply Chain as a Function - AND as a Value Added Process in the Boardroom Value Revenue Cost Fixed Assets Working Capital Fiscal Volume Channel management Brand build Price Service bundle Emotional Intelligence Loyalty Customer Intimacy SCE excellence (warehousing / distribution) Waste reduction Operational effectiveness Conversion to opportunity cost Utilisation Market capacity Contract manufacturing (inc cost impact) Network strategy Relationships / trust to build confidence Cycle time Tax efficiency Treasury planning / hedging ‘Handles’ for Agility Source: Conference Board Europe: European Council on Global SC
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Agenda Global Developments The Role of Supply Chain Next Generation Supply Chains The Challenges and Opportunities of Strategic Change Making it Happen - Case Study in Indonesia The Way Forward
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Global Supply Chain - Where Will the Next Generation Innovation Come From? New Thinking Of Old Practices Old Practices / Old Thinking New Practices and New Thinking New Practices Designed On Old Thinking New Old Old New SupplyChainThinking Supply Chain Practice • Collaboration across supply chain creating value added economics • Control towers for collaboration • Responsible sourcing • Sustainability - social/, economic & environment • Focus on skills and leadership • Align supply chain strategy with business strategy • Retail focus on On-Shelf-Availability and In-store logistics • Supply Chain design with risk management principles • Extended Supply Chain Network Review • Managing Complexity • Retail focus on total Supply Chain cost – not just pushing cost upstream • Focus on Product/Channel/Customer Profitability - Cost-to-serve • Collaboration along Supply Chains to create visibility/synchronisation • Supplier Development for Supply Chain performance • Manufacturing for Supply Chain performance Source: Alan Waller 2013
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Key takeaways from the report........ Next Generation Supply Chains Moving towards Next Generation Supply Chains - The Chief Supply Chain Officer Report 2013 (SCM World) Business • Integration of Supply Chain Leadership into Business Leadership • Alignment of Supply Chain Strategy and Business Strategy • Larger investment in Direct to Customer Channels Customer • Tangible performance is expected from Social & Environmental factors, not just a positive image • Consumers are segmenting faster than business can respond - variety and channel • Move to Omni-Channel models pushing complexity further upstream in terms of: • Packaging • Pricing • SKU Count • Networks • Fulfilment Channels Supply Chain • Focus on integrated operations & cost reduction • Skills in supply chain are considered to have parity with sales and R&D • Complex risk management strategies being expanded from supply side to the entire supply chain Value Generation • Recognition that Supply Chain enables value creation in: • Customer service • Customer loyalty • Strengthening supplier relationships • Acceleration of new product introduction • Business expansion in existing and new markets • Expansion of value-added services • Facilitation of premium pricing • Leveraging opportunities created by external supply chain disruptions
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Key takeaways from the report........ Next Generation Supply Chains Moving towards Next Generation Supply Chains - The Chief Supply Chain Officer Report 2014 (SCM World) Business • CEO's delegating less Supply Chain strategic decision making • Visible link between Supply Chain capability and margin growth • Route to market is a "2 way street" with pressure coming from more integrated manufacturing and consolidated supplier bases Customer • Growing volatility and more complexity in customer demand • Use of social media for real time demand sensing and customer feedback • Digital demand growth is increasing # of SKUs • New generation of tools & skills required to capture and process "big data" customer demand Supply Chain • Deeper operational integration in value chains • True cost to serve capability for each and every order • Digital demand fulfilment is fragmenting fulfilment modes and shortening cycle times • Trend towards Agility more important than traditional Lean practice Value Generation • Traditional cost cutting and process standardisation will become less important in terms of value generation as digital technologies become more accessible • Too much demand noise in "big data", is not focusing enterprise resources on the real value creation opportunities • Uncertainty was previously risk.....is now considered a value driver with "Agile" companies able to fulfill profitable orders in time gaining competitive advantage
