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AMERICA CONFRONTS SHIFTING HEADWINDS
Public opinion insights from the June 3, 2020
benchmark “Back-to-Normal Barometer”
RON BONJEAN, PARTNER, ROKK SOLUTIONS
RICH THAU, PRESIDENT OF ENGAGIOUS
JON LAST, PRESIDENT OF SPORTS & LEISURE RESEARCH GROUP
GINA DERICKSON, RESEARCH DIRECTOR OF ENGAGIOUS
CONTEXT: RESPONDENTS ACTIVELY ENGAGE
*Done in the past two years
n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
SLIGHT DROP IN CONFIDENCE FROM WAVE 4
32%
25%
40%
- -
-3
-2
Confidence
Barometer
Future Expectations
Current Conditions
n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
48%
58%
Personal Finances
47%
61%
Potential to contract
COVID-19
The U.S. Economy
PERSONAL
SOCIETAL
MEDICAL $$$
-1 +1
-3
WHAT ARE CONSUMERS MOST CONCERNED ABOUT?
-2
Impact on leisure
activities
47%
57%
Impact on
American society
UNREST
The overall public
health crisis
NEW
NEW
*Percentage who said they are extremely concerned
Wave 5: n=613 Back to Normal Barometer – June 3, 2020
Wave 4: n=593 Back to Normal Barometer – May 20, 2020
SOCIAL UNREST
n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
WHAT THEY’RE SAYING ABOUT UNREST
UNREST RAISES ANXIETY LEVELS
• They fear unrest will result in a spike in Covid-19 cases
 Media’s shift in coverage to “normal news” may cause people to forget about
Covid-19 risk
 Protesting without social distancing
• Unrest is another reason to avoid travel to large cities this summer,
although protests can be anywhere
“[This summer] I wouldn't go to Chicago with all the protests and the riots. I wouldn't go to
Chicago and get on the ‘L’ Train with the coronavirus.”
• Protests, riots, and curfews won’t last much longer – until the next
media story
SUMMER OF PROCRASTINATION AND SOFT PLANS
• Summer travel plans remain tentative
• Some booking travel based on probability, but not counting on it
“Where we go [this summer] will depend on if we're allowed to travel
outside the country… If we have to travel within the United States,
then [unrest] will have some impact on where we go.”
READINESS TO RETURN
SIZABLE % WOULD RETURN TOMORROW
n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
READY OR NOT: ATTEND A LIVE SPORTING EVENT
n=334, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
READY OR NOT: VISIT A THEME PARK
n=216, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
READY OR NOT: VISIT A RETAIL STORE
n=425, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
READY OR NOT: ATTEND A CONFERENCE OR CONVENTION
n=150, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
WITH ASSURANCES, 67% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS
n=334, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
WITH ASSURANCES, 70% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS
n=216, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
WITH ASSURANCES, 86% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS
n=425, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
WITH ASSURANCES, 72% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS
n=150, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
% “READY TO GO” WHO WILL ACTUALLY GO
n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
About sports
TRENDS IN FANS’ DEPRIVATION OF SPORTS
Golf Baseball Hockey
59% 61%
53% 51%
47%
Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May
38% 39% 37% 34%
47%
Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May
44% 44% 46%
42% 39%
Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May
The cancellation/modification/postponement of events in this sport has
made the current COVID-19 situation far more difficult
Unlike baseball and hockey, golf fans have recently been more
frustrated by the lack of events.
TRENDS IN FANS’ ANTICIPATION OF SPORTS
Golf Football Basketball
59% 61%
71% 73%
64%
Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May
45%
37%
46% 49%
45%
Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May
59%
54%
61% 62%
58%
Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May
When this sport returns, I will likely follow it more closely
Fans were expecting to be more engaged since April, but recent
events may have dampened their enthusiasm, at least for now.
