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Ipsos international populism research Global@dvisor
- 1. 1 ©Ipsos.11
Global @dvisor: Power to
the People?
Part 2
January 2017
©Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
©Ipsos.
- 2. 2 ©Ipsos.
Contents
1
2
3
Society is broken and
Confidence in institutions
Nativism
‘Populist’ measures
4
5
6
Voting behaviour
Country in decline
Is the system broken?
7 Exclusionism
Part 1: Is the system broken?
(previously released)
- 4. 4 ©Ipsos.
Most feel society is broken (especially Poland, Spain, Brazil and Mexico)…
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
58%
79%
78%
77%
76%
74%
73%
72%
72%
70%
66%
61%
56%
55%
53%
53%
52%
51%
47%
38%
37%
32%
32%
31%
Total
Poland
Spain
Brazil
Mexico
South Africa
Hungary
Serbia
South Korea
Argentina
United States
Germany
Great Britain
Peru
Turkey
Italy
France
Sweden
Australia
Belgium
Canada
India
Israel
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Society is broken”
- 5. 5 ©Ipsos.
How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following…
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
COMPLETE CONFIDENCE
FAIR AMOUNT OF CONFIDENT
NOT VERY MUCH CONFIDENCE
NO CONFIDENCE AT ALL
The Justice System, including the courts
Banks
International Institutions
Political parties
4% 20% 5% 33% 38%
The Media
6% 30% 6% 33% 25%
6% 30% 5% 35% 24%
5% 32% 10% 35% 18%
4% 23% 5% 39% 28%
4% 28% 7% 39% 22%
Big Companies
The Government
2% 12% 6% 37% 43%
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 6. 6 ©Ipsos.
Spain has the least confidence in International Institutions, as do many other Europeans –
and Israel
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
52%
77%
66%
65%
64%
63%
63%
59%
59%
54%
54%
53%
52%
52%
51%
51%
51%
49%
46%
43%
41%
39%
29%
28%
Total
Spain
Israel
France
Italy
Serbia
Belgium
Germany
Great Britain
Australia
United States
South Korea
Argentina
Brazil
Poland
Turkey
Canada
Hungary
Mexico
Japan
Peru
Sweden
India
South Africa
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? International Institutions
- 7. 7 ©Ipsos.
Spain and Italy have the least confidence in their banks
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
59%
92%
80%
75%
74%
72%
72%
69%
67%
63%
60%
60%
60%
58%
57%
56%
53%
52%
51%
50%
45%
35%
34%
18%
Total
Spain
Italy
Germany
Belgium
Hungary
Israel
France
Great Britain
Sweden
Argentina
Poland
Brazil
Turkey
Serbia
Mexico
Australia
South Korea
United States
Peru
Canada
Japan
South Africa
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Banks
- 8. 8 ©Ipsos.
Confidence is marginally higher for the justice system, but very low in LATAM
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
59%
84%
84%
83%
75%
74%
74%
67%
64%
60%
59%
59%
58%
57%
56%
52%
52%
49%
48%
48%
44%
37%
34%
32%
Total
Argentina
Peru
Mexico
Serbia
South Korea
Spain
Hungary
Italy
Poland
Belgium
South Africa
Turkey
Israel
Brazil
Australia
France
Canada
Germany
United States
Great Britain
Sweden
India
Japan
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The justice system including the courts
- 9. 9 ©Ipsos.
Most lack confidence in big companies
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
61%
82%
77%
73%
72%
70%
69%
68%
66%
66%
65%
64%
64%
61%
60%
60%
60%
59%
57%
53%
51%
46%
32%
31%
Total
Spain
South Korea
Israel
Germany
Serbia
Argentina
Great Britain
Belgium
France
Poland
Hungary
Canada
Australia
Mexico
Sweden
Italy
Peru
United States
Turkey
Brazil
Japan
South Africa
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Big Companies
- 10. 10 ©Ipsos.
Two in three lack confidence in their media
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
68%
87%
85%
78%
76%
75%
75%
73%
71%
70%
70%
69%
68%
67%
67%
65%
65%
64%
63%
61%
57%
57%
51%
39%
Total
Hungary
Serbia
Spain
Mexico
Great Britain
Israel
Italy
Australia
Poland
Germany
Sweden
France
South Korea
United States
Belgium
Turkey
Japan
Brazil
Argentina
Canada
Peru
South Africa
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The media
- 11. 11 ©Ipsos.
Most countries are not confident about their government – especially negative in Mexico
and Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
71%
90%
89%
84%
82%
82%
81%
81%
80%
78%
77%
75%
70%
69%
66%
66%
66%
64%
64%
60%
60%
58%
50%
35%
Total
Mexico
Spain
South Korea
Poland
Hungary
South Africa
Brazil
Italy
Israel
France
Belgium
Germany
Serbia
Australia
Great Britain
Peru
Sweden
United States
Canada
Japan
Argentina
Turkey
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The Government
- 12. 12 ©Ipsos.
