SlideShare a Scribd company logo

What's the Future?

My talk at the White House Frontiers Conference at CMU on October 13, 2016. I was one of the warmup acts for the President, talking about why we should embrace an AI future. Full text can be seen here

1 of 22
Download to read offline
What's the Future?
“…47 percent of jobs are “at risk”
of being automated in the next
20 years.”
Carl Frey and Michael Osborne, Oxford University
“The Future of Employment: How Susceptible
Are Jobs to Computerisation?”
What's the Future?
What's the Future?
The weavers of Ned Ludd’s
rebellion couldn’t imagine…
What's the Future?

Recommended

WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.
WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.
WTF? Why The Future Is Up To Us.Tim O'Reilly
 
Hardware innovation (keynote file)
Hardware innovation (keynote file)Hardware innovation (keynote file)
Hardware innovation (keynote file)Tim O'Reilly
 
Ficod 2011 (keynote file)
Ficod 2011 (keynote file)Ficod 2011 (keynote file)
Ficod 2011 (keynote file)Tim O'Reilly
 
Wtf e book!! DOWNLOAD HERE!!
Wtf e book!! DOWNLOAD HERE!! Wtf e book!! DOWNLOAD HERE!!
Wtf e book!! DOWNLOAD HERE!! James Barclay
 
Towards a New Distributional Economics
Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTowards a New Distributional Economics
Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTim O'Reilly
 
Government For The People, By The People, In the 21st Century
Government For The People, By The People, In the 21st CenturyGovernment For The People, By The People, In the 21st Century
Government For The People, By The People, In the 21st CenturyTim O'Reilly
 
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!
Do More. Do things that were previously impossible!Tim O'Reilly
 

More Related Content

What's hot

Networks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyNetworks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyTim O'Reilly
 
What's the Future of Work with AI?
What's the Future of Work with AI?What's the Future of Work with AI?
What's the Future of Work with AI?Tim O'Reilly
 
Why We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
Why We'll Never Run Out of JobsWhy We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
Why We'll Never Run Out of JobsTim O'Reilly
 
The Real Work of the 21st Century
The Real Work of the 21st CenturyThe Real Work of the 21st Century
The Real Work of the 21st CenturyTim O'Reilly
 
How AI Can Create Jobs
How AI Can Create JobsHow AI Can Create Jobs
How AI Can Create JobsTim O'Reilly
 
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?Tim O'Reilly
 
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx versionWTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx versionTim O'Reilly
 
The Future of Smart Disclosure (pdf)
The Future of Smart Disclosure (pdf)The Future of Smart Disclosure (pdf)
The Future of Smart Disclosure (pdf)Tim O'Reilly
 
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AI
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AIOpen Source in the Age of Cloud AI
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AITim O'Reilly
 
The Opportunity for Agile Governance
The Opportunity for Agile GovernanceThe Opportunity for Agile Governance
The Opportunity for Agile GovernanceTim O'Reilly
 
We Must Redraw the Map
We Must Redraw the MapWe Must Redraw the Map
We Must Redraw the MapTim O'Reilly
 
The Future of Smart Disclosure
The Future of Smart DisclosureThe Future of Smart Disclosure
The Future of Smart DisclosureTim O'Reilly
 

What's hot (13)

Networks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyNetworks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next Economy
 
What's the Future of Work with AI?
What's the Future of Work with AI?What's the Future of Work with AI?
What's the Future of Work with AI?
 
Why We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
Why We'll Never Run Out of JobsWhy We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
Why We'll Never Run Out of Jobs
 
The Real Work of the 21st Century
The Real Work of the 21st CenturyThe Real Work of the 21st Century
The Real Work of the 21st Century
 
How AI Can Create Jobs
How AI Can Create JobsHow AI Can Create Jobs
How AI Can Create Jobs
 
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
Enterprise AI: What's It Really Good For?
 
Cio Exchange08
Cio Exchange08Cio Exchange08
Cio Exchange08
 
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx versionWTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
WTF - Why the Future Is Up to Us - pptx version
 
The Future of Smart Disclosure (pdf)
The Future of Smart Disclosure (pdf)The Future of Smart Disclosure (pdf)
The Future of Smart Disclosure (pdf)
 
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AI
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AIOpen Source in the Age of Cloud AI
Open Source in the Age of Cloud AI
 
The Opportunity for Agile Governance
The Opportunity for Agile GovernanceThe Opportunity for Agile Governance
The Opportunity for Agile Governance
 
We Must Redraw the Map
We Must Redraw the MapWe Must Redraw the Map
We Must Redraw the Map
 
The Future of Smart Disclosure
The Future of Smart DisclosureThe Future of Smart Disclosure
The Future of Smart Disclosure
 

