2. Topics
• Part 1
o Capital
o Invested capital
o Return to capital
o Profitability ratios
• Part 2
o Cash flow to capital: Free cash flow
o Capital structure
o Cost of capital
o Economic profit
2
V=
FCFi
(1+k)i
i=1
N
å
V is the value of capital or net operating asserts
FCF is cash flow to capital
k is the annual rate cost of capital
N is number of years
4. 4
Cash Flows in a Company
Assets
Revenue generating
economic resources
‘Invest’ capital in assets
Capital
Debt
Equity
Raise capital
Return capital
Return to retained earnings
Operating
income
EBIT
Interest
expense to
banks and
bondholders
IX
Income tax
expense
ITX
Dividends to
shareholders
DIV
4
7. Balance Sheet Notation
Accounting periods span time Dt
Dt = ti – ti-1
An account X has value Xi at
time ti and value Xi-1 at time ti-1
The change in account value
over Dt is DX, DX = Xi - Xi-1
7
i-1 i i+1
ti-1 Dt ti ti+1
Xi-1 DX Xi
Xi+1
9. Property, Plant, & Equipment
GFAi PPE or gross fixed assets (total cost) at time ti
CX capital expense (“capex”) over ∆t
CG gross cost of PPE sold off over ∆t
GFAi = GFAi-1 + CX – CG
DGFA = CX - CG ti-1
GFAi-1
ti
GFAi
Dt
CX
CG
9
10. Property, Plant, & Equipment
ADi accumulated depreciation on PPE at time ti
DX depreciation expense over ∆t
CC book value (carry cost) of PPE sold off over ∆t
CG gross cost of PPE sold off over ∆t
ADi = ADi-1 + DX – (CG – CC)
CG – CC: Gross cost – carry cost of PPE sold off over Dt
Accumulated depreciation of PPE sold off over Dt
DAD = DX – CG + CC
Accounting income on
the sale of PPE over Dt is
DG = CS – CC
CS is cash received on sale of PPE
10
ti-1
ADi-1
ti
ADi
Dt
DX
CG-CC
11. Property, Plant, & Equipment
GFAi gross fixed asset (total cost) capital investment at time ti
ADi accumulated depreciation on PPE at time ti
NFAi Net fixed assets (PPE) at time ti
NFAi = GFAi - ADi
∆NFA = DGFA – DAD
= (CX – CG) – (DX – CG + CC)
= CX – DX - CC
11
ti-1
NFAi-1
ti
NFAi
Dt
CX -DX -CC
12. Invested Capital
Net Working Capital
NWC = CA – CL
= CE + AR + INV – AP – ITP – SD
Net Operating Working Capital
NOWC = OCE + AR + INV – AP – ITP
DNOWC = DOCE + DAR + DINV – DAP –DITP
Invested Capital (in operations)
IC = NFA + NOWC
∆IC = ∆NFA + ∆NOWC
= CX – DX – CC + ∆NOWC
Also called net operating assets
12
14. Invested Capital
∆IC = ∆NFA + ∆NOWC
= CX – DX – CC + ∆NOWC
If only fully depreciated assets are sold during the period, then
CC= 0, thus
∆IC = CX – DX + ∆NOWC
For a steady state operating approximation, CX = DX and
∆NOWC = 0, thus
∆IC = 0
14
18. Return on Invested Capital
Profit, NP, is return to equity (to retained earnings)
NP = (EBIT-IX)·(1 – t) = EBIT·(1 – t) - IX·(1 – t)
Adjust NP to return to capital, NOPAT
o Effective interest, IX∙(1-t), was subtracted out of NP, so add back
o Non-operating effective income such as interest and dividends
received, IDI∙(1-t), was added in, so subtract it back out
o Deferred taxes, DT, had been subtracted out with ITX, so add it back since
it accrues to capital
NOPAT = EBIT·(1 – t) – IX·(1 – t) + IX∙(1-t) - IDI∙(1-t) +DT
= (EBIT– IDI) ·(1 – t) +DT
NOPAT is Net Operating Profit After Tax
18
19. Return on Invested Capital
NOPAT = (EBIT– IDI) ·(1 – t) + DT
If no deferred tax increment, DT =0, and no investment income
from non-operating assets, IDI = 0
Then
NOPAT= EBIT· (1 – t)
19
20. Income Taxes
20
Income taxed paid out (ITC)
Income taxes payable (DITP)
Income taxes deferred (DT)
Income tax expense (ITX)
21. Homework 16A
• Determine the following quantities for Fairway Corp
• Notes:
o During 2015 Fairway Corp sold off some fully depreciated property, plant and
equipment for $20K that originally cost $150K.
o Fairway Corp’s only non-operating assets are its investment securities
21
2014-2015 2015
CX NWC
DG NOWC
DNFA NFA
DNOWC IC
DIC DB (debt)
ITC
NOPAT
ITC = ITX – DT – DITP
= 103 – 5 - 1
= 97
NOPAT = (EBIT– IDI) ·(1 – t) + DT
= 370*(1-.34) + 5
= 249.22
∆IC = CX – DX + ∆NOWC
= 500 – 120 + 173
= 553
500
20
380
173
552
97
249.22
1132
1258
1380
2638
961
22. Profitability Ratios
• Profit margin (rate)
o a measure of revenue productivity
o how much net profit, NP, is generated from $1 of revenue, R?
