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Ipsos Global @dvisor: Power to the People

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New data from Ipsos Global @dvisor shows that many across 23 countries around the world think that their society is broken, while feeling a lack of confidence in establishment institutions - especially political parties, governments and the media.

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Ipsos Global @dvisor: Power to the People

  1. 1. 1 ©Ipsos.11 Global @dvisor: Power to the People? Part 2 January 2017 ©Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. ©Ipsos.
  2. 2. 2 ©Ipsos. Contents 1 2 3 Society is broken and Confidence in institutions Nativism ‘Populist’ measures 4 5 6 Voting behaviour Country in decline Is the system broken? 7 Exclusionism Part 1: Is the system broken? (previously released)
  3. 3. SOCIETY IS BROKEN AND CONFIDENCE IN INSTITUTIONS ©Ipsos.3
  4. 4. 4 ©Ipsos. Most feel society is broken (especially Poland, Spain, Brazil and Mexico)… GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 58% 79% 78% 77% 76% 74% 73% 72% 72% 70% 66% 61% 56% 55% 53% 53% 52% 51% 47% 38% 37% 32% 32% 31% Total Poland Spain Brazil Mexico South Africa Hungary Serbia South Korea Argentina United States Germany Great Britain Peru Turkey Italy France Sweden Australia Belgium Canada India Israel Japan Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Society is broken”
  5. 5. 5 ©Ipsos. How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following… GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? COMPLETE CONFIDENCE FAIR AMOUNT OF CONFIDENT NOT VERY MUCH CONFIDENCE NO CONFIDENCE AT ALL The Justice System, including the courts Banks International Institutions Political parties 4% 20% 5% 33% 38% The Media 6% 30% 6% 33% 25% 6% 30% 5% 35% 24% 5% 32% 10% 35% 18% 4% 23% 5% 39% 28% 4% 28% 7% 39% 22% Big Companies The Government 2% 12% 6% 37% 43% Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  6. 6. 6 ©Ipsos. Spain has the least confidence in International Institutions, as do many other Europeans – and Israel GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 52% 77% 66% 65% 64% 63% 63% 59% 59% 54% 54% 53% 52% 52% 51% 51% 51% 49% 46% 43% 41% 39% 29% 28% Total Spain Israel France Italy Serbia Belgium Germany Great Britain Australia United States South Korea Argentina Brazil Poland Turkey Canada Hungary Mexico Japan Peru Sweden India South Africa No confidence/not very much confidence Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? International Institutions
  7. 7. 7 ©Ipsos. Spain and Italy have the least confidence in their banks GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 59% 92% 80% 75% 74% 72% 72% 69% 67% 63% 60% 60% 60% 58% 57% 56% 53% 52% 51% 50% 45% 35% 34% 18% Total Spain Italy Germany Belgium Hungary Israel France Great Britain Sweden Argentina Poland Brazil Turkey Serbia Mexico Australia South Korea United States Peru Canada Japan South Africa India No confidence/not very much confidence Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Banks
  8. 8. 8 ©Ipsos. Confidence is marginally higher for the justice system, but very low in LATAM GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 59% 84% 84% 83% 75% 74% 74% 67% 64% 60% 59% 59% 58% 57% 56% 52% 52% 49% 48% 48% 44% 37% 34% 32% Total Argentina Peru Mexico Serbia South Korea Spain Hungary Italy Poland Belgium South Africa Turkey Israel Brazil Australia France Canada Germany United States Great Britain Sweden India Japan No confidence/not very much confidence Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The justice system including the courts
  9. 9. 9 ©Ipsos. Most lack confidence in big companies GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 61% 82% 77% 73% 72% 70% 69% 68% 66% 66% 65% 64% 64% 61% 60% 60% 60% 59% 57% 53% 51% 46% 32% 31% Total Spain South Korea Israel Germany Serbia Argentina Great Britain Belgium France Poland Hungary Canada Australia Mexico Sweden Italy Peru United States Turkey Brazil Japan South Africa India No confidence/not very much confidence Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Big Companies
  10. 10. 10 ©Ipsos. Two in three lack confidence in their media GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 68% 87% 85% 78% 76% 75% 75% 73% 71% 70% 70% 69% 68% 67% 67% 65% 65% 64% 63% 61% 57% 57% 51% 39% Total Hungary Serbia Spain Mexico Great Britain Israel Italy Australia Poland Germany Sweden France South Korea United States Belgium Turkey Japan Brazil Argentina Canada Peru South Africa India No confidence/not very much confidence Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The media
  11. 11. 11 ©Ipsos. Most countries are not confident about their government – especially negative in Mexico and Spain GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 71% 90% 89% 84% 82% 82% 81% 81% 80% 78% 77% 75% 70% 69% 66% 66% 66% 64% 64% 60% 60% 58% 50% 35% Total Mexico Spain South Korea Poland Hungary South Africa Brazil Italy Israel France Belgium Germany Serbia Australia Great Britain Peru Sweden United States Canada Japan Argentina Turkey India No confidence/not very much confidence Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The Government
