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C an you te l l     Mi l ky Dream ™
                     Tianchen Liu
she's dr i nki ng    Darius Wheeler
                     Denis Vasilescu
soy mi l k?

She can't.
Motivation: A Need for Milk Substitutes
Milk is one of very few foods in which
people who cannot or will not consume it
seek a substitute rather than giving it up
entirely, e.g. there are no broccoli
substitutes.
●   Some are lactose intolerant or have milk
    allergies which prohibit milk
    consumption
●   Some wish to avoid the hormones and
    organic chemicals that come from farm
    factory cows                               Every one seeking
●   Vegans and some vegetarians abstain        a milk substitute
    from animal products such as dairy         seeks something
●   Others seek lower calories or different    that tastes (and
    nutrients found in soy, almond, or         looks) like milk!
    coconut
Who Buys Milk Substitutes?




    Source: [Dimitri & Greene]
Our Approach: a soy milk that tastes like milk
 Starting with a base soy milk, add in milk flavoring,
 remove soy flavoring.
  ●   Principle chemicals responsible for milk's taste
      are lactose and the products of lactose
      breakdown: galactose and glucose.
       –   Available off the shelf from biotech
           suppliers
  ●   Chemicals responsible for soy taste yet
      unknown, but tolerable as they are mild
  ●   Worst case, product merely has to taste more
      like milk than competitors to grab relevant
      market share.
  ●   Product packaged in plastic or glass containers
      to distinguish its similarity to milk rather than
      soy milk which comes in cartons
       –   Half-gallons are sold as gallons are
           typically bought by households w/ children
  ●   Formula kept as trade secret rather than patent
Market Share for Milk & Milk Substitutes
               source: [Dhar & Foltz]
                                                                                                     Market Potential for
                                        Skim/Low Fat
                                        Milk
                                        Whole Milk
                                                                                                       Mi l ky Dream ™
                                        Flavored Milk
                                        Soy Milk                                     Market trends:
                                                                                             ●   Sales of soy milk down since 2008 due partly to
                                                                                                 recession but partly to soy burnout
                                             8.4%                                            ●   Largest player, Dean Foods, bogged down since
●   Primary reason (>50%) people stick with                                                      2009 by their milk business
    their soy milk brand is taste [Mintel]                                           Market prediction:
●   Primary reason (45%) people do not buy                                                   ●   In the milk substitute market, one does not have to
    soy milk is taste [Mintel]                                                                   taste exactly like milk to succeed, only taste more
                                                                                                 like milk than the competitors.
●   Secondary reason (25%) people do not
    buy soy milk is price [Mintel]                                                                           Dean Foods Milk Market
                                                                                             12000

                                                                                             10000
                                                                                                                                            Dairy Sales
                                                                                                                                            Dairy Gross Profits
                                                   Silk Soymilk                              8000                                           Whitewave Sales
                                                                           Millions of USD

                                                   Silk Light Soymilk
                                                                                                                                            Whitewave Gross Profits
                                                   Private Label Soymilk
                                                                                             6000
                                                   Blue Diamond Almond
                                                   Breeze
                                                   Silk Pure Almond                          4000
                                                   8th Continent Soymilk
                                                   Silk Plus Soymilk                         2000

                                                                                                 0
       Nondairy Milk Substitute Market Share        12.1%, $58.7 M                                    2007    2008     2009      2010
      source: [Soyfoods: The U.S. Market 2010]      (Sales 2010)                                              source: [Dean Foods fiscal annual reports 2007-2010]
Business Plan for                                                                        1000000
                                                                                                            Five Year Budget Expenditures

                                                                                         900000

  Mi l ky Dream ™                                                                        800000
                                                                                         700000




                                                                      Thousands of USD
                                                                                         600000                                                      Capital
                                                                                                                                                     Operations
    ●    Initial investment of $1.8 million to cover expected costs                      500000                                                      Personnel
         of first two years
                                                                                         400000
    ●    Target 15% market share ($10 M sales) of the private
                                                                                         300000
         label soymilk by 5th year
                                                                                         200000
    ●    Primary customers are independent natural food
         retailers                                                                       100000

    ●    Demonstrate value to retailers and consumers through                                    0
         taste tests, generous free samples, and accomodating                                          2012      2013     2014     2015     2016
         sales agreements

