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Data Empathy
Design Thinking Approach to AI
Who is...
●  With small margins and retailers continually expecting more from their suppliers, the CPG/FMCG sector has never
been more competitive.
●  The race for optimal shelf space is the most challenging problem in global consumer retail industry, costing
suppliers and retailers $400 billion* in lost sales per year.
●  Outlets are grouped by location, size or other arbitrary measures using “human constructs”, typically at “cluster”
level.
●  We have developed unique IP in AI & optimisation to provide “fingerprint recipes” at a per product SKU, per outlet
level. Providing “machine constructs” view.
Commercial In Confidence | Page 3*Source AI-powered, big data manages critical retail efficiency in real-time
The problem is simple...
....there are many companies who have this problem
We help these companies... ….get the right mix in these outlets
Commercial In Confidence | Page 4
We build tools that augment our customers thinking in new ways never
possible before
Commercial In Confidence | Page 5
Just as in pathology, we see AI+pathologist together make superior prediction. We are doing the
same in retail with our product, space, price and promotion recommendations for our CGP/FMCG
customers.
Source: https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/2016/09/19/deep-learning-breast-cancer-
diagnosis/
Confidential & Privileged | Page 6
Recap on the Design Thinking approach
STEP MISSING!
Design principle to Ideate
using Affinity Diagram/
Process Diagram
Confidential & Privileged | Page 7
Things like this...
Process DiagramAffinity Diagram
Confidential & Privileged | Page 8
Design Thinking approach is actually used in HIVERY’s product
development methodology. It’s part of our DNA
VS
Confidential & Privileged | Page 9
Discovery is all about building empathy and defining the
problem
VS
Confidential & Privileged | Page 10
While in Experiment, it’s about developing the model; training,
refining and testing it
VS
Confidential & Privileged | Page 11
And in Deployment; it’s about getting the enterprise ready for new way
of operating...
Confidential & Privileged | Page 12
But, I want to focus on this one first...
Confidential & Privileged | Page 13
There are tools to help us build user empathy...like this Persona
Empathy Mapping
Source: https://www.cooper.com/journal/2014/05/persona-empathy-mapping
Confidential & Privileged | Page 14
These tools help us gain empathy towards the segment we are trying
to solve. Empathy through…
Source: https://www.cooper.com/journal/2014/05/persona-empathy-mapping
Confidential & Privileged | Page 15
At HIVERY, we empathize with data not humans (at least initially).
If we can't build the engine, no point building the car.
Confidential & Privileged | Page 16
In essence, we use a “Data” Empathy Mapping framework
Persona Empathy Mapping:
Think, Feel, and Do
Data Empathy Mapping:
Goals, Data, and Rules
Rules:
Confidential & Privileged | Page 17
Data Empathy is about...
DATA:
RULES:
GOALS:
… gaining an
understanding
of how the data
travels
throughout the
organisation...
Confidential & Privileged | Page 18
DATA:
RULES:
GOALS:
...how it is used,
what system
and processes
support it; what
actions are
derived from it.
Data Empathy is about...
Confidential & Privileged | Page 19
Let's go deeper...
...break
down...
Confidential & Privileged | Page 20
What happens in “Goals”
●  Define the problem and AI goals (eg Japan water)
●  This provide team focus
●  Need to distinguish “automation problems” (i.e.
human intensive 7000 planograms or 1 hr to optimize 1
vending machine) and “learning problems” (i.e. make
actionable recommendations at outlet/shelf/store/SKU
level).
●  Examples of good machine learning problems include
predicting the likelihood that a certain type of user will
click on a certain kind of ad or in our case, what
predicting the likelihood that a certain type of product
will sell in a specific outlet (vending machine/store)
●  Need to be clear if we are (or both)
○  creating machines that can automate work
○  obtaining insights into similarities & differences
Confidential & Privileged | Page 21
What happens in “Data”
●  Once we verify our customer’s problem and goals for
machine learning application;
●  The next step is to evaluate whether we have the right
data to train and solve it
●  Understanding data means:
○  Determine system sources (ie legacy systems)
○  How good is the data quality (ie integrity)
○  How good is the data quantity (ie at least 12
months?)
○  How good is the ongoing data streams/flows?
Confidential & Privileged | Page 22
What happens in “Rules”
●  Rules are important but often not considered business
constraints but need to be design into the algorithmic
model(s).
○  “Google Maps, A to B and avoid tolls”
○  “No coke in vending machines at schools”
●  Business constraints allow enterprises to adopt and
operations AI recommendations
●  In the future, a properly designed goal achieving AI
model allows humans to challenge assumptions via
"What if" scenario as ML predicts impact of your
assumption inclusion or exclusion.
