Gold prices dropped over 2% on Monday settling below $1,500 due to a stronger US dollar and gains in US stocks and yields. Crude oil rebounded in Asian trade after production fell in OPEC, Russia, and the US. Base metals may trade sideways as China plans measures to boost its slowing economy while providing liquidity. Natural gas is recommended to sell below $165 with a target of $163-161 and stop loss of $169.
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News Highlights
BULLION – Bullion counter may continue yesterday fall. Gold prices dropped over 2% Monday,
settling below the psychologically important level of $1,500 to post their lowest finish in two
months, as strength in U.S. dollar and some buoyancy in U.S. stocks and yields drew demand
away from bullion. G An easing of concerns of an escalation in the US-China trade war took
some shine off the safe-haven appeal of gold. China and US will resolve their trade dispute
"with a calm and rational attitude", China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Showmen said on
Sunday, ahead of talks in two weeks between the two sides. Although the Federal Reserve
signaled at its last monetary policy meeting that it is not expecting to change interest rates for
the rest of the year. F The central bank is expected to add even more money to the system in
coming weeks.
ENERGY- Crude oil may witness lower level buying as U.S. crude futures rebounded in early
Asian trade on Tuesday after production at the world’s largest oil producers fell in the third
quarter, partly recovering from a more than 3% drop in the previous session. Output from the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia fell in September while
production from the United States dropped for a third month in July. OPEC’s output fell to the
lowest in eight years in September at 28.9 million barrels per day (bpd), down 750,000 bpd
from August’s revised figure and the lowest monthly total since 2011. Saudi Arabia pumped
about 9.78 million bpd in August. Russia’s output declined to 11.24 million bpd in Sept.
BASE METAL – Base metals may trade with sideways bias. China plans to step up economic
adjustments to counter its slowing economy while providing adequate liquidity in the
economy, the central bank said on Sunday. Copper slipped on Monday as worries about weak
demand due to the prolonged U.S.-China trade war weighed on sentiment, but above-
consensus industrial activity data from top consumer China provided price support. China
accounts for nearly half of global copper demand, estimated at 24 million tonnes this year.
Funds and traders squaring positions for end of quarter book keeping were behind price
moves in the afternoon session. The Caixin/Market Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’
Index (PMI) for September rose to 51.4 from 50.4 in August.
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MCX Daily Report 01ST
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Pick for the DAY
MCX NATURALGAS OCT on MONDAY as seen in the Daily chart opened at 171.30 levels and
made day low of 165.30 levels. During this period NATURALGAS OCT high is 171.30 levels
and finally closed at 165.80 levels. Now, there are chances of up movement technically &
fundamentally.
DAILY RECOMMENDATION: SELL MCX NATURALGAS OCT BELOW 165 LEVELS FOR
TARGET OF 163/161 WITH SL 169 OF LEVELS.
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