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New institutions
for a new
economic order
Jerry Davis
13 June 2015
2
What I am going to say
• Society is in the midst of a regime shift in the costs of
organizing due to information technologies
• Information enables pervasive markets
• Markets undermine institutions (like organizations)
• Institutional collapse can be liberating or
immiserating (or both)
• Organizational researchers are in the best position to
illuminate a more humane path forward
3
A REGIME SHIFT IN THE COSTS OF
ORGANIZING
4
How to get 250,000 people to show up and protest, 1963
• Eight months
• Six major sponsoring
organizations
• 200 activists coordinating
transit by bus, train, plan,
carpool
• 4000 volunteer marshals
on site
5
How to get 250,000 people to show up and protest, 2011
• Four weeks
• Two online activists
• A Facebook page (“We
are all Khaled Said”)
• A challenge:
– “January 25 is Police Day
and it’s a national
holiday… If 100,000 take
to the streets, no one can
stop us… I wonder if we
can??”
6
OMT, 1995
•5 paper copies of ~300 papers
mailed in
•Sorted, assigned reviewers,
anonymized, mailed out (via USPS)
by staff; reviews mailed in, entered
into database, evaluated;
decisioned, with decision letter and
copies of reviews mailed; assigned
to panels, scheduled by staff
OMT, 2005
•429 papers and symposia uploaded
electronically
•Each assigned to 3 reviewers,
decisioned, assigned to panels,
scheduled by one person
•[NB: This is why there are more free
drinks at AOM these days…]
7
How to organize a conference with 100s of papers
Blockbuster, 2005
• 83,000 employees
• 9000 stores in strip
malls across America
Netflix, 2015
•2000 employees
•Rents server space from
Amazon
8
Sony, 2010
•10.1% market share for
LCD televisions (Q4)
•150,000 employees
Vizio, 2010
• 27.6% market share for
LCD televisions (Q4)
• 196 employees
9
It’s a lot cheaper to coordinate the actions of many
actors these days
10
PS: These days everybody has their own journal
11
INFORMATION ENABLES PERVASIVE
MARKETS
12
Does everything have a price?
13
14
Student
Loan-
Activated
Volatile
Employment™
15
Not all transactions require cash
16
MARKETS UNDERMINE INSTITUTIONS
(LIKE ORGANIZATIONS)
17
18
The number of public corporations in the US has
dropped by over half since 1997
19
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2014
20
The “going public” fad of the 1990s is long gone
Source: Jay Ritter, University of Florida
And the companies going public today ignore basic
standards of corporate governance
21
Some companies going public since 2010 with dual-
class voting rights (the “Zuckerberg grip”)
22
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc Groupon Constellium NV
Crude Carriers Corp Manning & Napier RCS Capital Corp
MaxLinear Inc Zynga Coty Inc
First Interstate BancSystem In Renewable Energy Group Truett-Hurst Inc
DynaVox Inc Yelp Luxoft Holding Inc
PAA Natural Gas Storage LP Vantiv Silvercrest Asset Management
S&W Seed Co Digital Cinema Destinations Noodles & Co
Niska Gas Storage Partners LLC Edgen Group Inc NRG Yield Inc
Oxford Resource Partners LP The Carlyle Group LP UCP Inc
Ameresco Inc Tilly's Inc Jones Energy Inc
Green Dot Corp Facebook Inc Intrexon Corp
Chesapeake Midstream Ptrs LP KAYAK Software Corp Pattern Energy Group
Rhino Resource Partners LP Globus Medical Inc Premier Inc
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Co Manchester United PLC RingCentral
FXCM Inc Workday Inc RE/MAX Holdings
Swift Transportation Co Seadrill Partners LLC LDR Holding
Adecoagro SA The WhiteWave Foods Co Veeva Systems
MagnaChip Semiconductor Restoration Hardware Hldg Inc JGWPT Holdings LLC
Apollo Global Management PBF Energy Inc Zulily
GNC Holdings Zoetis Inc AMC Entertainment Holdings
TMS International Health Ins Innovations Inc EP Energy Corp
Arcos Dorados Holdings Artisan Partners Asset Mgmt In Malibu Boats
Box Ships Inc Taylor Morrison Home Corp uniQure BV
Air Lease Corp Fairway Group Holdings Corp Ladder Capital
