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Business Plan 2018
Masamichi Terabatake
JT Group Chief Executive Officer
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
2
JT Investor Meeting
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements appear in a number of places in this presentation and include statements
regarding the intent, belief, or current and future expectations of our management with respect to our business, financial condition and results of
operations. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “would”,“expect”, “intend”, “project”,
“plan”, “aim”, “seek”, “target”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “predict”,“potential” or the negative of these terms or other similar terminology. These
statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or achievements, or
those of the industries in which we operate, may differ materially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by these
forward-looking statements. In addition, these forward-looking statements are necessarily dependent upon assumptions, estimates and data that may
be incorrect or imprecise and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements regarding operating results are
particularly subject to a variety of assumptions, some or all of which may not be realized.
Risks, uncertainties or other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement include,
without limitation:
(1) decrease in demand for tobacco products in key markets;
(2) restrictions on promoting, marketing, packaging, labeling and usage of tobacco products in markets in which we operate;
(3) increases in excise, consumption or other taxes on tobacco products in markets in which we operate;
(4) litigation around the world alleging adverse health and financial effects resulting from, or relating to, tobacco products ;
(5) our ability to realize anticipated results of our acquisition or other similar investments;
(6) competition in markets in which we operate or into which we seek to expand;
(7) deterioration in economic conditions in areas that matter to us;
(8) economic, regulatory and political changes, such as nationalization, terrorism, wars and civil unrest, in countries in which we operate;
(9) fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and the costs of raw materials; and
(10) catastrophes, including natural disasters.
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Agenda
• 2017 Overview
• JT Group mid- to long-term strategy
• Business Plan 2018 (three-year plan)
3
JT Investor Meeting
© Copyright JT 2018 Tokyo – February 7, 2018 JT Investor Meeting 4
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
[This slide is intentionally left black]
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
2017 Overview
5
JT Investor Meeting
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
2017 Overview ‐ A year of mixed results for the JT Group
6
JT Investor Meeting
Japanese
Domestic
Tobacco
Accelerated
T-vapor
Expansion
SOM of
over 60%
RMC
International
Tobacco
One-time
Negative
Impact
Strong
Performance
Pharma&
Processed
Food
Robust
Profit
Contribution
• Delivered solid profitability under a challenging environment
• Continued investing for the future growth
• International: M&As
• Domestic: Ploom TECH initiatives
• Will deliver a full year dividend of
JPY 140 per share as committed
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
JT Group mid- to long-term strategy
7
JT Investor Meeting
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
• No change in our management principle, strategic framework
and resource allocation
Our Management Policy
8
JT Investor Meeting
Management Principle
We strive to fulfill our responsibilities to our valued consumers,
shareholders, employees and the wider society, carefully
considering the respective interests of these four key stakeholder
groups, and exceeding their expectations wherever we can.
Shareholders
Employees Society
Consumers
• Resource allocation based on 4S model
• Prioritize business investments
• Focus on growth of tobacco business
• Optimize scale and timing based on our growth agenda
• Shareholder return policy
• Enhance shareholder returns considering the Company’s mid- to
long-term profit growth
• Deliver sustainable and steady increase of DPS
Resource allocation
Strategic framework
Robust
business
foundations
Competitive
cost base
Quality
top-line
growth
×
×
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Revolution of organizational capability
9
JT Investor Meeting
• Aim to be a company that initiates change and drives evolution
• Eliminate complexity and enhance agility across the organizations
• Encourage each employee to take actions towards change and innovation
• Demonstrate the strong leadership for the transformation
© Copyright JT 2018 Tokyo – February 7, 2018 JT Investor Meeting 10
