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ACT ONE
2
‘If a nation values anything more than
freedom, it will lose its freedom’
Somerset Maugham
Freedom
• ‘We the People’
• Authority of a state and its
government is created and sustained
by the consent of its people
3
The Evolution of Freedom
• Freedom is ‘the raison d'être of politics’
• Freedom and democracy should trump everything else
4
ACT TWO
5
‘If voting made any difference
they wouldn't let us do it’
Mark Twain
But don’t we already live in a democracy?
• The Isle of Man operates a form of representative democracy
• This is democracy in diluted form and is fraught with problems
1. Power transfer – electorate given too much power away
2. Policy bundling – issues need to be considered individually
and not bundled together. Supermarkets don’t bundle!
3. Time – representatives manifestos are stuck to election
dates. How is a mandate refreshed when circumstances
change?
4. Lobbying – unequal access to and influence over
representatives
5. Agency theory – conflicts of interest
6. Party politics – loyalty to the people or the party?
6
Representative Democracy
Problem number 1: Power has been
transferred away from the people
• Remember – Democracy means
‘people power’
• Power is now concentrated in the
hands of the few. This results in
volatility – not stability (eg the Iraq
War)
• If the candidate that the voter
chooses is not elected then they are
not represented
7
Nearly all men can stand
adversity, but if you
want to test a man's
character, give him
power
Representative Democracy
Problem number 2: Policy Bundling
• Limits choice
• Most commonly found in oligopolistic
and monopolistic industries
• The more policies in a bundle the
lower the probability of wanting all of
them
• Mixing of ‘good’ and ‘bad’ policies
8
‘Can I have the protein
bundle please?’
Representative Democracy
Problem number 3: Time
• We only get to vote every four or
five years
• Representatives manifestos are
anchored in election dates
• How is a mandate refreshed when
circumstances change?
• In order to allow for change
manifestos have to become
generalised to the point they lose
meaning
9
Representative Democracy
Problem number 4: Lobbying
• Lobbyists are the paid
persuaders whose job it is to
influence the decisions of
government
• Lobbying a £1.9 billion
industry in the UK
• Cash for questions and cash
for honours affairs
• Party political funding
• Jobs in industry ‘revolving
door’
10
Representative Democracy
Problem number 5: Agency Theory – Conflicts of Interest
• Interests of the party
• Government role
• Outside interests
11
Representative Democracy
Problem number 6: Party Politics
• Tactical voting – with only one winner
it becomes a two part system creating
wasted votes as voters choose not to
vote for smaller parties
• Adversarial – people choose sides
rather than work together issue by
issue
• Disproportionate focus on swing voter
issues
• Party machine needs funding
• The ‘do / undo’ cycle
12
Party politics a
key contributor
to low voter
turnout
ACT THREE
13
‘Tell people there's an invisible man in the
sky who created the universe, and the vast
majority will believe you. Tell them the paint
is wet, and they have to touch it to be sure’
George Carlin
Representative Democracy: Does it Work ?
UK
• Over 75% of people feel they have little or
no power between elections and over half of
people feel they have no influence over
what the UK government does
• Only 25% of people trust MPs
• Only 14% of people think MPs are in touch
with public concerns
• Only 17% of the UK electorate have
confidence in Parliament
• Many of those who are registered choose
not to participate at elections, be they for
the UK Parliament, local government, or the
European Parliament
14
Representative Democracy: Does it Work ?
USA
• Princeton University study: ‘The preferences
of the average American appear to have
only a miniscule, near-zero, statistically non-
significant impact upon public policy’
• Their study took data from nearly 2,000
public-opinion surveys and compared what
the people wanted to what the government
actually did. What they found was extremely
unsettling: The opinions of the bottom 90%
of income earners in America has essentially
no impact at all
15
https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/mgilens/files/gilens_and_page_2014_-testing_theories_of_american_politics.doc.pdf
Representative Democracy: Does it Work ?
Jersey
• Only 25% of individuals believe that they
can influence decisions that affect Jersey
• At the last election 70% of eligible voters did
not vote
16
Representative Democracy: Why Don’t People Vote?