Viewers also liked

Keynote "Les effets de bord de l'innovation" - merkapt 2016
Keynote "Les effets de bord de l'innovation" - merkapt 2016Keynote "Les effets de bord de l'innovation" - merkapt 2016
Keynote "Les effets de bord de l'innovation" - merkapt 2016INNOVATION COPILOTS
 
Should Mentors of Entrepreneurs be Trained or their Experience is Enough?
Should Mentors of Entrepreneurs be Trained or their Experience is Enough?Should Mentors of Entrepreneurs be Trained or their Experience is Enough?
Should Mentors of Entrepreneurs be Trained or their Experience is Enough?INNOVATION COPILOTS
 
神戸大学講演
神戸大学講演神戸大学講演
神戸大学講演Mf Takatsuka
 
Junin así te vemos
Junin así te vemosJunin así te vemos
Junin así te vemosbicifanatica
 
Demystifying the Recruiting Funnel
Demystifying the Recruiting FunnelDemystifying the Recruiting Funnel
Demystifying the Recruiting FunnelHuman Capital Media
 
Christine Davies - Joe Public
Christine Davies - Joe PublicChristine Davies - Joe Public
Christine Davies - Joe Publicchristine strydom
 
Please join in if you know the song
Please join in if you know the songPlease join in if you know the song
Please join in if you know the songhaywardsprimary
 
Nuevas Tecnologías - Contexto
Nuevas Tecnologías - ContextoNuevas Tecnologías - Contexto
Nuevas Tecnologías - ContextoPaula Gentile
 
Accelerating the Recruiting Funnel
Accelerating the Recruiting FunnelAccelerating the Recruiting Funnel
Accelerating the Recruiting FunnelHuman Capital Media
 
The New Admissions Funnel
The New Admissions FunnelThe New Admissions Funnel
The New Admissions FunnelJoe Szejk
 
Best Practices for Mission-Critical Jenkins
Best Practices for Mission-Critical JenkinsBest Practices for Mission-Critical Jenkins
Best Practices for Mission-Critical Jenkinsmrooney7828
 
Conservazione Sostitutiva Legal Doclite
Conservazione Sostitutiva Legal DocliteConservazione Sostitutiva Legal Doclite
Conservazione Sostitutiva Legal DocliteInfoCert S.p.A.
 
Fatturazione ElettronicaPA
Fatturazione ElettronicaPAFatturazione ElettronicaPA
Fatturazione ElettronicaPAInfoCert S.p.A.
 
Premio innova s@lute2016 - InfoCert GeoSign
Premio innova s@lute2016 - InfoCert GeoSign Premio innova s@lute2016 - InfoCert GeoSign
Premio innova s@lute2016 - InfoCert GeoSign InfoCert S.p.A.
 

Viewers also liked (20)

Keynote "Les effets de bord de l'innovation" - merkapt 2016
Keynote "Les effets de bord de l'innovation" - merkapt 2016Keynote "Les effets de bord de l'innovation" - merkapt 2016
Keynote "Les effets de bord de l'innovation" - merkapt 2016
 
Should Mentors of Entrepreneurs be Trained or their Experience is Enough?
Should Mentors of Entrepreneurs be Trained or their Experience is Enough?Should Mentors of Entrepreneurs be Trained or their Experience is Enough?
Should Mentors of Entrepreneurs be Trained or their Experience is Enough?
 
神戸大学講演
神戸大学講演神戸大学講演
神戸大学講演
 
Junin así te vemos
Junin así te vemosJunin así te vemos
Junin así te vemos
 
The wall (v.m.) 2
The wall (v.m.) 2The wall (v.m.) 2
The wall (v.m.) 2
 
Demystifying the Recruiting Funnel
Demystifying the Recruiting FunnelDemystifying the Recruiting Funnel
Demystifying the Recruiting Funnel
 
Christine Davies - Joe Public
Christine Davies - Joe PublicChristine Davies - Joe Public
Christine Davies - Joe Public
 
Moises zapata hi_bernardo
Moises zapata hi_bernardoMoises zapata hi_bernardo
Moises zapata hi_bernardo
 
Please join in if you know the song
Please join in if you know the songPlease join in if you know the song
Please join in if you know the song
 
MusicTT IP Valuation - Conducting the Audit
MusicTT IP Valuation - Conducting the AuditMusicTT IP Valuation - Conducting the Audit
MusicTT IP Valuation - Conducting the Audit
 
Nuevas Tecnologías - Contexto
Nuevas Tecnologías - ContextoNuevas Tecnologías - Contexto
Nuevas Tecnologías - Contexto
 
Accelerating the Recruiting Funnel
Accelerating the Recruiting FunnelAccelerating the Recruiting Funnel
Accelerating the Recruiting Funnel
 