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
[This slide is intentionally left black]
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
Business Plan 2018
(three-year plan)
11
JT Investor Meeting
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Mid- to long-term target and the role of each business
12
JT Investor Meeting
*Adjusted operating profit growth at constant FX in the mid- to long-term
Tobacco Business
JT Group’s profit growth engine
Mid to high single-digit profit growth
RRP(Reduced-Risk Products)**
Drive the growth of tobacco business
through focused investment
・Strengthen product portfolio and business foundation
RRP(Reduced-Risk Products)**
Drive the growth of tobacco business
through focused investment
・Strengthen product portfolio and business foundation
Traditional Tobacco Products
Remain the platform of profitability
・Enhance brand equity and expand market portfolio
Traditional Tobacco Products
Remain the platform of profitability
・Enhance brand equity and expand market portfolio
Pharmaceutical Business and
Processed Food Business
Complement profit growth
of the Group
Pharmaceutical Business
Continue to deliver profit
・Promote R&D for next-generation strategic products
and maximize the value of each product
Pharmaceutical Business
Continue to deliver profit
・Promote R&D for next-generation strategic products
and maximize the value of each product
Processed Food Business
Grow via top-line expansion
・Focus on frozen and ambient processed food,
seasonings and bakery items
Processed Food Business
Grow via top-line expansion
・Focus on frozen and ambient processed food,
seasonings and bakery items
Mid to high single-digit profit growth*
**RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
Tobacco Business
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Tobacco Business Strategy – Investment for future growth
14
JT Investor Meeting
• RRP enhances consumer satisfaction,
and thus offers a real benefit to all of our stakeholders
• Reduced-Risk is the additional value most strongly coveted by consumers
• RRP is now the centerpiece of our strategy and will drive sustainable future growth of
the tobacco business
• Investment in RRP is prioritized
 Over 100 billion yen within next 3 years
• No change in the importance of traditional tobacco products.
Keep investing in
• Brand equity enhancement in established markets
• Geographic expansion into emerging markets
RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018 Tokyo – February 7, 2018
Global RRP -Product Portfolio
15
JT Investor Meeting
Heated
Tobacco
E-Vapor
Tobacco
Infused
Vapor
Tobacco
Affinity
Beyond Tobacco
Cigalike
Rethink Tobacco
• Fulfill diverse consumer needs with the highest quality product portfolio
Usability
Further Evolution
T-Vapor
Stick Type
Further Evolution
Diverse consumer needs
Open Tank
Closed Tank
Pod Type
Continuous
Evolution
Current Model
RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – Business environment and objectives
16
JT Investor Meeting
• Business environment
• Ready-Made Cigarette (RMC) industry to continue declining
while RRP category to expand further
• Multi-year excise tax increases in both RMC and RRP categories
• Tightening regulation
• Roadmap towards target for 2020
2020年
RRP・RMC両カテゴリーにおける
シェアNo.1を実現
2019
• Accelerate and maximize
RRP sales volume
2020
• Achieve the No.1 SOM
position in both RRP and
RMC categories
2018
• Expand Ploom TECH sales
nationwide
• Maximize RMC sales volume
RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – Strategies for RRP and RMC
• Roles of RRP and RMC
17
RMC
RRP
Growth driver
 Allocate resources with first priority
 Achieve No.1 SOM in the category
with strong portfolio
• Ensure the success of Ploom TECH
• Gain SOM by increasing product offerings
 Strengthen business foundation
Platform of profitability
to support growth
 Ensure the overwhelming No.1 SOM
position
 Continue to enhance brand equity
by focusing on major 4 brands
• Gain further SOM
• Seize pricing opportunities
JT Investor Meeting
RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – RRP Portfolio Strategy
18
JT Investor Meeting
• Gain 40% SOM by the end of 2020 with expanded portfolio
Heated
Tobacco
(high-temperature
heating)
Tobacco
Infused
Vapor
(low-temperature
heating)
℃
℃
New product
launch
Guided Trial
Guided Trial Ploom TECH ONLY
Program
Ploom TECH ONLY
Program
• Boost SOM by entering Heated Tobacco category
• Ensure the success of Ploom TECH initiatives
Continuous
evolution
RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – Ploom TECH
Performance in Tokyo
19
JT Investor Meeting
• Encouraging initial results
under limited supply of devices
• Penetration among consumers improving
• Increasing number of facilities
to exclusively admit the use of Ploom TECH
End of
Nov ‘17
End of
Dec ‘17
Source: JT estimates, Weekly data
Off-take SOM at CVS in Tokyo
More than 800