➢       Suppliers:Archer Daniels Midland, Biolabs                                                               Five Year Projections
                                                                                         12000
➢       Logistics:DHL, FedEx
➢       Distribution partners: independent natural                                       10000

        food retailers in South and West                                                 8000
                                                                      Thousands of USD                                                             Sales
➢       Market risks:Soy prices, competitor makes                                        6000
                                                                                                                                                   Cost of Sales
                                                                                                                                                   Gross Profits
        better recipe, competitor cuts supply chain
                                                                                         4000

        Expected R.O.I. = $10 M over 5 years
                                                                                         2000


                                                                                            0
                                                                                                     2012      2013     2014     2015     2016
Itemized Budget for the First Year
●   Location
       –   Austin metro area (low taxes, cheap labor, epicenter of target
           markets, access to logistics, SBDP)
●   Facilities
       –   10,000 SQFT office + warehouse + loading bay
           @$1.15/SQFT/mo = $138,000/yr
       –   $3,500/mo utilities = $42,000/yr
●   Office Furniture & Supplies
       –   Desk,chair, cabinet, desktop computer, phone, misc supplies x 15 =
           $30,000
●   Industrial Equipment
       –   Xinguang 68 gal mixing vat x3 = $4,800
       –   Shengxiang soy bean processing machine: $5,000
       –   SHENS 400L Boiler: $5,000
       –   Blissum 2000 bottle/hour bottling machine: $30,000
       –   Misc + discretionary expenditures: $40,000
●   Personnel
       –   3 founders (chemistry + operations) @ $33,000/yr = $100,000/yr
       –   2 marketing and sales @ $50,000/yr = $100,000/yr
            ●   Travel budget x2 = $50,000/yr
       –   10 warehouse labor + clerical @ $36,000/yr = $360,000/yr
       –   Medical insurance + benefits package x 15 = $45,000/yr
●   Total: $948,000 for first year
Sales Growth Strategy: Value to the Customer
                   Our target customers are independent natural food
                   stores who account for ~50% of venues for existing
                   brands.
                    ●   The “nature” of our customers give them more
                        flexibility and openess to new products
                        compared to chain establishments, but they
                        must still earn a profit themselves
                    ●   Because the key value of our product is taste,
                        taste tests are the keystone demonstration
                        platform.
                         –   Give out free samples to merchants to
                             taste themselves
                         –   If merchant likes the product, he can stage
                             a taste test in his store. This enhances the
                             visibility of his other soy milks, boosting
                             sales regardless if ours is the best. Good
                             incentive
                    ●   Some parallel marketing to consumers to
                        demonstrate demand to merchants. Again the
                        tools of choice are free samples and taste tests
C an you te l l she's dr i nki ng
soy mi l k?
She can't.




                    Mi l ky Dream ™
            Fi nal l y, a soy mil k t hat tastes l ike mi l k
Investment Profile:
  Mi l ky Dream ™                                                                                                  Silk Soymilk
                                                                                                                   Silk Light Soymilk
                                                                                                                   Private Label Soymilk
                                                                                                                   Blue Diamond Almond
                                                                                                                   Breeze
  ●   Initial investment of $1.8 million to                                                                        Silk Pure Almond
                                                                                                                   8th Continent Soymilk
      cover expected costs of first two                                                                            Silk Plus Soymilk
      years
  ●   Key advantages:                                                   Nondairy Milk Substitute Market Share       12.1%, $58.7 M
          Leverages primary reason for                                  source: [Soyfoods: The U.S. Market 2010]    (Sales 2010)
         –
          brand choice: taste
                                                                                           Five Year Projections
        – Main competitor hamstrung with
          low margins and rigid customer                                12000

          base                                                          10000
  ●   Market risks:
                                                                         8000
         – Erosion of our customer base

                                                     Thousands of USD
                                                                                                                                  Sales
                                                                                                                                  Cost of Sales
         – Transient consumer interest                                   6000                                                     Gross Profits

         – Recession contracts market                                    4000


                                                                         2000

  Expected R.O.I. = $10 M over 5 years
                                                                             0
                                                                                 2012     2013     2014     2015     2016