Of all institutions, countries have the least confidence in their political parties
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
81%
94%
92%
90%
89%
88%
88%
87%
86%
86%
85%
83%
82%
81%
80%
79%
79%
75%
74%
72%
71%
68%
65%
59%
Total
Spain
Mexico
Hungary
Serbia
Israel
Peru
Poland
South Korea
Italy
Belgium
France
Brazil
Argentina
Germany
Australia
Great Britain
South Africa
United States
Sweden
Canada
Japan
Turkey
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Political parties
- 14. 14 ©Ipsos.
Attitudes are divided on immigration – but most countries are against
uncontrolled immigration
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
[Country] would be stronger if we stopped immigration
Immigrants take jobs away from real [nationality]
Immigrants take important social services away from real [nationality]
[Country] would be better off if we let in all immigrants who wanted to come here
34% 22% 6% 18% 9% 11%
When jobs are scarce, employers should prioritise hiring people of this country over immigrants
17% 17% 7% 22% 16% 20%
16% 19% 22% 6% 16% 21%
19% 19% 21% 7% 15% 18%
5% 8% 7% 21% 21% 37%
STRONGLY AGREE
SOMEWHAT AGREE
SOMEWHAT DISAGREE
STRONGLY DISAGREE
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
These days I feel like a stranger in my own country
17% 21% 22% 6% 15% 19%
- 15. 15 ©Ipsos.
Just over half think employers should prioritize hiring locals over immigrants – especially in
Serbia, Hungary, Turkey and Israel
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
56%
81%
76%
74%
73%
64%
63%
62%
60%
60%
58%
57%
56%
55%
54%
51%
51%
50%
48%
46%
45%
45%
38%
17%
Total
Serbia
Hungary
Turkey
Israel
Peru
Argentina
India
South Africa
Italy
United States
Poland
Brazil
Mexico
South Korea
Australia
France
Spain
Great Britain
Belgium
Canada
Germany
Japan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q9 When jobs are scarce, employers should prioritize hiring people of this country over immigrants
- 16. 16 ©Ipsos.
Europeans tend to be more worried about immigration’s impact on social/public services
(Turkey most worried again overall)
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
39%
63%
50%
50%
50%
49%
49%
47%
46%
46%
46%
44%
40%
39%
37%
37%
35%
29%
27%
27%
21%
19%
19%
17%
Total
Turkey
Belgium
Hungary
Israel
Argentina
France
Italy
India
Spain
United States
South Africa
Great Britain
Australia
Serbia
Germany
Canada
South Korea
Brazil
Peru
Sweden
Mexico
Poland
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q9 Immigrants take important social services away from real [nationality]
- 17. 17 ©Ipsos.
Concern about immigration’s impact on jobs highest in Turkey, India and
Argentina
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
35%
62%
51%
48%
47%
43%
42%
41%
40%
37%
37%
36%
35%
34%
33%
32%
32%
32%
26%
24%
23%
22%
12%
9%
Total
Turkey
India
Argentina
South Africa
United States
Israel
Peru
Italy
Belgium
Australia
Hungary
Spain
South Korea
France
Brazil
Canada
Great Britain
Mexico
Serbia
Poland
Germany
Japan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q9 Immigrants take jobs away from real [nationality]
- 18. 18 ©Ipsos.
Most countries are against uncontrolled immigration , but people are split on whether immigration
should be stopped – highest in Turkey, Israel, Hungary, Belgium and Italy
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
58%
77%
72%
72%
72%
69%
69%
67%
65%
64%
61%
61%
57%
56%
56%
56%
54%
53%
51%
48%
47%
46%
36%
29%
Total
Israel
Belgium
Hungary
Serbia
France
Canada
Great Britain
Italy
Turkey
South Africa
Poland
United States
Sweden
Germany
Australia
South Korea
Spain
Argentina
Mexico
Brazil
Peru
Japan
India
Strongly/Somewhat disagree
34%
61%
52%
49%
47%
46%
45%
40%
38%
38%
37%
37%
34%
31%
31%
30%
28%
27%
24%
19%
19%
17%
14%
12%
Total
Turkey
Israel
Hungary
Belgium
Italy
India
France
US
Serbia
Germany
South Africa
Argentina
Great Britain
Poland
Australia
Spain
Sweden
Canada
Peru
Mexico
Brazil
Japan
South Korea
Strongly/Somewhat agree
Q9 [Country] would be better off if we let in all immigrants who wanted
to come here
Q9 [Country] would be stronger if we stopped immigration
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 19. 19 ©Ipsos.
Overall people are split on whether or not they feel a stranger in their own country. High in Turkey,
South Africa and Brazil, and amongst Western countries most prevalent in Italy, Belgium and the US
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
38%
57%
54%
49%
46%
45%
44%
43%
42%
40%
39%
38%
37%
36%
36%
36%
35%
35%
35%
34%
34%
22%
20%
14%
Total
Turkey
South Africa
Italy
Brazil
United States
Belgium
Serbia
Hungary
France
India
Germany
Mexico
Great Britain
Australia
Spain
Peru
Argentina
Poland
South Korea
Canada
Sweden
Israel
Japan
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_1. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - These days I feel like a stranger in my own country
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 22. 22 ©Ipsos.