LinkedIn Corp Blackhawk Network Holdings Inc Lumenis Ltd
Yandex NV PennyMac Finl Svcs Inc Castlight Health Inc
KiOR William Lyon Homes Inc Phibro Animal Health Corp
Zillow Tableau Software Inc Moelis & Co LLC
Source: Jay Ritter, University of Florida
Nobody actually works at these new companies, and
most will not last long
Company Employees (most recent)
Zynga 1974
LinkedIn 6897
Groupon 3525 (North America)
Zillow 1215
Yelp 2711
Facebook 9199
Kayak 205
Tableau 1947
Zulily 2907
Box 1158
TOTAL 31,738
23Circuit City employees fired in January 2009: 34,000
Source: 10-K statements via EDGAR
Meanwhile, corporations in every industry are de-
composing back into a primordial soup
24
Corporations have no clue what to do with their money
25
How are corporations like elders giving their
money away to their grandchildren?
Meanwhile, back in retail and food service…
26
Organization design
is now a sub-field of
computer science
IF COASE IS RIGHT, WHAT WOULD
HAPPEN TO ORGANIZATIONS IF THERE
WERE READY PRICES FOR ALL THE
INPUTS?
27
28
The webpage enterprise
29
30
Yep, The Matrix was a documentary
31
How-to guide for an instant startup, ca. 2015
• Product: iPhone “remote drone assassin”
• Target market: neo-mercenary firms
1. Rent a desk in a shared office
2. Incorporate online in Liberia for $713.50
3. Crowdsource the funding at Kickstarter
4. Hire programmers for the app at oDesk
5. Find a drone manufacturer at Alibaba.com
6. Set up a payment system at Square
7. Get it shipped from the dock to our customers
BUT WHAT IF I NEED ACTUAL
PEOPLE TO SHOW UP?
40
41
42
After Nikefication: Uberfication
43
As of Dec. 2014, Uber
has 2000 employees
and 162,000 “driver-
partners” in the US
Source: Hall & Krueger, 2015
In contrast, GM has 120,000 North American workers left
Source: Moody’s, EDGAR, Compustat
45
What we think corporations are: What corporations really are:
INSTITUTIONAL COLLAPSE CAN BE
LIBERATING OR IMMISERATING
46
47
When Royston was a lad…
48
Goodbye, corporations; hello, precariat
49
3236404448
GiniCoefficient
02468
RatioofTop10EmployerstoLaborForce
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Employment Concentration Income Inequality
r = -.89
Some precedents
50
1815(ish) 1915(ish) 2015(ish)
ORGANIZATIONAL RESEARCHERS ARE
IN THE BEST POSITION TO ILLUMINATE
A MORE HUMANE PATH FORWARD
51
Possible paths going forward
• Dystopian cyber-Fordism: the global
online assembly line (brought to you by
Amazon’s Mturk™)
• Locavore wiki-everything (in which one is
a genetic engineer in the morning, an
urban fish farmer in the afternoon, and a
mash-up DJ in the evening)
52
Reasons for optimism
53
OMT is an intellectual crossroads
Nodes=biggest
divisions,
size scaled to
membership
Ties=500+ shared
members
Strategy
Micro
Joint division
memberships among
the largest AOM
divisions
OMT
55
Organization theory is an estuary
56
• The categories we use
to apprehend the
economic world
(“corporation,”
“employee”) no longer fit
the world we live in
• Organization theory
offers the best path for
comprehending and
acting on our emerging
system
• But: we have work to do
57

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New institutions for a new economic order (Keynote)

  • 1. New institutions for a new economic order Jerry Davis 13 June 2015
  • 2. 2
  • 3. What I am going to say • Society is in the midst of a regime shift in the costs of organizing due to information technologies • Information enables pervasive markets • Markets undermine institutions (like organizations) • Institutional collapse can be liberating or immiserating (or both) • Organizational researchers are in the best position to illuminate a more humane path forward 3
  • 4. A REGIME SHIFT IN THE COSTS OF ORGANIZING 4
  • 5. How to get 250,000 people to show up and protest, 1963 • Eight months • Six major sponsoring organizations • 200 activists coordinating transit by bus, train, plan, carpool • 4000 volunteer marshals on site 5