  12. 12. 12 ©Ipsos. Of all institutions, countries have the least confidence in their political parties GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 81% 94% 92% 90% 89% 88% 88% 87% 86% 86% 85% 83% 82% 81% 80% 79% 79% 75% 74% 72% 71% 68% 65% 59% Total Spain Mexico Hungary Serbia Israel Peru Poland South Korea Italy Belgium France Brazil Argentina Germany Australia Great Britain South Africa United States Sweden Canada Japan Turkey India No confidence/not very much confidence Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Political parties
  13. 13. NATIVISM ©Ipsos.13
  14. 14. 14 ©Ipsos. Attitudes are divided on immigration – but most countries are against uncontrolled immigration GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? [Country] would be stronger if we stopped immigration Immigrants take jobs away from real [nationality] Immigrants take important social services away from real [nationality] [Country] would be better off if we let in all immigrants who wanted to come here 34% 22% 6% 18% 9% 11% When jobs are scarce, employers should prioritise hiring people of this country over immigrants 17% 17% 7% 22% 16% 20% 16% 19% 22% 6% 16% 21% 19% 19% 21% 7% 15% 18% 5% 8% 7% 21% 21% 37% STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE SOMEWHAT DISAGREE STRONGLY DISAGREE Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 These days I feel like a stranger in my own country 17% 21% 22% 6% 15% 19%
  15. 15. 15 ©Ipsos. Just over half think employers should prioritize hiring locals over immigrants – especially in Serbia, Hungary, Turkey and Israel GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 56% 81% 76% 74% 73% 64% 63% 62% 60% 60% 58% 57% 56% 55% 54% 51% 51% 50% 48% 46% 45% 45% 38% 17% Total Serbia Hungary Turkey Israel Peru Argentina India South Africa Italy United States Poland Brazil Mexico South Korea Australia France Spain Great Britain Belgium Canada Germany Japan Sweden Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q9 When jobs are scarce, employers should prioritize hiring people of this country over immigrants
  16. 16. 16 ©Ipsos. Europeans tend to be more worried about immigration’s impact on social/public services (Turkey most worried again overall) GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 39% 63% 50% 50% 50% 49% 49% 47% 46% 46% 46% 44% 40% 39% 37% 37% 35% 29% 27% 27% 21% 19% 19% 17% Total Turkey Belgium Hungary Israel Argentina France Italy India Spain United States South Africa Great Britain Australia Serbia Germany Canada South Korea Brazil Peru Sweden Mexico Poland Japan Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q9 Immigrants take important social services away from real [nationality]
  17. 17. 17 ©Ipsos. Concern about immigration’s impact on jobs highest in Turkey, India and Argentina GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 35% 62% 51% 48% 47% 43% 42% 41% 40% 37% 37% 36% 35% 34% 33% 32% 32% 32% 26% 24% 23% 22% 12% 9% Total Turkey India Argentina South Africa United States Israel Peru Italy Belgium Australia Hungary Spain South Korea France Brazil Canada Great Britain Mexico Serbia Poland Germany Japan Sweden Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q9 Immigrants take jobs away from real [nationality]
  18. 18. 18 ©Ipsos. Most countries are against uncontrolled immigration , but people are split on whether immigration should be stopped – highest in Turkey, Israel, Hungary, Belgium and Italy GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 58% 77% 72% 72% 72% 69% 69% 67% 65% 64% 61% 61% 57% 56% 56% 56% 54% 53% 51% 48% 47% 46% 36% 29% Total Israel Belgium Hungary Serbia France Canada Great Britain Italy Turkey South Africa Poland United States Sweden Germany Australia South Korea Spain Argentina Mexico Brazil Peru Japan India Strongly/Somewhat disagree 34% 61% 52% 49% 47% 46% 45% 40% 38% 38% 37% 37% 34% 31% 31% 30% 28% 27% 24% 19% 19% 17% 14% 12% Total Turkey Israel Hungary Belgium Italy India France US Serbia Germany South Africa Argentina Great Britain Poland Australia Spain Sweden Canada Peru Mexico Brazil Japan South Korea Strongly/Somewhat agree Q9 [Country] would be better off if we let in all immigrants who wanted to come here Q9 [Country] would be stronger if we stopped immigration Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  19. 19. 19 ©Ipsos. Overall people are split on whether or not they feel a stranger in their own country. High in Turkey, South Africa and Brazil, and amongst Western countries most prevalent in Italy, Belgium and the US GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 38% 57% 54% 49% 46% 45% 44% 43% 42% 40% 39% 38% 37% 36% 36% 36% 35% 35% 35% 34% 34% 22% 20% 14% Total Turkey South Africa Italy Brazil United States Belgium Serbia Hungary France India Germany Mexico Great Britain Australia Spain Peru Argentina Poland South Korea Canada Sweden Israel Japan Strongly/ Somewhat agree Q14_1. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - These days I feel like a stranger in my own country Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  20. 20. 20 ©Ipsos. ArgentinaAustralia BelgiumBrazil Canada France Germany Hungary India Italy Japan Mexico Poland South Africa South Korea Spain Sweden Turkey Great Britain US Israel Peru 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% SystemisBroken Nativism Nativism vs. System is Broken: Categorizing Countries Feel the system is broken and HIGHER nativist sentiment Feel system is broken but LOWER nativist sentiment