Number of “No Smoking, Ploom TECH only” restaurants in Tokyo
Source: JT estimates
at the end of January 2018
Source: JT estimates (internet survey of approx.500 consumers in Tokyo)
The rates of awareness and trial in May ‘17 being indexed as 100
End of
Oct ‘17
198
Sep ‘17 Dec ‘17
100
May ‘17 Sep ‘17
120
May ‘17
136
123
Dec ‘17
100
Awareness Trial
2.2%
3.3%
1.4%
Week 4
Jan ‘18
RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Beginning of 2017 End of 2017 End of 2018
• Steady build-up in capsule production
• Sales area expansion continues: adding six major cities
from 5th February
• Striving to improving the production efficiency
• Nationwide expansion in September 2018
to secure capsule supply without shortage
20.0
Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – Ploom TECH
Plans for capsule manufacturing capacity and sales expansion
20
JT Investor Meeting
5.0
10.0
2.4 Annual capacity available for commercialization
(equivalent to billions of RMC sticks)
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
International Tobacco Business – Business environment
21
JT Investor Meeting
• Macro environment remains uncertain
• Expecting economic growth in most emerging markets but only moderate
economic recovery in key markets
• Unknowns due to currency fluctuations, changes in political climate and
geopolitical risks
• Challenging business environment continues
• Industry volume decline, down-trading, increasing price competition,
tighter regulation and illicit trade
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
International Tobacco Business – Business objectives and strategies
22
JT Investor Meeting
• Quality Top-line Growth
• Constantly delivering robust profit growth
Grow in established markets Expand in emerging markets
Drive growth
in the RRP category
Continue to invest focusing on three pillars
to drive future growth
Brand equity enhancement
SOM increase / Pricing gain
Seeding markets
Organic growth / M&A
Products portfolio expansion
and foundation building
/ Geographic reach
Brand equity
Market share gains
Pricing opportunities
Organic growth
M&A opportunities
Products portfolio
Capabilities
Geographic expansion
RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
Closing Remarks
Tokyo – February 7, 2018
© Copyright JT 2018
Group profit target and shareholder return
24
JT Investor Meeting
Mid to high single-digit
• Profit growth rate target (Three-year CAGR)
AOP at constant FX growth
• Dividend per share (2018 forecast)
140
130
’18
150
’17
’16
’10
Dividend per share
(JPY)
JPY 150 (+7.1% vs 2017)
(E) (E)

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20180206_10.pdf

  • 1. Business Plan 2018 Masamichi Terabatake JT Group Chief Executive Officer Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS 2 JT Investor Meeting This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements appear in a number of places in this presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current and future expectations of our management with respect to our business, financial condition and results of operations. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “would”,“expect”, “intend”, “project”, “plan”, “aim”, “seek”, “target”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “predict”,“potential” or the negative of these terms or other similar terminology. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or achievements, or those of the industries in which we operate, may differ materially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. In addition, these forward-looking statements are necessarily dependent upon assumptions, estimates and data that may be incorrect or imprecise and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements regarding operating results are particularly subject to a variety of assumptions, some or all of which may not be realized. Risks, uncertainties or other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement include, without limitation: (1) decrease in demand for tobacco products in key markets; (2) restrictions on promoting, marketing, packaging, labeling and usage of tobacco products in markets in which we operate; (3) increases in excise, consumption or other taxes on tobacco products in markets in which we operate; (4) litigation around the world alleging adverse health and financial effects resulting from, or relating to, tobacco products ; (5) our ability to realize anticipated results of our acquisition or other similar investments; (6) competition in markets in which we operate or into which we seek to expand; (7) deterioration in economic conditions in areas that matter to us; (8) economic, regulatory and political changes, such as nationalization, terrorism, wars and civil unrest, in countries in which we operate; (9) fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and the costs of raw materials; and (10) catastrophes, including natural disasters.