LinkedIn_2
LinkedIn_2LinkedIn_2
LinkedIn_2
 
The New Admissions Funnel
The New Admissions FunnelThe New Admissions Funnel
The New Admissions Funnel
 
Best Practices for Mission-Critical Jenkins
Best Practices for Mission-Critical JenkinsBest Practices for Mission-Critical Jenkins
Best Practices for Mission-Critical Jenkins
 
Comunicare in rete per lo sviluppo
Comunicare in rete per lo sviluppo Comunicare in rete per lo sviluppo
Comunicare in rete per lo sviluppo
 
Conservazione Sostitutiva Legal Doclite
Conservazione Sostitutiva Legal DocliteConservazione Sostitutiva Legal Doclite
Conservazione Sostitutiva Legal Doclite
 
Smpp v3 4
Smpp v3 4Smpp v3 4
Smpp v3 4
 
Fatturazione ElettronicaPA
Fatturazione ElettronicaPAFatturazione ElettronicaPA
Fatturazione ElettronicaPA
 
Premio innova s@lute2016 - InfoCert GeoSign
Premio innova s@lute2016 - InfoCert GeoSign Premio innova s@lute2016 - InfoCert GeoSign
Premio innova s@lute2016 - InfoCert GeoSign
 

Similar to What's the Future?

Humans, Machines, and Work: The Future Is Now!
Humans, Machines, and Work: The Future Is Now!Humans, Machines, and Work: The Future Is Now!
Humans, Machines, and Work: The Future Is Now!Moshe Vardi
 
The Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
The Digital Paradox: Finding the BalanceThe Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
The Digital Paradox: Finding the BalanceWorldFuture2015
 
AI and The Future of the Workplace
AI and The Future of the WorkplaceAI and The Future of the Workplace
AI and The Future of the WorkplaceAbraham Samuel
 
Future of Work Quotes
Future of Work QuotesFuture of Work Quotes
Future of Work QuotesSamuel Albert
 
Design in an Age of Automation
Design in an Age of AutomationDesign in an Age of Automation
Design in an Age of AutomationPlan
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314Kyle King
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314ainaraa10
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314ainaraa10
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314ainaraa10
 
Kim Solez How AI can improve human cooperation AI Seminar August 5 2022.pptx
Kim Solez How AI can improve human cooperation AI Seminar August 5 2022.pptxKim Solez How AI can improve human cooperation AI Seminar August 5 2022.pptx
Kim Solez How AI can improve human cooperation AI Seminar August 5 2022.pptxKim Solez ,
 
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...gerogepatton
 
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...ijaia
 
Securityand policing2015(2.05)
Securityand policing2015(2.05)Securityand policing2015(2.05)
Securityand policing2015(2.05)guest7227c5
 
A skeptic's view of Automation and AI
A skeptic's view of Automation and AIA skeptic's view of Automation and AI
A skeptic's view of Automation and AIRob England
 

Similar to What's the Future? (20)

Humans, Machines, and Work: The Future Is Now!
Humans, Machines, and Work: The Future Is Now!Humans, Machines, and Work: The Future Is Now!
Humans, Machines, and Work: The Future Is Now!
 
The Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
The Digital Paradox: Finding the BalanceThe Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
The Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
 
AI and The Future of the Workplace
AI and The Future of the WorkplaceAI and The Future of the Workplace
AI and The Future of the Workplace
 
Future of Work Quotes
Future of Work QuotesFuture of Work Quotes
Future of Work Quotes
 
Design in an Age of Automation
Design in an Age of AutomationDesign in an Age of Automation
Design in an Age of Automation
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314
 
G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314G20 170112212314
G20 170112212314
 
Kim Solez How AI can improve human cooperation AI Seminar August 5 2022.pptx
Kim Solez How AI can improve human cooperation AI Seminar August 5 2022.pptxKim Solez How AI can improve human cooperation AI Seminar August 5 2022.pptx
Kim Solez How AI can improve human cooperation AI Seminar August 5 2022.pptx
 
September122010
September122010September122010
September122010
 
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
 
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...
 