Generally the balance of opinion is in favour of ‘populist’ measures – though more
so for controlling the price of foodstuffs than nationalizing natural resources
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
The government should nationalize natural resources even if this means slower job growth
The government should control the price of the Basic Foodstuffs (Staples)
[Country] should stop terrorism at all costs even if that means ignoring people’s civil
rights
20% 23% 24% 9% 14% 11%
[Country] should prioritize hiring [nationalities] over foreigners even if that
means slower job growth
15% 21% 27% 13% 13% 11%
32% 26% 18% 7% 9% 8%
23% 22% 20% 7% 14% 13%
STRONGLY AGREE
TEND TO AGREE
TEND TO DISAGREE
STRONGLY DISAGREE
- 23. 23 ©Ipsos.
Majority in favour of controlling price of foodstuffs – support tends to be higher in
emerging economies, but is also high in France, Israel, Italy and Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
58%
80%
78%
76%
73%
70%
70%
69%
69%
66%
66%
65%
62%
60%
56%
54%
53%
51%
49%
45%
41%
31%
25%
19%
Total
Argentina
Israel
India
Serbia
Turkey
Hungary
Spain
Italy
France
Peru
Belgium
South Africa
Mexico
Brazil
South Korea
Australia
Canada
Great Britain
Poland
Germany
US
Sweden
Japan
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_2. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The government should control the price of the
Basic Foodstuffs (Staples)
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 24. 24 ©Ipsos.
Countries with recent experience of terrorism are likely to prioritise stopping terrorism over
protecting civil rights (such as Turkey, France, India, Israel and Belgium), also high in Serbia
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
45%
74%
69%
63%
59%
57%
55%
50%
50%
48%
47%
43%
42%
41%
40%
38%
37%
37%
35%
34%
31%
31%
30%
25%
Total
Serbia
Turkey
India
France
Israel
Belgium
Peru
Hungary
Sweden
Poland
Great Britain
South Africa
Australia
Germany
South Korea
US
Brazil
Italy
Mexico
Canada
Spain
Argentina
Japan
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_4. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - ... should stop terrorism at all costs even if that
means ignoring people's civil rights
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 25. 25 ©Ipsos.
Support for prioritising jobs for national citizens is especially high in Turkey, Israel, Serbia,
LATAM, and India
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
44%
70%
63%
62%
61%
57%
56%
54%
54%
50%
49%
48%
43%
42%
39%
39%
37%
36%
33%
32%
30%
22%
21%
10%
Total
Turkey
Israel
Serbia
Argentina
Peru
India
South Korea
Mexico
France
Spain
Italy
Brazil
Poland
US
Hungary
South Africa
Australia
Canada
Germany
Great Britain
Japan
Belgium
Sweden
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_3. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - ... should prioritize hiring [nationalities] over
foreigners even if that means slower job growth
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 26. 26 ©Ipsos.
Highest support for nationalising natural resources in emerging economies
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
36%
63%
58%
58%
48%
44%
42%
41%
39%
36%
34%
34%
32%
32%
31%
30%
29%
28%
28%
27%
27%
27%
22%
14%
Total
Serbia
India
Argentina
Peru
Mexico
Turkey
Italy
Spain
France
Great Britain
Australia
Hungary
Israel
Brazil
Canada
South Korea
Poland
Belgium
South Africa
Sweden
US
Germany
Japan
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_5. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The government should nationalize natural
resources even if this means slower job growth
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 28. 28 ©Ipsos.
So-called “populist” positions more attractive than unattractive – especially ‘standing up for the common people against the elite’, but also
a party that prioritises nationals over immigrants – and radical change more popular than status quo. But a number of ‘pluralist’ positions
are just as popular, like listening to alternative points of view/experts, or being prepared to make compromise.
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
A political party or leader that prioritises people born in [country] over immigrants
A political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite
A political party or leader that wants to radically change the status quo
A political party with a leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others
A political party or leader that has been in power before
22% 22% 12% 27% 8% 9%
36% 27%
12% 18%
4% 3%
20% 24% 24% 17% 9% 6%
20% 25% 13% 23% 10% 8%
A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country
A political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view
11% 18% 14% 31% 14% 11%
A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to [country]
25% 27% 12% 25% 6% 5%
24% 32%
13% 21% 7% 4%
27% 29% 13% 22% 6% 3%
34% 33%
11% 16% 3%2%
A political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises
A political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities
MUCH MORE LIKELY
SOMEWHAT MORE
LIKELY
SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY
MUCH LESS LIKELY
Q. Would each of the
following make you more
or less likely to vote for a
political party or leader,
or would it make no
difference?
6% 12% 14% 43% 11% 14%
- 29. 29 ©Ipsos.