SPORTS FANS’ OPINIONS HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN
A KEY SOCIETAL METRIC
READY TO ATTEND LIVE SPORTING EVENTS NOW WITHOUT HESITATION
Sports fans are a bit more cautious after the unrest
associated with the recent protests
34% 37%
48%
60%
55%
Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5
ONE SPORT HAS QUIETLY SEEN GAINS…
ONE SPORT HAS QUIETLY SEEN GAINS…
ONE SPORT HAS QUIETLY SEEN GAINS…
in participation
in connection
in digital engagement
AS COURSES OPEN, PARTICIPATION HAS RISEN
44%
49%
80%
90%
100%
Late March Mid April Late April Mid May Late May
Courses Open
27%
35%
32%
40%
59%
Late March Mid April Late April Mid May Late May
Played in past 2 weeks
Source: Golf.com
DIGITAL PLATFORMS HAVE BECOME
MORE IMPORTANT FOR GOLF FANS
31%
40% 39%
50% 51%
Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5
Digital platforms (e.g., social media, online video, etc.) are important
ways to stay informed about this sport
WHAT MAKES GOLF UNIQUE?
Is it demographics?
Is it structural?
Is it something else?
GOLF FANS TEND TO BE MORE OPTIMISTIC
May 19-20, 2020
54%
54%
55%
56%
58%
60%
60%
66%
67%
68%
69%
74%
75%
MMA
Summer Olympics
Baseball
Hockey
NASCAR
Indy Racing
Football
Basketball
Horse Racing
Tennis
Soccer
Golf
Boxing
48%
49%
50%
51%
51%
51%
54%
55%
59%
60%
60%
63%
65%
Baseball
Summer Olympics
Football
Hockey
NASCAR
MMA
Basketball
Indy Racing
Soccer
Tennis
Horse Racing
Boxing
Golf
I'm optimistic about the future of our country I'm confident that I will have enough money to retire in comfort
GOLF FANS LOOK FOR UNIQUE EXPERIENCES
May 19-20, 2020
57%
57%
62%
62%
64%
64%
66%
67%
68%
74%
75%
76%
77%
Hockey
Baseball
Football
Summer Olympics
MMA
Indy Racing
NASCAR
Horse Racing
Basketball
Tennis
Soccer
Golf
Boxing
It's important for my life to include a number of
unique experiences
51%
52%
53%
56%
57%
57%
58%
59%
62%
66%
66%
67%
71%
Summer Olympics
Indy Racing
Baseball
Hockey
Football
Horse Racing
NASCAR
MMA
Basketball
Tennis
Soccer
Boxing
Golf
The interruption of live sports has created a
significant void in my life
…and the lack
of sports
strongly
impacts them
MOST GOLF COURSES ARE ADHERING TO
GUIDELINES
The course where I most recently played, has done an excellent
job of following new safety and sanitization protocols
Golf today, can be an oasis for me from the stresses of life
I am planning to play golf within the next week
There are more new golfers playing the game
now than there were at this time, last year
36%
38%
51%
62%
Going back to the office
SIZABLE MINORITY NOT READY TO RETURN
n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
LARGE MAJORITIES WANT TO KEEP WFH
n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
LARGE MAJORITIES WANT TO SPLIT TIME
n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
FEAR OF GETTING SICK IS MAIN BARRIER TO RETURNING
n=356, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
MAIN ASSURANCES ARE MASKS AND SPACE
n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
LARGE MAJORITIES CONCERNED ABOUT TRANSPORTATION
n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
LARGE MAJORITIES CONCERNED ABOUT CHILDCARE
n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
Suing vendors
EVERY SECTOR VULNERABLE TO LAWSUITS
n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
…EVEN AFTER CUSTOMERS SIGN A RELEASE
n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
LOCAL BUSINESSES DON’T GET A FREE PASS
n=739, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
ONE LAST THING TO CONSIDER: RESTROOMS
• Greatest concerns, beyond the usual
 Small, confined space with heavy traffic
 Many touchpoints: doors, handles, faucets, flushers, etc.
 Variable frequency of cleaning
• Small measures reinforce a commitment to cleanliness
 Clean and re-stock restrooms often, especially removing trash
--Evidence that the restroom is taken care of
--Base frequency on traffic, not time
 Include hand sanitizer and paper towels in bathrooms
 Automate door entry, water/soap dispensing, etc.
 Good maintenance supports cleanliness
 Clean, disinfecting scent
QUESTIONS
• What questions do you have for us?