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Agenda Global Developments The Role of Supply Chain Next Generation Supply Chains The Challenges and Opportunities of Strategic Change Making it Happen - Case Study in Indonesia The Way Forward
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 M4SC (Management 4 Supply Chain) Approach: Value Chains - so much more than trucks and sheds... According to the Harvard Business Review, 40% of all investments are wasted due to a lack of alignment with business strategy Source: Supply Chain Council 2013
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Alignment with Business Strategy and Flawless Execution are Keys to a High Performing Supply Chain Most companies choose a working business strategy and fail to execute it functionally, alignment and flawless execution of supply chain strategies yields a competitive advantage over many competitors. Companies with a highly efficient structure are twice as successful as those with operational failings
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Top 5 Concerns Amongst Executives Worldwide Implementation is a key concern...."Excellence in Execution" and "Consistent Execution of the Strategy" 0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% Financial risk, volitility and credit risk Global economic performance Speed, flexibility, adaptability to change Consistent execution of Strategy by Top Management Excellence in Execution 43.80% 44.60% 46.60% 47.00% 55.00% Cite challenge as being of 'Greatest Concern' Source: The Conference Board 2010 Note: The global top 5 list is weighted by regional representation in global GDP as established by the International Monetary Fund
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Bridging the Implementation Gap Pan-regional supply chain integration across Europe There are major challenges in translating vision into reality ‘86 ‘88 ‘90 ‘92 ‘94 ‘96 ‘98 ‘00 ‘02 % of Companies 0% 75% 50% 25% 100% Opportunity Awareness Effective Implementation Active Implementation Strategy Planning ‘04 ‘06 ‘08 ‘10 Source: A Waller Surveys 1992, 1994 , 1996, 2002, 2004 and 2010
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Change from vertical Supply Chains to Demand Webs - Supply Chain Implementation becomes also a key external issue Vertical integration Network organisation Businesses are responding by focusing on core competencies and outsourcing non- core activity creating networked organisations Source: Chatham House Forum “From 2005, over half of SCM functionality is provided from outside the enterprise ” (Gartner Group) Supply Chain is an External Agenda Businesses must work in real partnership with the other businesses in the Extended Supply Chain key to this success This redefines the role of Supply Chain Management as a Board Process
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009-2012 Cranfield School of Management / Solving Efeso - Key Survey Results What is Supply Chain functionally responsibility for? Is the senior supply chain person on the Board? Over 50% of companies have the Supply Chain Leader on the Executive Board of their Business Unit For manufacturers, nearly 40% of supply chain leaders are responsible for Source, Make and Deliver
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Implementation Challenges – The Business Opportunity 50% chance of successful implementation of Strategic Change Barriers to change Variable CEO/Board involvement in Supply Chain Strategic Change Company Culture Skills and Leadership Disciplines of Performance Behaviour Engaging the Leadership Team in driving Change Management Aligning Supply Chain and Business Strategy Adopting the Key Get-rights for successful change: – High Performing Organisation Model - aligning the organisation to succeed – Performance behaviours - willingness to change and responsibility for performance – Kotter Steps - "Get the Vision Right" Excellent and Successful Implementation is a Key Competitive Advantage What issues do companies need to look at to deliver competitive advantage? Source: Solving Efeso/ Cranfield School of Management Research 2009-2012
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Solving Efeso/Cranfield School of Management Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009/2012 N= 181 Success of Supply Chain Strategies This is a 50% chance of success or failure!