  • 6. How to get 250,000 people to show up and protest, 2011 • Four weeks • Two online activists • A Facebook page (“We are all Khaled Said”) • A challenge: – “January 25 is Police Day and it’s a national holiday… If 100,000 take to the streets, no one can stop us… I wonder if we can??” 6
  • 7. OMT, 1995 •5 paper copies of ~300 papers mailed in •Sorted, assigned reviewers, anonymized, mailed out (via USPS) by staff; reviews mailed in, entered into database, evaluated; decisioned, with decision letter and copies of reviews mailed; assigned to panels, scheduled by staff OMT, 2005 •429 papers and symposia uploaded electronically •Each assigned to 3 reviewers, decisioned, assigned to panels, scheduled by one person •[NB: This is why there are more free drinks at AOM these days…] 7 How to organize a conference with 100s of papers
  • 8. Blockbuster, 2005 • 83,000 employees • 9000 stores in strip malls across America Netflix, 2015 •2000 employees •Rents server space from Amazon 8
  • 9. Sony, 2010 •10.1% market share for LCD televisions (Q4) •150,000 employees Vizio, 2010 • 27.6% market share for LCD televisions (Q4) • 196 employees 9
  • 10. It’s a lot cheaper to coordinate the actions of many actors these days 10
  • 11. PS: These days everybody has their own journal 11
  • 13. Does everything have a price? 13
  • 15. 15
  • 16. Not all transactions require cash 16
  • 18. 18
  • 19. The number of public corporations in the US has dropped by over half since 1997 19 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2014
  • 20. 20 The “going public” fad of the 1990s is long gone Source: Jay Ritter, University of Florida
  • 21. And the companies going public today ignore basic standards of corporate governance 21
  • 22. Some companies going public since 2010 with dual- class voting rights (the “Zuckerberg grip”) 22 Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc Groupon Constellium NV Crude Carriers Corp Manning & Napier RCS Capital Corp MaxLinear Inc Zynga Coty Inc First Interstate BancSystem In Renewable Energy Group Truett-Hurst Inc DynaVox Inc Yelp Luxoft Holding Inc PAA Natural Gas Storage LP Vantiv Silvercrest Asset Management S&W Seed Co Digital Cinema Destinations Noodles & Co Niska Gas Storage Partners LLC Edgen Group Inc NRG Yield Inc Oxford Resource Partners LP The Carlyle Group LP UCP Inc Ameresco Inc Tilly's Inc Jones Energy Inc Green Dot Corp Facebook Inc Intrexon Corp Chesapeake Midstream Ptrs LP KAYAK Software Corp Pattern Energy Group Rhino Resource Partners LP Globus Medical Inc Premier Inc Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Co Manchester United PLC RingCentral FXCM Inc Workday Inc RE/MAX Holdings Swift Transportation Co Seadrill Partners LLC LDR Holding Adecoagro SA The WhiteWave Foods Co Veeva Systems MagnaChip Semiconductor Restoration Hardware Hldg Inc JGWPT Holdings LLC Apollo Global Management PBF Energy Inc Zulily GNC Holdings Zoetis Inc AMC Entertainment Holdings TMS International Health Ins Innovations Inc EP Energy Corp Arcos Dorados Holdings Artisan Partners Asset Mgmt In Malibu Boats Box Ships Inc Taylor Morrison Home Corp uniQure BV Air Lease Corp Fairway Group Holdings Corp Ladder Capital LinkedIn Corp Blackhawk Network Holdings Inc Lumenis Ltd Yandex NV PennyMac Finl Svcs Inc Castlight Health Inc KiOR William Lyon Homes Inc Phibro Animal Health Corp Zillow Tableau Software Inc Moelis & Co LLC Source: Jay Ritter, University of Florida
  • 23. Nobody actually works at these new companies, and most will not last long Company Employees (most recent) Zynga 1974 LinkedIn 6897 Groupon 3525 (North America) Zillow 1215 Yelp 2711 Facebook 9199 Kayak 205 Tableau 1947 Zulily 2907 Box 1158 TOTAL 31,738 23Circuit City employees fired in January 2009: 34,000 Source: 10-K statements via EDGAR
  • 24. Meanwhile, corporations in every industry are de- composing back into a primordial soup 24
  • 25. Corporations have no clue what to do with their money 25 How are corporations like elders giving their money away to their grandchildren?