  21. 21. SUPPORT FOR ‘POPULIST’ MEASURES ©Ipsos.21
  22. 22. 22 ©Ipsos. Generally the balance of opinion is in favour of ‘populist’ measures – though more so for controlling the price of foodstuffs than nationalizing natural resources GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 The government should nationalize natural resources even if this means slower job growth The government should control the price of the Basic Foodstuffs (Staples) [Country] should stop terrorism at all costs even if that means ignoring people’s civil rights 20% 23% 24% 9% 14% 11% [Country] should prioritize hiring [nationalities] over foreigners even if that means slower job growth 15% 21% 27% 13% 13% 11% 32% 26% 18% 7% 9% 8% 23% 22% 20% 7% 14% 13% STRONGLY AGREE TEND TO AGREE TEND TO DISAGREE STRONGLY DISAGREE
  23. 23. 23 ©Ipsos. Majority in favour of controlling price of foodstuffs – support tends to be higher in emerging economies, but is also high in France, Israel, Italy and Spain GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 58% 80% 78% 76% 73% 70% 70% 69% 69% 66% 66% 65% 62% 60% 56% 54% 53% 51% 49% 45% 41% 31% 25% 19% Total Argentina Israel India Serbia Turkey Hungary Spain Italy France Peru Belgium South Africa Mexico Brazil South Korea Australia Canada Great Britain Poland Germany US Sweden Japan Strongly/ Somewhat agree Q14_2. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The government should control the price of the Basic Foodstuffs (Staples) Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  24. 24. 24 ©Ipsos. Countries with recent experience of terrorism are likely to prioritise stopping terrorism over protecting civil rights (such as Turkey, France, India, Israel and Belgium), also high in Serbia GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 45% 74% 69% 63% 59% 57% 55% 50% 50% 48% 47% 43% 42% 41% 40% 38% 37% 37% 35% 34% 31% 31% 30% 25% Total Serbia Turkey India France Israel Belgium Peru Hungary Sweden Poland Great Britain South Africa Australia Germany South Korea US Brazil Italy Mexico Canada Spain Argentina Japan Strongly/ Somewhat agree Q14_4. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - ... should stop terrorism at all costs even if that means ignoring people's civil rights Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  25. 25. 25 ©Ipsos. Support for prioritising jobs for national citizens is especially high in Turkey, Israel, Serbia, LATAM, and India GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 44% 70% 63% 62% 61% 57% 56% 54% 54% 50% 49% 48% 43% 42% 39% 39% 37% 36% 33% 32% 30% 22% 21% 10% Total Turkey Israel Serbia Argentina Peru India South Korea Mexico France Spain Italy Brazil Poland US Hungary South Africa Australia Canada Germany Great Britain Japan Belgium Sweden Strongly/ Somewhat agree Q14_3. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - ... should prioritize hiring [nationalities] over foreigners even if that means slower job growth Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  26. 26. 26 ©Ipsos. Highest support for nationalising natural resources in emerging economies GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 36% 63% 58% 58% 48% 44% 42% 41% 39% 36% 34% 34% 32% 32% 31% 30% 29% 28% 28% 27% 27% 27% 22% 14% Total Serbia India Argentina Peru Mexico Turkey Italy Spain France Great Britain Australia Hungary Israel Brazil Canada South Korea Poland Belgium South Africa Sweden US Germany Japan Strongly/ Somewhat agree Q14_5. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The government should nationalize natural resources even if this means slower job growth Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  27. 27. VOTING BEHAVIOUR ©Ipsos.27
  28. 28. 28 ©Ipsos. So-called “populist” positions more attractive than unattractive – especially ‘standing up for the common people against the elite’, but also a party that prioritises nationals over immigrants – and radical change more popular than status quo. But a number of ‘pluralist’ positions are just as popular, like listening to alternative points of view/experts, or being prepared to make compromise. GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 A political party or leader that prioritises people born in [country] over immigrants A political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite A political party or leader that wants to radically change the status quo A political party with a leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others A political party or leader that has been in power before 22% 22% 12% 27% 8% 9% 36% 27% 12% 18% 4% 3% 20% 24% 24% 17% 9% 6% 20% 25% 13% 23% 10% 8% A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country A political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view 11% 18% 14% 31% 14% 11% A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to [country] 25% 27% 12% 25% 6% 5% 24% 32% 13% 21% 7% 4% 27% 29% 13% 22% 6% 3% 34% 33% 11% 16% 3%2% A political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises A political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities MUCH MORE LIKELY SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY MUCH LESS LIKELY Q. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? 6% 12% 14% 43% 11% 14%
