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KOREA


                                                                                                                                        September 5, 2011 Company Analysis / KOSDAQ




                                                                                                                                       OCI Materials
                                                                                                                                                              (036490)

                                                                                                                                                              BUY ( initiate)

                                                                    Earnings Will Tell
                                                                    Initiating coverage with BUY and fair value of KRW136,000
                                                                    We initiate coverage on OCI Materials with a BUY rating and a fair value of KRW136,000. The fair value
Ken Park Analyst / IT Components & Equipment                        is derived by applying a fair PER of 14.3x to the company’s 12 month-forward EPS of KRW9,514. The
82-2-2003-2923 ken.park@hdsrc.com                                   company is the No. 1 player in the global IT-related special gas market and enjoys a virtual monopoly.
Claire Kim RA                                                       We believe the stock deserves a fair PER of 14.3x in view of solid profitability indicators (estimated 2011
82-2-2003-2930 claire.kim@hdsrc.com                                 EPS growth rate of 34% and ROE of 24%).

 Current price (Aug 31)                   KRW99,000                 OR set to grow at three-year CAGR of 29%
 Fair value                             KRW136,000
                                                                    OCI Materials’s OR is projected to grow 36%YoY to KRW320.1bn in 2011 and at an impressive CAGR
 Reuters code                               036490.KQ               of 29% during 2011-13, fueled by: 1) continuously tight supply of NF3 (nitrogen trifluoride); 2) growth of
 Bloomberg code                             036490 KS
                                                                    the AMOLED industry (a downstream industry); and 3) enhanced market dominance stemming from
 Industry/Sector            Semicon Materials & Others              capacity additions for NF3. Additional earnings momentum may also come from a possible rise in the
 Rating                                            NA               capacity utilization rate of SiH4 (monosilane).
 Market cap                                 USD1.0bn
 Ordinary shares issued                10,547,673shrs               Outstanding cost competitiveness to drive up 2011 OP by 44%YoY
 Free float                                     50.9%               The company’s OP is forecast to jump 44%YoY to KRW113.3bn in 2011, driven by: 1) strong cost
 KOSPI                                        1880.11
                                                                    competitiveness; 2) market share gains and economies of scale stemming from capacity expansion;
 KOSDAQ                                        493.44
                                                                    and 3) price markups amid tight supply.
 Avg T/O Vol (60d)                          53,744shrs
 Avg T/O Val (60d)                          USD5.5mn
 Foreign ownership                              19.9%
                                                                    Robust growth potential
 3yr CAGR of adj EPS (11~13)                    33.9%
                                                                    Weighed down by the recent stock market tumble, OCI Materials now trade at a 2011 PER of 12.5x,
 Market’s 3yr CAGR of adj. EPS                     NA               hinting at a further upside. First, the company is expected to be relatively immune to the stagnation of
 52wk high/low              KRW151,000 / KRW76,900                  the downstream industry and continue growing in 2H11. Second, it will directly benefit from the recovery
 Beta (12M, daily return)                          0.8              of the downstream industry and the growth of new growth businesses in the future.
 Major shareholders                         OCI 49.1%

 Price performance          1M         3M          6M                FY-end                                    12/09A                 12/10A        12/11F       12/12F       12/13F
 Absolute             -24.4%       -22.5%       -6.4%                (Reporting standard)                    (GAAP-P)               (GAAP-P)      (IFRS-C)     (IFRS-C)     (IFRS-C)
 Relative             -17.1%       -23.8%       -3.3%                OR (KRWbn)                                  179.8                  235.4        320.1        404.2        505.8
%           Relative performance (LHS)                               OP (KRWbn)                                    61.0                   78.7       113.3        144.5        188.2
                                                 KRW
 20         Stock price (RHS)                  160,000               NP (KRWbn)                                    50.6                   59.9        83.6        108.6        143.8
 15                                            140,000               Parent NP (KRWbn)                              51                     60           84          109          144
 10
  5                                            120,000               EPS (KRW)                                   4,798                  5,680        7,931       10,297       13,637
  0                                            100,000
 -5                                                                  Adj. EPS (KRW)                              4,798                  5,680        7,931       10,297       13,637
                                               80,000
-10
-15                                            60,000                PER* (x)                               20.8 - 10.9            22.0 - 13.7        12.5           9.6          7.3
-20                                            40,000                PBR (x)                                        4.5                    3.9          3.0          2.3          1.7
-25
-30                                            20,000                EV/EBITDA (x)                                 12.2                    9.6          6.7          5.2          4.0
-35                                            0
  9/10 11/10 1/11 3/11 5/11 7/11                                     ROE (%)                                       25.7                   24.1        23.8         26.8         27.1
                                                                     Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities




  For explanations of equity research ratings and disclosures, please refer to the compliance section at the end of this report.
>> OCI Materials




                                                Valuation

Initiating coverage with                        We initiate coverage on OCI Materials with a BUY rating and a fair value of KRW136,000. The
BUY and fair value of                           fair value is derived by applying a fair PER of 14.3x to the company’s 12 month-forward EPS of
KRW136,000                                      KRW9,514. The PER of 14.3x corresponds to a 20% premium to the PER of overseas peers, which
                                                is converted based on domestic market. OCI Materials enjoys a virtual monopoly in the global IT-
                                                related special gas market, and controls the largest share in the global market for NF3, the
                                                company’s flagship products. We believe OCI Materials deserves a 20% premium over rivals in
                                                view of the following: 1) with an adjusted EPS growth rate of 34% and ROE of 24% in 2011, the
                                                company is expected to enjoy stronger profitability (OP margin of 35%) than overseas rivals (Air
                                                Product, Kanto Denka, Air Liquide, Linde, etc.); 2) it is expected to secure a monopolistic market
                                                share and step up market dominance through capacity expansion for NF3; 3) earnings are stable
                                                thanks to the nature of materials industry; and 4) it is exposed to various downstream industries,
                                                such as semiconductors, LCD, AMOLED and rechargeable batteries, among other IT industries.
                                                In view of the company’s past five-year average PER of 19x and the current growth potential, there
                                                is no reason for the stock to receive lower valuation than in the past, and, therefore, a fair PER
                                                equivalent to the past five-year average can also be applied for valuation.

Fig 1: Initiating coverage with BUY and fair value of KRW136,000
Company name             Code              Market cap                PER           EPS growth     PBR         ROE                       OP margin Overseas peers’
                                                                      (x)             (%)          (x)         (%)                          (%)    PER relative to
                                             (USDmn)        2011F           2012F 2011F 2012F 2011F 2012F 2011F 2012F                  2011F 2012F   their market
Air Product              APD.US                17,498         14.3           12.7   14.1       13.0    2.7   2.4      20.6      20.7    16.8     17.4          9.2
Kanto Denka              4047.JP                  359         17.1           11.9   (3.2)      43.2    1.4   1.2       8.2       9.9     7.8      9.8         10.2
Air Liquid               AI.FR                 36,419         16.1           14.7   10.7        9.7    2.6   2.4      16.5      16.5    17.0     17.3         14.2
Linde                    LIN.DE                25,665         13.7           12.5   11.3        9.8    1.5   1.4      11.2      11.6    13.7     14.2         14.1
Avg.                                                          15.3           12.9    8.2       18.9    2.0   1.8      14.1      14.7    13.8     14.7
OCI Materials            036490.KS              1,096         12.5            9.6   33.9       37.9    3.0   2.3      23.8      26.8    35.4     35.7         11.9
Relative to overseas peers                              Undervalued Undervalued             Stronger               Stronger Stronger Stronger Stronger
Avg. of overseas peers’ relative PER (x)                                                                                                                      11.9
Premium to fair PER (%)
20.0
Fair PER (x)                                                                                                                                                  14.3
12 month-forward EPS (KRW)                                                                                                                                   9,514
Fair value (KRW)                                                                                                                                           135,823
Note: Based on Aug 31 closing prices
Source: Bloomberg, Hyundai Securities



Solid results in 2Q11                           OCI Materials posted 2Q11 OR of KRW80.2bn (up 12%QoQ) and OP of KRW28.5bn (up
despite sluggish                                18%QoQ). The results were in line with market consensus despite the downturn of the IT
downstream industry                             industry. First, while NF3 output climbed up 12%QoQ as newly added NF3 lines (1,000 tons) ran
                                                in almost full capacity, NF3 shipments increased as much as 15%QoQ on the addition of new
                                                customers in China and Taiwan. Second, ASP climbed more than 5% due to NF3 supply
                                                shortages. Third, Japanese competitors’ suspension of NF3 lines rendered the market supply
                                                tighter, which hoisted the OCI Materials’s orders and ASP.




                                                                                                                                           HYUNDAI Research     2
>> OCI Materials




Annual earnings to remain                         3Q11 OR and OP are expected to inch down 1%QoQ to KRW79.2bn and 2%QoQ to KRW28bn,
solid despite downbeat                            respectively, with LCD panel makers curbing their factory use amid lackluster TV and PC demand
LCD industry outlook in                           in 3Q11. Nevertheless, with downstream panel makers ramping up production from end-3Q11,
3Q11                                              OCI Materials’s 4Q11 earnings are expected to rebound. And, its 2011 OR and OP are projected
                                                  to jump 36%YoY to KRW320.1bn and 44%YoY to KRW113.3bn, respectively, in view of the
                                                  following: 1) effects of capacity additions for NF3, whose supply remains tight, will likely continue
                                                  to be reflected in earnest in 2H11; 2) full-fledged operation will begin at AMOLED factories (e.g.,
                                                  SMD) in 2H11; and 3) OCI Materials’s capacity utilization rate is expected to recover on the
                                                  expansion of its market share.