  • 26. Meanwhile, back in retail and food service… 26 Organization design is now a sub-field of computer science
  • 27. IF COASE IS RIGHT, WHAT WOULD HAPPEN TO ORGANIZATIONS IF THERE WERE READY PRICES FOR ALL THE INPUTS? 27
  • 29. 29
  • 30. 30
  • 31. Yep, The Matrix was a documentary 31
  • 32. How-to guide for an instant startup, ca. 2015 • Product: iPhone “remote drone assassin” • Target market: neo-mercenary firms
  • 33. 1. Rent a desk in a shared office
  • 34. 2. Incorporate online in Liberia for $713.50
  • 35. 3. Crowdsource the funding at Kickstarter
  • 36. 4. Hire programmers for the app at oDesk
  • 37. 5. Find a drone manufacturer at Alibaba.com
  • 38. 6. Set up a payment system at Square
  • 39. 7. Get it shipped from the dock to our customers
  • 40. BUT WHAT IF I NEED ACTUAL PEOPLE TO SHOW UP? 40
  • 41. 41
  • 42. 42
  • 43. After Nikefication: Uberfication 43 As of Dec. 2014, Uber has 2000 employees and 162,000 “driver- partners” in the US Source: Hall & Krueger, 2015
  • 44. In contrast, GM has 120,000 North American workers left Source: Moody’s, EDGAR, Compustat
  • 45. 45 What we think corporations are: What corporations really are:
  • 46. INSTITUTIONAL COLLAPSE CAN BE LIBERATING OR IMMISERATING 46
  • 47. 47
  • 48. When Royston was a lad… 48
  • 49. Goodbye, corporations; hello, precariat 49 3236404448 GiniCoefficient 02468 RatioofTop10EmployerstoLaborForce 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Employment Concentration Income Inequality r = -.89
  • 51. ORGANIZATIONAL RESEARCHERS ARE IN THE BEST POSITION TO ILLUMINATE A MORE HUMANE PATH FORWARD 51
  • 52. Possible paths going forward • Dystopian cyber-Fordism: the global online assembly line (brought to you by Amazon’s Mturk™) • Locavore wiki-everything (in which one is a genetic engineer in the morning, an urban fish farmer in the afternoon, and a mash-up DJ in the evening) 52
  • 54. OMT is an intellectual crossroads Nodes=biggest divisions, size scaled to membership Ties=500+ shared members Strategy Micro Joint division memberships among the largest AOM divisions OMT
  • 56. 56
  • 57. • The categories we use to apprehend the economic world (“corporation,” “employee”) no longer fit the world we live in • Organization theory offers the best path for comprehending and acting on our emerging system • But: we have work to do 57

Editor's Notes

  1. We found a very strong relationship between income inequality and employment concentration in the United States since 1950. The correlation is a staggering -.89. And regression results are robust when considering other alternatives such as the rate of unionization, unemployment, and several other time-varying controls.