Essay On Importance Of Technology
Essay On Importance Of TechnologyEssay On Importance Of Technology
Essay On Importance Of Technology
 
Securityand policing2015(2.05)
Securityand policing2015(2.05)Securityand policing2015(2.05)
Securityand policing2015(2.05)
 
A skeptic's view of Automation and AI
A skeptic's view of Automation and AIA skeptic's view of Automation and AI
A skeptic's view of Automation and AI
 

More from Tim O'Reilly

Mastering the demons of our own design
Mastering the demons of our own designMastering the demons of our own design
Mastering the demons of our own designTim O'Reilly
 
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)Tim O'Reilly
 
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on DemandLearning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on DemandTim O'Reilly
 
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth ModelWhat's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth ModelTim O'Reilly
 
Networks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyNetworks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyTim O'Reilly
 
Networks and the Nature of the Firm
Networks and the Nature of the FirmNetworks and the Nature of the Firm
Networks and the Nature of the FirmTim O'Reilly
 
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional EconomicsWe Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional EconomicsTim O'Reilly
 
Amazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
Amazon.com's Web Services OpportunityAmazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
Amazon.com's Web Services OpportunityTim O'Reilly
 
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not InstitutionsReinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not InstitutionsTim O'Reilly
 
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)Tim O'Reilly
 
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)Tim O'Reilly
 
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing ThemThe AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing ThemTim O'Reilly
 
By People, For People
By People, For PeopleBy People, For People
By People, For PeopleTim O'Reilly
 
Software Above the Level of a Single Device
Software Above the Level of a Single DeviceSoftware Above the Level of a Single Device
Software Above the Level of a Single DeviceTim O'Reilly
 
Technology and Trust: The Challenge of 21st Century Government
Technology and Trust: The Challenge of 21st Century GovernmentTechnology and Trust: The Challenge of 21st Century Government
Technology and Trust: The Challenge of 21st Century GovernmentTim O'Reilly
 

More from Tim O'Reilly (16)

Mastering the demons of our own design
Mastering the demons of our own designMastering the demons of our own design
Mastering the demons of our own design
 
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
What's Wrong with the Silicon Valley Growth Model (Extended UCL Lecture)
 
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on DemandLearning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
Learning in the Age of Knowledge on Demand
 
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth ModelWhat's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
What's Wrong With Silicon Valley's Growth Model
 
Networks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next EconomyNetworks and the Next Economy
Networks and the Next Economy
 
Networks and the Nature of the Firm
Networks and the Nature of the FirmNetworks and the Nature of the Firm
Networks and the Nature of the Firm
 
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional EconomicsWe Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
We Get What We Ask For: Towards a New Distributional Economics
 
Amazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
Amazon.com's Web Services OpportunityAmazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
Amazon.com's Web Services Opportunity
 
WTF?
WTF? WTF?
WTF?
 
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not InstitutionsReinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
Reinventing Healthcare to Serve People, Not Institutions
 
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (ppt)
 
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
Government as a Platform: What We've Learned Since 2008 (pdf with notes)
 
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing ThemThe AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
The AIs Are Not Taking Our Jobs...They Are Changing Them
 
By People, For People
By People, For PeopleBy People, For People
By People, For People
 
Software Above the Level of a Single Device
Software Above the Level of a Single DeviceSoftware Above the Level of a Single Device
Software Above the Level of a Single Device
 
Technology and Trust: The Challenge of 21st Century Government
Technology and Trust: The Challenge of 21st Century GovernmentTechnology and Trust: The Challenge of 21st Century Government
Technology and Trust: The Challenge of 21st Century Government
 

Recently uploaded

Achieving Excellence IESVE for HVAC Simulation.pdf
Achieving Excellence IESVE for HVAC Simulation.pdfAchieving Excellence IESVE for HVAC Simulation.pdf
Achieving Excellence IESVE for HVAC Simulation.pdfIES VE
 
Geospatial Synergy: Amplifying Efficiency with FME & Esri
Geospatial Synergy: Amplifying Efficiency with FME & EsriGeospatial Synergy: Amplifying Efficiency with FME & Esri
Geospatial Synergy: Amplifying Efficiency with FME & EsriSafe Software
 
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework...
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework...National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework...
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework...MichaelBenis1
 
Low Latency at Extreme Scale: Proven Practices & Pitfalls
Low Latency at Extreme Scale: Proven Practices & PitfallsLow Latency at Extreme Scale: Proven Practices & Pitfalls
Low Latency at Extreme Scale: Proven Practices & PitfallsScyllaDB
 
Roundtable_-_API_Research__Testing_Tools.pdf
Roundtable_-_API_Research__Testing_Tools.pdfRoundtable_-_API_Research__Testing_Tools.pdf
Roundtable_-_API_Research__Testing_Tools.pdfMostafa Higazy
 
Leonis Insights: The State of AI (7 trends for 2023 and 7 predictions for 2024)
Leonis Insights: The State of AI (7 trends for 2023 and 7 predictions for 2024)Leonis Insights: The State of AI (7 trends for 2023 and 7 predictions for 2024)
Leonis Insights: The State of AI (7 trends for 2023 and 7 predictions for 2024)Jay Zhao
 