  29. 29. 29 ©Ipsos. On average a high proportion of people is more likely to vote for a political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 13% 17% 21% 26% 28% 27% 42% 35% 34% 31% 39% 34% 40% 42% 37% 44% 40% 43% 37% 44% 49% 36% 59% 36% 25% 26% 26% 27% 26% 31% 17% 24% 25% 31% 24% 31% 26% 25% 31% 26% 30% 28% 35% 28% 24% 38% 20% 27% 30% 20% 25% 21% 21% 23% 15% 18% 17% 17% 18% 20% 22% 18% 19% 17% 15% 13% 16% 16% 14% 12% 6% 18% 13% 30% 16% 22% 19% 12% 17% 9% 16% 14% 8% 11% 4% 9% 10% 6% 8% 10% 10% 4% 9% 6% 12% 12% 12% 5% 8% 3% 5% 4% 4% 9% 4% 3% 7% 3% 6% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 7% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 3% 4% 4% 1% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% 4% 2% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% South Korea Japan Germany France Poland Sweden Brazil Turkey Italy Belgium India Great Britain South Africa Argentina Australia Mexico US Spain Canada Peru Serbia Israel Hungary Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_1. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  30. 30. 30 ©Ipsos. Just under half attracted by radically changing the status quo, especially high in Spain GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 11% 11% 9% 11% 13% 12% 14% 19% 12% 18% 16% 21% 19% 18% 30% 27% 24% 29% 25% 27% 31% 31% 36% 20% 16% 17% 25% 25% 24% 25% 25% 19% 28% 22% 27% 24% 26% 28% 19% 24% 26% 23% 28% 28% 24% 26% 26% 24% 26% 30% 36% 34% 17% 20% 31% 20% 23% 22% 31% 27% 24% 26% 15% 22% 29% 20% 23% 23% 22% 21% 15% 24% 17% 26% 12% 15% 12% 32% 17% 24% 20% 32% 16% 18% 14% 19% 20% 18% 12% 12% 10% 11% 9% 5% 11% 17% 15% 10% 11% 11% 17% 8% 11% 10% 11% 4% 8% 5% 11% 7% 9% 5% 5% 7% 10% 6% 6% 11% 7% 9% 14% 5% 7% 4% 16% 3% 4% 7% 6% 2% 2% 6% 6% 3% 7% 4% 4% 10% 4% 5% 7% 6% 4% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Germany Poland South Korea Australia Israel Japan Canada Hungary Sweden France Great Britain Argentina US Belgium Brazil Italy Serbia Turkey Peru India Mexico South Africa Spain Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_2. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that wants to radically change the status quo? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  31. 31. 31 ©Ipsos. People are likely to say that the fact that a party or leader has been in power before has less influence on their voting behavior – but more of a turn-off in LATAM GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 2% 4% 2% 4% 6% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 3% 8% 6% 4% 4% 7% 3% 3% 15% 7% 10% 15% 16% 6% 8% 7% 9% 8% 6% 9% 8% 11% 10% 9% 14% 9% 11% 13% 14% 11% 15% 15% 9% 18% 17% 17% 23% 12% 34% 38% 50% 37% 39% 39% 35% 36% 46% 38% 58% 35% 31% 59% 59% 33% 54% 51% 38% 48% 40% 44% 37% 43% 36% 23% 17% 11% 13% 17% 14% 22% 13% 16% 11% 19% 10% 12% 12% 7% 18% 17% 9% 8% 10% 5% 9% 14% 14% 11% 9% 14% 12% 13% 22% 16% 12% 11% 9% 11% 13% 7% 7% 18% 6% 9% 10% 10% 13% 9% 9% 11% 6% 17% 13% 26% 24% 19% 17% 11% 14% 19% 5% 17% 30% 5% 4% 24% 3% 5% 19% 9% 10% 11% 6% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Japan France Belgium Serbia Argentina Italy South Korea Poland Spain Hungary Australia Brazil Mexico Great Britain Canada Peru Sweden Germany Turkey Israel US South Africa India Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_3. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that has been in power before Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  32. 32. 32 ©Ipsos. On average close to half of people is more likely to vote for a political leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others – especially Hungary and Turkey GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 2% 14% 19% 16% 17% 10% 14% 20% 19% 17% 25% 18% 18% 16% 22% 24% 23% 22% 27% 20% 21% 34% 32% 20% 5% 20% 18% 21% 21% 29% 26% 23% 24% 29% 22% 30% 30% 31% 26% 25% 28% 29% 26% 34% 36% 26% 28% 25% 30% 22% 19% 16% 7% 10% 16% 11% 5% 12% 10% 12% 12% 15% 10% 5% 24% 12% 10% 14% 8% 10% 15% 13% 19% 22% 21% 24% 30% 30% 27% 21% 23% 28% 24% 24% 25% 25% 24% 21% 20% 23% 23% 23% 21% 21% 17% 23% 21% 16% 10% 12% 11% 14% 9% 13% 15% 10% 10% 11% 10% 7% 11% 14% 4% 8% 7% 3% 11% 4% 6% 10% 23% 6% 13% 10% 15% 6% 8% 12% 14% 4% 8% 5% 5% 5% 7% 12% 3% 7% 7% 6% 3% 5% 2% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Japan Poland Brazil Italy Mexico South Korea Germany US South Africa Great Britain Serbia Canada Australia Belgium India Peru France Spain Argentina Sweden Israel Turkey Hungary Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Make no difference Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_4. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party with a leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  33. 33. 33 ©Ipsos. On average just under half attracted by a political party or leader that prioritises people born in own country – again Hungary and Turkey top GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 7% 11% 15% 17% 21% 17% 20% 18% 20% 18% 14% 18% 21% 25% 26% 28% 28% 26% 31% 22% 29% 34% 42% 22% 13% 19% 17% 19% 16% 21% 18% 21% 19% 21% 27% 24% 23% 20% 20% 20% 24% 29% 25% 34% 27% 26% 20% 22% 12% 34% 15% 12% 21% 11% 19% 9% 9% 14% 12% 21% 8% 11% 15% 9% 9% 5% 10% 7% 4% 8% 12% 12% 22% 27% 26% 29% 23% 27% 27% 31% 32% 26% 34% 25% 34% 27% 23% 29% 27% 28% 27% 26% 27% 22% 17% 27% 11% 7% 12% 10% 6% 11% 7% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 8% 9% 7% 6% 8% 8% 3% 7% 8% 4% 5% 8% 35% 3% 14% 13% 13% 14% 9% 8% 10% 12% 5% 5% 7% 8% 9% 8% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Sweden Japan Germany Spain France Great Britain Brazil Australia Canada Belgium South Korea Poland Mexico US Italy Argentina India Peru Serbia Israel South Africa Turkey Hungary Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_5. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that prioritises people born in ... over immigrants Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  34. 34. 34 ©Ipsos. On average people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises – but less so in Italy and Israel GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 9% 5% 19% 14% 12% 13% 14% 18% 16% 15% 21% 22% 19% 25% 35% 45% 34% 20% 35% 35% 38% 37% 41% 24% 18% 27% 22% 30% 31% 36% 35% 36% 38% 40% 34% 34% 38% 32% 27% 18% 29% 43% 33% 35% 32% 33% 32% 32% 18% 32% 9% 24% 10% 15% 15% 11% 16% 11% 20% 10% 11% 10% 9% 17% 8% 10% 13% 10% 5% 3% 7% 13% 24% 25% 28% 23% 17% 27% 28% 27% 24% 27% 18% 21% 26% 24% 18% 11% 18% 21% 12% 16% 15% 17% 14% 21% 15% 8% 15% 7% 16% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 4% 9% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 3% 5% 3% 6% 6% 4% 7% 16% 3% 7% 4% 13% 3% 1% 3% 0% 1% 3% 4% 1% 3% 6% 3% 5% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Italy Japan India France Israel Belgium Germany South Korea Sweden Great Britain Poland US Australia Serbia Argentina Brazil Turkey Canada Hungary Spain Peru South Africa Mexico Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_6. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  35. 35. 35 ©Ipsos. A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country is more likely to receive support across countries – but less so in richer countries GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 7% 15% 16% 17% 17% 20% 19% 16% 23% 21% 14% 19% 20% 33% 32% 44% 40% 39% 41% 45% 47% 42% 45% 27% 23% 28% 30% 29% 30% 28% 30% 35% 28% 30% 37% 34% 34% 27% 29% 23% 28% 31% 29% 26% 25% 30% 31% 29% 13% 17% 32% 24% 15% 10% 11% 16% 15% 19% 8% 10% 11% 17% 7% 9% 10% 10% 8% 6% 12% 4% 5% 13% 40% 32% 18% 23% 26% 26% 31% 26% 21% 22% 27% 28% 26% 13% 19% 17% 17% 15% 16% 15% 10% 14% 14% 22% 10% 6% 3% 5% 8% 10% 7% 6% 6% 5% 9% 7% 6% 5% 9% 3% 1% 3% 4% 4% 4% 7% 3% 6% 8% 4% 1% 3% 4% 6% 2% 3% 6% 3% 4% 2% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% South Korea Germany Japan France Belgium US Great Britain Sweden Italy Poland Israel Canada Australia Brazil India Serbia Argentina Spain Turkey Mexico Hungary South Africa Peru Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_7. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  36. 36. 36 ©Ipsos. A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to the country would divide support GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 5% 4% 3% 7% 5% 8% 8% 8% 11% 8% 12% 11% 8% 8% 16% 15% 13% 14% 12% 15% 20% 20% 25% 11% 10% 11% 12% 11% 15% 15% 18% 17% 15% 19% 15% 18% 21% 23% 15% 17% 19% 19% 22% 21% 25% 27% 25% 18% 24% 12% 36% 9% 17% 16% 11% 12% 12% 13% 11% 16% 17% 12% 20% 7% 15% 19% 22% 5% 5% 9% 10% 14% 27% 37% 32% 27% 42% 34% 34% 30% 29% 39% 27% 25% 39% 38% 23% 30% 36% 27% 30% 29% 28% 25% 26% 31% 14% 20% 12% 26% 14% 15% 20% 18% 18% 14% 15% 16% 10% 11% 14% 15% 11% 11% 9% 18% 12% 12% 6% 14% 20% 16% 3% 21% 7% 13% 9% 15% 16% 7% 21% 14% 5% 7% 12% 17% 7% 10% 5% 11% 10% 8% 7% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% France Australia Japan Israel Germany Belgium Canada US Argentina South Korea Turkey Hungary Sweden Great Britain Brazil Mexico Spain Italy Poland Peru South Africa India Serbia Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_8. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to [country] Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  37. 37. 37 ©Ipsos. Across countries, people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 20% 25% 37% 28% 21% 26% 30% 24% 36% 21% 29% 27% 29% 38% 34% 50% 36% 44% 49% 43% 47% 43% 50% 34% 34% 32% 22% 32% 39% 36% 33% 39% 29% 45% 38% 41% 40% 31% 36% 22% 37% 30% 26% 32% 28% 33% 32% 33% 30% 19% 16% 21% 11% 14% 14% 16% 8% 8% 9% 13% 9% 8% 9% 7% 8% 12% 6% 4% 7% 9% 2% 11% 13% 19% 17% 15% 23% 19% 16% 18% 17% 19% 20% 16% 19% 19% 16% 14% 16% 9% 14% 15% 13% 11% 11% 16% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3% 6% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 3% 0% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Japan Poland Brazil France South Korea Germany Italy Sweden India Israel Australia Belgium Great Britain Serbia US Turkey Canada Hungary Mexico Peru Argentina Spain South Africa Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_9. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  38. 38. 38 ©Ipsos. On balance people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 3% 18% 16% 19% 18% 17% 15% 22% 34% 27% 21% 25% 21% 28% 25% 25% 26% 33% 35% 40% 31% 38% 41% 25% 15% 20% 23% 22% 24% 27% 30% 25% 16% 24% 30% 28% 32% 27% 31% 32% 32% 26% 27% 24% 35% 31% 29% 27% 35% 10% 21% 9% 23% 8% 16% 13% 17% 8% 15% 11% 10% 9% 9% 10% 11% 17% 9% 6% 10% 3% 6% 12% 31% 33% 30% 40% 27% 26% 32% 24% 19% 27% 26% 29% 30% 26% 26% 26% 23% 17% 20% 19% 17% 18% 17% 25% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 12% 5% 8% 6% 9% 6% 2% 5% 6% 5% 4% 5% 3% 6% 6% 4% 5% 4% 6% 4% 10% 3% 5% 4% 10% 2% 9% 8% 6% 3% 4% 2% 5% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 6% 3% 4% 4% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Japan Turkey Poland Serbia France Israel Germany Hungary Brazil India Belgium Sweden Great Britain US Australia Canada Spain Italy Argentina Mexico South Korea Peru South Africa Total Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party or leader Q19_10. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  39. 39. PART 1: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN? (PREVIOUSLY RELEASED) ©Ipsos.39
  40. 40. COUNTRY IN DECLINE ©Ipsos.40
  41. 41. 41 ©Ipsos. Overall, there is a sense that society is broken and that their country is in decline (though people tend to be optimistic that this is recoverable). People are also on balance likely to feel that their generation has had a worse life than their parents and are even more pessimistic for the future prospects for today’s youth. GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? “To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been the same? “…is in decline” 29% 29% 19% 10% 7% 5% AGREE VERY MUCH AGREE SOMEWHAT NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE DISAGREE SOMEWHAT DISAGREE VERY MUCH DON'T KNOW “…society is broken” “Do you think [country] can recover from it’s decline or is it irreversible”* 9% 22% 19% 26% 18% 5% MUCH BETTER SLIGHTLY BETTER ABOUT THE SAME SLIGHTLY WORSE MUCH WORSE DON'T KNOW “And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have had a better or worse life than their parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same?” 28% 29% 20% 10% 8% 5% AGREE VERY MUCH AGREE SOMEWHAT NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE DISAGREE SOMEWHAT DISAGREE VERY MUCH DON'T KNOW 67% 15% 18% CAN RECOVER IS IRREVERSIBLE DON'T KNOW 7% 19% 20% 28% 20% 6% MUCH BETTER SLIGHTLY BETTER ABOUT THE SAME SLIGHTLY WORSE MUCH WORSE DON'T KNOW Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline
  42. 42. 42 ©Ipsos. Over half think their country is in decline (although not yet irreversible) GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? “…is in decline” “Do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible”* 28% 29% 20% 10% 8% 5% AGREE VERY MUCH AGREE SOMEWHAT NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE DISAGREE SOMEWHAT DISAGREE VERY MUCH DON'T KNOW 67% 15% 18% CAN RECOVER IS IRREVERSIBLE DON'T KNOW Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline
  43. 43. 43 ©Ipsos. Majority in 14 nations think their country is in decline – especially South Africa, South Korea, Italy and Brazil…. GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 57% 77% 73% 73% 72% 70% 69% 69% 67% 64% 61% 60% 58% 57% 55% 53% 50% 49% 47% 44% 42% 40% 38% 22% Total South Africa South Korea Italy Brazil Hungary Mexico Spain France Belgium Serbia United States Argentina Great Britain Turkey Sweden Poland Australia Germany Peru Israel Japan Canada India Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Your country is in decline”
  44. 44. 44 ©Ipsos. …But are optimistic that it can recover (although less so in Japan, Belgium and Germany) GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 67% 85% 84% 84% 82% 81% 80% 78% 76% 72% 69% 68% 66% 66% 65% 61% 60% 60% 60% 60% 53% 52% 51% 24% 15% 5% 9% 2% 15% 8% 11% 9% 15% 11% 13% 10% 16% 11% 19% 19% 15% 14% 17% 17% 28% 29% 21% 34% Total Peru Mexico Israel India Argentina Brazil South Africa Turkey Sweden Poland United States Serbia Australia Spain Italy Hungary Canada France Great Britain Germany Belgium South Korea Japan Can recover Irreversible Q6 And do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible ? Base: 9,525 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  45. 45. 45 ©Ipsos. And there is significant pessimism for current and future generations in France, Belgium, Hungary, South Korea, Italy and Spain GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 44% 65% 63% 61% 60% 56% 56% 54% 53% 47% 46% 44% 43% 41% 40% 39% 38% 38% 38% 35% 33% 30% 22% 19% Total Hungary Serbia France Italy South Korea Spain Japan Belgium United States Canada Germany Great Britain South Africa Turkey Israel Mexico Sweden Australia Brazil Poland Argentina India Peru Slightly/Much worse 48% 67% 66% 65% 63% 60% 56% 55% 55% 53% 53% 52% 50% 47% 45% 44% 44% 42% 38% 37% 36% 30% 22% 20% Total France Belgium Spain South Korea Hungary Great Britain Italy Japan Canada Germany United States Serbia Turkey Sweden Australia Israel South Africa Brazil Mexico Poland Argentina India Peru Slightly/Much worse Q7 To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been the same? Q8 And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have had a better or worse life than their parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  46. 46. SYSTEM IS BROKEN ©Ipsos.46