On average a high proportion of people is more likely to vote for a political party or
leader that stands up for common people against the elite
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
13%
17%
21%
26%
28%
27%
42%
35%
34%
31%
39%
34%
40%
42%
37%
44%
40%
43%
37%
44%
49%
36%
59%
36%
25%
26%
26%
27%
26%
31%
17%
24%
25%
31%
24%
31%
26%
25%
31%
26%
30%
28%
35%
28%
24%
38%
20%
27%
30%
20%
25%
21%
21%
23%
15%
18%
17%
17%
18%
20%
22%
18%
19%
17%
15%
13%
16%
16%
14%
12%
6%
18%
13%
30%
16%
22%
19%
12%
17%
9%
16%
14%
8%
11%
4%
9%
10%
6%
8%
10%
10%
4%
9%
6%
12%
12%
12%
5%
8%
3%
5%
4%
4%
9%
4%
3%
7%
3%
6%
3%
2%
3%
4%
4%
2%
4%
3%
3%
2%
4%
7%
2%
3%
2%
2%
3%
5%
6%
3%
4%
4%
1%
2%
3%
2%
4%
3%
2%
2%
4%
1%
4%
2%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
South Korea
Japan
Germany
France
Poland
Sweden
Brazil
Turkey
Italy
Belgium
India
Great Britain
South Africa
Argentina
Australia
Mexico
US
Spain
Canada
Peru
Serbia
Israel
Hungary
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_1. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what
party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or
would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 30. 30 ©Ipsos.
Just under half attracted by radically changing the status quo, especially high in Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
11%
11%
9%
11%
13%
12%
14%
19%
12%
18%
16%
21%
19%
18%
30%
27%
24%
29%
25%
27%
31%
31%
36%
20%
16%
17%
25%
25%
24%
25%
25%
19%
28%
22%
27%
24%
26%
28%
19%
24%
26%
23%
28%
28%
24%
26%
26%
24%
26%
30%
36%
34%
17%
20%
31%
20%
23%
22%
31%
27%
24%
26%
15%
22%
29%
20%
23%
23%
22%
21%
15%
24%
17%
26%
12%
15%
12%
32%
17%
24%
20%
32%
16%
18%
14%
19%
20%
18%
12%
12%
10%
11%
9%
5%
11%
17%
15%
10%
11%
11%
17%
8%
11%
10%
11%
4%
8%
5%
11%
7%
9%
5%
5%
7%
10%
6%
6%
11%
7%
9%
14%
5%
7%
4%
16%
3%
4%
7%
6%
2%
2%
6%
6%
3%
7%
4%
4%
10%
4%
5%
7%
6%
4%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Germany
Poland
South Korea
Australia
Israel
Japan
Canada
Hungary
Sweden
France
Great Britain
Argentina
US
Belgium
Brazil
Italy
Serbia
Turkey
Peru
India
Mexico
South Africa
Spain
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_2. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what
party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or
would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that wants to radically change the status quo?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 31. 31 ©Ipsos.
People are likely to say that the fact that a party or leader has been in power before has less influence on
their voting behavior – but more of a turn-off in LATAM
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
2%
4%
2%
4%
6%
3%
4%
4%
5%
6%
3%
8%
6%
4%
4%
7%
3%
3%
15%
7%
10%
15%
16%
6%
8%
7%
9%
8%
6%
9%
8%
11%
10%
9%
14%
9%
11%
13%
14%
11%
15%
15%
9%
18%
17%
17%
23%
12%
34%
38%
50%
37%
39%
39%
35%
36%
46%
38%
58%
35%
31%
59%
59%
33%
54%
51%
38%
48%
40%
44%
37%
43%
36%
23%
17%
11%
13%
17%
14%
22%
13%
16%
11%
19%
10%
12%
12%
7%
18%
17%
9%
8%
10%
5%
9%
14%
14%
11%
9%
14%
12%
13%
22%
16%
12%
11%
9%
11%
13%
7%
7%
18%
6%
9%
10%
10%
13%
9%
9%
11%
6%
17%
13%
26%
24%
19%
17%
11%
14%
19%
5%
17%
30%
5%
4%
24%
3%
5%
19%
9%
10%
11%
6%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Japan
France
Belgium
Serbia
Argentina
Italy
South Korea
Poland
Spain
Hungary
Australia
Brazil
Mexico
Great Britain
Canada
Peru
Sweden
Germany
Turkey
Israel
US
South Africa
India
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_3. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what
party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or
would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that has been in power before
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 32. 32 ©Ipsos.
On average close to half of people is more likely to vote for a political leader who
says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others – especially Hungary and Turkey
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
2%
14%
19%
16%
17%
10%
14%
20%
19%
17%
25%
18%
18%
16%
22%
24%
23%
22%
27%
20%
21%
34%
32%
20%
5%
20%
18%
21%
21%
29%
26%
23%
24%
29%
22%
30%
30%
31%
26%
25%
28%
29%
26%
34%
36%
26%
28%
25%
30%
22%
19%
16%
7%
10%
16%
11%
5%
12%
10%
12%
12%
15%
10%
5%
24%
12%
10%
14%
8%
10%
15%
13%
19%
22%
21%
24%
30%
30%
27%
21%
23%
28%
24%
24%
25%
25%
24%
21%
20%
23%
23%
23%
21%
21%
17%
23%
21%
16%
10%
12%
11%
14%
9%
13%
15%
10%
10%
11%
10%
7%
11%
14%
4%
8%
7%
3%
11%
4%
6%
10%
23%
6%
13%
10%
15%
6%
8%
12%
14%
4%
8%
5%
5%
5%
7%
12%
3%
7%
7%
6%
3%
5%
2%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Japan
Poland
Brazil
Italy
Mexico
South Korea
Germany
US
South Africa
Great Britain
Serbia
Canada
Australia
Belgium
India
Peru
France
Spain
Argentina
Sweden
Israel
Turkey
Hungary
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Make no difference Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_4. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what
party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or
would it make no difference? - A political party with a leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 33. 33 ©Ipsos.