Fig 2: Quarterly earnings forecast
(KRWbn)                          1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11F 4Q11F 1Q12F 2Q12F 3Q12F 4Q12F                                    2010 2011F 2012F 2013F
OR                                52.6     58.5    62.3     62.0      71.8        80.2     79.2   88.9   96.5 100.1 101.4 106.2 235.4 320.1 404.2 505.8
 NF3                              35.3     39.5    40.4     38.6      40.7        45.8     44.9   55.2   57.5 59.7 60.1 63.3 153.8 186.7 240.6 326.2
 WF6                               2.3      2.4     2.4      2.2       5.3         5.5      5.6    5.6    5.5   5.5   5.7   5.6   9.3 21.9 22.3 27.2
 SiH4                             13.9     15.4    18.3     20.0      24.8        27.8     27.6   27.0   32.4 33.7 34.4 36.2 67.6 107.3 136.7 147.8
 Others                            1.1      1.2     1.2      1.2       1.0         1.1      1.1    1.1    1.1   1.1   1.1   1.1   4.7   4.2   4.5   4.7
OP                                15.8     22.3    20.8     23.6      24.1        28.5     28.0   32.6   32.4 35.7 37.3 39.0 82.5 113.3 144.5 188.2
NP                                16.1     22.3    20.0     18.4      16.8        19.7     21.3   25.8   24.0 26.7 28.3 29.6 76.8 83.6 108.6 143.8
Margin (%)
OP                                30.1     38.1    33.4     38.1      33.6        35.6     35.4   36.7   33.6   35.7   36.8    36.7   35.1      35.4        35.7   37.2
NP                                30.6     38.1    32.1     29.7      23.4        24.5     26.9   29.0   24.9   26.6   27.9    27.9   32.6      26.1        26.9   28.4
Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities



Excessively undervalued                           OCI Materials’s share price, which overcame concerns over the slowing downstream industries
after drastic share price                         (e.g., semiconductors, LCD, PV), has recently been oversold amid the stock market crash and
pullbacks, but share price                        concerns over deterioration in earnings. Despite the sluggish downstream industries, however, the
likely to rally                                   company has the merits of prospective new businesses (AMOLED materials, rechargeable battery
                                                  materials, and new raw materials), increased earnings momentum from capacity expansion, and
                                                  a strong OP margin of more than 35%. Therefore, the current valuation, falling below the past five
                                                  years’ (2006-10) average PER of 19x, seems attractive. Historically, the company’s PER ascended
                                                  to the peak levels of 17-19x when increased NF3 capacity boosted production. In 2Q11, recovered
                                                  downstream industries boosted NF3, and increased capacity propelled supplies. If earnings
                                                  improve in 4Q11 despite concerns over downstream industries, share price should be able to
                                                  rebound.

                                                  Fig 3: Recent share price plunge excessive; Time to buy

                                                         KRW                                 Based on 12-month forward EPS
                                                        150,000                                                                        26x      18x
                                                                                                                                                            12x
                                                        120,000

                                                          90,000
                                                                                                                                                            7x

                                                          60,000

                                                          30,000

                                                                 0
                                                                     01      02      03      04     05    06    07     08      09     10       11      12
                                                  Source: Datastream, Hyundai Securities



                                                                                                                                           HYUNDAI Research          3
>> OCI Materials




                          IT-related Special Gas Maker

Special gas maker with    OCI Materials makes special gases used in semiconductors/LCD/AMOLED/solar cell
world-leading             manufacturing such as NF3, SiH4, and WF6. NF3 accounted for 65% of 2010 OR, SiH4 25%, and
competitiveness           WF6 10%. The company holds the largest share of the global NF3 market. Its NF3 capacity, at 5,500
                          tons/year as of 2Q11, is expected to increase to 9,500 tons/year in 2013, and its SiH4 capacity stands
                          at 2,400 tons/year. Major NF3 customers of the company include domestic names such as
                          Samsung Electronics (SEC), LG Display, and Hynix, which account for 65% OR, and overseas
                          companies such as Toshiba (Japan), Sharp (Japan), AUO (Taiwan), and CMI (Taiwan) account
                          for 35%. Competitors include Air Products of the US, Kanto Denka Kogyo (KDK) of Japan, and
                          Mitsui Chemical of Japan. NF3, the flagship product used in production of semiconductors, LCD
                          panels, and solar cells, is injected to chambers to chemically remove remnants of chemical vapor
                          deposition (CVD) process. SiH4 is used in production of semiconductors, LCD panels, AMOLED
                          display, and solar cells. The gas is also used in silicon-deposition process for semiconductors
                          (wafer), LCD panels (TFT glass substrate), and thin film solar cells. About 50% of gas sales come
                          from LCD, 25% from semiconductors, and 25% from solar cells. Competitors in this market
                          include REC, Denal Silane, and MEMC. REC and MEMC have a limited impact on supply-
                          demand dynamics, however, because they put 90% of their output into polysilicon production.
                          WF6 is a by-product of NF3 and used in production of semiconductors and AMOLED display
                          (wire formation).

                          Fig 4: Global market share of NF3 (based on production capacity in 2010)

                                                                      Others 10%


                                                       Mitsui 12%
                                                                                                 OCI Materials 35%



                                              Air Product 21%


                                                                                        Kanto Denka Kogyo 22%



                          Source: Industry data, Hyundai Securities




                          OR to Grow at CAGR of 29% during 2011-13

Flagship product NF3 to   OCI Materials’s OR is expected to grow at a CAGR of 29% during 2011-13, fueled by: 1) the
lead growth               continuously tight supply of NF3 (flagship product); 2) market share gains and enhanced market
                          dominance stemming from expanded NF3 capacity; and 3) the growth of the downstream
                          AMOLED industry, which is a new growth industry. Additional earnings momentum may also
                          come from a possible rise in the capacity utilization rate of SiH4.




                                                                                                         HYUNDAI Research     4
>> OCI Materials




                           Fig 5: NF3 the biggest contributor to OR growth

                               KRWbn
                                                              NF3                WF6               SiH4             Others
                                160
                                  140
                                  120
                                  100
                                    80
                                    60
                                    40
                                    20
                                     0
                                         1Q10          3Q10            1Q11      3Q11F     1Q12F     3Q12F      1Q13F        3Q13F

                           Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities



1) Unprecedented price     The supply-demand dynamics of NF3 are expected to become tight in earnest from 2011 because,
rises amid tight supply-   while growth in production capacity will be limited, demand is expected to be solid, despite the
demand dynamics            slowing downstream industries. Due to the current supply shortage of NF3, NF3 prices are forecast
                           to increase by about 10%YoY in 2011, pointing to strong chances of a continued supply shortage.

                           Fig 6: Supply of NF3 still tight

                                    ton                            Supply (LHS)                       Demand (LHS)                   %
                                   20,000                                                                                            35
                                                                   Oversupply rate (RHS)
                                                                                                                                     30
                                   16,000                                                                                            25
                                                                                                                                     20
                                   12,000
                                                                                                                                     15
                                                                                                                                     10
                                    8,000
                                                                                                                                     5
                                    4,000                                                                                            0
                                                                                                                                     -5
                                          0                                                                                          -10
                                              2000          2002          2004         2006    2008          2010        2012F

                           Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities



Demand for NF3 to be       As of 2011, LCD is expected to account for 50% and semiconductors for about 38% of total
continuously solid         demand for NF3. The company plans to add production capacity (500 tons each in 1H12 and
                           2H12) in Jiangsu Province, China. The capacity expansion in China should contribute to the
                           company’s OR growth given the prospects of major LCD manufacturers in China being added to
                           its customer list, in addition to existing major customers SEC and LG Display. Demand for NF3 is
                           forecast to grow 20%YoY to 13,000 tons in 2011 and post a solid CAGR of 15% during 2011-13
                           in light of the following: 1) application of NF3 for new products, such as AMOLED displays, is
                           expected to continue; 2) despite a drop in LCD demand, demand for NF3 to be used in LCD
                           manufacturing will remain flat as the size of LCD panels increases; and 3) volume of NF3
                           consumption is expected to increase from 4Q11, when the production of LCD panels recovers.
                           Demand for NF3 is projected to grow at a CAGR of 20% in the LCD industry, at about 120% in
                           the AMOLED display industry and at about 20% in the PV industry during 2011-13.




                                                                                                                     HYUNDAI Research      5
>> OCI Materials




                             Fig 7: Demand for NF3 still solid

                                      ton                                Demand (LHS)          Growth rate (RHS)                 %
                                    18,000                                                                                       80

                                    15,000
                                                                                                                                 60
                                    12,000

                                     9,000                                                                                       40

                                     6,000
                                                                                                                                 20
                                     3,000

                                           0                                                                                     0
                                               2000          2002           2004        2006   2008        2010          2012F

                             Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities



NF3 supply not to increase   Compared to brisk demand, NF3 supply is expected to be limited. Although the global NF3 market
much                         is continuing to grow fast (at a 15% rate a year), competitors such as Air Product and Kanto
                             Denka Kogyo seem to be planning only a 10% increase in their capacity from 2011 levels due to
                             weaker cost competitiveness. Also, there seems to be little chances of new entrants coming in.
                             First, it takes more than a year to reach mass production. Second, economies of scale are essential
                             given a heavy fixed-cost burden associated with the capital-intensive nature of the business. Third,
                             new entrants, if any, are unlikely to have cost advantages over existing players. In a similar context,
                             even if existing players increase their capacity, it will be just in a small scale aimed at processing
                             improvement.

                             Fig 8: Slowed increase in NF3 supply

                                     ton                                                                                         %
                                                                         Supply (LHS)           Growth rate (RHS)
                                    20,000                                                                                       60

                                                                                                                                 50
                                    16,000
                                                                                                                                 40
                                    12,000
                                                                                                                                 30
                                      8,000
                                                                                                                                 20
                                      4,000                                                                                      10

                                           0                                                                                     0
                                               2000           2002          2004        2006   2008        2010      2012F

                             Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities



2) Capacity expansion to     In addition to tight NF3 supply, capacity expansion is expected to help OCI Materials expand its
lead to stronger market      market share and further tighten its grip over the market. The company’s NF3 capacity is expected
position and earnings        to increase from 4,500 tons to 6,500 tons at end-2011, after a 1,000-ton addition each in Mar and
                             Sep 2011. Currently, the company accounts for 45% of the NF3 market, but the share is expected
                             to expand to 48%, aided by capacity nearly doubling from the current level to 9,500 tons by 2013.