“The willingness of consumers to purchase our products will depend upon our ability to offer products
providing the right consumer benefits at the right price.” -Dean Foods 2010 Annual Report, on the matter
of staying competitive in the soy milk market
References
●   Tirtha Dhar, Jeremy Foltz. “Is Soy Milk? The Economics of the Soy Milk Market” UW
    Food Systems Research Group Conference.Madison, WI, June 17-18, 2005.
●   Carolyn Dimitri, Kathryn M. Venezia. “Retail and Consumer Aspects of the Organic
    Milk Market” Economic Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture.
    May 2007.
●   Carolyn Dimitri, Catherine Greene. “Recent Growth Patterns in the U.S. Organic
    Foods Market” Economic Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture.
●   Caryn Ginsberg. “The Market for Vegetarian Foods” Vegetarian Journal. Vol. 30,
    Issue Three. 2011.
●   Elizabeth Fuhrman. “Soymilks Struggle Under Pressure” Beverage Industry
    November 2010.
●   Mintel Oxygen Reports. “In the Shadow of Competition, the Soy Market Slumps” PR
    Newsire. April 2011.

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Presentation super-milky-dream

  • 1. C an you te l l Mi l ky Dream ™ Tianchen Liu she's dr i nki ng Darius Wheeler Denis Vasilescu soy mi l k? She can't.
  • 2. Motivation: A Need for Milk Substitutes Milk is one of very few foods in which people who cannot or will not consume it seek a substitute rather than giving it up entirely, e.g. there are no broccoli substitutes. ● Some are lactose intolerant or have milk allergies which prohibit milk consumption ● Some wish to avoid the hormones and organic chemicals that come from farm factory cows Every one seeking ● Vegans and some vegetarians abstain a milk substitute from animal products such as dairy seeks something ● Others seek lower calories or different that tastes (and nutrients found in soy, almond, or looks) like milk! coconut
  • 3. Who Buys Milk Substitutes? Source: [Dimitri & Greene]
  • 4. Our Approach: a soy milk that tastes like milk Starting with a base soy milk, add in milk flavoring, remove soy flavoring. ● Principle chemicals responsible for milk's taste are lactose and the products of lactose breakdown: galactose and glucose. – Available off the shelf from biotech suppliers ● Chemicals responsible for soy taste yet unknown, but tolerable as they are mild ● Worst case, product merely has to taste more like milk than competitors to grab relevant market share. ● Product packaged in plastic or glass containers to distinguish its similarity to milk rather than soy milk which comes in cartons – Half-gallons are sold as gallons are typically bought by households w/ children ● Formula kept as trade secret rather than patent
  • 5. Market Share for Milk & Milk Substitutes source: [Dhar & Foltz] Market Potential for Skim/Low Fat Milk Whole Milk Mi l ky Dream ™ Flavored Milk Soy Milk Market trends: ● Sales of soy milk down since 2008 due partly to recession but partly to soy burnout 8.4% ● Largest player, Dean Foods, bogged down since ● Primary reason (>50%) people stick with 2009 by their milk business their soy milk brand is taste [Mintel] Market prediction: ● Primary reason (45%) people do not buy ● In the milk substitute market, one does not have to soy milk is taste [Mintel] taste exactly like milk to succeed, only taste more like milk than the competitors. ● Secondary reason (25%) people do not buy soy milk is price [Mintel] Dean Foods Milk Market 12000 10000 Dairy Sales Dairy Gross Profits Silk Soymilk 8000 Whitewave Sales Millions of USD Silk Light Soymilk Whitewave Gross Profits Private Label Soymilk 6000 Blue Diamond Almond Breeze Silk Pure Almond 4000 8th Continent Soymilk Silk Plus Soymilk 2000 0 Nondairy Milk Substitute Market Share 12.1%, $58.7 M 2007 2008 2009 2010 source: [Soyfoods: The U.S. Market 2010] (Sales 2010) source: [Dean Foods fiscal annual reports 2007-2010]
