real state forecast

1. Market Update for
San Antonio &
Surrounding Areas:
January – November, 2015

2. 0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Number
of Sales
Annual Sales Trends
(January – November 2015)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source:
MLS

3. 12,200
12,400
12,600
12,800
13,000
13,200
13,400
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE
RANGE
($0-$199,999 – JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
# of
Sales
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
13,317
13,202
12,622

4. 0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE
RANGE
($200,000 - $499,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
# of
Sales
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
10,501
7,388
8,609

5. 0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE
RANGE ($500,000 AND ABOVE
JANUARY thru NOVEMBER)
# of
Sales
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
1,166
881
992

6. Jan Feb Mar April May June Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov
MONTHS OF INVENTORY BY YEAR
Months
of
Inventory
Source: Texas A&M Real
Estate Research CenterMonth
2012
2013
2014
2015
Nov. 2015 –
Months of
Inventory:
3.6 months

7. 0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Jan Feb Mar April May June Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov
NUMBER OF MONTHLY ACTIVE
LISTINGS BY YEAR
Month
# of
Active
Listings
Source:
MLS
Nov. 2015 –
Number of
Active
Listings is
8,191
2012
2013
2014
2015

8. 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Nov '12 Nov '13 Nov '14 Nov'15
Days on Market
(November)
Source:
MLS
83
75 68
61

9. $0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
YTD MEDIAN SALES PRICE PER YEAR
(JAN - NOV)
Source:
MLS
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

10. Top 5 Areas for Sales
(January – November)
2015 2014 2013
Area Median Sales Area Median Sales Area Median Sales
2705 $204,975 1,371 2705 $189,900 1,179 0200 $132,000 1,132
0200 $150,000 1,260 0300 $139,900 1,133 0300 $67,738 1,096
1700 $138,000 1,189 0200 $140,000 1,132 2705 $185,000 1,005
0300 $148,500 1,105 0400 $159,000 986 1700 $112,500 989
0400 $175,000 1,030 1700 $121,500 949 0400 $150,000 975

11. Top 5 Areas for Median Price
(January – November)
2015 2014 2013
Area Median Sales Area Median Sales Area Median Sales
1003 $603,500 98 1003 $613,750 96 2510 $625,000 5
2506 $510,000 91 2506 $510,000 71 1003 $567,500 90
2611 $500,000 29 2507 $406,000 35 2614 $463,000 47
1004 $448,667 55 1004 $405,000 61 1004 $433,740 61
2509 $435,000 2 2611 $392,500 36 2502 $391,000 96

12. PRICE/SQ. FT. PER SUBDIVISION
January - November
Subdivision # Sales
2013
# Sales
2014
# Sales
2015
Price/Sq
Ft 2013
Price/Sq
Ft 2014
Price/Sq
Ft 2015
Alamo
Heights
139 111 114 $206.22 $219.65 $219.08
Alamo
Ranch
294 324 399 $96.99 $102.62 $101.32
Anaqua
Springs
8 5 7 $214.87 $308.77 $217.64
Apple
Creek
24 27 23 $84.07 $91.31 $100.35
Bentley
Manor
14 17 13 $194.90 $206.35 $204.13
Burning
Tree
12 7 16 $81.08 $88.75 $103.96
Camino
Real
7 9 4 $110.24 $116.95 $116.70
Canyon
Springs
161 190 176 $111.01 $112.85 $113.49

13. PRICE/SQ. FT. PER SUBDIVISION
January - November
Subdivision # Sales
2013
# Sales
2014
# Sales
2015
Price/Sq
Ft 2013
Price/Sq
Ft 2014
Price/Sq
Ft 2015
Carolina
Crossing
23 22 14 $79.13 $77.84 $83.53
Castle Hills 94 85 82 $96.42 $99.19 $112.01
Cedar
Springs
23 20 25 $85.27 $90.09 $89.17
Cibolo
Canyons
51 64 60 $112.43 $128.09 $117.64
Colonies
North
28 31 34 $84.12 $88.79 $93.05
Crownridge 35 31 28 $105.10 $114.58 $121.15
Deer Creek 33 30 32 $89.82 $89.71 $93.95
Deerfield 52 71 61 $113.00 $121.46 $123.84
Dellview 60 49 58 $67.65 $72.62 $83.27
Dover 55 52 49 $54.36 $59.94 $63.55