                                                                                                                    HYUNDAI Research   6
>> OCI Materials




                                             Fig 9: NF3 capacity expansion to lead to stronger market position

                                                      ton
                                                                                                     NF3 production capacity
                                                    10,000

                                                     8,000

                                                     6,000

                                                     4,000

                                                     2,000

                                                           0
                                                                 2004     2005      2006      2007     2008      2009      2010   2011F 2012F 2013F
                                             Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities


                                             Fig 10: OCI Materials’s market share increasing faster than competitors’

                                                    %                          Air Products                KDK                      Mitsui
                                                    60                         Central Glass               OCI Materials            Linde
                                                    50                         Others

                                                    40

                                                    30

                                                    20

                                                    10

                                                      0
                                                           2002             2004              2006            2008           2010            2012F

                                             Source: Hyundai Securities



3) AMOLED to drive NF3                       Since NF3 and SiH4 are used in the deposition process of AMOLED and solar cell production as
demand                                       well, the expected growth in solar cell and AMOLED output going forward is expected to rapidly
                                             boost demand for NF3. First, AMOLED fabrication requires 1.5 times more NF3 than LCD.
                                             Second, the company has Samsung Mobile Display (SMD), which currently accounts for more
                                             than 95% of global AMOLED output, as its key customer of AMOLED-use NF3. Third, SMD and
                                             LG Display, two major AMOLED makers in Korea, are expected to invest more than KRW20tr in
                                             AMOLED over the next five years. As a result, OCI Materials’s 2011 NF3 and SiH4 shipments are
                                             expected to jump more than 60%YoY.

Fig 11: Start-up plans at new AMOLED production line
                                     1Q11   2Q11    3Q11F       4Q11F      1Q12F        2Q12F    3Q12F       4Q12F      1Q13F     2Q13F      3Q13F   4Q13F
4.5G                                  LGD
(730x920mm)                                                       AUO
                                                                  CMI
5.5G                                        SMD
(1300x1500mm)                                                                                        AUO
                                                                                                     CMI
8G                                                                                               SMD
(2200x2500mm)                                                                                                                                LGD
Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities


                                                                                                                                       HYUNDAI Research      7
>> OCI Materials




                                Fig 12: SMD’s AMOLED shipments to rise drastically from 2011

                                     KRWtr
                                      12                                                  SMD's AMOLED sales
                                                                                                                                9.7
                                       10
                                                                                                  2010~2012F
                                                                                                  CAGR 125%
                                        8
                                                                                                                6.2
                                        6

                                        4                                                       3.1

                                        2                                   1.4
                                                     0.6

                                        0
                                                    2009                    2010              2011F            2012F          2013F
                                Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities



4) Increased capacity           The price of SiH4, another core product for the company, is expected to slide 10% in 2011 due to
utilization rates for SiH4 to   the slumping downstream PV industry, but SiH4 output volume has climbed steadily. As a result,
offer additional earnings       the company’s SiH4 capacity use rate has been on an uptrend. If the company’s capacity utilization
momentum                        rate for SiH4 increases from 50% in 2Q11 to 60% at end-2011 and 80% in 2012, additional
                                earnings momentum is expected. OCI Materials’s ramp-up of its SiH4 capacity use has been
                                delayed, because: 1) its capacity expansion for SiH4, unlike NF3, is carried out at one time, which
                                led to a relatively slow increase in the capacity utilization rate; 2) it would not be easy for clients
                                to change vendors, so OCI Materials’s market share is steadily rising; and 3) market demand for
                                thin-film solar cells (major consumption source) has contracted. Nevertheless, the company
                                expects the SiH4 factory use rate to recover to the 70-80% level in the long run given the following.
                                First, SiH4 is also used in most IT product deposition processes (e.g., LCD, semiconductors, solar
                                cells). Second, major LCD downstream clients are expected to invest in China. Third, OCI
                                Materials stands to benefit from its core client SMD’s additional investment in AMOLED. Lastly,
                                REC and MEMC, two global SiH4 makers, are internally consuming more than 90% of their SiH4
                                output to produce polysilicon. If the bulk solar cell market expands following the earthquake in
                                Japan, their increasing in-house consumption of SiH4 should benefit OCI Materials. Against this
                                backdrop, OCI Materials’s capacity utilization growth for SiH4 is expected to reduce fixed cost
                                burden and thereby limit earnings deterioration amid the slowed SiH4 industry.

                                Fig 13: SiH4’s capacity utilization to increase despite supply gluts

                                        ton                            Supply (LHS)                       Demand (LHS)                %
                                       7,000                                                                                          35
                                                                       Oversupply rate (RHS)
                                       6,000                                                                                          30

                                       5,000                                                                                          25
                                                                                                                                      20
                                       4,000
                                                                                                                                      15
                                       3,000
                                                                                                                                      10
                                       2,000
                                                                                                                                      5
                                       1,000                                                                                          0
                                             0                                                                                        -5
                                                    2007           2008            2009       2010     2011F      2012F      2013F
                                Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities




                                                                                                                          HYUNDAI Research   8
>> OCI Materials




5) Still more benefits to   Despite the lackluster downstream industries (LCD and semiconductors), the supply-demand
come from earthquake in     dynamics of NF3 remains tight and the ASP of NF3 is rising due to decreased supply in the aftermath
Japan                       of the earthquake in Japan. In manufacturing NF3 and SiH4, a stable supply of a large volume of
                            electricity is essential for the key electrolysis process. A prolonged disruption to electricity supply in
                            the wake of the earthquake has caused continued production disruptions at rival Kanto Denka
                            Kogyo (KDK: the third largest NF3 manufacturer in the world). Against this backdrop, the global
                            market share of OCI Materials expanded to 45% contributing to 2Q11 earnings.

6) Electrolyte for          OCI Materials is expected to secure mid-/long-term growth engines through new businesses and
rechargeable batteries      continue OR growth. The new businesses include rechargeable battery-use electrolytes (lithium
and AHF to serve as         salt) and Anhydrous Hydrofluoric Acid (AHF). When it comes to the electrolyte business, the
mid-/long-term growth       company is highly likely to be successful in light of the following: 1) competitors (KDK, Foosung,
engines                     etc.) in the global NF3 market are currently focusing on nurturing electrolyte as their key growth
                            item; and 2) the rechargeable battery industry is growing in full force, by more than 35% per
                            annum, amid the growth of the smart device and electric vehicle industries. For the AHF business,
                            OCI Materials is expected to set up a joint venture in Liaoning Province, China, in partnership
                            with Yingpeng Chemical, a Taiwanese chemicals company in China. The joint venture will
                            produce 20,000 tons of AHF annually from end-2012. AHF, all of which OCI Materials imported
                            from China in the past, is an essential raw material for manufacturing NF3 and it is processed by
                            using fluorspar, among the rare earth elements. The company is establishing the joint venture to
                            secure a stable supply of AHF as well as cost competitiveness. The in-house production of AHF
                            through the joint venture should help the company save on raw materials costs and should also
                            lay the foundation for the company’s foray into the fluoride compound market in the future. AHF
                            costs are estimated to account for more than 20% of raw materials costs for NF3, and annual AHF
                            shipments of about 10,000 tons from the joint venture from end-2012 will meet most of the
                            company’s AHF needs. Also, since AHF is the key raw material of various fluoride compounds,
                            synergies can be expected if the company picks a fluoride compound as its new item later.



                            2011 OP to Surge 44%YoY on Cost Competitiveness

2011 OP to surge 41%        The company’s OP is forecast to jump 44%YoY to KRW113.3bn in 2011, driven by: 1) strong cost
                            competitiveness; 2) market share gains and economies of scale stemming from capacity
                            expansion; and 3) price markups amid tight supply. We also expect a higher capacity utilization
                            rate for SiH4 and a profitability improvement based on the internal procurement of AHF.

                            Fig 14: Achieving high OP margin

                                 KRWbn                                                                                        %
                                                                     OP (LHS)                 OP margin (RHS)
                                  250                                                                                         45

                                   200
                                                                                                                              30
                                   150

                                   100
                                                                                                                              15
                                     50

                                      0                                                                                       0
                                          2000          2002         2004       2006   2008       2010      2012F     2014F

                            Source: Datastream, Hyundai Securities

                                                                                                                HYUNDAI Research    9
>> OCI Materials




Strong cost                 OCI Materials has increased its capacity consistently, but its competitors including Air Product,
competitiveness secured     Kanto Denka Kogyo, and Mitsui have been unable to follow because OCI Materials’s outstanding
                            cost competitiveness makes larger capacity disadvantageous for competitors. Based on its cost
                            competitiveness, OCI Materials has kept its OP margin high at around 35%. Its cost
                            competitiveness lies in the following: 1) it can increase capacity for only half the cost compared to
                            competitors; 2) with 65% of its revenues coming from domestic customers, the company incurs
                            smaller logistical expenses than competitors; and 3) the strong yen adds to its price merits.

Tight supply ensures        Due to tight supply, NF3 prices gained 10%YoY in early 2011, which are expected to offset the
stronger ASP and margins    effects of the won’s appreciation and bolster profitability. The tight NF3 supply is expected to
                            continue for some time, and help defend the company’s profitability in the mid/long-term even
                            in times of sluggish IT demand. The company has displayed an outstanding capability to protect
                            earnings: its OP margin stayed above 30% even during the 2008-09 global financial crisis and
                            economic recession.