On average just under half attracted by a political party or leader that
prioritises people born in own country – again Hungary and Turkey top
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
7%
11%
15%
17%
21%
17%
20%
18%
20%
18%
14%
18%
21%
25%
26%
28%
28%
26%
31%
22%
29%
34%
42%
22%
13%
19%
17%
19%
16%
21%
18%
21%
19%
21%
27%
24%
23%
20%
20%
20%
24%
29%
25%
34%
27%
26%
20%
22%
12%
34%
15%
12%
21%
11%
19%
9%
9%
14%
12%
21%
8%
11%
15%
9%
9%
5%
10%
7%
4%
8%
12%
12%
22%
27%
26%
29%
23%
27%
27%
31%
32%
26%
34%
25%
34%
27%
23%
29%
27%
28%
27%
26%
27%
22%
17%
27%
11%
7%
12%
10%
6%
11%
7%
12%
10%
9%
7%
6%
8%
9%
7%
6%
8%
8%
3%
7%
8%
4%
5%
8%
35%
3%
14%
13%
13%
14%
9%
8%
10%
12%
5%
5%
7%
8%
9%
8%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
6%
4%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Sweden
Japan
Germany
Spain
France
Great Britain
Brazil
Australia
Canada
Belgium
South Korea
Poland
Mexico
US
Italy
Argentina
India
Peru
Serbia
Israel
South Africa
Turkey
Hungary
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_5. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what
party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or
would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that prioritises people born in ... over immigrants
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 34. 34 ©Ipsos.
On average people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that is
prepared to make compromises – but less so in Italy and Israel
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
9%
5%
19%
14%
12%
13%
14%
18%
16%
15%
21%
22%
19%
25%
35%
45%
34%
20%
35%
35%
38%
37%
41%
24%
18%
27%
22%
30%
31%
36%
35%
36%
38%
40%
34%
34%
38%
32%
27%
18%
29%
43%
33%
35%
32%
33%
32%
32%
18%
32%
9%
24%
10%
15%
15%
11%
16%
11%
20%
10%
11%
10%
9%
17%
8%
10%
13%
10%
5%
3%
7%
13%
24%
25%
28%
23%
17%
27%
28%
27%
24%
27%
18%
21%
26%
24%
18%
11%
18%
21%
12%
16%
15%
17%
14%
21%
15%
8%
15%
7%
16%
7%
6%
5%
5%
6%
4%
9%
5%
6%
5%
6%
6%
3%
5%
3%
6%
6%
4%
7%
16%
3%
7%
4%
13%
3%
1%
3%
0%
1%
3%
4%
1%
3%
6%
3%
5%
2%
2%
2%
4%
3%
3%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Italy
Japan
India
France
Israel
Belgium
Germany
South Korea
Sweden
Great Britain
Poland
US
Australia
Serbia
Argentina
Brazil
Turkey
Canada
Hungary
Spain
Peru
South Africa
Mexico
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_6. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what
party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or
would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 35. 35 ©Ipsos.
A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country is
more likely to receive support across countries – but less so in richer countries
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
7%
15%
16%
17%
17%
20%
19%
16%
23%
21%
14%
19%
20%
33%
32%
44%
40%
39%
41%
45%
47%
42%
45%
27%
23%
28%
30%
29%
30%
28%
30%
35%
28%
30%
37%
34%
34%
27%
29%
23%
28%
31%
29%
26%
25%
30%
31%
29%
13%
17%
32%
24%
15%
10%
11%
16%
15%
19%
8%
10%
11%
17%
7%
9%
10%
10%
8%
6%
12%
4%
5%
13%
40%
32%
18%
23%
26%
26%
31%
26%
21%
22%
27%
28%
26%
13%
19%
17%
17%
15%
16%
15%
10%
14%
14%
22%
10%
6%
3%
5%
8%
10%
7%
6%
6%
5%
9%
7%
6%
5%
9%
3%
1%
3%
4%
4%
4%
7%
3%
6%
8%
4%
1%
3%
4%
6%
2%
3%
6%
3%
4%
2%
3%
5%
4%
3%
4%
2%
2%
4%
2%
3%
2%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
South Korea
Germany
Japan
France
Belgium
US
Great Britain
Sweden
Italy
Poland
Israel
Canada
Australia
Brazil
India
Serbia
Argentina
Spain
Turkey
Mexico
Hungary
South Africa
Peru
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_7. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what
party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or
would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 36. 36 ©Ipsos.