Trending now: Book subjects on the move in the Canadian market - Tech Forum 2024
Trending now: Book subjects on the move in the Canadian market - Tech Forum 2024Trending now: Book subjects on the move in the Canadian market - Tech Forum 2024
Trending now: Book subjects on the move in the Canadian market - Tech Forum 2024BookNet Canada
 
Pragmatic UI testing with Compose Semantics.pdf
Pragmatic UI testing with Compose Semantics.pdfPragmatic UI testing with Compose Semantics.pdf
Pragmatic UI testing with Compose Semantics.pdfinfogdgmi
 
Key projects in AI, ML and Generative AI
Key projects in AI, ML and Generative AIKey projects in AI, ML and Generative AI
Key projects in AI, ML and Generative AIVijayananda Mohire
 
Establishing data sharing standards to promote global industry development
Establishing data sharing standards to promote global industry developmentEstablishing data sharing standards to promote global industry development
Establishing data sharing standards to promote global industry developmentThorsten Huelsmann
 
Centralized TLS Certificates Management Using Vault PKI + Cert-Manager
Centralized TLS Certificates Management Using Vault PKI + Cert-ManagerCentralized TLS Certificates Management Using Vault PKI + Cert-Manager
Centralized TLS Certificates Management Using Vault PKI + Cert-ManagerSaiLinnThu2
 
Large Language Models and Applications in Healthcare
Large Language Models and Applications in HealthcareLarge Language Models and Applications in Healthcare
Large Language Models and Applications in HealthcareAsma Ben Abacha
 
Boosting Developer Effectiveness with a Java platform team 1.4 - ArnhemJUG
Boosting Developer Effectiveness with a Java platform team 1.4 - ArnhemJUGBoosting Developer Effectiveness with a Java platform team 1.4 - ArnhemJUG
Boosting Developer Effectiveness with a Java platform team 1.4 - ArnhemJUGRick Ossendrijver
 
Improving IT Investment Decisions and Business Outcomes with Integrated Enter...
Improving IT Investment Decisions and Business Outcomes with Integrated Enter...Improving IT Investment Decisions and Business Outcomes with Integrated Enter...
Improving IT Investment Decisions and Business Outcomes with Integrated Enter...Cprime
 
Unleash the Solace Pub Sub connector | Banaglore MuleSoft Meetup #31
Unleash the Solace Pub Sub connector | Banaglore MuleSoft Meetup #31Unleash the Solace Pub Sub connector | Banaglore MuleSoft Meetup #31
Unleash the Solace Pub Sub connector | Banaglore MuleSoft Meetup #31shyamraj55
 
SKY Paradigms, change and cake: the steep curve of introducing new technologies
SKY Paradigms, change and cake: the steep curve of introducing new technologiesSKY Paradigms, change and cake: the steep curve of introducing new technologies
SKY Paradigms, change and cake: the steep curve of introducing new technologiesNeo4j
 
New ThousandEyes Product Features and Release Highlights: February 2024
New ThousandEyes Product Features and Release Highlights: February 2024New ThousandEyes Product Features and Release Highlights: February 2024
New ThousandEyes Product Features and Release Highlights: February 2024ThousandEyes
 
My Journey towards Artificial Intelligence
My Journey towards Artificial IntelligenceMy Journey towards Artificial Intelligence
My Journey towards Artificial IntelligenceVijayananda Mohire
 
The Art of the Possible with Graph by Dr Jim Webber Neo4j.pptx
The Art of the Possible with Graph by Dr Jim Webber Neo4j.pptxThe Art of the Possible with Graph by Dr Jim Webber Neo4j.pptx
The Art of the Possible with Graph by Dr Jim Webber Neo4j.pptxNeo4j
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Achieving Excellence IESVE for HVAC Simulation.pdf
Achieving Excellence IESVE for HVAC Simulation.pdfAchieving Excellence IESVE for HVAC Simulation.pdf
Achieving Excellence IESVE for HVAC Simulation.pdf
 
Geospatial Synergy: Amplifying Efficiency with FME & Esri
Geospatial Synergy: Amplifying Efficiency with FME & EsriGeospatial Synergy: Amplifying Efficiency with FME & Esri
Geospatial Synergy: Amplifying Efficiency with FME & Esri
 
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework...
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework...National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework...
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity Framework...
 