Market share gains to       OCI Materials’s capacity expansion is expected to lead to market share growth and profitability
spawn profitability gains   gains. At present, the company’s NF3 market share (based on output) stands at 35%. As the
                            company plans to raise its NF3 capacity by 2,000 tons in 2011, 2,000 tons in 2012, and 1,000 tons
                            in 2013, its total capacity is expected to reach 9,500 tons in 2013, which would correspond to a
                            48% global market share. Such capacity additions will widen an output gap further between OCI
                            Materials and its competitors with lower profitability. As a result, the company’s cost
                            competitiveness and pricing power will strengthen, and the profitability gaps with the competition
                            will widen further.

Growth in SiH4 capacity     OCI Materials’s SiH4 capacity use rate currently stands at 50%, and the company holds a 25%
utilization to present      share of the SiH4 market. As of now, the SiH4 OP margin is on par with that of NF3 (over 30%).
additional catalyst for     But the ramp-up of the SiH4 facility use is forecast to hoist the company’s overall OP margin,
earnings                    because: 1) sales growth of SiH4, whose price is more than twice that of NF3, will elevate the
                            company’s overall profitability markedly; and 2) growth in the capacity utilization rate for SiH4
                            may translate into market share gains.

New raw materials           OCI Materials’s joint venture for AHF is expected to lead to: 1) stable supply of core raw materials
businesses to buttress      for flagship NF3 and new electrolyte products; and 2) enhanced cost competitiveness (AHF
robust OP margin            accounts for more than 23% of total costs). Therefore, the joint venture will boost OCI Materials’s
                            OP margin going forward. AHF, which is processed by using fluorspar, is being used as the core
                            raw material not only for NF3, but also electrolyte (lithium salt), a raw material used in
                            rechargeable batteries. If the joint venture begins full-fledged mass-production of AHF at end-
                            2012, most of the initial output (20,000 ton/year) should be used to produce NF3 (AHF
                            requirements: 10,000 ton/year) and therefore hoist the company’s OP margin significantly due to
                            the effects of cost reduction.




                                                                                                        HYUNDAI Research     10
>> OCI Materials




Fig 15: Cost structure
                             New raw materials business to cut raw materials costs


                                 Others 14%

                                                                      Raw materials costs 23%
                  Electricity costs 13%




              SG&A expenses 17%
                                                                   D&A expenses 33%




Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities




                                                                                HYUNDAI Research   11
>> OCI Materials




Profit & Loss                                                                                                                     Statement of financial position
(KRWbn)                                                 12/09A 12/10A                12/11F        12/12F        12/13F          (KRWbn)                                                   12/09A 12/10A                 12/11F          12/12F        12/13F
(Reporting standard)                                  (GAAP-P) (GAAP-P)            (IFRS-C)      (IFRS-C)      (IFRS-C)          (Reporting standard)                                    (GAAP-P) (GAAP-P)             (IFRS-C)        (IFRS-C)      (IFRS-C)
Operating revenue                                          179.8        235.4         320.1         404.2         505.8          Cash and cash equivalents                                     5.9           8.0              32.8         94.3        183.8
Cost of sales                                               99.8        137.7         181.1         226.4         278.0          Current financial assets                                      0.4           0.6               0.6          0.6          0.6
Gross profit                                                80.0         97.7         139.1         177.8         227.8          Trade receivables                                            22.3          28.8              45.0         52.0         52.0
SG&A expenses                                               19.0         19.0          25.8          33.3          39.7          Inventories                                                  36.3          37.8              35.0         36.0         36.0
Other operating income                                       0.0          0.0           0.0           0.0           0.0          Other current assets                                         11.1           6.5               4.5          4.2          4.2
Operating profit                                            61.0         78.7         113.3         144.5         188.2          Current assets                                               75.9          81.7             117.9        187.1        276.6
EBITDA                                                      95.5        132.3         177.3         216.5         260.2          Investment assets                                             2.2           4.2               4.2          4.2          4.2
Non-operating accounts                                      (5.6)        (5.4)         (8.0)         (8.7)         (6.1)         Property, plant and equipment                               379.1         435.8             490.6        545.0        599.4
  Net financing income                                      (5.2)        (6.0)         (7.5)         (5.6)         (5.1)         Intangible assets                                             4.7           4.2               4.2          4.2          4.2
  Profit on equity method                                    0.0          0.0           0.0           0.0           0.0          Deferred tax assets                                           0.7           2.7               0.0          0.0          0.0
  Net other non-operating income                            (0.4)         0.6          (0.5)         (3.1)         (0.9)         Other non-current assets                                      2.5           2.4               2.4          2.4          2.4
Profit before tax                                           55.4         73.3         105.3         135.8         182.1          Non-current assets                                          389.2         449.4             501.5        555.9        610.3
Income tax expense                                           4.8         13.4          21.6          27.2          38.2          Total assets                                                465.1         531.1             619.4        743.0        886.8
Net profit                                                  50.6         59.9          83.6         108.6         143.8
Profit attributable to owners of parent                     50.6         59.9          83.6         108.6         143.8          Trade payables                                                5.8           6.8              11.0         13.0         13.0
Total comprehensive income                                  50.6         59.9          83.6         108.6         143.8          Short-term financial liabilities                             98.5          88.4              88.4         88.4         88.4
TCI, attributable to owners of parent                       50.6         59.9          83.6         108.6         143.8          Current provisions                                            0.0           0.0               0.0          0.0          0.0
Net exceptionals                                             0.0          0.0           0.0           0.0           0.0          Other current liabilities                                    66.0          51.0              62.0         75.0         75.0
Adj. net profit                                             50.6         59.9          83.6         108.6         143.8          Current liabilities                                         170.3         146.2             161.4        176.4        176.4
                                                                                                                                 Non-current financial liabilities                            71.6         106.8             106.8        106.8        106.8
                                                                                                                                 Non-current provisions                                        0.0           0.0               0.0          0.0          0.0
Cash Flow                                                                                                                        Provisions for employee benefits                              4.5           5.3               0.0          0.0          0.0
(KRWbn)                                                  12/09A       12/10A        12/11F        12/12F        12/13F           Deferred tax liabilities                                      0.0           0.0               0.0          0.0          0.0
Net profit                                                 50.6           59.9          83.6        108.6        143.8           Other non-current liabilities                                (2.1)         (2.6)              0.0          0.0          0.0
Depreciation & amortization                                34.5           53.6          64.0          72.0         72.0          Non-current liabilities                                      73.9         109.5             106.8        106.8        106.8
Other non-cash adjustments                                   1.1            2.9         22.8          28.4         39.4          Total liabilities                                           244.3         255.6             268.2        283.2        283.2
Investments in working capital                             17.4          (21.4)           3.8          7.3          0.0
Other operating cash flow                                    0.0            0.0        (18.9)        (27.2)       (38.2)         Issued capital                                                5.3           5.3               5.3          5.3          5.3
Cash flow from operating activities                       103.6           95.1        155.4         189.1        217.0           Share premium                                                67.7          67.7              67.7         67.7         67.7
Capital expenditure                                      (121.3)       (112.9)       (120.0)       (128.0)      (128.0)          Other equity interest                                         0.0           0.0               0.0          0.0          0.0
Investments in intangibles                                  (0.1)          (0.5)          0.0          0.0          0.0          Accumulated other comprehensive income                        0.0           0.0               0.0          0.0          0.0
Changes in current financial assets                          0.7           (0.1)          0.0          0.0          0.0          Retained earnings                                           147.9         202.5             278.2        386.8        530.7
Changes in investment assets                                (0.5)          (2.2)          0.0          0.0          0.0          Equity attributable to owners of parent                     220.8         275.5             351.2        459.8        603.6
Other investment cash flow                                   0.0            2.5           0.0          0.0          0.0
Cash flow from investing activities                      (121.2)       (113.2)       (120.0)       (128.0)      (128.0)          Non-controlling Interests                                     0.0           0.0               0.0          0.0          0.0
Proceeds from (repayments of) debt                         13.5           25.7            0.0          0.0          0.0          Total equity                                                220.8         275.5             351.2        459.8        603.6
Changes in equity                                            0.0            0.0           0.0          0.0          0.0
Dividends paid                                              (2.6)          (5.3)         (7.9)         0.0          0.0          Total Liab. and equity                                      465.1         531.1             619.4        743.0        886.8
Other financing cash flow                                    0.0          (0.2)         (2.7)          0.4          0.4
Cash flow from financing activities                        10.8           20.2         (10.6)          0.4          0.4           Per-share Performance
Other cash flow                                              0.0            0.0           0.0          0.0          0.0
Increase/decrease in cash                                   (6.7)           2.2         24.8          61.5         89.4          (KRW)                                                     12/09A        12/10A           12/11F        12/12F       12/13F
Cash and cash equivalents at FYB                           12.6             5.9           8.0         32.8         94.3          EPS                                                         4,798         5,680           7,931        10,297        13,637
Cash and cash equivalents at FYE                             5.9            8.0         32.8          94.3       183.8           Adj. EPS                                                    4,798         5,680           7,931        10,297        13,637
                                                                                                                                 BPS                                                        20,935        26,115          33,295        43,592        57,230
Gross operating cash flow                                   89.1         115.6         156.5         187.2        220.4          SPS                                                        17,042        22,317          30,350        38,321        47,957
Free cash flow                                             (15.1)        (19.6)         42.9          66.5          92.4         GCFPS                                                       8,445        10,959          14,834        17,748        20,900
Net cash flow                                              (18.2)        (22.7)         24.8          61.5         89.4          DPS                                                           500           750               0             0             0
Net cash (net debt)                                      (163.9)       (186.6)       (161.8)       (100.3)        (10.8)         3yr CAGR of adj. EPS                                         25.1          29.0            33.9          37.9          28.0