Ron Bonjean, ron@rokksolutions.com
Rich Thau, rich@engagious.com
Jon Last, jlast@sportsandleisureresearch.com
Gina Derickson, gina.derickson@engagious.com

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Back-to-Normal Wave 5: America Confronts Shifting Headwinds

  • 1. AMERICA CONFRONTS SHIFTING HEADWINDS Public opinion insights from the June 3, 2020 benchmark “Back-to-Normal Barometer” RON BONJEAN, PARTNER, ROKK SOLUTIONS RICH THAU, PRESIDENT OF ENGAGIOUS JON LAST, PRESIDENT OF SPORTS & LEISURE RESEARCH GROUP GINA DERICKSON, RESEARCH DIRECTOR OF ENGAGIOUS
  • 2. CONTEXT: RESPONDENTS ACTIVELY ENGAGE *Done in the past two years n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 3. SLIGHT DROP IN CONFIDENCE FROM WAVE 4 32% 25% 40% - - -3 -2 Confidence Barometer Future Expectations Current Conditions n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 4. 48% 58% Personal Finances 47% 61% Potential to contract COVID-19 The U.S. Economy PERSONAL SOCIETAL MEDICAL $$$ -1 +1 -3 WHAT ARE CONSUMERS MOST CONCERNED ABOUT? -2 Impact on leisure activities 47% 57% Impact on American society UNREST The overall public health crisis NEW NEW *Percentage who said they are extremely concerned Wave 5: n=613 Back to Normal Barometer – June 3, 2020 Wave 4: n=593 Back to Normal Barometer – May 20, 2020
  • 5. SOCIAL UNREST n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 6. WHAT THEY’RE SAYING ABOUT UNREST
  • 7. UNREST RAISES ANXIETY LEVELS • They fear unrest will result in a spike in Covid-19 cases  Media’s shift in coverage to “normal news” may cause people to forget about Covid-19 risk  Protesting without social distancing • Unrest is another reason to avoid travel to large cities this summer, although protests can be anywhere “[This summer] I wouldn't go to Chicago with all the protests and the riots. I wouldn't go to Chicago and get on the ‘L’ Train with the coronavirus.” • Protests, riots, and curfews won’t last much longer – until the next media story
  • 8. SUMMER OF PROCRASTINATION AND SOFT PLANS • Summer travel plans remain tentative • Some booking travel based on probability, but not counting on it “Where we go [this summer] will depend on if we're allowed to travel outside the country… If we have to travel within the United States, then [unrest] will have some impact on where we go.”
  • 10. SIZABLE % WOULD RETURN TOMORROW n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 11. READY OR NOT: ATTEND A LIVE SPORTING EVENT n=334, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 12. READY OR NOT: VISIT A THEME PARK n=216, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 13. READY OR NOT: VISIT A RETAIL STORE n=425, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 14. READY OR NOT: ATTEND A CONFERENCE OR CONVENTION n=150, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 15. WITH ASSURANCES, 67% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS n=334, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 16. WITH ASSURANCES, 70% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS n=216, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 17. WITH ASSURANCES, 86% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS n=425, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 18. WITH ASSURANCES, 72% RETURN IN 3 MONTHS n=150, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 19. % “READY TO GO” WHO WILL ACTUALLY GO n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 21. TRENDS IN FANS’ DEPRIVATION OF SPORTS Golf Baseball Hockey 59% 61% 53% 51% 47% Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May 38% 39% 37% 34% 47% Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May 44% 44% 46% 42% 39% Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May The cancellation/modification/postponement of events in this sport has made the current COVID-19 situation far more difficult Unlike baseball and hockey, golf fans have recently been more frustrated by the lack of events.
  • 22. TRENDS IN FANS’ ANTICIPATION OF SPORTS Golf Football Basketball 59% 61% 71% 73% 64% Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May 45% 37% 46% 49% 45% Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May 59% 54% 61% 62% 58% Late Mar Mid Apr Late Apr Mid May Late May When this sport returns, I will likely follow it more closely Fans were expecting to be more engaged since April, but recent events may have dampened their enthusiasm, at least for now.