• Political disengagement and dissatisfaction
– ‘A declining sense of the efficacy of politics generally and their
role in it ….. the politicians are all the same, they are not like us,
it does not make any difference’ (Dr Ruth Fox, Director of the
Hansard Society)
– ‘Citizens embrace the principle of democracy; the issue is that
politics is not delivering against that ideal’ (The British
Academy)
• The value of voting
– ‘Voting is a meaningless exercise. I'm not going to waste my
time with it. These parties, these politicians are given to us as a
way of making us feel we have freedom of choice. But we don't.
Everything is done to you in this country’ (George Carlin)
• Concerns about where power lies
17
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201415/cmselect/cmpolcon/232/23205.htm
Representative Democracy: Why Don’t People Vote?
• Negative view of politicians
– Politicians not respecting and not listening to the public
– Politicians not being trustworthy and not keeping promises
– MPs just following the party line and whips
– MPs only being willing to engage with the public in a limited
way
– Politicians are not representative of the public
– The conduct of politicians being off-putting (for example, at
Prime Minister’s Questions)
– There are too many career politicians
– The main parties are too similar or do not appeal to voters
– Politicians are not representative of the public
18
Expressions of People’s Disenchantment
19
direct action through citizen
support for populist political parties
or campaigns through protest,
demonstrations or use of social
media
negative attitudes towards politics:
the motivations and behaviour of
political leaders are questioned; the
fairness and processes of governing
systems are queried and concerns
about the capacity are expressed
silent majority low voter turnout
and declining membership of
political parties
PROTEST
ALIENATION
WITHDRAWAL
ACT FOUR
20
‘Death is the solution to all problems. No
man - no problem’
Joseph Stalin
Solutions
• The scale of the evidence is enough to
make the argument that there is a
wider malaise in the relationship
between citizens and the political
system. The solutions will need,
therefore to be fundamental rather
than superficial
• Representative democracy is obsolete
and required real reform
• In order to restore faith and
engagement in the political system
the electorate require more controls
over the power that have delegated
to their representatives
21
Solutions
1. Veto – citizens have power to veto
any new law
2. Citizens’ initiative – requires
Tynwald to debate and propose
policy subject to approval via
referendum
3. Recall – citizens have power to
remove a representative for any
reason
22
• Three important tools required to rebalance the system and
restore faith in politics:
ACT FIVE
23
‘The horse is here to stay but the automobile
is only a novelty, a fad’
Direct Democracy
Never been done before !
• Athens 5,000 BC
• Switzerland - Old Swiss
Confederacy in 1291
• Power of recall exists in 30
countries across 5 continents
including the UK, Canada,
Germany, Poland, Japan,
India, South Korea, Costa
Rica, Taiwan, Mexico,
Argentina, Peru and Ecuador.
• Jury system
24
“This really is an innovative
approach, but I’m afraid we
can’t consider it. It’s never been
done before”
Direct Democracy
People aren’t interested in politics
• Correct
• People are interested in issues
• Voter apathy is a myth
• The apathy equation:
𝐾𝑣<𝐵𝑣
• The benefit of voting must
outweigh the cost of voting
25
Direct Democracy
People aren’t qualified to make important
decisions
• National Careers Service Job profiles
– MP you must be at least 18, and be a citizen of
Britain, a Commonwealth country or the
Republic of Ireland
– Trainee in a bakery without any specific
qualifications. Some employers might ask for
GCSEs in English, maths or food technology
– Pharmacist you will need to complete a five-
year programme of education and training. This
includes a four-year Master of Pharmacy degree
and a one-year pre-registration training course
in a pharmacy
26
Direct Democracy
People don’t have the time to get involved
• In practice, direct democracy is about
returning power to citizens when they
want it
• Government still governs
• Information is widely available
27
ACT SIX
28
‘A conclusion is the place where you get tired
of thinking’
Arthur Bloch
Conclusion
• Freedom and democracy go hand
in hand
• Democracy means people power
• Representative democracy was
necessary to scale up democracy
in a time of limited technology
• But it meant the people gave
away most of their power to
representatives
• It’s time to restore the balance
29
1. Veto
2. Initiatives
3. Recall
Anti-Democracy?