Operating Statistics & Ratios                                                                                                     Shareholder Value & Financial Structure
(%)                                                      12/09A       12/10A        12/11F        12/12F        12/13F           (%)                                                       12/09A        12/10A           12/11F        12/12F       12/13F
OR growth                                                   15.4          31.0           NA          26.3          25.1          ROE                                                          25.7           24.1             23.8         26.8         27.1
OP growth                                                    1.2          29.0           NA          27.5          30.3          ROA                                                          12.8           13.0             14.5         16.6         18.2
EBITDA growth                                                2.9          38.6           NA          22.1          20.2          ROIC                                                         15.5           14.6             18.2         21.6         25.5
NP growth of parent                                         35.1          18.4          39.6         29.8          32.4          WACC                                                          7.8            7.0              8.4          8.3          8.6
Adj. NP growth                                              35.1          18.4          39.6         29.8          32.4          ROIC/WACC (x)                                                 2.0            2.1              2.2          2.6          2.9
OP margin                                                   33.9          33.4          35.4         35.7          37.2          Economic profit (KRWbn)                                      29.7           35.0             53.8         72.8        100.4
EBITDA margin                                               53.1          56.2          55.4         53.6          51.4          Total liab./equity                                          110.6           92.8             76.4         61.6         46.9
NP margin                                                   28.2          25.5          26.1         26.9          28.4          Net debt/equity                                              74.2           67.7             46.1         21.8          1.8
Adj. NP margin                                              28.2          25.5          26.1         26.9          28.4          Interest coverage (x)                                        17.3           21.1             22.8         36.9         44.4
Note: Adj. EPS = [(Adjusted NP - preferred share dividends) + (after-tax dilution adjustment)] / (diluted avg. number of total ordinary shares outstanding)
      Adjusted NP = (Parent NP) - [discontinued operation gains + (net exceptional gains) × (1 - marginal tax rate)]
      Net exceptional gains: Pre-tax exceptional gains (exceptional gains attributable to parent including FX gains, derivatives gains, valuation gains, and one-off gains)
Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities



   Hyundai Securities has not disclosed the material contained in this report to any institutional investor or third party prior to its publication. The author(s) confirms that the material contained herein      KRW              OCI Materials    Rating
   correctly represents his/her/their opinion and that it has been prepared without any undue influences or interventions. Hyundai Securities Co., Ltd. or any of its affiliates has not taken part in           160,000                                  4
   public offerings of the company(ies) covered in this report for the past 12 months. The author(s) of this report does not have any interest in the company(ies) covered herein.                               140,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3
   Rating: Sector: Overweight (+10% or more), Neutral (-10 - +10%), Underweight (-10% or more)                                                                                                                   120,000
           Company: Strong BUY (+30% or more), BUY (+10 - +30%), Marketperform (-10 - +10%), Underperform (-10% or more)                                                                                                                                  2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 100,000
           Strong BUY = 4, BUY = 3, Marketperform = 2, Underperform = 1, Blackout/Universe Exclusion = 0 (Share price —, Fair value                 , Rating —)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    80,000                                1
   All Hyundai Securities Research is available via the following electronic databases: Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, FactSet. Contact your Hyundai Securities sales representative for access.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    60,000                                0
   This report has been prepared for informational purposes only, and does not constitute an offer or solicitation of a contract for trading. Opinions in this report reflect professional judgment at                   09/8           10/8          11/8
   this date based on information and data obtained from sources we consider reliable. However, we do not guarantee that the information and data are accurate or complete, and, therefore, this
   report is subject to change without prior notice. Individual investment should be made based on each client’s own judgment, and we expressly disclaim all liability for any investment decisions
   and any results thereof. This report is a copyrighted material of Hyundai Securities Co. and, thus, it may not be reproduced, distributed, or modified without the prior consent of Hyundai Securities
   Co. This report is not prepared for academic purposes, and any third party wishing to quote from it for academic publications should receive the prior consent of Hyundai Securities Co.