Confidential & Privileged | Page 23
What happens in “Situation”
●  This gives clarity over:
○  the problem
○  the goals of what needs to be achieved
○  the opportunity/challenges (ie data is poor (eg
China vending machines)
○  possible direction
○  Develop formalities:
●  stakeholder engagement,
●  project team,
●  sponsor,
●  communication plan,
●  work plans,
●  SoW etc
Confidential & Privileged | Page 24
...Ideate, Prototype and Test in the Experiment Phase while informing
Deployment Phase
Confidential & Privileged | Page 25
Experiment is about...
●  Forming and agreeing on a hypothesis
●  Formulating bulletproof experiment designs
●  Visualizing data insights/opportunities (eg Japan)
●  Refining the algorithmic models parameters as it learns
(training test)
●  Validating (ie validating set) and iterating the model’s
predictions/ recommendations both from a business
value and operationalisation perspectives
●  Start thinking about possible MVP - the “car design”
Confidential & Privileged | Page 26
And lastly Deployment is about getting the enterprise ready for new
way of operating...
Confidential & Privileged | Page 27
Deployment is about operationalising & project management
●  From Design Thinking methodology to Project
Management methodology
●  Ensuring enterprise adoption of AI
●  Transition from MVP to Beta in an agile manner
●  Formulating the plans around change management
and operationalization strategies
●  Agreeing on the ongoing commercial model
Confidential & Privileged | Page 28
Let's chat about two real examples
...break
down...
Confidential & Privileged | Page 29
Example: Vending Analytics journey
Does	it	work?
Can we optimise a vending
machine better? 60 machines
experiment in Newcastle
Make	it	smarter?	
Data scientists and client
validation of model and
understanding constraints
Remove	the	pain?
Understand what is critical
to build to interact with
model
Build	MVP
Build MVP (else they still
see a spreadsheet)
Remove
pain point
Confidential & Privileged | Page 30
Example: Promotional Effectiveness
Data scientists and client
validation of model and
understanding constraints
Make	it	smarter?	
Understand what model
interacts are required by
user for operationalising
Remove	the	pain?
Build MVP to learn, refine
and build features based
on validated learning
Build	MVP
Can we use ML to predict future
demand of a product? If so, how
accurate? Better than human?
Does	it	work?
The approach applied to our category management toolg
Commercial in Confidence| Page 31
Does it work? Validate results Develop MVP
Can we optimize 60 feet of
shelf space and make it look
pretty at the same time?
Understand data, workflows,
and operations. Validate
assumptions.
Make it smarter
Co-design with strategic
partner and build MVP.
Conduct experiment to validate
results and proof business
case.
DATA	HAS	A	BETTER	IDEA	
Commercial In Confidence | Page 32
TM

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Data-Driven Design Thinking Approach to AI

  • 3. ●  With small margins and retailers continually expecting more from their suppliers, the CPG/FMCG sector has never been more competitive. ●  The race for optimal shelf space is the most challenging problem in global consumer retail industry, costing suppliers and retailers $400 billion* in lost sales per year. ●  Outlets are grouped by location, size or other arbitrary measures using “human constructs”, typically at “cluster” level. ●  We have developed unique IP in AI & optimisation to provide “fingerprint recipes” at a per product SKU, per outlet level. Providing “machine constructs” view. Commercial In Confidence | Page 3*Source AI-powered, big data manages critical retail efficiency in real-time The problem is simple...
  • 4. ....there are many companies who have this problem We help these companies... ….get the right mix in these outlets Commercial In Confidence | Page 4
  • 5. We build tools that augment our customers thinking in new ways never possible before Commercial In Confidence | Page 5 Just as in pathology, we see AI+pathologist together make superior prediction. We are doing the same in retail with our product, space, price and promotion recommendations for our CGP/FMCG customers. Source: https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/2016/09/19/deep-learning-breast-cancer- diagnosis/
  • 6. Confidential & Privileged | Page 6 Recap on the Design Thinking approach STEP MISSING! Design principle to Ideate using Affinity Diagram/ Process Diagram
  • 7. Confidential & Privileged | Page 7 Things like this... Process DiagramAffinity Diagram
  • 8. Confidential & Privileged | Page 8 Design Thinking approach is actually used in HIVERY’s product development methodology. It’s part of our DNA VS
  • 9. Confidential & Privileged | Page 9 Discovery is all about building empathy and defining the problem VS
  • 10. Confidential & Privileged | Page 10 While in Experiment, it’s about developing the model; training, refining and testing it VS
  • 11. Confidential & Privileged | Page 11 And in Deployment; it’s about getting the enterprise ready for new way of operating...
  • 12. Confidential & Privileged | Page 12 But, I want to focus on this one first...
  • 13. Confidential & Privileged | Page 13 There are tools to help us build user empathy...like this Persona Empathy Mapping Source: https://www.cooper.com/journal/2014/05/persona-empathy-mapping
  • 14. Confidential & Privileged | Page 14 These tools help us gain empathy towards the segment we are trying to solve. Empathy through… Source: https://www.cooper.com/journal/2014/05/persona-empathy-mapping
  • 15. Confidential & Privileged | Page 15 At HIVERY, we empathize with data not humans (at least initially). If we can't build the engine, no point building the car.