14. PRICE/SQ. FT. PER SUBDIVISION
January - November
Subdivision # Sales
2013
# Sales
2014
# Sales
2015
Price/Sq
Ft 2013
Price/Sq
Ft 2014
Price/Sq
Ft 2015
Elm Creek 27 19 29 $125.58 $144.51 $138.76
Fair Oaks 154 146 168 $129.88 $133.58 $136.95
Garden
Ridge
9 14 18 $104.61 $129.28 $128.35
Government
Hill
13 13 12 $87.77 $59.57 $94.13
Harlandale 99 97 120 $50.89 $53.43 $61.30
Harmony
Hills
27 26 36 $81.21 $92.07 $94.22
Heritage
Park
76 66 69 $68.12 $75.71 $81.57
Highland
Hills
45 31 35 $56.23 $61.90 $68.10
Hollywood
Park
55 57 48 $114.29 $123.71 $135.23

15. PRICE/SQ. FT. PER SUBDIVISION
January - November
Subdivision # Sales
2013
# Sales
2014
# Sales
2015
Price/Sq
Ft 2012
Price/Sq
Ft 2013
Price/Sq
Ft 2015
Hunters
Creek
49 43 38 $103.06 $115.73 $119.48
Inwood 59 54 66 $111.86 $120.09 $122.41
Lackland
Heights
11 8 8 $51.07 $68.89 $72.39
Legacy
Trails
17 14 17 $85.09 $86.93 $93.11
Longs
Creek
69 83 52 $69.52 $74.45 $75.81
Los
Angeles
Heights
69 59 57 $50.54 $59.49 $72.83
Mesa
Grande
19 24 23 $102.97 $100.47 $110.19
Monticello
Park
31 30 44 $90.71 $101.39 $114.93

16. PRICE/SQ. FT. PER SUBDIVISION
January - November
Subdivision # Sales
2013
# Sales
2014
# Sales
2015
Price/Sq
Ft 2012
Price/Sq
Ft 2013
Price/Sq
Ft 2015
Northern
Hills
66 71 73 $74.38 $78.86 $89.78
Northwest
Crossing
137 136 153 $68.40 $73.07 $78.10
Oak Hills 42 46 43 $85.13 $102.23 $100.96
Oak
Meadows
37 31 23 $96.00 $96.67 $103.10
Oakmont
Downs
17 10 12 $75.10 $85.92 $103.28
Olmos
Park
44 40 44 $189.01 $207.19 $223.82
Olympia 58 63 64 $88.35 $92.74 $101.48
Redbird
Ranch
60 95 137 $83.52 $86.91 $89.81
Retama
Ridge
13 17 18 $73.91 $75.93 $80.30

17. PRICE/SQ. FT. PER SUBDIVISION
January - November
Subdivision # Sales
2013
# Sales
2014
# Sales
2015
Price/Sq
Ft 2013
Price/Sq
Ft 2014
Price/Sq
Ft 2015
River Rock
Ranch
65 42 53 $114.80 $122.43 $114.97
Rogers
Ranch
104 106 91 $116.38 $123.55 $127.29
San Pedro
Hills
50 35 47 $89.72 $95.42 $99.19
Santa Fe 16 14 15 $103.47 $89.99 $111.10
Shavano
Park
23 33 23 $136.51 $145.22 $148.78
Sonoma
Ranch
121 124 115 $98.84 $104.35 $111.52
Sonterra 98 81 95 $107.38 $114.50 $123.01
Spring
Creek
64 64 65 $86.82 $94.10 $105.42
Spring
Vistas
78 59 60 $72.19 $76.47 $81.43

18. PRICE/SQ. FT. PER SUBDIVISION
January - November
Subdivision # Sales
2013
# Sales
2014
# Sales
2015
Price/Sq
Ft 2013
Price/Sq
Ft 2014
Price/Sq
Ft 2015
Steubing
Ranch
71 81 50 $83.64 $89.49 $91.46
Summerfield 18 17 21 $107.19 $106.01 $115.07
Terrell Hills 102 65 92 $199.74 $196.37 $203.96
Triana 33 32 23 $124.60 $133.57 $130.68
Two
Creeks
65 45 69 $100.02 $106.27 $109.46
Vineyards 45 47 29 $115.77 $127.24 $113.39
Windcrest 92 79 80 $72.81 $76.87 $81.38
Woodlake 99 99 118 $71.70 $71.64 $75.51
Woodlawn
Hills
3 6 3 $85.92 $74.04 $75.46
Woodstone 41 43 48 $66.41 $77.09 $82.89

19. Areas by Quadrant

20. 0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($50,000 - $199,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Southwest Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

21. 590
600
610
620
630
640
650
660
670
680
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($50,000 - $199,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Southeast Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

22. 4380
4400
4420
4440
4460
4480
4500
4520
4540
4560
4580
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($50,000 - $199,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Northeast Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

23. 5,350
5,400
5,450
5,500
5,550
5,600
5,650
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($50,000 - $199,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Northwest Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