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  • 1. KOREA September 5, 2011 Company Analysis / KOSDAQ OCI Materials (036490) BUY ( initiate) Earnings Will Tell Initiating coverage with BUY and fair value of KRW136,000 We initiate coverage on OCI Materials with a BUY rating and a fair value of KRW136,000. The fair value Ken Park Analyst / IT Components & Equipment is derived by applying a fair PER of 14.3x to the company’s 12 month-forward EPS of KRW9,514. The 82-2-2003-2923 ken.park@hdsrc.com company is the No. 1 player in the global IT-related special gas market and enjoys a virtual monopoly. Claire Kim RA We believe the stock deserves a fair PER of 14.3x in view of solid profitability indicators (estimated 2011 82-2-2003-2930 claire.kim@hdsrc.com EPS growth rate of 34% and ROE of 24%). Current price (Aug 31) KRW99,000 OR set to grow at three-year CAGR of 29% Fair value KRW136,000 OCI Materials’s OR is projected to grow 36%YoY to KRW320.1bn in 2011 and at an impressive CAGR Reuters code 036490.KQ of 29% during 2011-13, fueled by: 1) continuously tight supply of NF3 (nitrogen trifluoride); 2) growth of Bloomberg code 036490 KS the AMOLED industry (a downstream industry); and 3) enhanced market dominance stemming from Industry/Sector Semicon Materials & Others capacity additions for NF3. Additional earnings momentum may also come from a possible rise in the Rating NA capacity utilization rate of SiH4 (monosilane). Market cap USD1.0bn Ordinary shares issued 10,547,673shrs Outstanding cost competitiveness to drive up 2011 OP by 44%YoY Free float 50.9% The company’s OP is forecast to jump 44%YoY to KRW113.3bn in 2011, driven by: 1) strong cost KOSPI 1880.11 competitiveness; 2) market share gains and economies of scale stemming from capacity expansion; KOSDAQ 493.44 and 3) price markups amid tight supply. Avg T/O Vol (60d) 53,744shrs Avg T/O Val (60d) USD5.5mn Foreign ownership 19.9% Robust growth potential 3yr CAGR of adj EPS (11~13) 33.9% Weighed down by the recent stock market tumble, OCI Materials now trade at a 2011 PER of 12.5x, Market’s 3yr CAGR of adj. EPS NA hinting at a further upside. First, the company is expected to be relatively immune to the stagnation of 52wk high/low KRW151,000 / KRW76,900 the downstream industry and continue growing in 2H11. Second, it will directly benefit from the recovery Beta (12M, daily return) 0.8 of the downstream industry and the growth of new growth businesses in the future. Major shareholders OCI 49.1% Price performance 1M 3M 6M FY-end 12/09A 12/10A 12/11F 12/12F 12/13F Absolute -24.4% -22.5% -6.4% (Reporting standard) (GAAP-P) (GAAP-P) (IFRS-C) (IFRS-C) (IFRS-C) Relative -17.1% -23.8% -3.3% OR (KRWbn) 179.8 235.4 320.1 404.2 505.8 % Relative performance (LHS) OP (KRWbn) 61.0 78.7 113.3 144.5 188.2 KRW 20 Stock price (RHS) 160,000 NP (KRWbn) 50.6 59.9 83.6 108.6 143.8 15 140,000 Parent NP (KRWbn) 51 60 84 109 144 10 5 120,000 EPS (KRW) 4,798 5,680 7,931 10,297 13,637 0 100,000 -5 Adj. EPS (KRW) 4,798 5,680 7,931 10,297 13,637 80,000 -10 -15 60,000 PER* (x) 20.8 - 10.9 22.0 - 13.7 12.5 9.6 7.3 -20 40,000 PBR (x) 4.5 3.9 3.0 2.3 1.7 -25 -30 20,000 EV/EBITDA (x) 12.2 9.6 6.7 5.2 4.0 -35 0 9/10 11/10 1/11 3/11 5/11 7/11 ROE (%) 25.7 24.1 23.8 26.8 27.1 Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities For explanations of equity research ratings and disclosures, please refer to the compliance section at the end of this report.
  • 2. >> OCI Materials Valuation Initiating coverage with We initiate coverage on OCI Materials with a BUY rating and a fair value of KRW136,000. The BUY and fair value of fair value is derived by applying a fair PER of 14.3x to the company’s 12 month-forward EPS of KRW136,000 KRW9,514. The PER of 14.3x corresponds to a 20% premium to the PER of overseas peers, which is converted based on domestic market. OCI Materials enjoys a virtual monopoly in the global IT- related special gas market, and controls the largest share in the global market for NF3, the company’s flagship products. We believe OCI Materials deserves a 20% premium over rivals in view of the following: 1) with an adjusted EPS growth rate of 34% and ROE of 24% in 2011, the company is expected to enjoy stronger profitability (OP margin of 35%) than overseas rivals (Air Product, Kanto Denka, Air Liquide, Linde, etc.); 2) it is expected to secure a monopolistic market share and step up market dominance through capacity expansion for NF3; 3) earnings are stable thanks to the nature of materials industry; and 4) it is exposed to various downstream industries, such as semiconductors, LCD, AMOLED and rechargeable batteries, among other IT industries. In view of the company’s past five-year average PER of 19x and the current growth potential, there is no reason for the stock to receive lower valuation than in the past, and, therefore, a fair PER equivalent to the past five-year average can also be applied for valuation. Fig 1: Initiating coverage with BUY and fair value of KRW136,000 Company name Code Market cap PER EPS growth PBR ROE OP margin Overseas peers’ (x) (%) (x) (%) (%) PER relative to (USDmn) 2011F 2012F 2011F 2012F 2011F 2012F 2011F 2012F 2011F 2012F their market Air Product APD.US 17,498 14.3 12.7 14.1 13.0 2.7 2.4 20.6 20.7 16.8 17.4 9.2 Kanto Denka 4047.JP 359 17.1 11.9 (3.2) 43.2 1.4 1.2 8.2 9.9 7.8 9.8 10.2 Air Liquid AI.FR 36,419 16.1 14.7 10.7 9.7 2.6 2.4 16.5 16.5 17.0 17.3 14.2 Linde LIN.DE 25,665 13.7 12.5 11.3 9.8 1.5 1.4 11.2 11.6 13.7 14.2 14.1 Avg. 15.3 12.9 8.2 18.9 2.0 1.8 14.1 14.7 13.8 14.7 OCI Materials 036490.KS 1,096 12.5 9.6 33.9 37.9 3.0 2.3 23.8 26.8 35.4 35.7 11.9 Relative to overseas peers Undervalued Undervalued Stronger Stronger Stronger Stronger Stronger Avg. of overseas peers’ relative PER (x) 11.9 Premium to fair PER (%) 20.0 Fair PER (x) 14.3 12 month-forward EPS (KRW) 9,514 Fair value (KRW) 135,823 Note: Based on Aug 31 closing prices Source: Bloomberg, Hyundai Securities Solid results in 2Q11 OCI Materials posted 2Q11 OR of KRW80.2bn (up 12%QoQ) and OP of KRW28.5bn (up despite sluggish 18%QoQ). The results were in line with market consensus despite the downturn of the IT downstream industry industry. First, while NF3 output climbed up 12%QoQ as newly added NF3 lines (1,000 tons) ran in almost full capacity, NF3 shipments increased as much as 15%QoQ on the addition of new customers in China and Taiwan. Second, ASP climbed more than 5% due to NF3 supply shortages. Third, Japanese competitors’ suspension of NF3 lines rendered the market supply tighter, which hoisted the OCI Materials’s orders and ASP. HYUNDAI Research 2
  • 3. >> OCI Materials Annual earnings to remain 3Q11 OR and OP are expected to inch down 1%QoQ to KRW79.2bn and 2%QoQ to KRW28bn, solid despite downbeat respectively, with LCD panel makers curbing their factory use amid lackluster TV and PC demand LCD industry outlook in in 3Q11. Nevertheless, with downstream panel makers ramping up production from end-3Q11, 3Q11 OCI Materials’s 4Q11 earnings are expected to rebound. And, its 2011 OR and OP are projected to jump 36%YoY to KRW320.1bn and 44%YoY to KRW113.3bn, respectively, in view of the following: 1) effects of capacity additions for NF3, whose supply remains tight, will likely continue to be reflected in earnest in 2H11; 2) full-fledged operation will begin at AMOLED factories (e.g., SMD) in 2H11; and 3) OCI Materials’s capacity utilization rate is expected to recover on the expansion of its market share. Fig 2: Quarterly earnings forecast (KRWbn) 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11F 4Q11F 1Q12F 2Q12F 3Q12F 4Q12F 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F OR 52.6 58.5 62.3 62.0 71.8 80.2 79.2 88.9 96.5 100.1 101.4 106.2 235.4 320.1 404.2 505.8 NF3 35.3 39.5 40.4 38.6 40.7 45.8 44.9 55.2 57.5 59.7 60.1 63.3 153.8 186.7 240.6 326.2 WF6 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.2 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.6 9.3 21.9 22.3 27.2 SiH4 13.9 15.4 18.3 20.0 24.8 27.8 27.6 27.0 32.4 33.7 34.4 36.2 67.6 107.3 136.7 147.8 Others 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 4.7 4.2 4.5 4.7 OP 15.8 22.3 20.8 23.6 24.1 28.5 28.0 32.6 32.4 35.7 37.3 39.0 82.5 113.3 144.5 188.2 NP 16.1 22.3 20.0 18.4 16.8 19.7 21.3 25.8 24.0 26.7 28.3 29.6 76.8 83.6 108.6 143.8 Margin (%) OP 30.1 38.1 33.4 38.1 33.6 35.6 35.4 36.7 33.6 35.7 36.8 36.7 35.1 35.4 35.7 37.2 NP 30.6 38.1 32.1 29.7 23.4 24.5 26.9 29.0 24.9 26.6 27.9 27.9 32.6 26.1 26.9 28.4 Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities Excessively undervalued OCI Materials’s share price, which overcame concerns over the slowing downstream industries after drastic share price (e.g., semiconductors, LCD, PV), has recently been oversold amid the stock market crash and pullbacks, but share price concerns over deterioration in earnings. Despite the sluggish downstream industries, however, the likely to rally company has the merits of prospective new businesses (AMOLED materials, rechargeable battery materials, and new raw materials), increased earnings momentum from capacity expansion, and a strong OP margin of more than 35%. Therefore, the current valuation, falling below the past five years’ (2006-10) average PER of 19x, seems attractive. Historically, the company’s PER ascended to the peak levels of 17-19x when increased NF3 capacity boosted production. In 2Q11, recovered downstream industries boosted NF3, and increased capacity propelled supplies. If earnings improve in 4Q11 despite concerns over downstream industries, share price should be able to rebound. Fig 3: Recent share price plunge excessive; Time to buy KRW Based on 12-month forward EPS 150,000 26x 18x 12x 120,000 90,000 7x 60,000 30,000 0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 Source: Datastream, Hyundai Securities HYUNDAI Research 3
  • 4. >> OCI Materials IT-related Special Gas Maker Special gas maker with OCI Materials makes special gases used in semiconductors/LCD/AMOLED/solar cell world-leading manufacturing such as NF3, SiH4, and WF6. NF3 accounted for 65% of 2010 OR, SiH4 25%, and competitiveness WF6 10%. The company holds the largest share of the global NF3 market. Its NF3 capacity, at 5,500 tons/year as of 2Q11, is expected to increase to 9,500 tons/year in 2013, and its SiH4 capacity stands at 2,400 tons/year. Major NF3 customers of the company include domestic names such as Samsung Electronics (SEC), LG Display, and Hynix, which account for 65% OR, and overseas companies such as Toshiba (Japan), Sharp (Japan), AUO (Taiwan), and CMI (Taiwan) account for 35%. Competitors include Air Products of the US, Kanto Denka Kogyo (KDK) of Japan, and Mitsui Chemical of Japan. NF3, the flagship product used in production of semiconductors, LCD panels, and solar cells, is injected to chambers to chemically remove remnants of chemical vapor deposition (CVD) process. SiH4 is used in production of semiconductors, LCD panels, AMOLED display, and solar cells. The gas is also used in silicon-deposition process for semiconductors (wafer), LCD panels (TFT glass substrate), and thin film solar cells. About 50% of gas sales come from LCD, 25% from semiconductors, and 25% from solar cells. Competitors in this market include REC, Denal Silane, and MEMC. REC and MEMC have a limited impact on supply- demand dynamics, however, because they put 90% of their output into polysilicon production. WF6 is a by-product of NF3 and used in production of semiconductors and AMOLED display (wire formation). Fig 4: Global market share of NF3 (based on production capacity in 2010) Others 10% Mitsui 12% OCI Materials 35% Air Product 21% Kanto Denka Kogyo 22% Source: Industry data, Hyundai Securities OR to Grow at CAGR of 29% during 2011-13 Flagship product NF3 to OCI Materials’s OR is expected to grow at a CAGR of 29% during 2011-13, fueled by: 1) the lead growth continuously tight supply of NF3 (flagship product); 2) market share gains and enhanced market dominance stemming from expanded NF3 capacity; and 3) the growth of the downstream AMOLED industry, which is a new growth industry. Additional earnings momentum may also come from a possible rise in the capacity utilization rate of SiH4. HYUNDAI Research 4