Low Latency at Extreme Scale: Proven Practices & Pitfalls
Low Latency at Extreme Scale: Proven Practices & PitfallsLow Latency at Extreme Scale: Proven Practices & Pitfalls
Low Latency at Extreme Scale: Proven Practices & Pitfalls
 
Roundtable_-_API_Research__Testing_Tools.pdf
Roundtable_-_API_Research__Testing_Tools.pdfRoundtable_-_API_Research__Testing_Tools.pdf
Roundtable_-_API_Research__Testing_Tools.pdf
 
Leonis Insights: The State of AI (7 trends for 2023 and 7 predictions for 2024)
Leonis Insights: The State of AI (7 trends for 2023 and 7 predictions for 2024)Leonis Insights: The State of AI (7 trends for 2023 and 7 predictions for 2024)
Leonis Insights: The State of AI (7 trends for 2023 and 7 predictions for 2024)
 
Trending now: Book subjects on the move in the Canadian market - Tech Forum 2024
Trending now: Book subjects on the move in the Canadian market - Tech Forum 2024Trending now: Book subjects on the move in the Canadian market - Tech Forum 2024
Trending now: Book subjects on the move in the Canadian market - Tech Forum 2024
 
In sharing we trust. Taking advantage of a diverse consortium to build a tran...
In sharing we trust. Taking advantage of a diverse consortium to build a tran...In sharing we trust. Taking advantage of a diverse consortium to build a tran...
In sharing we trust. Taking advantage of a diverse consortium to build a tran...
 
Pragmatic UI testing with Compose Semantics.pdf
Pragmatic UI testing with Compose Semantics.pdfPragmatic UI testing with Compose Semantics.pdf
Pragmatic UI testing with Compose Semantics.pdf
 
Key projects in AI, ML and Generative AI
Key projects in AI, ML and Generative AIKey projects in AI, ML and Generative AI
Key projects in AI, ML and Generative AI
 
Establishing data sharing standards to promote global industry development
Establishing data sharing standards to promote global industry developmentEstablishing data sharing standards to promote global industry development
Establishing data sharing standards to promote global industry development
 
Centralized TLS Certificates Management Using Vault PKI + Cert-Manager
Centralized TLS Certificates Management Using Vault PKI + Cert-ManagerCentralized TLS Certificates Management Using Vault PKI + Cert-Manager
Centralized TLS Certificates Management Using Vault PKI + Cert-Manager
 
Large Language Models and Applications in Healthcare
Large Language Models and Applications in HealthcareLarge Language Models and Applications in Healthcare
Large Language Models and Applications in Healthcare
 
Boosting Developer Effectiveness with a Java platform team 1.4 - ArnhemJUG
Boosting Developer Effectiveness with a Java platform team 1.4 - ArnhemJUGBoosting Developer Effectiveness with a Java platform team 1.4 - ArnhemJUG
Boosting Developer Effectiveness with a Java platform team 1.4 - ArnhemJUG
 
Improving IT Investment Decisions and Business Outcomes with Integrated Enter...
Improving IT Investment Decisions and Business Outcomes with Integrated Enter...Improving IT Investment Decisions and Business Outcomes with Integrated Enter...
Improving IT Investment Decisions and Business Outcomes with Integrated Enter...
 
Unleash the Solace Pub Sub connector | Banaglore MuleSoft Meetup #31
Unleash the Solace Pub Sub connector | Banaglore MuleSoft Meetup #31Unleash the Solace Pub Sub connector | Banaglore MuleSoft Meetup #31
Unleash the Solace Pub Sub connector | Banaglore MuleSoft Meetup #31
 
SKY Paradigms, change and cake: the steep curve of introducing new technologies
SKY Paradigms, change and cake: the steep curve of introducing new technologiesSKY Paradigms, change and cake: the steep curve of introducing new technologies
SKY Paradigms, change and cake: the steep curve of introducing new technologies
 
New ThousandEyes Product Features and Release Highlights: February 2024
New ThousandEyes Product Features and Release Highlights: February 2024New ThousandEyes Product Features and Release Highlights: February 2024
New ThousandEyes Product Features and Release Highlights: February 2024
 
My Journey towards Artificial Intelligence
My Journey towards Artificial IntelligenceMy Journey towards Artificial Intelligence
My Journey towards Artificial Intelligence
 
The Art of the Possible with Graph by Dr Jim Webber Neo4j.pptx
The Art of the Possible with Graph by Dr Jim Webber Neo4j.pptxThe Art of the Possible with Graph by Dr Jim Webber Neo4j.pptx
The Art of the Possible with Graph by Dr Jim Webber Neo4j.pptx
 

What's the Future?