  • 2. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Agenda • 2017 Overview • JT Group mid- to long-term strategy • Business Plan 2018 (three-year plan) 3 JT Investor Meeting © Copyright JT 2018 Tokyo – February 7, 2018 JT Investor Meeting 4 Tokyo – February 7, 2018 [This slide is intentionally left black]
  • 3. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 2017 Overview 5 JT Investor Meeting Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 2017 Overview ‐ A year of mixed results for the JT Group 6 JT Investor Meeting Japanese Domestic Tobacco Accelerated T-vapor Expansion SOM of over 60% RMC International Tobacco One-time Negative Impact Strong Performance Pharma& Processed Food Robust Profit Contribution • Delivered solid profitability under a challenging environment • Continued investing for the future growth • International: M&As • Domestic: Ploom TECH initiatives • Will deliver a full year dividend of JPY 140 per share as committed
  • 4. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 JT Group mid- to long-term strategy 7 JT Investor Meeting Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 • No change in our management principle, strategic framework and resource allocation Our Management Policy 8 JT Investor Meeting Management Principle We strive to fulfill our responsibilities to our valued consumers, shareholders, employees and the wider society, carefully considering the respective interests of these four key stakeholder groups, and exceeding their expectations wherever we can. Shareholders Employees Society Consumers • Resource allocation based on 4S model • Prioritize business investments • Focus on growth of tobacco business • Optimize scale and timing based on our growth agenda • Shareholder return policy • Enhance shareholder returns considering the Company’s mid- to long-term profit growth • Deliver sustainable and steady increase of DPS Resource allocation Strategic framework Robust business foundations Competitive cost base Quality top-line growth × ×
  • 5. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Revolution of organizational capability 9 JT Investor Meeting • Aim to be a company that initiates change and drives evolution • Eliminate complexity and enhance agility across the organizations • Encourage each employee to take actions towards change and innovation • Demonstrate the strong leadership for the transformation © Copyright JT 2018 Tokyo – February 7, 2018 JT Investor Meeting 10 Tokyo – February 7, 2018 [This slide is intentionally left black]
  • 6. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 Business Plan 2018 (three-year plan) 11 JT Investor Meeting Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Mid- to long-term target and the role of each business 12 JT Investor Meeting *Adjusted operating profit growth at constant FX in the mid- to long-term Tobacco Business JT Group’s profit growth engine Mid to high single-digit profit growth RRP(Reduced-Risk Products)** Drive the growth of tobacco business through focused investment ・Strengthen product portfolio and business foundation RRP(Reduced-Risk Products)** Drive the growth of tobacco business through focused investment ・Strengthen product portfolio and business foundation Traditional Tobacco Products Remain the platform of profitability ・Enhance brand equity and expand market portfolio Traditional Tobacco Products Remain the platform of profitability ・Enhance brand equity and expand market portfolio Pharmaceutical Business and Processed Food Business Complement profit growth of the Group Pharmaceutical Business Continue to deliver profit ・Promote R&D for next-generation strategic products and maximize the value of each product Pharmaceutical Business Continue to deliver profit ・Promote R&D for next-generation strategic products and maximize the value of each product Processed Food Business Grow via top-line expansion ・Focus on frozen and ambient processed food, seasonings and bakery items Processed Food Business Grow via top-line expansion ・Focus on frozen and ambient processed food, seasonings and bakery items Mid to high single-digit profit growth* **RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
  • 7. Tobacco Business Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Tobacco Business Strategy – Investment for future growth 14 JT Investor Meeting • RRP enhances consumer satisfaction, and thus offers a real benefit to all of our stakeholders • Reduced-Risk is the additional value most strongly coveted by consumers • RRP is now the centerpiece of our strategy and will drive sustainable future growth of the tobacco business • Investment in RRP is prioritized  Over 100 billion yen within next 3 years • No change in the importance of traditional tobacco products. Keep investing in • Brand equity enhancement in established markets • Geographic expansion into emerging markets RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