A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to the
country would divide support
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
5%
4%
3%
7%
5%
8%
8%
8%
11%
8%
12%
11%
8%
8%
16%
15%
13%
14%
12%
15%
20%
20%
25%
11%
10%
11%
12%
11%
15%
15%
18%
17%
15%
19%
15%
18%
21%
23%
15%
17%
19%
19%
22%
21%
25%
27%
25%
18%
24%
12%
36%
9%
17%
16%
11%
12%
12%
13%
11%
16%
17%
12%
20%
7%
15%
19%
22%
5%
5%
9%
10%
14%
27%
37%
32%
27%
42%
34%
34%
30%
29%
39%
27%
25%
39%
38%
23%
30%
36%
27%
30%
29%
28%
25%
26%
31%
14%
20%
12%
26%
14%
15%
20%
18%
18%
14%
15%
16%
10%
11%
14%
15%
11%
11%
9%
18%
12%
12%
6%
14%
20%
16%
3%
21%
7%
13%
9%
15%
16%
7%
21%
14%
5%
7%
12%
17%
7%
10%
5%
11%
10%
8%
7%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
France
Australia
Japan
Israel
Germany
Belgium
Canada
US
Argentina
South Korea
Turkey
Hungary
Sweden
Great Britain
Brazil
Mexico
Spain
Italy
Poland
Peru
South Africa
India
Serbia
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_8. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for.
Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -
A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to [country]
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 37. 37 ©Ipsos.
Across countries, people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that
listens to alternative points of view
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
20%
25%
37%
28%
21%
26%
30%
24%
36%
21%
29%
27%
29%
38%
34%
50%
36%
44%
49%
43%
47%
43%
50%
34%
34%
32%
22%
32%
39%
36%
33%
39%
29%
45%
38%
41%
40%
31%
36%
22%
37%
30%
26%
32%
28%
33%
32%
33%
30%
19%
16%
21%
11%
14%
14%
16%
8%
8%
9%
13%
9%
8%
9%
7%
8%
12%
6%
4%
7%
9%
2%
11%
13%
19%
17%
15%
23%
19%
16%
18%
17%
19%
20%
16%
19%
19%
16%
14%
16%
9%
14%
15%
13%
11%
11%
16%
3%
4%
4%
2%
4%
4%
4%
3%
6%
5%
2%
2%
2%
1%
3%
4%
1%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
3%
3%
1%
2%
5%
1%
2%
2%
3%
0%
4%
2%
2%
1%
1%
2%
3%
2%
1%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Japan
Poland
Brazil
France
South Korea
Germany
Italy
Sweden
India
Israel
Australia
Belgium
Great Britain
Serbia
US
Turkey
Canada
Hungary
Mexico
Peru
Argentina
Spain
South Africa
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_9. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for.
Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -
A political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 38. 38 ©Ipsos.
On balance people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that stands
up for the rights of minorities
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
3%
18%
16%
19%
18%
17%
15%
22%
34%
27%
21%
25%
21%
28%
25%
25%
26%
33%
35%
40%
31%
38%
41%
25%
15%
20%
23%
22%
24%
27%
30%
25%
16%
24%
30%
28%
32%
27%
31%
32%
32%
26%
27%
24%
35%
31%
29%
27%
35%
10%
21%
9%
23%
8%
16%
13%
17%
8%
15%
11%
10%
9%
9%
10%
11%
17%
9%
6%
10%
3%
6%
12%
31%
33%
30%
40%
27%
26%
32%
24%
19%
27%
26%
29%
30%
26%
26%
26%
23%
17%
20%
19%
17%
18%
17%
25%
12%
9%
7%
5%
4%
12%
5%
8%
6%
9%
6%
2%
5%
6%
5%
4%
5%
3%
6%
6%
4%
5%
4%
6%
4%
10%
3%
5%
4%
10%
2%
9%
8%
6%
3%
4%
2%
5%
3%
3%
4%
4%
4%
6%
3%
4%
4%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Japan
Turkey
Poland
Serbia
France
Israel
Germany
Hungary
Brazil
India
Belgium
Sweden
Great Britain
US
Australia
Canada
Spain
Italy
Argentina
Mexico
South Korea
Peru
South Africa
Total
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_10. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for.
Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -
A political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 39. PART 1: IS THE SYSTEM
BROKEN?
(PREVIOUSLY RELEASED)
©Ipsos.39
- 41. 41 ©Ipsos.
Overall, there is a sense that society is broken and that their country is in decline (though people tend to be optimistic that this is
recoverable). People are also on balance likely to feel that their generation has had a worse life than their parents and are even more
pessimistic for the future prospects for today’s youth.
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
“To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your
generation will have had a better or worse
life than your parents’ generation, or will it
have been the same?
“…is in decline”
29%
29%
19%
10%
7%
5% AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
DON'T KNOW
“…society is broken”
“Do you think [country] can recover from
it’s decline or is it irreversible”*
9%
22%
19%
26%
18%
5% MUCH BETTER
SLIGHTLY BETTER
ABOUT THE SAME
SLIGHTLY WORSE
MUCH WORSE
DON'T KNOW
“And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that
today’s youth will have had a better or worse life
than their parents’ generation, or will it have
been about the same?”
28%
29%
20%
10%
8%
5% AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
DON'T KNOW
67%
15%
18%
CAN RECOVER
IS IRREVERSIBLE
DON'T KNOW
7%
19%
20%
28%
20%
6% MUCH BETTER
SLIGHTLY BETTER
ABOUT THE SAME
SLIGHTLY WORSE
MUCH WORSE
DON'T KNOW
Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November
2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline
- 42. 42 ©Ipsos.