  • 2. “…47 percent of jobs are “at risk” of being automated in the next 20 years.” Carl Frey and Michael Osborne, Oxford University “The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?”
  • 5. The weavers of Ned Ludd’s rebellion couldn’t imagine…
  • 9. The future of health care is out for delivery.
  • 12. “ God did not make being an auto worker a good job!” —David Rolf, SEIU
  • 13. “The New Deal’s Reconstruction Finance Corporation helped light up America — moving it from 10 percent of homes having electricity in 1930 to more than 60 percent a decade later. [We] utterly transform[ed] the economy in about five years, by using idle capital.” –Louis Hyman Borrow: The American Way of Debt
  • 15. Are we done yet? “ Technology is the solution to human problems. We won’t run out of work till we run out of problems.” –Nick Hanauer
  • 17. AI will help us tailor treatment to each individual.
  • 18. The White House Brain Initiative: Could AI help us build “cognitive prosthetics”?
  • 19. Climate change is for our generation what World War II was for our parents and grandparents.
  • 20. “It takes a machine to get inside the OODA loop of another machine.” Observe Orient Decide Act A DARPA Cyber Grand Challenge team
  • 21. But we do have a responsibility to get the transformation right! “The great question of the 21st century will be “Whose black box do we trust?” —John Mattison

