3. 333
With the fiscal disipline and efficient debt management implemented
in recent years in Turkey;
EU defined debt stock declined under EU-28 averages,
Net public debt stock has been reduced as percentage of
GDP,
Ratio of interest expentidures to tax income has been
decreased sharply,
Significant progress has been achieved in terms of maturity
and foreign exchange composition of debt stock.
Current Situation in Debt Management
6. 666
EU Defined General Government Debt Stock
(*) Composed of nominal adjustment of zero coupon securities and valuation of inflation indexed bonds, the stock of circulating coins issued by Treasury,
securities held by central government institutions
(**) Composed of securities held by the rest of the public sector.
Source: Undersecretariat of Treasury
(Million TL) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1
A. GENERAL GOVERNMENT GROSS DEBT STOCK 486,947 534,145 549,038 606,563 633,619 702,174 791,314 827,303
Central Government 474,146 519,070 532,901 586,192 612,516 678,245 759,668 793,440
Rest of the Public Sector 12,801 15,076 16,137 20,371 21,103 23,929 31,645 33,864
B. DOMESTIC DEBT STOCK 361,220 377,870 396,841 416,399 429,339 456,829 490,744 507,006
Central Government 352,841 368,778 386,542 403,007 414,649 440,124 468,644 483,348
Rest of the Public Sector 8,379 9,091 10,299 13,392 14,690 16,705 22,099 23,658
C. EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK 125,727 156,275 152,197 190,164 204,280 245,345 300,570 320,297
Central Government 121,305 150,291 146,359 183,185 197,868 238,121 291,024 310,092
Rest of the Public Sector 4,422 5,984 5,837 6,979 6,412 7,224 9,546 10,206
D. ADJUSTMENT ITEMS -22,957 -26,665 -36,959 -40,658 -47,909 -59,130 -58,534 -54,647
Central Government (*) 20,696 24,361 21,312 22,398 26,951 28,516 37,779 45,220
Rest of the Public Sector (**) -43,653 -51,025 -58,271 -63,055 -74,860 -87,646 -96,314 -99,867
EU DEFINED GENERAL GOVERNMENT DEBT STOCK (A+D) 463,990 507,481 512,079 565,905 585,710 643,044 732,779 772,656
EU DEFINED GENERAL GOVERNMENT DEBT STOCK / GDP (%) 40.0 36.4 32.6 31.3 28.6 27.5 28.3 28.9
7. 777
Public Net Debt Stock (Billion TL)
Source: Undersecretariat of Treasury
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1
I- Public Gross Debt Stock 496.8 546.0 562.7 622.9 649.9 722.1 819.5 853.4
• Central Government 474.1 519.1 532.9 586.2 612.5 678.2 759.7 793.4
• Rest of the Public Sector 22.6 27.0 29.8 36.7 37.4 43.8 59.8 60.0
II- Assets and Public Sector
Deposit
179.3 256.4 322.3 425.6 463.1 561.1 600.6 621.3
• Central Bank Net Assets 86.2 143.2 189.5 271.1 304.4 376.2 397.1 411.6
• Public Sector Deposits 47.2 59.8 71.6 84.2 77.4 91.8 100.3 103.0
• Unemployment Insurance Fund 45.9 53.5 61.2 70.4 81.4 93.1 103.2 106.7
III- Public Net Debt Stock 317.5 289.6 240.5 197.2 186.8 161.0 218.9 232.1
13. 131313
Sensitivity of General Government Debt to GDP Ratio
2001 2016
Change in real exchange rate app/dep
by 5 percent
+ / - 2.1 points + / - 0.6 points
Change in TL interest rate by 500bp + / - 1.6 points + / - 0.8 points
Change in GDP growth rate by
2 percentage points
+ / - 1.6 points + / - 0.5 points
Note: The effects of scenarios on “General Government Debt Stock/GDP” ratio (as defined by ESA standards) are
measured by deviations from baseline scenarios based on end-2001 and end-2016 stock realizations.