Over half think their country is in decline (although not yet
irreversible)
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
“…is in decline” “Do you think [country] can recover
from its decline or is it irreversible”*
28%
29%
20%
10%
8%
5%
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
DON'T KNOW
67%
15%
18% CAN RECOVER IS IRREVERSIBLE
DON'T KNOW
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary,
India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States.,
November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline
- 43. 43 ©Ipsos.
Majority in 14 nations think their country is in decline – especially South Africa, South
Korea, Italy and Brazil….
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
57%
77%
73%
73%
72%
70%
69%
69%
67%
64%
61%
60%
58%
57%
55%
53%
50%
49%
47%
44%
42%
40%
38%
22%
Total
South Africa
South Korea
Italy
Brazil
Hungary
Mexico
Spain
France
Belgium
Serbia
United States
Argentina
Great Britain
Turkey
Sweden
Poland
Australia
Germany
Peru
Israel
Japan
Canada
India
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Your country is in decline”
- 44. 44 ©Ipsos.
…But are optimistic that it can recover (although less so in Japan, Belgium and Germany)
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
67%
85%
84%
84%
82%
81%
80%
78%
76%
72%
69%
68%
66%
66%
65%
61%
60%
60%
60%
60%
53%
52%
51%
24%
15%
5%
9%
2%
15%
8%
11%
9%
15%
11%
13%
10%
16%
11%
19%
19%
15%
14%
17%
17%
28%
29%
21%
34%
Total
Peru
Mexico
Israel
India
Argentina
Brazil
South Africa
Turkey
Sweden
Poland
United States
Serbia
Australia
Spain
Italy
Hungary
Canada
France
Great Britain
Germany
Belgium
South Korea
Japan
Can recover Irreversible
Q6 And do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible ?
Base: 9,525 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel,
Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 45. 45 ©Ipsos.
And there is significant pessimism for current and future generations in France, Belgium,
Hungary, South Korea, Italy and Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
44%
65%
63%
61%
60%
56%
56%
54%
53%
47%
46%
44%
43%
41%
40%
39%
38%
38%
38%
35%
33%
30%
22%
19%
Total
Hungary
Serbia
France
Italy
South Korea
Spain
Japan
Belgium
United States
Canada
Germany
Great Britain
South Africa
Turkey
Israel
Mexico
Sweden
Australia
Brazil
Poland
Argentina
India
Peru
Slightly/Much worse
48%
67%
66%
65%
63%
60%
56%
55%
55%
53%
53%
52%
50%
47%
45%
44%
44%
42%
38%
37%
36%
30%
22%
20%
Total
France
Belgium
Spain
South Korea
Hungary
Great Britain
Italy
Japan
Canada
Germany
United States
Serbia
Turkey
Sweden
Australia
Israel
South Africa
Brazil
Mexico
Poland
Argentina
India
Peru
Slightly/Much worse
Q7 To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have
had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have
been the same?
Q8 And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have
had a better or worse life than their parents’ generation, or will it have
been about the same?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 47. 47 ©Ipsos.
Strong feeling in many countries that the people in charge don’t care about ‘people like me’,
and instead favour rich and powerful.
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks
about their views
To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules
[Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful
Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me
42% 27% 15% 5% 6% 4%
The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful
36% 29% 18% 6% 7% 5%
28% 21% 19% 6% 11% 14%
40% 23% 17% 6% 7% 6%
37% 27% 18% 6% 7% 4%
STRONGLY AGREE
SOMEWHAT AGREE
SOMEWHAT DISAGREE
STRONGLY DISAGREE
31% 29% 21% 7% 8% 4%
Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 48. 48 ©Ipsos.
Most feel the system favours the rich and powerful – especially Mexico, Peru, Hungary,
Israel and Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
63%
81%
74%
72%
72%
72%
71%
71%
70%
70%
69%
68%
67%
67%
65%
63%
62%
60%
59%
59%
53%
45%
34%
31%
Total
Mexico
Peru
Hungary
Spain
Israel
Australia
India
South Korea
France
United…
Brazil
Great Britain
Italy
Canada
Turkey
Argentina
South Africa
Belgium
Serbia
Poland
Japan
Germany
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 [Country] needs a strong leader to take the country
back from the rich and powerful
69%
83%
82%
81%
80%
79%
79%
75%
74%
71%
70%
69%
69%
68%
68%
67%
67%
66%
65%
64%
63%
59%
55%
39%
Total
Hungary
Mexico
Serbia
Israel
Peru
Spain
Italy
South Korea
Belgium
France
Brazil
United…
Turkey
Australia
Poland
Great Britain
Germany
Argentina
South Africa
India
Canada
Japan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the
rich and powerful
- 49. 49 ©Ipsos.
Most people feel politicians don’t care about them, especially parts of LATAM and
continental Europe
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
64%
78%
77%
76%
75%
73%
72%
70%
70%
69%
66%
65%
65%
65%
64%
63%
61%
61%
58%
57%
56%
53%
42%
39%
Total
Mexico
Peru
France
Spain
Hungary
Italy
Poland
Serbia
Brazil
United States
Argentina
South Africa
South Korea
India
Belgium
Turkey
Australia
Great Britain
Israel
Canada
Germany
Sweden
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me
- 50. 50 ©Ipsos.