NP
R
=
200
3190
= .0627
22
23. Profitability Ratios
• Return (rate) on assets, roa
o a measure of asset productivity
o how much net profit, NP, is generated from $1 of
total assets, TA?
roa =
NP
TA
=
200
2876
= .0695
23
24. Profitability Ratios
• Return (rate) on equity, roe
o a measure of equity productivity
o how much net profit, NP, is generated from $1 of total book equity,
EB?
24
roe =
NP
EB
=
200
1823
= .1097
25. Profitability Ratios
The DuPont formula defines roe as a product of three
ratios to provide insight into 3 aspects of the firm
: net profit margin - How much net profit is produced per $1 of
revenue?
: asset productivity relative to revenue - How much revenue is
produced per $1 of total assets?
: measure of financial leverage - What is the dollar value of firm
assets per $1 of equity?
roe =
NP
EB
=
NP
R
×
R
TA
×
TA
EB
NP
R
R
TA
TA
EB
25
26. Profitability Ratios
net profit margin - How much net
profit is produced per $1 of
revenue?
asset productivity relative to
revenue - How much revenue is
produced per $1 of total assets?
measure of financial leverage -
What is the value of firm assets per
$1 of equity?
For operating and non-operating
Fairway Corp assets, revenue, and
equity
26
roe =
NP
R
×
R
TA
×
TA
EB
=
200
3190
×
3190
2876
×
2876
1823
= .0627×1.109×1.578
= .1097
27. Profitability Ratios
• Return (rate) on invested capital, roic
o a measure of revenue productivity
o how much net profit, NP, is generated from $1 of revenue, R?
roic=
NOPAT
IC
=
NOPAT
NOWC+NFA
=
249.22
1258+1380
= .0945
27
30. Ratios
• Balance sheet denominators might be also be defined as
averages
• Example roe
30
roe =
NP
EB2014
=
200
1823
= .1097
roe =
NP
1
2
EB2015 +EB2014( )
=
200
1
2
1823+2007( )
=.1044
31. Homework 16C
• Determine the following quantities for Fairway Corp
o Use the average balance sheet quantities in the denominator
• roa
• roic
• roe with DuPont formula
31
33. Interest Coverage Ratios
33
Greater
than
To Rating
12.5 100000 AAA
9.5 12.499999 AA
7.5 9.499999 A+
6 7.499999 A
4.5 5.999999 A-
4 4.499999 BBB
3.5 3.9999999 BB+
3 3.499999 BB
2.5 2.999999 B+
2 2.499999 B
1.5 1.999999 B-
1.25 1.499999 CCC
0.8 1.249999 CC
0.5 0.799999 C
0.499999 D
For smaller non-
financial service
companies with
market cap < $ 5
billion
From A. Damodaren’s website
Editor's Notes
Banks make collateralized loans,
Short term debt on your balance sheet
You want an equity investment
Privet offering or public offering
Secondary market
Capital ?
Claim on the company for which a return is expected
Accounts buyable
Loan
Bond Equity
Reconcile revenue and cost (accruals) with cash received and paid out
IF AR increases – revenue is reduced by that that went into AR instead of CE
IF INV increases – costs incurred but not in cost of goods sold - so increase the cost or thus decrease the cash flow from operations If AP increases – you paid your suppliers less than costs – so subtract the increase from from cost or add to cash flow
Buy bonds, pay off bonds
Buy back shares, sell shares
Pay dividends
Pay interest
After (NPV) reinvestments are made
Extra slide – may be redundant
FIX for NOWC
Extra slide – may be redundant
Note gray line. OCE is needed to fund the cash cycle and is assume to earn no interest or dividends
NOCE is excess cash and probably does earn interest or dividends
Don’t need cash, buy back stock or bonds
Sell off or cash out IS
Captial need to support opearing assets
IF T = 0, further simplity
Fairway Corp has all cash in OCE (NOCE=0)
Remember to include OCE in OCA
Note gray line. OCE is needed to fund the cash cycle and is assume to earn no interest or dividends
NOCE is excess cash and probably does earn interest or dividends
Don’t need cash, buy back stock or bonds
Sell off or cash out IS
Captial need to support opearing assets
IF T = 0, further simplity
Fairway Corp has all cash in OCE (NOCE=0)
Remember to include OCE in OCA
A simple corp – even simpler
Or lean Tech
Weighted average of market yields or issue specifiv
Don’t know kE yet
Market value is observed
Fair value is computed from DCF
Weighted average of market yields or issue specifiv
Don’t know kE yet
Weighted average of market yields or issue specify
Don’t know kE yet
Note that alpha is almost zero
CAPM is a 1 parameter linear model between expected return rate and a measure of expected risk
6.7% of stocks’ excess return is due to market’s excess return
97.6% confident that the stock excess return is not solely, linearly dependent on MRP
That the null hypothesis should be rejected
We are 68% confident that the intercept is zero