Editor's Notes

  1. Hearing that Bob Dylan just won the Nobel Prize for Literature, how could I not begin this talk with his famous line, “Something is happening here, but you don’t know what it is, do you, Mr. Jones?” The future is full of amazing things. On my way here, I spoke out loud to a $200 dollar device in our kitchen, and asked it to call a Lyft to take me to the airport. And in a few years, that car might well be driving itself. Someone seeing this for the first time would have every excuse to say “WTF?” That of course is an expression of surprise and delight that stands for What’s the Future? But many lot of people are reading the news about Artificial Intelligence and are feeling a profound sense of unease. They are also asking themselves WTF? What’s the Future? But in a very different tone of voice.
  2. They read that researchers at Oxford University project that up to 47% of human tasks, including many white collar jobs, could be eliminated by automation within the next 20 years.
  3. They’ve head that self driving cars and trucks will put millions of Americans out of work. I’d like to provide an alternate perspective.
  4. Back in 1811 and 1812, a group of weavers led by Ned Ludd staged a rebellion, smashing the steam powered looms that were threatening their livelihood. Ludd and his compatriots were right to be afraid. The decades ahead were grim, as machines replaced human labor, and it took time for society to adjust.
  5. But those weavers couldn’t imagine that their descendants would have more clothing than the kings and queens of Europe, that ordinary people, not just kings and queens, would eat the fruits of summer in the depths of winter. They couldn’t imagine that we’d tunnel through mountains and under the sea, that we’d fly through the air, crossing continents in hours, that we’d build cities in the desert with buildings a half mile high, that we’d put spacecraft in orbit, that we would eliminate so many scourges of disease! And they couldn’t imagine that their children, grandchildren, and great grandchildren would find meaningful work bringing all of these things to life!
  6. To understand the future, it often helps to look backwards. I want to start here, with one of the world’s most heralded inventions. Can you imagine the first woman (I imagine it was a woman) who built a controlled fire? How amazed her companions were. Perhaps afraid at first. But soon warmed and fed by her boldness. But even more important than fire itself was the ability to tell others about it! It was language that was our first great invention, the ability to pass fire from mind to mind.
  7. The invention of movable type and the book led to remarkable flowering in the world economy, as the discoverers of the new could pass the fire of knowledge to people not yet born and to those living thousands of miles away. The internet was the next great leap. But the web browser - effectively the written word online - was only a halfway house. Photo: Tim O’Reilly, The old War Department Library, Eisenhower Executive Office Building, Washington D.C.
  8. I was reminded recently just how access to knowledge has changed when riding on San Francisco’s 14 Mission bus. I was sitting between two old men. I pulled out my phone to check where to get off. The old man on my right was agog. He’d never seen Google Maps before. The other jumped in eagerly, explaining that the blue dot followed our progress. I left them, one still in wonder, the other confident in the new reality, now demoing Google Maps on his phone to the other, who had never seen it.(photo of Bill Gates center at CM)
  9. Think about it for a moment. Over a billion people can pull out a phone and see where they are and how to get where they want to go in real time. And that capability underlies on-demand services like Uber, and remarkable new startups like Zipline, which is delivering blood and critical medicines by drone in countries without good roads or accessible hospital infrastructure. Zipline’s first pilot was in Rwanda, but they are already bringing the technology back to the US. Imagine if FEMA had access to this technology right now!
  10. GPS and Google maps illustrate what I call “the arc of knowledge.” We’ve gone from the spoken to the written word, to mass production of writing, to electronic dissemination via the internet, to embedding knowledge into services and devices. AI is simply the next step in that arc, feeding massive amounts of data into Machine Learning models to find new meaning in it and to enable new kinds of services. AI is not some kind of radical discontinuity. AI is not the machine from the future that is hostile to human values and will put us all out of work. AI is the next step in the spread and usefulness of knowledge, which is the true source of the wealth of nations.
  11. It’s easy to blame technology for the problems that occur in periods of great economic transition. But both the problems and the solutions are the result of human choices. As we saw during the first industrial revolution, society suffers if the fruits of automation are used solely to enrich the owners of the machines, and workers are treated as a cost to be eliminated, or as cogs in the machine, to be used up and thrown away. But Victorian England figured out how to do without slavery, without child labor, with reduced working hours, and guess what, society became more prosperous. We saw the same thing here in the US during the 20th century.
  12. It’s important to remember, that, as my friend, the labor organizer David Rolf, points out, “God did not make being an auto worker a good job!” We made choices as a society to share the fruits of machine productivity more widely.
  13. We also made choices to invest in the future. That golden age of postwar productivity was the result of massive investments in in roads and bridges, universal power, water, sanitation, communications. Louis Hyman, author of Borrow: The American Way of Debt, pointed out that we went from 10% of homes in the US having electricity in 1930 to 60% ten years later, simply by putting idle capital and human ingenuity to work. After World War II, we committed enormous resources to rebuild the lands destroyed by war, but we also invested in basic research. We invested in new industries: aerospace, chemicals, and yes, computers and telecommunications.
  14. We also invested in education. Education. Sociologist and author Robert Putnam once said “All of the great advances in our society have come when we have made investments in other people’s children.”
  15. In the age of AI, we are faced again with that choice to invest in the future. Technology investor Nick Hanauer said ““Technology is the solution to human problems. We won’t run out of work till we run out of problems.” AI has the potential to turbocharge the productivity of all our industries. But making what we do now more productive, and sharing the fruits of that productivity, is just the beginning. If we let machines put us out of work, it will be because of a failure of imagination and a lack of will to make a better future! We must ask ourselves: What is impossible today, but will become possible with the technology we are now afraid of? “We won’t run out of work till we run out of problems.” Are we done yet? Are we done yet?
  16. Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan’s announcement a few weeks ago to fund an initiative that aims to cure all disease within their children’s lifetime is a great example of bold dreams. It’s hard to imagine that AI and Machine Learning won’t play a major role in achieving that ambitious goal. Already AI is being used to analyze millions of radiology scans at a level of resolution and precision impossible for humans, as well as helping doctors to keep up with the flood of medical research at a level that can’t be accomplished by a human practitioner.
  17. And the White House Precision Medicine Initiative has already helped blaze that trail, with a vision of tailoring treatment to each individual patient. AI will play a huge role in precision medicine. We contribute our data; machines will help us interpret it. I heard recently from one startup that of the over 1 million full human genomes that have been sequenced, only 49000 have been interpreted. That’s a job for AI. Image from: https://www.whitehouse.gov/precision-medicine
  18. Perhaps even more exciting, we’re studying the brain and how it works, with the prospect of creating prosthetics that give their users a sense of touch, that allow direct brain control of devices, and even “brain prosthetics” to deal with neurological diseases! Image from: http://www.darpa.mil/program/neural-engineering-system-design
  19. How about Climate Change? Climate change is for our generation what World War II was for our parents and grandparents, a challenge that we must rise to or suffer dire consequences. Already in data centers, AI is radically increasing power efficiency. How do we rethink and rebuild our electric grid to be decentralized and adaptive? How do we use autonomous vehicles to rethink the layout of our cities, making them greener, healthier, better places to live? How do we use AI to anticipate ever more unpredictable weather, protecting our agriculture, our cities, and our economy?
  20. Cybersecurity is another of our great challenges. And we are rising to it with the aid of Machine Learning. The DARPA Cyber Grand Challenge asked for the development of AI to find and automatically patch software vulnerabilities that corporate and government IT teams just aren’t able to keep up with. The problem is that an increasing number of cyber attacks are being automated, and as one knowledgeable friend of mine, who wishes to remain anonymous, remarked, “It takes a machine to get inside the OODA loop of another machine.” (OODA: Observe, Orient, Decide, Act.) Image from https://www.cybergrandchallenge.com/press#photogallery
  21. And as with every new technology, one of our grand challenges is governing our own creations. Kaiser Chief Medical Information Officer John Mattison once remarked, “The great question of the 21st century will be “Whose black box do we trust?” We have to ensure that we are transparent about the algorithms we create, and work to make them free of bias. We have to ensure that AI is not controlled by only a few giant corporations but becomes the common heritage of mankind. And we have to ensure that every data science and Computer Science training program has ethics and security embedded throughout the curriculum.
  22. AI is a tool for human purpose, the next step in a long line that goes back through the ox and plough, the sawmill and the factory, the steam engine and the automobile, the airplane and the communications satellite. Are we done yet? Are we done yet? What challenges lie ahead that only AI can help us solve? We must return again and again to the perpetual challenge: Can we hand off a better world to our children? Thank you very much.