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MANEUVERING AROUND UNCERTAINTY
Public opinion insights from the July 8, 2020 “Back-
to-Normal Barometer”
RON BONJEAN, PARTNER, ROKK SOLUTIONS
RICH THAU, PRESIDENT OF ENGAGIOUS
JON LAST, PRESIDENT OF SPORTS & LEISURE RESEARCH GROUP
MATT STEFFEE, SENIOR RESEARCHER AT ENGAGIOUS
CONTEXT:RESPONDENTSACTIVELYENGAGE
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
GROWINGNUMBERSENGAGEDIN PAST MONTH
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
FUTURE EXPECTATIONS FUEL MODEST CONFIDENCE UPTICK
29%
23%
35%
+5
+2
Confidence
Barometer
Future Expectations
Current Conditions
Wave 7: n=598, Back to Normal Barometer – July 8, 2020
Wave 6: n=565, Back to Normal Barometer – June 17, 2020
-1
FUTURE EXPECTATIONS FUEL MODEST CONFIDENCE UPTICK
28%
Confidence Barometer Future Expectations
COVID-19 Heavy
Wave 7: n=598, Back to Normal Barometer – July 8, 2020
Wave 6: n=565, Back to Normal Barometer – June 17, 2020
29%COVID-19 Light
Current Conditions
22%
23%
34%
35%
There are no significant differences in confidence between the
“COVID-19 Heavy” states versus “COVID-19 Light” states.
49%
61%
Personal Finances
45%
60%
Potential to contract
COVID-19
The U.S. Economy
PERSONAL
SOCIETAL
MEDICAL $$$
+11 +8
+5
SOCIETAL CONCERNS STILL DOMINATE
+8
Impact on leisure
activities
57%
Impact on
American society
UNREST
The overall public
health crisis
*Percentage who said they are extremely concerned
Wave 7: n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
Wave 6: n=565 Back to Normal Barometer – June 17, 2020
+9
+7
44%
9-week high
9-week high
49%
61%
Personal Finances
45%
60%
Potential to contract
COVID-19
The U.S. Economy
PERSONAL
SOCIETAL
MEDICAL $$$
COVID-HEAVY AREAS ARE EVEN MORE CONCERNED
Heavy
62%
Impact on leisure
activities
57%
Impact on
American society
UNREST
The overall public
health crisis
*Percentage who said they are extremely concerned
Wave 7: n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
Wave 6: n=565 Back to Normal Barometer – June 17, 2020
44%
9-week high
9-week high
Light
59%
Heavy
63%
Light
57%
Heavy
60%
Light
53%
Heavy
56%
Light
45%
Heavy
51%
Light
41%
Heavy
44%
Light
43%
2/3 STAYED AT HOME JULY 4 WEEKEND
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
MANY ALTERED PLANS TO AVOID CASES, MASKS OR UNREST
n=94, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
TALES OF THREE VERY DIFFERENT
INDEPENDENCE DAY WEEKENDS
Greg:
Eager
to go
Steve:
Careful
to go
Jocelyn:
Unwilling
to go
THEY’REWORRIEDABOUT A SECOND WAVE…
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
…AND IT’S UNDERMINING THEIR WILLINGNESS TO TRAVEL
n=217, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
THEY’REWORRIEDABOUT LOSING THEIRJOB
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
THEY’REWORRIED WE’REREOPENING TOOQUICKLY
n=588, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
AND THEY’RE WORRIED THEY’RE NOTGETTINGCLEARGUIDANCE
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
AMIDST WORRY, YOU NEED TO HAVE THEIR BACKS
• Wisdom, certainty, and trust are in short supply
• Americans don’t believe others are being as diligent in their adherence to
safety protocols as they are
• In the absence of clear guidance, one’s confidence to re-engage is tied to
an ability to control the health risk of a given experience
• Your challenge: Can you enhance the semblance of personal control?
Can you provide the certainty people crave?
 Message: “You don’t have to worry about others’ behavior; we’ve got you covered.”
EXAMPLEOFGIVING CERTAINTY&GETTING ITRIGHT
“At the hotel, they did the extra guidelines and took the effort to have
extra cleaning, make sure [there was] spacing. The staff and everyone was
wearing masks. It had a pool [at] the place that we stayed, and they had it
set up that you would schedule your time there. That way people weren’t
interacting too much. It’s kind of what I was expecting that they would do
in a case like that. [Their attitude was,] ‘We’re going to try and stay open,
but we’re going to follow the guidelines how we’re supposed to.’ It was a
great experience overall.” – Nick (Male, age 36, California)
Getting back to business
MAJORITY WOULD DO THE BASICS TO KEEP ECONOMY GOING
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
THEY’D WEAR A MASK TO AVOID BEING QUARANTINED
n=217, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
Near the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, Congress created new requirements
that businesses with fewer than 500 workers provide paid sick time and some family
caregiving leave to their workers through the end of 2020 for COVID-related health
and care issues.
Workers who are covered can take up to 10 paid sick days—and up to 10 paid weeks of
paid family leave—to care for child who is out of school, or child care because of a
COVID-related closure. The government reimburses businesses for doing so.