24. 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($200,000 - $499,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Southwest Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

25. 0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($200,000 - $499,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Southeast Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

26. 0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($200,000 - $499,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Northeast Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

27. 0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($200,000 - $499,999 - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Northwest Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

28. 0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($500,000 and Up - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Southwest Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

29. 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($500,000 and Up - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Southeast Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

30. 0
50
100
150
200
250
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($500,000 and Up - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Northeast Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

31. 0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
NUMBER OF SALES BY PRICE RANGE
($500,000 and Up - JANUARY - NOVEMBER)
Northwest Quadrant
Source:
MLS
2013
2014
2015
# of
Sales

32. $0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
Downtown San Antonio
Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales
2013
2014
2015
Average Sales Price

35. Area by Finance Type (2015)
MLS Area Cash Conventional FHA VA
1001 12% 59% 11% 15%
1002 14% 66% 6% 13%
1003 29% 64% - 5%
1004 7% 65% 4% 22%
1005 8% 69% 8% 13%
1006 15% 60% 7% 15%
1100 36% 55% 3% 1%
1200 60% 16% 15% 3%
1300 24% 52% 10% 10%
1400 14% 42% 27% 14%
1500 18% 29% 36% 15%
1600 18% 23% 32% 24%
1700 16% 20% 28% 30%

36. Area by Finance Type (2015) - Continued
MLS Area Cash Conventional FHA VA
1801 14% 58% 11% 16%
1802 12% 49% 17% 19%
1803 13% 56% 11% 17%
1804 9% 49% 16% 22%
1900 31% 19% 36% 9%
2001 8% 18% 45% 26%
2002 4% 38% 31% 12%
2003 38% 4% 46% 4%
2004 8% 22% 44% 11%
2100 34% 11% 43% 0%
2200 32% 15% 36% 1%
2301 7% 27% 44% 16%
2302 31% 6% 38% 13%

37. Area by Finance Type (2015) - Continued
MLS Area Cash Conventional FHA VA
2303 33% 13% 40% -
2304 12% 13% 43% 21%
2400 23% 40% 13% 18%
2501 31% 48% 7% 10%
2502 20% 56% 9% 9%
2503 10% 68% 8% 13%
2504 24% 59% 4% 7%
2505 23% 42% 19% 10%
2506 32% 56% 4% 5%
2507 23% 64% 3% 3%
2508 31% 43% 16% 8%
2600 18% 55% 12% 16%
2700 15% 33% 22% 31%
2800 10% 41% 23% 24%

38. Area by Finance Type (2015) - Continued
MLS Area Cash Conventional FHA VA
0101 7% 19% 20% 48%
0102 9% 29% 21% 37%
0103 12% 28% 31% 21%
0104 7% 25% 12% 50%
0105 6% 38% 20% 32%
0200 13% 22% 34% 27%
0300 15% 31% 36% 16%
0400 14% 42% 29% 13%
0500 18% 52% 16% 11%
0600 18% 57% 11% 13%
0700 42% 13% 31% 3%
0800 28% 29% 31% 6%
0900 32% 35% 22% 6%

39. Atascosa County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 217
YoY %: -0.9%
Average Price: $161,290
YoY %: 8.2%
Median Price: $150,000
YoY %: 3.5%

40. Bexar County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 19,001
YoY %: 10.6%
Average Price: $221,375
YoY %: 5.4%
Median Price: $183,000
YoY %: 5.8%

41. Frio County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 19
YoY %: 26.7%
Average Price: $126,497
YoY %: -5.3%
Median Price: $120,500
YoY %: -1.2%

42. Karnes County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 5
YoY %: -37.5%
Average Price: $220,000
YoY %: 65.4%
Median Price: $165,000
YoY %: 12.2%

43. Kendall County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 567
YoY %: 22.7%
Average Price: $416,198
YoY %: 5.6%
Median Price: $335,000
YoY %: 15.8%

44. La Salle County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 1
YoY %: 0.0%
Average Price: $99,500
YoY %: 485.3%
Median Price: $99,500
YoY %: 485.3%

45. McMullen County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 0
YoY %: 0.0%
Average Price: $0
YoY %: 0%
Median Price: $0
YoY %: 0%

46. Medina County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 316
YoY %: 7.5%
Average Price: $212,319
YoY %: 11.7%
Median Price: $195,500
YoY %: 9.9%

47. Wilson County Market Snapshot
January – November, 2015
Total Sales: 427
YoY %: 1.2%
Average Price: $259,709
YoY %: 6.5%
Median Price: $268,875
YoY %: 5.0%

48. Market Update for
San Antonio &
Surrounding Areas:
January – November, 2015