Close to two-thirds on average favour outspoken politicians
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
65%
79%
79%
79%
76%
74%
72%
71%
70%
68%
66%
66%
64%
64%
64%
60%
59%
59%
58%
57%
53%
51%
49%
47%
Total
Argentina
Hungary
Israel
Serbia
Spain
Peru
Poland
France
South Korea
Belgium
India
Mexico
Germany
Great Britain
United States
Australia
Italy
Sweden
Canada
Turkey
Brazil
South Africa
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views
- 51. 51 ©Ipsos.
Similarly most people feel misunderstood by experts, especially Spain, France and Mexico
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
60%
74%
73%
72%
70%
69%
67%
65%
64%
64%
62%
60%
60%
60%
59%
58%
57%
55%
55%
53%
52%
46%
45%
38%
Total
Spain
France
Mexico
Hungary
Peru
Argentina
Italy
Poland
United States
Turkey
South Africa
Australia
India
Great Britain
Canada
Belgium
South Korea
Brazil
Israel
Serbia
Germany
Japan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me
- 52. 52 ©Ipsos.
Big variation in desire for a strong leader willing to break the rules - especially high in
France
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
49%
80%
69%
68%
66%
66%
65%
60%
54%
51%
50%
50%
48%
44%
42%
42%
41%
41%
40%
39%
36%
35%
23%
21%
Total
France
Israel
Italy
South Korea
Turkey
India
Poland
Belgium
Peru
Australia
Great Britain
Brazil
Serbia
South Africa
Hungary
Mexico
Canada
United States
Japan
Argentina
Spain
Sweden
Germany
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules
- 54. 54 ©Ipsos.
On balance, people are still more likely to feel that opening up their country to foreign
business and trade is an opportunity rather than a threat, but across the world people are
split on whether their country should protect itself or open up more to the world.
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
26% 42%
31% 37%
OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO
FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN
TRADE IS A THREAT TO [YOUR COUNTRY]
OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN
BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS AN OPPORTUNITY
FOR [YOUR COUNTRY]
[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO
PROTECT ITSELF FROM TODAY’S WORLD
[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO OPEN
ITSELF UP TO TODAY’S WORLD
BOTH/DON’T KNOW
BOTH/DON’T KNOW
32%
32%
- 55. 55 ©Ipsos.
People tend to view globalisation as an opportunity, rather than a threat – but not in Italy
and France
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
26%
21%
20%
20%
18%
19%
21%
25%
20%
24%
29%
34%
21%
28%
29%
32%
26%
29%
22%
28%
31%
38%
22%
33%
42%
55%
54%
54%
51%
50%
50%
50%
49%
49%
46%
45%
44%
44%
39%
39%
37%
37%
35%
34%
33%
28%
27%
26
Total
Peru
South Africa
Great Britain
Sweden
Poland
Hungary
Israel
Spain
Serbia
Mexico
Argentina
Brazil
India
United States
Turkey
Canada
Belgium
South Korea
Germany
Australia
Italy
Japan
France
Opening up [country's] economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is a threat to [your country]
Opening up [country's economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is an opportunity for [your country]
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 56. 56 ©Ipsos.
Peru, Mexico and Argentina want to open up more to the world – but North Americans
more likely to say they should protect themselves from the world
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
31%
47%
39%
39%
37%
36%
36%
36%
34%
33%
33%
32%
32%
32%
31%
29%
28%
27%
26%
25%
24%
22%
21%
19%
37%
25%
25%
34%
25%
22%
24%
27%
25%
32%
28%
47%
38%
24%
38%
38%
45
40%
56%
43%
45%
51%
48%
62
Total
United States
Canada
Israel
Australia
Brazil
France
Italy
Germany
Belgium
South Korea
Argentina
Hungary
Japan
Turkey
India
Serbia
Sweden
Mexico
Great Britain
South Africa
Spain
Poland
Peru
Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to protect itself from today’s world Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to open itself up to today’s world
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India,
Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
- 57. 57 ©Ipsos.
Methodology
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
• These are the findings of a Global @dvisor survey into the political mood around the world. In total 16,597 interviews were conducted
between October 21 – November 4 among adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and adults aged 16-64 in all other countries.
• The survey was conducted in 23 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The countries reporting herein are
Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland,
South Africa, South Korea, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America.
• Between 500 and 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel. The sample was 1000+ in
Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain and the United Stated of America. In all other countries the
sample was 500+. The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5
percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos’ use of credibility intervals, please visit
the Ipsos website.
• In countries where internet penetration is approximately 60% or higher the data output generally reflects the overall population. Of the 23
countries surveyed online, 17 yield results that are balanced to reflect the general population: Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada,
France, Germany, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain and the United States. The 6
remaining countries surveyed – Brazil, India, Mexico, Peru, South Africa and Turkey - have lower levels of internet connectivity and reflect
online populations that tend to be more urban and have higher education/income than the general population.
• Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don't knows or not stated
responses.
• Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
- 58. 58 ©Ipsos.
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