However, these paid sick and family leave requirements and tax credits only apply to
businesses with fewer than 500 employees. There are no national requirements that
larger businesses provide any type of paid sick or family leave to their employees.
Would you favor or oppose…
n= 598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
STRONG SUPPORT OF POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
STRONG SUPPORT FOR EXPANDING PAID SICK LEAVE
DECLINING % WOULD RETURN TOMORROW
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
READY OR NOT: STAY AT A HOTEL OR RESORT
n=286, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
READY OR NOT: ATTEND A LIVE SPORTING EVENT
n=291, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
READY OR NOT: VISIT A RETAIL STORE
n=402, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
WITH ASSURANCES, 65% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS
n=286, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
WITH ASSURANCES, 51% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS
n=367, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
1/3 LIKELY TO PLAN/BOOK/TAKE A SUMMER TRIP
n=217, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
THERE ARE LOTS OF REASONS TO NOT TAKE A SUMMER TRIP
n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
A closer look at sports
SPORTS FANS EXHIBIT SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY
I am concerned that we will not see fans in
attendance at this sport in 2020
There is a concern among many fans that their sports may not even return in 2020—with or without
fans in attendance.
41%
43%
47%
55%
Hockey
Baseball
Basketball
Football
I am concerned that this sport will
actually not resume play in 2020
56%
54%
55%
57%
Hockey
Baseball
Basketball
Football
GOLF PARTICIPATION CONTINUES UPWARD TREND
Played golf within the
past two weeks
27%
35%
32%
40%
59%
46%
54%
8%
17%
15%
12%
17%
10%
19%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7
Planning to play
within the next week
Led by…
• Males
• 25 to 34
• Western region
• Business travelers
• Avid golfers
THOSE WHO FOLLOW GOLF CLOSELY TEND TO BE MORE OPTIMISTIC
62%
51% 51%
45%43% 42%
38%
34%
I'm likely to take a domestic business
trip in the next six to twelve months
Before the end of 2020, the
unemployment rate will hit its
highpoint and then decline as the
economy begins to add jobs
Taking a vacation of over 500 miles or
more is a priority for me and my
family in the next 12 months
People will go back to spending freely
on luxuries again in 2021
Golf fans Total
Strongly agree*
*Top three box (1-10 scale)
Ron Bonjean, ron@rokksolutions.com
Rich Thau, rich@engagious.com
Jon Last, jlast@sportsandleisureresearch.com
Matt Steffee, matt.steffee@engagious.com
Questions?

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Back-To-Normal Wave 7: Maneuvering Around Uncertainty

  • 1. MANEUVERING AROUND UNCERTAINTY Public opinion insights from the July 8, 2020 “Back- to-Normal Barometer” RON BONJEAN, PARTNER, ROKK SOLUTIONS RICH THAU, PRESIDENT OF ENGAGIOUS JON LAST, PRESIDENT OF SPORTS & LEISURE RESEARCH GROUP MATT STEFFEE, SENIOR RESEARCHER AT ENGAGIOUS
  • 2. CONTEXT:RESPONDENTSACTIVELYENGAGE n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 3. GROWINGNUMBERSENGAGEDIN PAST MONTH n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 4. FUTURE EXPECTATIONS FUEL MODEST CONFIDENCE UPTICK 29% 23% 35% +5 +2 Confidence Barometer Future Expectations Current Conditions Wave 7: n=598, Back to Normal Barometer – July 8, 2020 Wave 6: n=565, Back to Normal Barometer – June 17, 2020 -1
  • 5. FUTURE EXPECTATIONS FUEL MODEST CONFIDENCE UPTICK 28% Confidence Barometer Future Expectations COVID-19 Heavy Wave 7: n=598, Back to Normal Barometer – July 8, 2020 Wave 6: n=565, Back to Normal Barometer – June 17, 2020 29%COVID-19 Light Current Conditions 22% 23% 34% 35% There are no significant differences in confidence between the “COVID-19 Heavy” states versus “COVID-19 Light” states.