  • 8. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Tokyo – February 7, 2018 Global RRP -Product Portfolio 15 JT Investor Meeting Heated Tobacco E-Vapor Tobacco Infused Vapor Tobacco Affinity Beyond Tobacco Cigalike Rethink Tobacco • Fulfill diverse consumer needs with the highest quality product portfolio Usability Further Evolution T-Vapor Stick Type Further Evolution Diverse consumer needs Open Tank Closed Tank Pod Type Continuous Evolution Current Model RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – Business environment and objectives 16 JT Investor Meeting • Business environment • Ready-Made Cigarette (RMC) industry to continue declining while RRP category to expand further • Multi-year excise tax increases in both RMC and RRP categories • Tightening regulation • Roadmap towards target for 2020 2020年 RRP・RMC両カテゴリーにおける シェアNo.1を実現 2019 • Accelerate and maximize RRP sales volume 2020 • Achieve the No.1 SOM position in both RRP and RMC categories 2018 • Expand Ploom TECH sales nationwide • Maximize RMC sales volume RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
  • 9. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – Strategies for RRP and RMC • Roles of RRP and RMC 17 RMC RRP Growth driver  Allocate resources with first priority  Achieve No.1 SOM in the category with strong portfolio • Ensure the success of Ploom TECH • Gain SOM by increasing product offerings  Strengthen business foundation Platform of profitability to support growth  Ensure the overwhelming No.1 SOM position  Continue to enhance brand equity by focusing on major 4 brands • Gain further SOM • Seize pricing opportunities JT Investor Meeting RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – RRP Portfolio Strategy 18 JT Investor Meeting • Gain 40% SOM by the end of 2020 with expanded portfolio Heated Tobacco (high-temperature heating) Tobacco Infused Vapor (low-temperature heating) ℃ ℃ New product launch Guided Trial Guided Trial Ploom TECH ONLY Program Ploom TECH ONLY Program • Boost SOM by entering Heated Tobacco category • Ensure the success of Ploom TECH initiatives Continuous evolution RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
  • 10. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – Ploom TECH Performance in Tokyo 19 JT Investor Meeting • Encouraging initial results under limited supply of devices • Penetration among consumers improving • Increasing number of facilities to exclusively admit the use of Ploom TECH End of Nov ‘17 End of Dec ‘17 Source: JT estimates, Weekly data Off-take SOM at CVS in Tokyo More than 800 Number of “No Smoking, Ploom TECH only” restaurants in Tokyo Source: JT estimates at the end of January 2018 Source: JT estimates (internet survey of approx.500 consumers in Tokyo) The rates of awareness and trial in May ‘17 being indexed as 100 End of Oct ‘17 198 Sep ‘17 Dec ‘17 100 May ‘17 Sep ‘17 120 May ‘17 136 123 Dec ‘17 100 Awareness Trial 2.2% 3.3% 1.4% Week 4 Jan ‘18 RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Beginning of 2017 End of 2017 End of 2018 • Steady build-up in capsule production • Sales area expansion continues: adding six major cities from 5th February • Striving to improving the production efficiency • Nationwide expansion in September 2018 to secure capsule supply without shortage 20.0 Japanese Domestic Tobacco Business – Ploom TECH Plans for capsule manufacturing capacity and sales expansion 20 JT Investor Meeting 5.0 10.0 2.4 Annual capacity available for commercialization (equivalent to billions of RMC sticks)
  • 11. Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 International Tobacco Business – Business environment 21 JT Investor Meeting • Macro environment remains uncertain • Expecting economic growth in most emerging markets but only moderate economic recovery in key markets • Unknowns due to currency fluctuations, changes in political climate and geopolitical risks • Challenging business environment continues • Industry volume decline, down-trading, increasing price competition, tighter regulation and illicit trade Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 International Tobacco Business – Business objectives and strategies 22 JT Investor Meeting • Quality Top-line Growth • Constantly delivering robust profit growth Grow in established markets Expand in emerging markets Drive growth in the RRP category Continue to invest focusing on three pillars to drive future growth Brand equity enhancement SOM increase / Pricing gain Seeding markets Organic growth / M&A Products portfolio expansion and foundation building / Geographic reach Brand equity Market share gains Pricing opportunities Organic growth M&A opportunities Products portfolio Capabilities Geographic expansion RRP / Reduced-Risk Products: products with potential to reduce the risks associated with smoking
  • 12. Closing Remarks Tokyo – February 7, 2018 © Copyright JT 2018 Group profit target and shareholder return 24 JT Investor Meeting Mid to high single-digit • Profit growth rate target (Three-year CAGR) AOP at constant FX growth • Dividend per share (2018 forecast) 140 130 ’18 150 ’17 ’16 ’10 Dividend per share (JPY) JPY 150 (+7.1% vs 2017) (E) (E)