A one day symposium on zero/low carbon sustainable homes took place at The University of Nottingham on the 24th October, 2012. The event offered professionals within the construction industry a unique opportunity to gain added and significant insight into the innovations, policies and legislation which are driving the construction of zero/low carbon energy efficient homes both here in the UK and elsewhere in Europe. It explored solutions to sustainability issues “beyond” the zero carbon agenda. BZCH followed on from the successful ‘Towards Zero Carbon Housing’ symposium the University hosted in 2007. This event is part of the Europe Wide Ten Act10n project which is supported by the European Commission Intelligent Energy Europe.
Beyond Zero Carbon Housing - Ben Hopkins Rachael Hibbert Chris Dalton
Beyond Zero Carbon Housing - Bill Gething
1. Beyond Zero
Carbon Housing
exploring solutions to sustainability issues
beyond the zero carbon agenda
2 4 th O c t o b e r 2 0 1 2 a t T h e U n i v e r s i t y o f N o t t i n g h a m
Department of Architecture and Built Environment
3. Zero Carbon Housing in a Changing Climate
Bill Gething
Beyond Zero Carbon Housing
University of Nottingham
October 2012
http://www.innovateuk.org/_assets/pdf/other-publications/tsb-climatechangereport-0510_final1.pdf
5. Headlines
Hotter drier summers
Wetter warmer winters
Extreme events more likely
Sea level rise
6. Environment
What kind of future?
Health
Water
Food
Land
6
Temperature: Global Mean – Change ºC
5
High
(A1F1)
New York, London, Tokyo etc threatened
4
450 million affected by coastal flooding Med
(A1B)
3
20-50 % extinction
Low
(B1)
2 1
0
1800 1900 2000 2100
7. Shaping the Future? Global GHG Emissions (Gt CO2 eq/ yr)
160
140
High
120
(A1F1)
100
80
Med
60
(A1B)
40
Low
20
(B1)
World
Stabilisation
Scenario
2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
(-4%/ yr from 2016)
8. Twin Challenges
Mitigation Reduce emissions
Adaptation Design for a changing climate
Exploit the overlap
Avoid the conflicts
…and don’t forget the Delight
9. Design agenda: Comfort
Construction
Water
Context: Regional variation + geographic specifics
Existing stock
Low carbon imperative.
Tactics: Behavioural adaptation
Timing
Scale
Competition, consensus and regulation.
10. UK Climate Change Projections A probabilistic approach
Median value (50%)
Probability of change
1 2 3 4 5
Change in temperature (say)
10% “Very Likely” range 90%
33% “Likely” 67%
range
11. Which Climate?
ProCLiP: London summer mean daily max temp