  • 6. 49% 61% Personal Finances 45% 60% Potential to contract COVID-19 The U.S. Economy PERSONAL SOCIETAL MEDICAL $$$ +11 +8 +5 SOCIETAL CONCERNS STILL DOMINATE +8 Impact on leisure activities 57% Impact on American society UNREST The overall public health crisis *Percentage who said they are extremely concerned Wave 7: n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020 Wave 6: n=565 Back to Normal Barometer – June 17, 2020 +9 +7 44% 9-week high 9-week high
  • 7. 49% 61% Personal Finances 45% 60% Potential to contract COVID-19 The U.S. Economy PERSONAL SOCIETAL MEDICAL $$$ COVID-HEAVY AREAS ARE EVEN MORE CONCERNED Heavy 62% Impact on leisure activities 57% Impact on American society UNREST The overall public health crisis *Percentage who said they are extremely concerned Wave 7: n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020 Wave 6: n=565 Back to Normal Barometer – June 17, 2020 44% 9-week high 9-week high Light 59% Heavy 63% Light 57% Heavy 60% Light 53% Heavy 56% Light 45% Heavy 51% Light 41% Heavy 44% Light 43%
  • 8. 2/3 STAYED AT HOME JULY 4 WEEKEND n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 9. MANY ALTERED PLANS TO AVOID CASES, MASKS OR UNREST n=94, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 10. TALES OF THREE VERY DIFFERENT INDEPENDENCE DAY WEEKENDS Greg: Eager to go Steve: Careful to go Jocelyn: Unwilling to go
  • 11. THEY’REWORRIEDABOUT A SECOND WAVE… n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 12. …AND IT’S UNDERMINING THEIR WILLINGNESS TO TRAVEL n=217, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 13. THEY’REWORRIEDABOUT LOSING THEIRJOB n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 14. THEY’REWORRIED WE’REREOPENING TOOQUICKLY n=588, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 15. AND THEY’RE WORRIED THEY’RE NOTGETTINGCLEARGUIDANCE n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 16. AMIDST WORRY, YOU NEED TO HAVE THEIR BACKS • Wisdom, certainty, and trust are in short supply • Americans don’t believe others are being as diligent in their adherence to safety protocols as they are • In the absence of clear guidance, one’s confidence to re-engage is tied to an ability to control the health risk of a given experience • Your challenge: Can you enhance the semblance of personal control? Can you provide the certainty people crave?  Message: “You don’t have to worry about others’ behavior; we’ve got you covered.”
  • 17. EXAMPLEOFGIVING CERTAINTY&GETTING ITRIGHT “At the hotel, they did the extra guidelines and took the effort to have extra cleaning, make sure [there was] spacing. The staff and everyone was wearing masks. It had a pool [at] the place that we stayed, and they had it set up that you would schedule your time there. That way people weren’t interacting too much. It’s kind of what I was expecting that they would do in a case like that. [Their attitude was,] ‘We’re going to try and stay open, but we’re going to follow the guidelines how we’re supposed to.’ It was a great experience overall.” – Nick (Male, age 36, California)
  • 18. Getting back to business
  • 19. MAJORITY WOULD DO THE BASICS TO KEEP ECONOMY GOING n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 20. THEY’D WEAR A MASK TO AVOID BEING QUARANTINED n=217, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 21. Near the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, Congress created new requirements that businesses with fewer than 500 workers provide paid sick time and some family caregiving leave to their workers through the end of 2020 for COVID-related health and care issues. Workers who are covered can take up to 10 paid sick days—and up to 10 paid weeks of paid family leave—to care for child who is out of school, or child care because of a COVID-related closure. The government reimburses businesses for doing so. However, these paid sick and family leave requirements and tax credits only apply to businesses with fewer than 500 employees. There are no national requirements that larger businesses provide any type of paid sick or family leave to their employees. Would you favor or oppose…
  • 22. n= 598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020 STRONG SUPPORT OF POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS
  • 23. n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020 STRONG SUPPORT FOR EXPANDING PAID SICK LEAVE
  • 24. DECLINING % WOULD RETURN TOMORROW n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 25. READY OR NOT: STAY AT A HOTEL OR RESORT n=286, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 26. READY OR NOT: ATTEND A LIVE SPORTING EVENT n=291, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 27. READY OR NOT: VISIT A RETAIL STORE n=402, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 28. WITH ASSURANCES, 65% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS n=286, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 29. WITH ASSURANCES, 51% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS n=367, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 30. 1/3 LIKELY TO PLAN/BOOK/TAKE A SUMMER TRIP n=217, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 31. THERE ARE LOTS OF REASONS TO NOT TAKE A SUMMER TRIP n=598, Back to Normal Barometer, July 8, 2020
  • 32. A closer look at sports
  • 33. SPORTS FANS EXHIBIT SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY I am concerned that we will not see fans in attendance at this sport in 2020 There is a concern among many fans that their sports may not even return in 2020—with or without fans in attendance. 41% 43% 47% 55% Hockey Baseball Basketball Football I am concerned that this sport will actually not resume play in 2020 56% 54% 55% 57% Hockey Baseball Basketball Football
  • 34. GOLF PARTICIPATION CONTINUES UPWARD TREND Played golf within the past two weeks 27% 35% 32% 40% 59% 46% 54% 8% 17% 15% 12% 17% 10% 19% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Planning to play within the next week Led by… • Males • 25 to 34 • Western region • Business travelers • Avid golfers
  • 35. THOSE WHO FOLLOW GOLF CLOSELY TEND TO BE MORE OPTIMISTIC 62% 51% 51% 45%43% 42% 38% 34% I'm likely to take a domestic business trip in the next six to twelve months Before the end of 2020, the unemployment rate will hit its highpoint and then decline as the economy begins to add jobs Taking a vacation of over 500 miles or more is a priority for me and my family in the next 12 months People will go back to spending freely on luxuries again in 2021 Golf fans Total Strongly agree* *Top three box (1-10 scale)
  • 36. Ron Bonjean, ron@rokksolutions.com Rich Thau, rich@engagious.com Jon Last, jlast@sportsandleisureresearch.com Matt Steffee, matt.steffee@engagious.com Questions?