  • 23. SPORTS FANS’ OPINIONS HAVE HISTORICALLY BEEN A KEY SOCIETAL METRIC READY TO ATTEND LIVE SPORTING EVENTS NOW WITHOUT HESITATION Sports fans are a bit more cautious after the unrest associated with the recent protests 34% 37% 48% 60% 55% Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5
  • 24. ONE SPORT HAS QUIETLY SEEN GAINS…
  • 25. ONE SPORT HAS QUIETLY SEEN GAINS…
  • 26. ONE SPORT HAS QUIETLY SEEN GAINS… in participation in connection in digital engagement
  • 27. AS COURSES OPEN, PARTICIPATION HAS RISEN 44% 49% 80% 90% 100% Late March Mid April Late April Mid May Late May Courses Open 27% 35% 32% 40% 59% Late March Mid April Late April Mid May Late May Played in past 2 weeks Source: Golf.com
  • 28. DIGITAL PLATFORMS HAVE BECOME MORE IMPORTANT FOR GOLF FANS 31% 40% 39% 50% 51% Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Digital platforms (e.g., social media, online video, etc.) are important ways to stay informed about this sport
  • 29. WHAT MAKES GOLF UNIQUE? Is it demographics? Is it structural? Is it something else?
  • 30. GOLF FANS TEND TO BE MORE OPTIMISTIC May 19-20, 2020 54% 54% 55% 56% 58% 60% 60% 66% 67% 68% 69% 74% 75% MMA Summer Olympics Baseball Hockey NASCAR Indy Racing Football Basketball Horse Racing Tennis Soccer Golf Boxing 48% 49% 50% 51% 51% 51% 54% 55% 59% 60% 60% 63% 65% Baseball Summer Olympics Football Hockey NASCAR MMA Basketball Indy Racing Soccer Tennis Horse Racing Boxing Golf I'm optimistic about the future of our country I'm confident that I will have enough money to retire in comfort
  • 31. GOLF FANS LOOK FOR UNIQUE EXPERIENCES May 19-20, 2020 57% 57% 62% 62% 64% 64% 66% 67% 68% 74% 75% 76% 77% Hockey Baseball Football Summer Olympics MMA Indy Racing NASCAR Horse Racing Basketball Tennis Soccer Golf Boxing It's important for my life to include a number of unique experiences 51% 52% 53% 56% 57% 57% 58% 59% 62% 66% 66% 67% 71% Summer Olympics Indy Racing Baseball Hockey Football Horse Racing NASCAR MMA Basketball Tennis Soccer Boxing Golf The interruption of live sports has created a significant void in my life …and the lack of sports strongly impacts them
  • 32. MOST GOLF COURSES ARE ADHERING TO GUIDELINES The course where I most recently played, has done an excellent job of following new safety and sanitization protocols Golf today, can be an oasis for me from the stresses of life I am planning to play golf within the next week There are more new golfers playing the game now than there were at this time, last year 36% 38% 51% 62%
  • 33. Going back to the office
  • 34. SIZABLE MINORITY NOT READY TO RETURN n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 35. LARGE MAJORITIES WANT TO KEEP WFH n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 36. LARGE MAJORITIES WANT TO SPLIT TIME n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 37. FEAR OF GETTING SICK IS MAIN BARRIER TO RETURNING n=356, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 38. MAIN ASSURANCES ARE MASKS AND SPACE n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 39. LARGE MAJORITIES CONCERNED ABOUT TRANSPORTATION n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 40. LARGE MAJORITIES CONCERNED ABOUT CHILDCARE n=387, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 42. EVERY SECTOR VULNERABLE TO LAWSUITS n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 43. …EVEN AFTER CUSTOMERS SIGN A RELEASE n=613, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 44. LOCAL BUSINESSES DON’T GET A FREE PASS n=739, Back to Normal Barometer, June 3, 2020
  • 45. ONE LAST THING TO CONSIDER: RESTROOMS • Greatest concerns, beyond the usual  Small, confined space with heavy traffic  Many touchpoints: doors, handles, faucets, flushers, etc.  Variable frequency of cleaning • Small measures reinforce a commitment to cleanliness  Clean and re-stock restrooms often, especially removing trash --Evidence that the restroom is taken care of --Base frequency on traffic, not time  Include hand sanitizer and paper towels in bathrooms  Automate door entry, water/soap dispensing, etc.  Good maintenance supports cleanliness  Clean, disinfecting scent
  • 46. QUESTIONS • What questions do you have for us?
  • 47. Ron Bonjean, ron@rokksolutions.com Rich Thau, rich@engagious.com Jon Last, jlast@sportsandleisureresearch.com Gina Derickson, gina.derickson@engagious.com