  • 16. Confidential & Privileged | Page 16 In essence, we use a “Data” Empathy Mapping framework Persona Empathy Mapping: Think, Feel, and Do Data Empathy Mapping: Goals, Data, and Rules Rules:
  • 17. Confidential & Privileged | Page 17 Data Empathy is about... DATA: RULES: GOALS: … gaining an understanding of how the data travels throughout the organisation...
  • 18. Confidential & Privileged | Page 18 DATA: RULES: GOALS: ...how it is used, what system and processes support it; what actions are derived from it. Data Empathy is about...
  • 19. Confidential & Privileged | Page 19 Let's go deeper... ...break down...
  • 20. Confidential & Privileged | Page 20 What happens in “Goals” ●  Define the problem and AI goals (eg Japan water) ●  This provide team focus ●  Need to distinguish “automation problems” (i.e. human intensive 7000 planograms or 1 hr to optimize 1 vending machine) and “learning problems” (i.e. make actionable recommendations at outlet/shelf/store/SKU level). ●  Examples of good machine learning problems include predicting the likelihood that a certain type of user will click on a certain kind of ad or in our case, what predicting the likelihood that a certain type of product will sell in a specific outlet (vending machine/store) ●  Need to be clear if we are (or both) ○  creating machines that can automate work ○  obtaining insights into similarities & differences
  • 21. Confidential & Privileged | Page 21 What happens in “Data” ●  Once we verify our customer’s problem and goals for machine learning application; ●  The next step is to evaluate whether we have the right data to train and solve it ●  Understanding data means: ○  Determine system sources (ie legacy systems) ○  How good is the data quality (ie integrity) ○  How good is the data quantity (ie at least 12 months?) ○  How good is the ongoing data streams/flows?
  • 22. Confidential & Privileged | Page 22 What happens in “Rules” ●  Rules are important but often not considered business constraints but need to be design into the algorithmic model(s). ○  “Google Maps, A to B and avoid tolls” ○  “No coke in vending machines at schools” ●  Business constraints allow enterprises to adopt and operations AI recommendations ●  In the future, a properly designed goal achieving AI model allows humans to challenge assumptions via "What if" scenario as ML predicts impact of your assumption inclusion or exclusion.
  • 23. Confidential & Privileged | Page 23 What happens in “Situation” ●  This gives clarity over: ○  the problem ○  the goals of what needs to be achieved ○  the opportunity/challenges (ie data is poor (eg China vending machines) ○  possible direction ○  Develop formalities: ●  stakeholder engagement, ●  project team, ●  sponsor, ●  communication plan, ●  work plans, ●  SoW etc
  • 24. Confidential & Privileged | Page 24 ...Ideate, Prototype and Test in the Experiment Phase while informing Deployment Phase
  • 25. Confidential & Privileged | Page 25 Experiment is about... ●  Forming and agreeing on a hypothesis ●  Formulating bulletproof experiment designs ●  Visualizing data insights/opportunities (eg Japan) ●  Refining the algorithmic models parameters as it learns (training test) ●  Validating (ie validating set) and iterating the model’s predictions/ recommendations both from a business value and operationalisation perspectives ●  Start thinking about possible MVP - the “car design”
  • 26. Confidential & Privileged | Page 26 And lastly Deployment is about getting the enterprise ready for new way of operating...
  • 27. Confidential & Privileged | Page 27 Deployment is about operationalising & project management ●  From Design Thinking methodology to Project Management methodology ●  Ensuring enterprise adoption of AI ●  Transition from MVP to Beta in an agile manner ●  Formulating the plans around change management and operationalization strategies ●  Agreeing on the ongoing commercial model
  • 28. Confidential & Privileged | Page 28 Let's chat about two real examples ...break down...
  • 29. Confidential & Privileged | Page 29 Example: Vending Analytics journey Does it work? Can we optimise a vending machine better? 60 machines experiment in Newcastle Make it smarter? Data scientists and client validation of model and understanding constraints Remove the pain? Understand what is critical to build to interact with model Build MVP Build MVP (else they still see a spreadsheet) Remove pain point
  • 30. Confidential & Privileged | Page 30 Example: Promotional Effectiveness Data scientists and client validation of model and understanding constraints Make it smarter? Understand what model interacts are required by user for operationalising Remove the pain? Build MVP to learn, refine and build features based on validated learning Build MVP Can we use ML to predict future demand of a product? If so, how accurate? Better than human? Does it work?
  • 31. The approach applied to our category management toolg Commercial in Confidence| Page 31 Does it work? Validate results Develop MVP Can we optimize 60 feet of shelf space and make it look pretty at the same time? Understand data, workflows, and operations. Validate assumptions. Make it smarter Co-design with strategic partner and build MVP. Conduct experiment to validate results and proof business case.