  47. 47. 47 ©Ipsos. Strong feeling in many countries that the people in charge don’t care about ‘people like me’, and instead favour rich and powerful. GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules [Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me 42% 27% 15% 5% 6% 4% The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful 36% 29% 18% 6% 7% 5% 28% 21% 19% 6% 11% 14% 40% 23% 17% 6% 7% 6% 37% 27% 18% 6% 7% 4% STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE SOMEWHAT DISAGREE STRONGLY DISAGREE 31% 29% 21% 7% 8% 4% Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  48. 48. 48 ©Ipsos. Most feel the system favours the rich and powerful – especially Mexico, Peru, Hungary, Israel and Spain GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 63% 81% 74% 72% 72% 72% 71% 71% 70% 70% 69% 68% 67% 67% 65% 63% 62% 60% 59% 59% 53% 45% 34% 31% Total Mexico Peru Hungary Spain Israel Australia India South Korea France United… Brazil Great Britain Italy Canada Turkey Argentina South Africa Belgium Serbia Poland Japan Germany Sweden Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q10 [Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful 69% 83% 82% 81% 80% 79% 79% 75% 74% 71% 70% 69% 69% 68% 68% 67% 67% 66% 65% 64% 63% 59% 55% 39% Total Hungary Mexico Serbia Israel Peru Spain Italy South Korea Belgium France Brazil United… Turkey Australia Poland Great Britain Germany Argentina South Africa India Canada Japan Sweden Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q10 The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful
  49. 49. 49 ©Ipsos. Most people feel politicians don’t care about them, especially parts of LATAM and continental Europe GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 64% 78% 77% 76% 75% 73% 72% 70% 70% 69% 66% 65% 65% 65% 64% 63% 61% 61% 58% 57% 56% 53% 42% 39% Total Mexico Peru France Spain Hungary Italy Poland Serbia Brazil United States Argentina South Africa South Korea India Belgium Turkey Australia Great Britain Israel Canada Germany Sweden Japan Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q10 Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me
  50. 50. 50 ©Ipsos. Close to two-thirds on average favour outspoken politicians GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 65% 79% 79% 79% 76% 74% 72% 71% 70% 68% 66% 66% 64% 64% 64% 60% 59% 59% 58% 57% 53% 51% 49% 47% Total Argentina Hungary Israel Serbia Spain Peru Poland France South Korea Belgium India Mexico Germany Great Britain United States Australia Italy Sweden Canada Turkey Brazil South Africa Japan Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q10 Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views
  51. 51. 51 ©Ipsos. Similarly most people feel misunderstood by experts, especially Spain, France and Mexico GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 60% 74% 73% 72% 70% 69% 67% 65% 64% 64% 62% 60% 60% 60% 59% 58% 57% 55% 55% 53% 52% 46% 45% 38% Total Spain France Mexico Hungary Peru Argentina Italy Poland United States Turkey South Africa Australia India Great Britain Canada Belgium South Korea Brazil Israel Serbia Germany Japan Sweden Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q10 Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me
  52. 52. 52 ©Ipsos. Big variation in desire for a strong leader willing to break the rules - especially high in France GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 49% 80% 69% 68% 66% 66% 65% 60% 54% 51% 50% 50% 48% 44% 42% 42% 41% 41% 40% 39% 36% 35% 23% 21% Total France Israel Italy South Korea Turkey India Poland Belgium Peru Australia Great Britain Brazil Serbia South Africa Hungary Mexico Canada United States Japan Argentina Spain Sweden Germany Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree Q10 To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules
  53. 53. EXCLUSIONISM ©Ipsos.53
  54. 54. 54 ©Ipsos. On balance, people are still more likely to feel that opening up their country to foreign business and trade is an opportunity rather than a threat, but across the world people are split on whether their country should protect itself or open up more to the world. GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016 26% 42% 31% 37% OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS A THREAT TO [YOUR COUNTRY] OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR [YOUR COUNTRY] [COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO PROTECT ITSELF FROM TODAY’S WORLD [COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO OPEN ITSELF UP TO TODAY’S WORLD BOTH/DON’T KNOW BOTH/DON’T KNOW 32% 32%