  • 6. Business Plan for 1000000 Five Year Budget Expenditures 900000 Mi l ky Dream ™ 800000 700000 Thousands of USD 600000 Capital Operations ● Initial investment of $1.8 million to cover expected costs 500000 Personnel of first two years 400000 ● Target 15% market share ($10 M sales) of the private 300000 label soymilk by 5th year 200000 ● Primary customers are independent natural food retailers 100000 ● Demonstrate value to retailers and consumers through 0 taste tests, generous free samples, and accomodating 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 sales agreements ➢ Suppliers:Archer Daniels Midland, Biolabs Five Year Projections 12000 ➢ Logistics:DHL, FedEx ➢ Distribution partners: independent natural 10000 food retailers in South and West 8000 Thousands of USD Sales ➢ Market risks:Soy prices, competitor makes 6000 Cost of Sales Gross Profits better recipe, competitor cuts supply chain 4000 Expected R.O.I. = $10 M over 5 years 2000 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  • 7. Itemized Budget for the First Year ● Location – Austin metro area (low taxes, cheap labor, epicenter of target markets, access to logistics, SBDP) ● Facilities – 10,000 SQFT office + warehouse + loading bay @$1.15/SQFT/mo = $138,000/yr – $3,500/mo utilities = $42,000/yr ● Office Furniture & Supplies – Desk,chair, cabinet, desktop computer, phone, misc supplies x 15 = $30,000 ● Industrial Equipment – Xinguang 68 gal mixing vat x3 = $4,800 – Shengxiang soy bean processing machine: $5,000 – SHENS 400L Boiler: $5,000 – Blissum 2000 bottle/hour bottling machine: $30,000 – Misc + discretionary expenditures: $40,000 ● Personnel – 3 founders (chemistry + operations) @ $33,000/yr = $100,000/yr – 2 marketing and sales @ $50,000/yr = $100,000/yr ● Travel budget x2 = $50,000/yr – 10 warehouse labor + clerical @ $36,000/yr = $360,000/yr – Medical insurance + benefits package x 15 = $45,000/yr ● Total: $948,000 for first year
  • 8. Sales Growth Strategy: Value to the Customer Our target customers are independent natural food stores who account for ~50% of venues for existing brands. ● The “nature” of our customers give them more flexibility and openess to new products compared to chain establishments, but they must still earn a profit themselves ● Because the key value of our product is taste, taste tests are the keystone demonstration platform. – Give out free samples to merchants to taste themselves – If merchant likes the product, he can stage a taste test in his store. This enhances the visibility of his other soy milks, boosting sales regardless if ours is the best. Good incentive ● Some parallel marketing to consumers to demonstrate demand to merchants. Again the tools of choice are free samples and taste tests
  • 9. C an you te l l she's dr i nki ng soy mi l k? She can't. Mi l ky Dream ™ Fi nal l y, a soy mil k t hat tastes l ike mi l k
  • 10. Investment Profile: Mi l ky Dream ™ Silk Soymilk Silk Light Soymilk Private Label Soymilk Blue Diamond Almond Breeze ● Initial investment of $1.8 million to Silk Pure Almond 8th Continent Soymilk cover expected costs of first two Silk Plus Soymilk years ● Key advantages: Nondairy Milk Substitute Market Share 12.1%, $58.7 M Leverages primary reason for source: [Soyfoods: The U.S. Market 2010] (Sales 2010) – brand choice: taste Five Year Projections – Main competitor hamstrung with low margins and rigid customer 12000 base 10000 ● Market risks: 8000 – Erosion of our customer base Thousands of USD Sales Cost of Sales – Transient consumer interest 6000 Gross Profits – Recession contracts market 4000 2000 Expected R.O.I. = $10 M over 5 years 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 “The willingness of consumers to purchase our products will depend upon our ability to offer products providing the right consumer benefits at the right price.” -Dean Foods 2010 Annual Report, on the matter of staying competitive in the soy milk market
  • 11. References ● Tirtha Dhar, Jeremy Foltz. “Is Soy Milk? The Economics of the Soy Milk Market” UW Food Systems Research Group Conference.Madison, WI, June 17-18, 2005. ● Carolyn Dimitri, Kathryn M. Venezia. “Retail and Consumer Aspects of the Organic Milk Market” Economic Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture. May 2007. ● Carolyn Dimitri, Catherine Greene. “Recent Growth Patterns in the U.S. Organic Foods Market” Economic Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture. ● Caryn Ginsberg. “The Market for Vegetarian Foods” Vegetarian Journal. Vol. 30, Issue Three. 2011. ● Elizabeth Fuhrman. “Soymilks Struggle Under Pressure” Beverage Industry November 2010. ● Mintel Oxygen Reports. “In the Shadow of Competition, the Soy Market Slumps” PR Newsire. April 2011.