  • 5. >> OCI Materials Fig 5: NF3 the biggest contributor to OR growth KRWbn NF3 WF6 SiH4 Others 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11F 1Q12F 3Q12F 1Q13F 3Q13F Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities 1) Unprecedented price The supply-demand dynamics of NF3 are expected to become tight in earnest from 2011 because, rises amid tight supply- while growth in production capacity will be limited, demand is expected to be solid, despite the demand dynamics slowing downstream industries. Due to the current supply shortage of NF3, NF3 prices are forecast to increase by about 10%YoY in 2011, pointing to strong chances of a continued supply shortage. Fig 6: Supply of NF3 still tight ton Supply (LHS) Demand (LHS) % 20,000 35 Oversupply rate (RHS) 30 16,000 25 20 12,000 15 10 8,000 5 4,000 0 -5 0 -10 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012F Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities Demand for NF3 to be As of 2011, LCD is expected to account for 50% and semiconductors for about 38% of total continuously solid demand for NF3. The company plans to add production capacity (500 tons each in 1H12 and 2H12) in Jiangsu Province, China. The capacity expansion in China should contribute to the company’s OR growth given the prospects of major LCD manufacturers in China being added to its customer list, in addition to existing major customers SEC and LG Display. Demand for NF3 is forecast to grow 20%YoY to 13,000 tons in 2011 and post a solid CAGR of 15% during 2011-13 in light of the following: 1) application of NF3 for new products, such as AMOLED displays, is expected to continue; 2) despite a drop in LCD demand, demand for NF3 to be used in LCD manufacturing will remain flat as the size of LCD panels increases; and 3) volume of NF3 consumption is expected to increase from 4Q11, when the production of LCD panels recovers. Demand for NF3 is projected to grow at a CAGR of 20% in the LCD industry, at about 120% in the AMOLED display industry and at about 20% in the PV industry during 2011-13. HYUNDAI Research 5
  • 6. >> OCI Materials Fig 7: Demand for NF3 still solid ton Demand (LHS) Growth rate (RHS) % 18,000 80 15,000 60 12,000 9,000 40 6,000 20 3,000 0 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012F Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities NF3 supply not to increase Compared to brisk demand, NF3 supply is expected to be limited. Although the global NF3 market much is continuing to grow fast (at a 15% rate a year), competitors such as Air Product and Kanto Denka Kogyo seem to be planning only a 10% increase in their capacity from 2011 levels due to weaker cost competitiveness. Also, there seems to be little chances of new entrants coming in. First, it takes more than a year to reach mass production. Second, economies of scale are essential given a heavy fixed-cost burden associated with the capital-intensive nature of the business. Third, new entrants, if any, are unlikely to have cost advantages over existing players. In a similar context, even if existing players increase their capacity, it will be just in a small scale aimed at processing improvement. Fig 8: Slowed increase in NF3 supply ton % Supply (LHS) Growth rate (RHS) 20,000 60 50 16,000 40 12,000 30 8,000 20 4,000 10 0 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012F Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities 2) Capacity expansion to In addition to tight NF3 supply, capacity expansion is expected to help OCI Materials expand its lead to stronger market market share and further tighten its grip over the market. The company’s NF3 capacity is expected position and earnings to increase from 4,500 tons to 6,500 tons at end-2011, after a 1,000-ton addition each in Mar and Sep 2011. Currently, the company accounts for 45% of the NF3 market, but the share is expected to expand to 48%, aided by capacity nearly doubling from the current level to 9,500 tons by 2013. HYUNDAI Research 6
  • 7. >> OCI Materials Fig 9: NF3 capacity expansion to lead to stronger market position ton NF3 production capacity 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities Fig 10: OCI Materials’s market share increasing faster than competitors’ % Air Products KDK Mitsui 60 Central Glass OCI Materials Linde 50 Others 40 30 20 10 0 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012F Source: Hyundai Securities 3) AMOLED to drive NF3 Since NF3 and SiH4 are used in the deposition process of AMOLED and solar cell production as demand well, the expected growth in solar cell and AMOLED output going forward is expected to rapidly boost demand for NF3. First, AMOLED fabrication requires 1.5 times more NF3 than LCD. Second, the company has Samsung Mobile Display (SMD), which currently accounts for more than 95% of global AMOLED output, as its key customer of AMOLED-use NF3. Third, SMD and LG Display, two major AMOLED makers in Korea, are expected to invest more than KRW20tr in AMOLED over the next five years. As a result, OCI Materials’s 2011 NF3 and SiH4 shipments are expected to jump more than 60%YoY. Fig 11: Start-up plans at new AMOLED production line 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11F 4Q11F 1Q12F 2Q12F 3Q12F 4Q12F 1Q13F 2Q13F 3Q13F 4Q13F 4.5G LGD (730x920mm) AUO CMI 5.5G SMD (1300x1500mm) AUO CMI 8G SMD (2200x2500mm) LGD Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities HYUNDAI Research 7
  • 8. >> OCI Materials Fig 12: SMD’s AMOLED shipments to rise drastically from 2011 KRWtr 12 SMD's AMOLED sales 9.7 10 2010~2012F CAGR 125% 8 6.2 6 4 3.1 2 1.4 0.6 0 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities 4) Increased capacity The price of SiH4, another core product for the company, is expected to slide 10% in 2011 due to utilization rates for SiH4 to the slumping downstream PV industry, but SiH4 output volume has climbed steadily. As a result, offer additional earnings the company’s SiH4 capacity use rate has been on an uptrend. If the company’s capacity utilization momentum rate for SiH4 increases from 50% in 2Q11 to 60% at end-2011 and 80% in 2012, additional earnings momentum is expected. OCI Materials’s ramp-up of its SiH4 capacity use has been delayed, because: 1) its capacity expansion for SiH4, unlike NF3, is carried out at one time, which led to a relatively slow increase in the capacity utilization rate; 2) it would not be easy for clients to change vendors, so OCI Materials’s market share is steadily rising; and 3) market demand for thin-film solar cells (major consumption source) has contracted. Nevertheless, the company expects the SiH4 factory use rate to recover to the 70-80% level in the long run given the following. First, SiH4 is also used in most IT product deposition processes (e.g., LCD, semiconductors, solar cells). Second, major LCD downstream clients are expected to invest in China. Third, OCI Materials stands to benefit from its core client SMD’s additional investment in AMOLED. Lastly, REC and MEMC, two global SiH4 makers, are internally consuming more than 90% of their SiH4 output to produce polysilicon. If the bulk solar cell market expands following the earthquake in Japan, their increasing in-house consumption of SiH4 should benefit OCI Materials. Against this backdrop, OCI Materials’s capacity utilization growth for SiH4 is expected to reduce fixed cost burden and thereby limit earnings deterioration amid the slowed SiH4 industry. Fig 13: SiH4’s capacity utilization to increase despite supply gluts ton Supply (LHS) Demand (LHS) % 7,000 35 Oversupply rate (RHS) 6,000 30 5,000 25 20 4,000 15 3,000 10 2,000 5 1,000 0 0 -5 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F Source: DisplaySearch, Hyundai Securities HYUNDAI Research 8
  • 9. >> OCI Materials 5) Still more benefits to Despite the lackluster downstream industries (LCD and semiconductors), the supply-demand come from earthquake in dynamics of NF3 remains tight and the ASP of NF3 is rising due to decreased supply in the aftermath Japan of the earthquake in Japan. In manufacturing NF3 and SiH4, a stable supply of a large volume of electricity is essential for the key electrolysis process. A prolonged disruption to electricity supply in the wake of the earthquake has caused continued production disruptions at rival Kanto Denka Kogyo (KDK: the third largest NF3 manufacturer in the world). Against this backdrop, the global market share of OCI Materials expanded to 45% contributing to 2Q11 earnings. 6) Electrolyte for OCI Materials is expected to secure mid-/long-term growth engines through new businesses and rechargeable batteries continue OR growth. The new businesses include rechargeable battery-use electrolytes (lithium and AHF to serve as salt) and Anhydrous Hydrofluoric Acid (AHF). When it comes to the electrolyte business, the mid-/long-term growth company is highly likely to be successful in light of the following: 1) competitors (KDK, Foosung, engines etc.) in the global NF3 market are currently focusing on nurturing electrolyte as their key growth item; and 2) the rechargeable battery industry is growing in full force, by more than 35% per annum, amid the growth of the smart device and electric vehicle industries. For the AHF business, OCI Materials is expected to set up a joint venture in Liaoning Province, China, in partnership with Yingpeng Chemical, a Taiwanese chemicals company in China. The joint venture will produce 20,000 tons of AHF annually from end-2012. AHF, all of which OCI Materials imported from China in the past, is an essential raw material for manufacturing NF3 and it is processed by using fluorspar, among the rare earth elements. The company is establishing the joint venture to secure a stable supply of AHF as well as cost competitiveness. The in-house production of AHF through the joint venture should help the company save on raw materials costs and should also lay the foundation for the company’s foray into the fluoride compound market in the future. AHF costs are estimated to account for more than 20% of raw materials costs for NF3, and annual AHF shipments of about 10,000 tons from the joint venture from end-2012 will meet most of the company’s AHF needs. Also, since AHF is the key raw material of various fluoride compounds, synergies can be expected if the company picks a fluoride compound as its new item later. 2011 OP to Surge 44%YoY on Cost Competitiveness 2011 OP to surge 41% The company’s OP is forecast to jump 44%YoY to KRW113.3bn in 2011, driven by: 1) strong cost competitiveness; 2) market share gains and economies of scale stemming from capacity expansion; and 3) price markups amid tight supply. We also expect a higher capacity utilization rate for SiH4 and a profitability improvement based on the internal procurement of AHF. Fig 14: Achieving high OP margin KRWbn % OP (LHS) OP margin (RHS) 250 45 200 30 150 100 15 50 0 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012F 2014F Source: Datastream, Hyundai Securities HYUNDAI Research 9