The things people say:
• ‘…MPs must not be left
vulnerable to attack from those
who simply disagree with them
or think that they should have
voted a different way on a
particular measure’ Nick Clegg
MP
• The recall mechanism is ‘an
intrinsic corruption of our
democracy’ Geraint Davies MP
30

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Democracy - Correcting the balance of power

  • 1.
  • 2. ACT ONE 2 ‘If a nation values anything more than freedom, it will lose its freedom’ Somerset Maugham
  • 3. Freedom • ‘We the People’ • Authority of a state and its government is created and sustained by the consent of its people 3
  • 4. The Evolution of Freedom • Freedom is ‘the raison d'être of politics’ • Freedom and democracy should trump everything else 4
  • 5. ACT TWO 5 ‘If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it’ Mark Twain
  • 6. But don’t we already live in a democracy? • The Isle of Man operates a form of representative democracy • This is democracy in diluted form and is fraught with problems 1. Power transfer – electorate given too much power away 2. Policy bundling – issues need to be considered individually and not bundled together. Supermarkets don’t bundle! 3. Time – representatives manifestos are stuck to election dates. How is a mandate refreshed when circumstances change? 4. Lobbying – unequal access to and influence over representatives 5. Agency theory – conflicts of interest 6. Party politics – loyalty to the people or the party? 6
  • 7. Representative Democracy Problem number 1: Power has been transferred away from the people • Remember – Democracy means ‘people power’ • Power is now concentrated in the hands of the few. This results in volatility – not stability (eg the Iraq War) • If the candidate that the voter chooses is not elected then they are not represented 7 Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man's character, give him power
  • 8. Representative Democracy Problem number 2: Policy Bundling • Limits choice • Most commonly found in oligopolistic and monopolistic industries • The more policies in a bundle the lower the probability of wanting all of them • Mixing of ‘good’ and ‘bad’ policies 8 ‘Can I have the protein bundle please?’
  • 9. Representative Democracy Problem number 3: Time • We only get to vote every four or five years • Representatives manifestos are anchored in election dates • How is a mandate refreshed when circumstances change? • In order to allow for change manifestos have to become generalised to the point they lose meaning 9
  • 10. Representative Democracy Problem number 4: Lobbying • Lobbyists are the paid persuaders whose job it is to influence the decisions of government • Lobbying a £1.9 billion industry in the UK • Cash for questions and cash for honours affairs • Party political funding • Jobs in industry ‘revolving door’ 10
  • 11. Representative Democracy Problem number 5: Agency Theory – Conflicts of Interest • Interests of the party • Government role • Outside interests 11
  • 12. Representative Democracy Problem number 6: Party Politics • Tactical voting – with only one winner it becomes a two part system creating wasted votes as voters choose not to vote for smaller parties • Adversarial – people choose sides rather than work together issue by issue • Disproportionate focus on swing voter issues • Party machine needs funding • The ‘do / undo’ cycle 12 Party politics a key contributor to low voter turnout
  • 13. ACT THREE 13 ‘Tell people there's an invisible man in the sky who created the universe, and the vast majority will believe you. Tell them the paint is wet, and they have to touch it to be sure’ George Carlin
  • 14. Representative Democracy: Does it Work ? UK • Over 75% of people feel they have little or no power between elections and over half of people feel they have no influence over what the UK government does • Only 25% of people trust MPs • Only 14% of people think MPs are in touch with public concerns • Only 17% of the UK electorate have confidence in Parliament • Many of those who are registered choose not to participate at elections, be they for the UK Parliament, local government, or the European Parliament 14
  • 15. Representative Democracy: Does it Work ? USA • Princeton University study: ‘The preferences of the average American appear to have only a miniscule, near-zero, statistically non- significant impact upon public policy’ • Their study took data from nearly 2,000 public-opinion surveys and compared what the people wanted to what the government actually did. What they found was extremely unsettling: The opinions of the bottom 90% of income earners in America has essentially no impact at all 15 https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/mgilens/files/gilens_and_page_2014_-testing_theories_of_american_politics.doc.pdf
  • 16. Representative Democracy: Does it Work ? Jersey • Only 25% of individuals believe that they can influence decisions that affect Jersey • At the last election 70% of eligible voters did not vote 16
