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Weekly commodity-report 16-sep-2013 by epic research
1. MCX COMMODITY DAILY REPORT
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EPIC Research Report
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trade on MCX commodities. Refer to the chart attracted in the Report
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Date: 16-September-2013
2. MCX Weekly Newsletter (16-September-2013)
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WEEKLY COMMODITY WRAP…..!!!!!
Base metals
LME base metals traded lower this week on account of mixed
macroeconomic numbers. In Europe, industrial production
fell 1.5% in July, as compared with the expectations of a 0.1%
Increase.
German industrial production fell 2.3% in July from June
levels and France, Italy, Ireland and Portugal also reported lower
Readings.
However, the downside in metal prices was limited as
Markets garnered strength from improving backdrop in China.
China’s industrial output grew at its fastest pace in 17 months
In August, rising some 10.4% from a year earlier and coming in
Well ahead of estimates.
Steel production was up almost 16% in August on YOY basis, up from
10.9% in July, while electricity output expanded 13.4% compared with
8.1% July.
Progress in Chinese economic activity should provide some
support to the non-ferrous metals; however the proverbial
“Sept-taper” may put the bulls on the back foot. The tapering
Amount may vary between US$10-$20bn of monthly bond
Buying, which is not that significant considering the fact that
US is a $16 trillion economy.
However, the intuition of an end to dirt cheap interest rates may trigger
an orchestrated selloff in the entire commodity pack. Base metals
should remain relatively less vulnerable, as the complex is more
receptive to Chinese economic activity rather than what the wise men
at Federal Reserve are contemplating at. Nevertheless, the pack
Cannot defy the impact of consequential strong US dollar.
Precious metals
Precious metals fell sharply this week, with gold prices breaching
The crucial support of US$1,350/oz and silver prices heading
Below US$22/oz.
Jitters ahead of the Federal Reserve decision next week has taken a toll
on the pack. The consensus is that the apex bank may taper the
monetary stimulus (bond buying programmers) by US$10bn. Meanwhile,
market participants have factored in the Syrian situation, whereby the
tensions heave deescalated to an extent.
Syria has accepted Russian proposal of Handing over the chemical
weapons to the International body.
Syrian is ready to declare the location of the chemical weapons
To representatives of Russia and other United Nations member
States and stop the production of the chemical weapons as well.
Recent weakness in gold prices seems to extending till
US$1,280/oz. However at the end of the this month, gold
Prices should garner an element of support, as US Congress
Legislators have yet not passed a law to finance the budget
For the 2014 fiscal year that commences on October 1st.
The government is projected to reach its debt limit in mid-
October. Although Democrats have called for a debt-limit
Increase with no policy changes, House Republicans are
Under pressure from committee members to withdraw the
Health-care program.
3. MCX Weekly Newsletter (16-September-2013)
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GOLD MCX HOURLY CANDLESTICK CHART
TRADING STRATEGY:
GOLD MCX is trading too volatile and has faced correction last week. Momentum
seem to be in favour of bears and also USDINR may face correction this week.
Immedaite Resistance @32420 and Support @31550
1. Gold buy above 30235 TGTS 30500/31000 SL 30000
2. Gold sell below 29880 TGTS 29600/29300 SL 30100
SILVER MCX HOURLY CANDLESTICK CHART
TRADING STRATEGY:
SILVER MCX faced correction last week. Momentum seem to be in favour of bears and
also USDINR may face correction this week. Hence fresh Short Positions can be created.
Immediate Resistance @55620 and Support @54250
1. Silver buy above 50900 TGTS 51700/52500 SL 50100
2. Silver sell below 49850 TGTS 49050/48050 SL 50350
4. MCX Weekly Newsletter (16-September-2013)
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO CALL: +917316642300
COPPER MCX HOURLY CANDLESTICK CHART
TRADING STRATEGY:
COPPER MCX also faced correction last week and May take Support around levels
@470-465. Any Correction towards 470 will be buying opportunity in Copper.
Immediate Resistance @476 and Support @472
1. Copper Buy above 461 TGTS 470/485 SL 451
2. Copper Sell below 450 TGTS 440/430 SL 460
CRUDEOIL MCX HOURLY CANDLESTICK CHART
TRADING STRATEGY:
CRUDEOIL MCX has strong support Support around 7100-7050 levels and any
correction towards those levels will be buying opportunity. Alternetively we may see
selling if beaks support @7050
Immediate Resistance @7225 And Support @7135
1. Crude oil Buy above 7000 TGTS 7100/7300 SL 6850
2. Crude oil Sell below 6750 TGTS 6650/6500 SL 6900
5. MCX Weekly Newsletter (16-September-2013)
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