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 1- Not at all 2 3 4 5- Fully There is clear and strong correlation between the extent of Board involvement and success Source: Solving Efeso/Cranfield : Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009/2012 Board involvement in SC strategy N= 56 Increasingboardinvolvement Increasing success Success of implementation
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 The SC strategy process is highly cross-functional with several functions at least consulted •There is clear and strong correlation between the involvement of other functions and success N= 181 Source: Solving Efeso/Cranfield : Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009/2012
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Other ingredients of success Success is higher when:- • Sales & Marketing, Finance and IT functions are held accountable • The process is vision led • SC strategy review happens frequently • Quantitative modelling techniques are used • A high level of adaptation takes place • Risk management is an integrated part of the strategy and implementation process • There is a focus on benefit tracking Source: Solving Efeso/Cranfield : Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009/2012
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Customer and business focused mindsets and management behaviours are required to succeed This is a major shift away from today’s functional ways of working Key Management Behaviours End-to-End Supply Chain Mentality Switch from a Stock Push to a Demand Pull Philosophy Total Commitment to Customer Service Anticipate End Customer and Manage Demand Proactively Focus on Performance of Extended Enterprise Management of Partnerships
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Solving Efeso/Cranfield School of Management Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009/2012 Company culture, lack of senior management leadership and lack of information are the top 3 barriers to overcome N= 181 Rank Barrier to success 1 Company culture 2 Senior management lack of leadership 3 Lack of information along the Supply Chain 4 CEO lack of support 5 Management skills inadequate 6 Lack of clear goals 7 Lack of IT systems 8 Inertia/Lack of urgency 9 Lack of resources 10 Lack of KPIs and tracking 11 Fear of change 12 Too many conflicting priorities 13 Over ambitious timeline 14 Change overload 15 Lack of IT skills 16 Inappropriate performance mechanisms
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Solving Efeso/Cranfield School of Management Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009/2012 Respondents rate People barriers much higher than technical barriers N= 181 Sum of scores for people related vs technical related barriers ‘No technical barriers or restraints, the issues are around change management. The situation is improving with implementation successes which feed to accelerate the implementation process.’ ‘The main constraint is the speed of change. We reckon that we are not very good at change management - the culture doesn’t let us be fast enough.’ Technical 20% Type of barrier "...Survey Quotes..."
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 The key “get rights” for Supply Chain Strategies and Initiatives Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom.. Top level support Benefit Tracking Active involvement of other functions Change Management dealing with cultural and people issues Frequent / continuous review Continuous adaptation Share learning Vision led Quantitative Modelling Risk Management Source: Solving Efeso/Cranfield School of Management:: Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009/2012:
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Agenda Global Developments The Role of Supply Chain Next Generation Supply Chains The Challenges and Opportunities of Strategic Change Making it Happen - Case Study in Indonesia The Way Forward
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 1,811,569 sq km land 251,160,124 inhabitants GDP / Capita (ppp): $5,000 (2012 est.) Making it Happen- A Case Study in Indonesia -Leveraging Supply Chain to Realise the Market Opportunity SEA is a massive and growing market place Urban GDP per capita in Indonesia is 10 times the average Within ‘Urban’, analysis showed over 5 million ‘New Consumers’ (‘A’ Socio- Economic class), growing at over 30% per annum The ‘Traditional Market’ (necessity purchases of small quantities),is served by a diverse and highly fragmented retail structure supported by an inefficient complex trade channel The ‘New Consumer’ market (regular purchases of bulk quantity), is served by a developing self-service trade that demands a new level of supply performance Failure to support the ‘New Consumer’ is a lost opportunity and will lead to a decrease in market share
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Indonesia - Major Multinational FMCG Manufacturer Traditional Trade Channels 2 Factories plus third party suppliers 2 Central Warehouses Harbour Warehouses 20 Regional Depots 300 Primary Distributors 3000 Secondary Distributors > 200,000 Retailers
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Indonesia - Major Multinational FMCG Manufacture - over 7 weeks of finished goods inventory Ware- house stock (11 days) Transit stock (1 day) Depot stock (7 days) Transit stock (3 days) Transit stock (3 days) Factory stock (3 days) Retail stock Distributor stock (21 days) Transit stock (1 day)
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Indonesia - Major Multinational FMCG Manufacturer - evolution of Trade Channels Retail Outlets – Traditional Shop/Toko – Self-Service Outlet – Small Family Chain Regional/National/International Chains – Wholesale Supply – Dedicated Distributor – Non-dedicated/Full-line Wholesaler – Cash ‘n’ Carry Over 50% will still be through the traditional route The New Retailers will drive overall Market Growth of 30% pa