  • 17. Representative Democracy: Why Don’t People Vote? • Political disengagement and dissatisfaction – ‘A declining sense of the efficacy of politics generally and their role in it ….. the politicians are all the same, they are not like us, it does not make any difference’ (Dr Ruth Fox, Director of the Hansard Society) – ‘Citizens embrace the principle of democracy; the issue is that politics is not delivering against that ideal’ (The British Academy) • The value of voting – ‘Voting is a meaningless exercise. I'm not going to waste my time with it. These parties, these politicians are given to us as a way of making us feel we have freedom of choice. But we don't. Everything is done to you in this country’ (George Carlin) • Concerns about where power lies 17 http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201415/cmselect/cmpolcon/232/23205.htm
  • 18. Representative Democracy: Why Don’t People Vote? • Negative view of politicians – Politicians not respecting and not listening to the public – Politicians not being trustworthy and not keeping promises – MPs just following the party line and whips – MPs only being willing to engage with the public in a limited way – Politicians are not representative of the public – The conduct of politicians being off-putting (for example, at Prime Minister’s Questions) – There are too many career politicians – The main parties are too similar or do not appeal to voters – Politicians are not representative of the public 18
  • 19. Expressions of People’s Disenchantment 19 direct action through citizen support for populist political parties or campaigns through protest, demonstrations or use of social media negative attitudes towards politics: the motivations and behaviour of political leaders are questioned; the fairness and processes of governing systems are queried and concerns about the capacity are expressed silent majority low voter turnout and declining membership of political parties PROTEST ALIENATION WITHDRAWAL
  • 20. ACT FOUR 20 ‘Death is the solution to all problems. No man - no problem’ Joseph Stalin
  • 21. Solutions • The scale of the evidence is enough to make the argument that there is a wider malaise in the relationship between citizens and the political system. The solutions will need, therefore to be fundamental rather than superficial • Representative democracy is obsolete and required real reform • In order to restore faith and engagement in the political system the electorate require more controls over the power that have delegated to their representatives 21
  • 22. Solutions 1. Veto – citizens have power to veto any new law 2. Citizens’ initiative – requires Tynwald to debate and propose policy subject to approval via referendum 3. Recall – citizens have power to remove a representative for any reason 22 • Three important tools required to rebalance the system and restore faith in politics:
  • 23. ACT FIVE 23 ‘The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty, a fad’
  • 24. Direct Democracy Never been done before ! • Athens 5,000 BC • Switzerland - Old Swiss Confederacy in 1291 • Power of recall exists in 30 countries across 5 continents including the UK, Canada, Germany, Poland, Japan, India, South Korea, Costa Rica, Taiwan, Mexico, Argentina, Peru and Ecuador. • Jury system 24 “This really is an innovative approach, but I’m afraid we can’t consider it. It’s never been done before”
  • 25. Direct Democracy People aren’t interested in politics • Correct • People are interested in issues • Voter apathy is a myth • The apathy equation: 𝐾𝑣<𝐵𝑣 • The benefit of voting must outweigh the cost of voting 25
  • 26. Direct Democracy People aren’t qualified to make important decisions • National Careers Service Job profiles – MP you must be at least 18, and be a citizen of Britain, a Commonwealth country or the Republic of Ireland – Trainee in a bakery without any specific qualifications. Some employers might ask for GCSEs in English, maths or food technology – Pharmacist you will need to complete a five- year programme of education and training. This includes a four-year Master of Pharmacy degree and a one-year pre-registration training course in a pharmacy 26
  • 27. Direct Democracy People don’t have the time to get involved • In practice, direct democracy is about returning power to citizens when they want it • Government still governs • Information is widely available 27
  • 28. ACT SIX 28 ‘A conclusion is the place where you get tired of thinking’ Arthur Bloch
  • 29. Conclusion • Freedom and democracy go hand in hand • Democracy means people power • Representative democracy was necessary to scale up democracy in a time of limited technology • But it meant the people gave away most of their power to representatives • It’s time to restore the balance 29 1. Veto 2. Initiatives 3. Recall
  • 30. Anti-Democracy? The things people say: • ‘…MPs must not be left vulnerable to attack from those who simply disagree with them or think that they should have voted a different way on a particular measure’ Nick Clegg MP • The recall mechanism is ‘an intrinsic corruption of our democracy’ Geraint Davies MP 30