  • 10. >> OCI Materials Strong cost OCI Materials has increased its capacity consistently, but its competitors including Air Product, competitiveness secured Kanto Denka Kogyo, and Mitsui have been unable to follow because OCI Materials’s outstanding cost competitiveness makes larger capacity disadvantageous for competitors. Based on its cost competitiveness, OCI Materials has kept its OP margin high at around 35%. Its cost competitiveness lies in the following: 1) it can increase capacity for only half the cost compared to competitors; 2) with 65% of its revenues coming from domestic customers, the company incurs smaller logistical expenses than competitors; and 3) the strong yen adds to its price merits. Tight supply ensures Due to tight supply, NF3 prices gained 10%YoY in early 2011, which are expected to offset the stronger ASP and margins effects of the won’s appreciation and bolster profitability. The tight NF3 supply is expected to continue for some time, and help defend the company’s profitability in the mid/long-term even in times of sluggish IT demand. The company has displayed an outstanding capability to protect earnings: its OP margin stayed above 30% even during the 2008-09 global financial crisis and economic recession. Market share gains to OCI Materials’s capacity expansion is expected to lead to market share growth and profitability spawn profitability gains gains. At present, the company’s NF3 market share (based on output) stands at 35%. As the company plans to raise its NF3 capacity by 2,000 tons in 2011, 2,000 tons in 2012, and 1,000 tons in 2013, its total capacity is expected to reach 9,500 tons in 2013, which would correspond to a 48% global market share. Such capacity additions will widen an output gap further between OCI Materials and its competitors with lower profitability. As a result, the company’s cost competitiveness and pricing power will strengthen, and the profitability gaps with the competition will widen further. Growth in SiH4 capacity OCI Materials’s SiH4 capacity use rate currently stands at 50%, and the company holds a 25% utilization to present share of the SiH4 market. As of now, the SiH4 OP margin is on par with that of NF3 (over 30%). additional catalyst for But the ramp-up of the SiH4 facility use is forecast to hoist the company’s overall OP margin, earnings because: 1) sales growth of SiH4, whose price is more than twice that of NF3, will elevate the company’s overall profitability markedly; and 2) growth in the capacity utilization rate for SiH4 may translate into market share gains. New raw materials OCI Materials’s joint venture for AHF is expected to lead to: 1) stable supply of core raw materials businesses to buttress for flagship NF3 and new electrolyte products; and 2) enhanced cost competitiveness (AHF robust OP margin accounts for more than 23% of total costs). Therefore, the joint venture will boost OCI Materials’s OP margin going forward. AHF, which is processed by using fluorspar, is being used as the core raw material not only for NF3, but also electrolyte (lithium salt), a raw material used in rechargeable batteries. If the joint venture begins full-fledged mass-production of AHF at end- 2012, most of the initial output (20,000 ton/year) should be used to produce NF3 (AHF requirements: 10,000 ton/year) and therefore hoist the company’s OP margin significantly due to the effects of cost reduction. HYUNDAI Research 10
  • 11. >> OCI Materials Fig 15: Cost structure New raw materials business to cut raw materials costs Others 14% Raw materials costs 23% Electricity costs 13% SG&A expenses 17% D&A expenses 33% Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities HYUNDAI Research 11
  • 12. >> OCI Materials Profit & Loss Statement of financial position (KRWbn) 12/09A 12/10A 12/11F 12/12F 12/13F (KRWbn) 12/09A 12/10A 12/11F 12/12F 12/13F (Reporting standard) (GAAP-P) (GAAP-P) (IFRS-C) (IFRS-C) (IFRS-C) (Reporting standard) (GAAP-P) (GAAP-P) (IFRS-C) (IFRS-C) (IFRS-C) Operating revenue 179.8 235.4 320.1 404.2 505.8 Cash and cash equivalents 5.9 8.0 32.8 94.3 183.8 Cost of sales 99.8 137.7 181.1 226.4 278.0 Current financial assets 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Gross profit 80.0 97.7 139.1 177.8 227.8 Trade receivables 22.3 28.8 45.0 52.0 52.0 SG&A expenses 19.0 19.0 25.8 33.3 39.7 Inventories 36.3 37.8 35.0 36.0 36.0 Other operating income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Other current assets 11.1 6.5 4.5 4.2 4.2 Operating profit 61.0 78.7 113.3 144.5 188.2 Current assets 75.9 81.7 117.9 187.1 276.6 EBITDA 95.5 132.3 177.3 216.5 260.2 Investment assets 2.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 Non-operating accounts (5.6) (5.4) (8.0) (8.7) (6.1) Property, plant and equipment 379.1 435.8 490.6 545.0 599.4 Net financing income (5.2) (6.0) (7.5) (5.6) (5.1) Intangible assets 4.7 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 Profit on equity method 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Deferred tax assets 0.7 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net other non-operating income (0.4) 0.6 (0.5) (3.1) (0.9) Other non-current assets 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 Profit before tax 55.4 73.3 105.3 135.8 182.1 Non-current assets 389.2 449.4 501.5 555.9 610.3 Income tax expense 4.8 13.4 21.6 27.2 38.2 Total assets 465.1 531.1 619.4 743.0 886.8 Net profit 50.6 59.9 83.6 108.6 143.8 Profit attributable to owners of parent 50.6 59.9 83.6 108.6 143.8 Trade payables 5.8 6.8 11.0 13.0 13.0 Total comprehensive income 50.6 59.9 83.6 108.6 143.8 Short-term financial liabilities 98.5 88.4 88.4 88.4 88.4 TCI, attributable to owners of parent 50.6 59.9 83.6 108.6 143.8 Current provisions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net exceptionals 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Other current liabilities 66.0 51.0 62.0 75.0 75.0 Adj. net profit 50.6 59.9 83.6 108.6 143.8 Current liabilities 170.3 146.2 161.4 176.4 176.4 Non-current financial liabilities 71.6 106.8 106.8 106.8 106.8 Non-current provisions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash Flow Provisions for employee benefits 4.5 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 (KRWbn) 12/09A 12/10A 12/11F 12/12F 12/13F Deferred tax liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net profit 50.6 59.9 83.6 108.6 143.8 Other non-current liabilities (2.1) (2.6) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Depreciation & amortization 34.5 53.6 64.0 72.0 72.0 Non-current liabilities 73.9 109.5 106.8 106.8 106.8 Other non-cash adjustments 1.1 2.9 22.8 28.4 39.4 Total liabilities 244.3 255.6 268.2 283.2 283.2 Investments in working capital 17.4 (21.4) 3.8 7.3 0.0 Other operating cash flow 0.0 0.0 (18.9) (27.2) (38.2) Issued capital 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 Cash flow from operating activities 103.6 95.1 155.4 189.1 217.0 Share premium 67.7 67.7 67.7 67.7 67.7 Capital expenditure (121.3) (112.9) (120.0) (128.0) (128.0) Other equity interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Investments in intangibles (0.1) (0.5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Accumulated other comprehensive income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Changes in current financial assets 0.7 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Retained earnings 147.9 202.5 278.2 386.8 530.7 Changes in investment assets (0.5) (2.2) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Equity attributable to owners of parent 220.8 275.5 351.2 459.8 603.6 Other investment cash flow 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash flow from investing activities (121.2) (113.2) (120.0) (128.0) (128.0) Non-controlling Interests 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Proceeds from (repayments of) debt 13.5 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total equity 220.8 275.5 351.2 459.8 603.6 Changes in equity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Dividends paid (2.6) (5.3) (7.9) 0.0 0.0 Total Liab. and equity 465.1 531.1 619.4 743.0 886.8 Other financing cash flow 0.0 (0.2) (2.7) 0.4 0.4 Cash flow from financing activities 10.8 20.2 (10.6) 0.4 0.4 Per-share Performance Other cash flow 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Increase/decrease in cash (6.7) 2.2 24.8 61.5 89.4 (KRW) 12/09A 12/10A 12/11F 12/12F 12/13F Cash and cash equivalents at FYB 12.6 5.9 8.0 32.8 94.3 EPS 4,798 5,680 7,931 10,297 13,637 Cash and cash equivalents at FYE 5.9 8.0 32.8 94.3 183.8 Adj. EPS 4,798 5,680 7,931 10,297 13,637 BPS 20,935 26,115 33,295 43,592 57,230 Gross operating cash flow 89.1 115.6 156.5 187.2 220.4 SPS 17,042 22,317 30,350 38,321 47,957 Free cash flow (15.1) (19.6) 42.9 66.5 92.4 GCFPS 8,445 10,959 14,834 17,748 20,900 Net cash flow (18.2) (22.7) 24.8 61.5 89.4 DPS 500 750 0 0 0 Net cash (net debt) (163.9) (186.6) (161.8) (100.3) (10.8) 3yr CAGR of adj. EPS 25.1 29.0 33.9 37.9 28.0 Operating Statistics & Ratios Shareholder Value & Financial Structure (%) 12/09A 12/10A 12/11F 12/12F 12/13F (%) 12/09A 12/10A 12/11F 12/12F 12/13F OR growth 15.4 31.0 NA 26.3 25.1 ROE 25.7 24.1 23.8 26.8 27.1 OP growth 1.2 29.0 NA 27.5 30.3 ROA 12.8 13.0 14.5 16.6 18.2 EBITDA growth 2.9 38.6 NA 22.1 20.2 ROIC 15.5 14.6 18.2 21.6 25.5 NP growth of parent 35.1 18.4 39.6 29.8 32.4 WACC 7.8 7.0 8.4 8.3 8.6 Adj. NP growth 35.1 18.4 39.6 29.8 32.4 ROIC/WACC (x) 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.6 2.9 OP margin 33.9 33.4 35.4 35.7 37.2 Economic profit (KRWbn) 29.7 35.0 53.8 72.8 100.4 EBITDA margin 53.1 56.2 55.4 53.6 51.4 Total liab./equity 110.6 92.8 76.4 61.6 46.9 NP margin 28.2 25.5 26.1 26.9 28.4 Net debt/equity 74.2 67.7 46.1 21.8 1.8 Adj. NP margin 28.2 25.5 26.1 26.9 28.4 Interest coverage (x) 17.3 21.1 22.8 36.9 44.4 Note: Adj. EPS = [(Adjusted NP - preferred share dividends) + (after-tax dilution adjustment)] / (diluted avg. number of total ordinary shares outstanding) Adjusted NP = (Parent NP) - [discontinued operation gains + (net exceptional gains) × (1 - marginal tax rate)] Net exceptional gains: Pre-tax exceptional gains (exceptional gains attributable to parent including FX gains, derivatives gains, valuation gains, and one-off gains) Source: Company data, Hyundai Securities Hyundai Securities has not disclosed the material contained in this report to any institutional investor or third party prior to its publication. The author(s) confirms that the material contained herein KRW OCI Materials Rating correctly represents his/her/their opinion and that it has been prepared without any undue influences or interventions. Hyundai Securities Co., Ltd. or any of its affiliates has not taken part in 160,000 4 public offerings of the company(ies) covered in this report for the past 12 months. The author(s) of this report does not have any interest in the company(ies) covered herein. 140,000 3 Rating: Sector: Overweight (+10% or more), Neutral (-10 - +10%), Underweight (-10% or more) 120,000 Company: Strong BUY (+30% or more), BUY (+10 - +30%), Marketperform (-10 - +10%), Underperform (-10% or more) 2 100,000 Strong BUY = 4, BUY = 3, Marketperform = 2, Underperform = 1, Blackout/Universe Exclusion = 0 (Share price —, Fair value , Rating —) 80,000 1 All Hyundai Securities Research is available via the following electronic databases: Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, FactSet. Contact your Hyundai Securities sales representative for access. 60,000 0 This report has been prepared for informational purposes only, and does not constitute an offer or solicitation of a contract for trading. Opinions in this report reflect professional judgment at 09/8 10/8 11/8 this date based on information and data obtained from sources we consider reliable. However, we do not guarantee that the information and data are accurate or complete, and, therefore, this report is subject to change without prior notice. Individual investment should be made based on each client’s own judgment, and we expressly disclaim all liability for any investment decisions and any results thereof. This report is a copyrighted material of Hyundai Securities Co. and, thus, it may not be reproduced, distributed, or modified without the prior consent of Hyundai Securities Co. This report is not prepared for academic purposes, and any third party wishing to quote from it for academic publications should receive the prior consent of Hyundai Securities Co.