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Indonesia - Major Multinational FMCG Manufacturer - Servicing the Trade Channels Traditional Trade operations Full Loads of allocated stock collected by Distributors Small vans sell weekly to Traditional Retailers/Tokos Traditional Products typically in small single-use packs The Self-Service Trade will not thrive with existing Trade Channels Self-Service Trade needs and wants Large Volume deliveries to individual stores/(RDCs) Frequent daily delivery Central ordering Specified lead-times / demanding service levels New products / Large pack sizes / case picking
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Indonesia - Major Multinational FMCG Manufacturer Innovation and The Strategic Vision An Integrated Supply Chain to meet all customer needs at lowest total cost Development of a new trade channel to meet the rapidly developing self-service market Maintain and improve the traditional route to market Introduce Flexible Manufacturing Processes to create an agile supply chain response Develop Existing Key Suppliers Through Partnerships Develop Partnerships with the New Retailers Develop LSP Partnerships Introduce new systems to support the Supply Chain Vision A Vision to benefit all Supply Chain Players and grow market share
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Indonesia - Major Multinational FMCG Manufacturer Business Benefits Protect and Grow Market Share Align the business to address the new market requirements Provide reliable service to the self-service sector through a shorter less complex and more responsive supply chain Improve but not disrupt the traditional trade channel Improve supply and manufacturing to benefit both trade channels Reduce inventory Reduce costs Improved overall customer service A Supply Chain Vision creating value, growth, and competitive edge in a rapidly changing environment and market place
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Indonesia - Major Multinational FMCG Manufacturer Key elements driving successful implementation Communicate and get buy-in to the Vision Commit the CEO and set up a Supply Chain Executive in the Board Room Establish the overall project on the Board Agenda as a key priority Appoint an Internal Champion – the very best the business has Define, schedule and prioritise the change projects (41 projects) Appoint internal project leaders and cross-functional project teams Set up a communication plan and communication programme Set up Supply Chain Master Classes (Locally and in the UK) Work with suppliers/outsourcing partners and customers Audit changes in the business culture and performance: – Assess: Innocence/Awareness/Understanding/Action/Results – All Board members, internal management and external partners Integrate the change programme with systems implementation programme Strategic Modelling for options and risk analysis, and monitoring progress
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 The key “get rights” for Supply Chain Strategies and Initiatives -- the key essentials for the Indonesian success Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom.. Top level support Benefit Tracking Active involvement of other functions Change Management dealing with cultural and people issues Frequent / continuous review Continuous adaptation Share learning Vision led Quantitative Modelling Risk Management Source: Solving Efeso/Cranfield School of Management:: Supply Chain Strategy in the Boardroom Survey 2009/2012:
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Agenda Global Developments The Role of Supply Chain Next Generation Supply Chains The Challenges and Opportunities of Strategic Change Making it Happen - Case Study in Indonesia The Way Forward
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Conclusions and Way Forward The practice of good supply chain varies hugely across different businesses There is a clear link between supply chain excellence and business success There are identifiable businesses where rapid implementation of a new supply chain strategy has positively impacted business performance, and also where failure in implementation has significantly damaged the business. Experience of undertaking over 55 Supply Chain Strategic projects in all sectors and geographies has identified wide-spread implementation difficulties. The 2009/2012 research has quantified the impact of these difficulties, and has identified and prioritised the key barriers to success, together with identifying key ‘get-rights’ that provide a positive link to success Businesses that want to embrace the opportunities presented by Next Generation Supply Chains need to proactively put in place the building blocks, and follow the key ‘get-rights’, that will guarantee success The most challenging areas relate to culture and management performance
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 Closing comments: 5 Key Messages for the CEO How well is Supply Chain represented in the Leadership team, and how does this reflect the correct scope of responsibility? How well is Supply Chain supporting the Corporate and Customer service strategies? Ensure SC is not solely a cost issue Encourage cross-functional participation in the development of the SC strategy – it helps success Accept that SC strategy implementation is not straightforward – so build risk management into the process Two main barriers to successful implementation of SC strategy are internal issues – Culture and Leadership
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Chain and Logistics Summit Solving Efeso © 2013 More Information? The Stage One Survey Report is available to download free of charge Workshops to discuss the findings and understand the implications for businesses are being run across Europe and in other Regions of the World according to demand A White Paper has been published that is available without charge to all survey participants We are embarking on a next phase of research to establish precisely what characterises High Performance Organisations and High Performance Supply Chains, together with identifying the leadership qualities and the performance behaviours that need to be put in place to ensure business success For further information and participation in the next stage of research please contact:- Professor Alan Waller OBE email: alan.waller@solvingefeso.com Home Business: +44(0)1933 403712 Mobile:+44(0)7802 170507
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