- The Calgary and Edmonton real estate markets saw declines in sales, new listings, and average prices in August 2016 compared to the previous year. Year-to-date, the Calgary market saw an overall increase in average price of 1.03% while Edmonton saw a slight decline of 0.09%.
- The Alberta economy continues to struggle with high unemployment, declining retail trade, and negative net migration. However, average weekly earnings are up slightly and the mortgage arrears ratio remains below the national average.
- Oil prices (WTI and WCS) remain low, maintaining a wide price differential, which continues to impact the Alberta economy.
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CREB Economic Region and Edmonton Real Estate Market Report
1. CREB Economic Region
Detached
Apartment
Attached
2016
CREB Economic Region
Detached
Apartment
Attached
-0.25%
14,890
TOTAL Y/Y% TOTAL Y/Y% AVERAGE Y/Y%
YEAR TO DATE (2016):
0.30%
AVERAGE Y/Y% AVERAGE Y/Y%
-13.19% 28,859 -6.41% 51.23% -7.95% 7,630 6.29% 473,622$
7,882 -17.28%
395,826$ -1.62%620 7.45% 51.61% -18.19% 1,365 20.80%
from January 1st , 2016 to the last day of August, 2016
320 -12.09%
2,720 -2.89% 543,312$ 1.03%
267 -4.30% 615 20.12% 43.41% -20.33% 1,571 29.30% 316,842$
AVERAGE
8,477 18.10% 473,561$ 2.54%2,035
7.36%
- Calgary Real Estate Market -
from the 1st of August, 2016 to the last day of August, 2016
-1.50% 3,589 3.61% 56.70% -4.93%
REPORTING PERIOD:
AVERAGE Y/Y%Y/Y%
980 -2.00% 1,524 -7.30% 64.30% 5.72%
TOTAL Y/Y% TOTAL Y/Y% AVERAGE Y/Y%
Real Estate and Economic Report
Sales New Listings
Sales to New
Listings Ratio
Active Listings Average Price
13,345 -18.80% 58.72% 0.82% 2,885 -16.69% 543,058$
1.74%
2,687 - 5,478 - 49.06% - 1,419 - 401,889$ -
1,933 -22.15% 5,106 -0.84% 37.83% -23.02% 1,507 11.42% 311,767$
$459,035 $465,202 $479,880
$517,333
$558,738 $537,883 $543,058
$250,000
$350,000
$450,000
$550,000
$650,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
Single Family Home Annual Average Price (Calgary)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
Single Family Home Comparisons (Calgary)
Sales (Total) New Listings (Total) Active Listings (Avg.)
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Single Family Home Average Days on Market (Calgary)
2. Total Residential
Single Family Detached
Condominium
Duplex/Rowhouse
2016
Total Residential
Single Family Detached
Condominium
Duplex/Rowhouse
Sales to New
Listings Ratio
Average Price
- Edmonton Real Estate Market -
TOTAL Y/Y% TOTAL Y/Y% AVERAGE Y/Y% AVERAGE
REPORTING PERIOD: from the 1st of August, 2016 to the last day of August, 2016
Sales New Listings
Y/Y%
0.84%
623 -28.64% 1,136 -31.57% 54.84% 3.47% 443,645$ 1.46%
1,086 -25.72% 2,105 -24.20% 51.59% -2.00% 371,960$
-0.31%
87 -39.16% 163 -40.07% 53.37% 0.71% 369,139$ 1.36%
AVERAGE Y/Y%
355 -13.63% 767 -0.78% 46.28% -12.67% 252,162$
YEAR TO DATE (2016): from January 1st, 2016 to the last day of August, 2016
AVERAGE Y/Y%
8,511 -31.98% 18,913 -21.80% 45.43% -11.52%
TOTAL Y/Y%
372,920$ -0.09%
TOTAL Y/Y%
5,025 -33.99% 10,177 -28.92% 50.24% -4.99% 442,245$ 0.70%
2,571 -28.20% 6,688 -10.24% 38.39% -20.02% 250,834$ -1.10%
802 -26.29% 1,573 -14.88% 52.29% -11.38% 356,038$ 0.66%
$383,226 $379,485
$392,446
$409,438
$431,882 $436,416
$442,245
$340,000
$360,000
$380,000
$400,000
$420,000
$440,000
$460,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
Single Family Home Annual Average Price (Edmonton)
941
854
773
782
623
419
528
648
923
1,022
1,179
1,198
1,125
983
857
863
673
436
485
747
917
1,147
1,213
1,324
1,158
1,019
1,020
908
777
439
390
547
876
1,001
1,078
1,243
1,111
884
873
728
680
435
342
517
605
691
775
802
670
623
1,455
1,380
1,266
1,082
769
409
955
1,115
1,467
1,569
1,911
1,586
1,491
1,349
1,268
1,059
783
415
1,070
1,082
1,585
1,818
2,085
1,829
1,601
1,354
1,335
1,260
794
534
1,298
1,428
1,883
1,964
1,974
1,886
1,782
1,741
1,660
1,283
1,059
719
1,308
1,584
1,241
1,279
1,283
1,216
1,130
1,136
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Single Family Home Comparisons (Edmonton)
Sales (Total) New Listings (Total)
0
50
100
150
200
< $100 $100 -
$199
$200 -
$299
$300 -$
349
$350 -
$399
$400 -
$449
$450 -
$499
$500 -
$549
$550 -
$599
$600 -
$649
$650 -
$699
$700 -
$799
$800 -
$899
$900 -
$999
$1M +
Aug-15
Aug-16
Number of Sales by Price Range (Calgary Total Sales)
3. Alberta
Canada
Unemployment Rate
2016 YTD in Alberta
Retail Trade (mill. $'s) in Canada
Jul-16
Total Mortgages
May-16
*the following information is based on current available data from: http://economicdashboard.albertacanada.com/, www.statcan.gc.ca/dai-quo/ and RBC Economic
Outlook,http://www.cba.ca/en/component/content/publication/69-statistics, http://www.atb.com/SiteCollectionDocuments
- Alberta Economic Indicators -
TOTAL Y/Y%2016f
1.30%
in Alberta
in Alberta 7.79%
in Canada
2015
Real GDP Growth Annual
Y/Y%TOTAL
Net Migration to AB
Aug-16
576,089
-2.52%in Alberta 6,135
in Canada in Alberta
No Data 0.00%
25.78
-3.50%
-25.76%
in Canada 4,692,874
43,763
7.10% 4.23%
2.89%
-2.90%
1.17%
0.68%
29.79% Aug-16
$1,104.90 -4.16%
$961.60 0.71%
2,169Mortgages 90 Day
Arrears
May-16
Avg. Weekly Earnings
13,155 1.90%in Canada
Housing Starts (000's)
2015 1.20%
41.03%
0
20
40
60
80
Average Days on Market (Edmonton)
1,149
1,146
1,118
$1,100
$1,120
$1,140
$1,160
2014 2015 2016YTD
Average Weekly Earnings Average Weekly Earnings (Alberta)
0.20%
0.23%
0.25%
0.28%
0.30%
0.33%
0.35%
0.38%
0.40%
2015-01
2015-02
2015-03
2015-04
2015-05
2015-06
2015-07
2015-08
2015-09
2015-10
2015-11
2015-12
2016-01
2016-02
2016-03
2016-04
2016-05
Mortgages
% of Arrears to Total Number of
Mortgages (AB)
% of Arrears to Total Number of
Mortgages (Canada)
Mortgage Arrears Ratio; Canada vs Alberta