Source: Undersecretariat of Treasury
14. 141414
Gross External Debt Stock of Turkey (Billion USD)
Source: Undersecretariat of Treasury, CBRT
Billion USD 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1
TOTAL 208.0 249.9 280.8 268.7 291.6 303.7 339.5 389.7 401.7 395.9 404.9 412.4
SHORT TERM 42.9 43.1 52.5 49.0 77.2 81.6 100.2 130.3 131.6 101.9 98.0 102.2
LONG TERM 165.1 206.8 228.3 219.7 214.4 222.1 239.3 259.4 270.2 294.0 306.9 310.1
PUBLIC SECTOR 71.6 73.5 78.3 83.5 89.1 94.3 104.0 115.9 117.7 113.1 119.7 122.9
SHORT TERM 1.8 2.2 3.2 3.6 4.3 7.0 11.0 17.6 17.9 14.6 16.3 16.5
LONG TERM 69.8 71.4 75.1 79.9 84.8 87.3 93.0 98.3 99.8 98.5 103.4 106.4
CBRT 15.7 15.8 14.1 13.2 11.6 9.3 7.1 5.2 2.5 1.3 0.8 0.8
SHORT TERM 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
LONG TERM 13.1 13.5 12.2 11.4 10.0 8.1 6.1 4.4 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.7
PRIVATE SECTOR 120.7 160.6 188.4 172.0 191.0 200.1 228.4 268.5 281.6 281.4 284.4 288.7
SHORT TERM 38.5 38.7 47.4 43.6 71.4 73.3 88.1 111.9 113.4 87.2 81.6 85.6
LONG TERM 82.2 121.9 141.0 128.4 119.6 126.8 140.3 156.7 168.2 194.3 202.7 203.1
15. 151515
Ratios on Gross External Debt of Turkey (%)
Source: Undersecretariat of Treasury, CBRT
(*) Source for export data is CBRT's Balance of Payments Statistics, April 2017.
(**) Source for reserves data is CBRT's International Investment Position Statistics, April 2017.
% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1
GROSS EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK / GDP 38.0 36.9 36.2 41.5 37.8 36.5 39.0 41.0 43.0 46.0 47.3 49.1
PRIVATE SECTOR GROSS EXTERNAL DEBT
STOCK / GDP
22.0 23.7 24.3 26.6 24.7 24.1 26.2 28.3 30.1 32.7 33.2 34.4
GROSS EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK / EXPORT
(FOB) (*)
243.2 233.0 212.7 263.1 256.1 225.1 222.7 256.7 254.9 275.2 284.1 283.0
PRIVATE SECTOR GROSS EXTERNAL DEBT
STOCK / EXPORT (FOB) (*)
141.2 149.7 142.7 168.4 167.7 148.3 149.8 176.9 178.6 195.7 199.5 198.1
CBRT RESERVES (GROSS) /
GROSS EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK (**)
29.3 29.3 25.3 26.3 27.7 25.8 29.4 28.5 26.6 23.5 22.8 21.5
CBRT RESERVES (GROSS) /
SHORT TERM GROSS EXTERNAL DEBT
STOCK (**)
142.1 169.9 135.2 144.4 104.5 96.2 99.8 85.1 81.3 91.2 94.1 86.6
20. 202020
Interest Rates of TL Denominated Zero-Coupon Bonds (annual,
compounding, % )
*As of June, 2017
Source: Undersecretariat of Treasury
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
J02
A
J
O
J03
A
J
O
J04
A
J
O
J05
A
J
O
J06
A
J
O
J07
A
J
O
J08
A
J
O
J09
A
J
O
J10
A
J
O
J11
A
J
O
J12
A
J
O
J13
A
J
O
J14
A
J
O
J15
A
J
O
J16
A
J
O
J17
A
Monthly Average
Annual Cumulative