  55. 55. 55 ©Ipsos. People tend to view globalisation as an opportunity, rather than a threat – but not in Italy and France GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 26% 21% 20% 20% 18% 19% 21% 25% 20% 24% 29% 34% 21% 28% 29% 32% 26% 29% 22% 28% 31% 38% 22% 33% 42% 55% 54% 54% 51% 50% 50% 50% 49% 49% 46% 45% 44% 44% 39% 39% 37% 37% 35% 34% 33% 28% 27% 26 Total Peru South Africa Great Britain Sweden Poland Hungary Israel Spain Serbia Mexico Argentina Brazil India United States Turkey Canada Belgium South Korea Germany Australia Italy Japan France Opening up [country's] economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is a threat to [your country] Opening up [country's economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is an opportunity for [your country] Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  56. 56. 56 ©Ipsos. Peru, Mexico and Argentina want to open up more to the world – but North Americans more likely to say they should protect themselves from the world GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? 31% 47% 39% 39% 37% 36% 36% 36% 34% 33% 33% 32% 32% 32% 31% 29% 28% 27% 26% 25% 24% 22% 21% 19% 37% 25% 25% 34% 25% 22% 24% 27% 25% 32% 28% 47% 38% 24% 38% 38% 45 40% 56% 43% 45% 51% 48% 62 Total United States Canada Israel Australia Brazil France Italy Germany Belgium South Korea Argentina Hungary Japan Turkey India Serbia Sweden Mexico Great Britain South Africa Spain Poland Peru Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to protect itself from today’s world Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to open itself up to today’s world Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
  57. 57. 57 ©Ipsos. Methodology GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE? • These are the findings of a Global @dvisor survey into the political mood around the world. In total 16,597 interviews were conducted between October 21 – November 4 among adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and adults aged 16-64 in all other countries. • The survey was conducted in 23 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America. • Between 500 and 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel. The sample was 1000+ in Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain and the United Stated of America. In all other countries the sample was 500+. The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos’ use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website. • In countries where internet penetration is approximately 60% or higher the data output generally reflects the overall population. Of the 23 countries surveyed online, 17 yield results that are balanced to reflect the general population: Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain and the United States. The 6 remaining countries surveyed – Brazil, India, Mexico, Peru, South Africa and Turkey - have lower levels of internet connectivity and reflect online populations that tend to be more urban and have higher education/income than the general population. • Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don't knows or not stated responses. • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
  58. 58. 58 ©Ipsos. ABOUT IPSOS Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry. With a strong presence in 87 countries, Ipsos employs more than 16,000 people and has the ability to conduct research programs in more than 100 countries. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is controlled and managed by research professionals. They have built a solid Group around a multi-specialist positioning – Media and advertising research; Marketing research; Client and employee relationship management; Opinion & social research; Mobile, Online, Offline data collection and delivery. Ipsos is listed on Eurolist - NYSE-Euronext. The company is part of the SBF 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD). ISIN code FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP www.ipsos.com GAME CHANGERS At Ipsos we are passionately curious about people, markets, brands and society. We deliver information and analysis that makes our complex world easier and faster to navigate and inspires our clients to make smarter decisions. We believe that our work is important. Security, simplicity, speed and substance applies to everything we do. Through specialisation, we offer our clients a unique depth of knowledge and expertise. Learning from different experiences gives us perspective and inspires us to boldly call things into question, to be creative. By nurturing a culture of collaboration and curiosity, we attract the highest calibre of people who have the ability and desire to influence and shape the future. “GAME CHANGERS” - our tagline - summarises our ambition.

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