The document provides an overview of Turkey's economy in 2016, including its growth rates, employment levels, inflation, foreign trade, public finance, financial sector, and other indicators. Some key points:
- Turkey's GDP growth rate was 4.0% in 2015 and is projected to be 4.5% in 2016 and 5.0% in 2017-2018.
- Unemployment declined to 9.9% in 2014 from a high of 13.1% in 2009 but rose to 10.7% in 2015. Youth unemployment remains elevated.
- Exports and imports both declined in 2015 due to global economic slowdown but are projected to recover.
- Inflation declined to 6.6%
2. 333
CONTENTS
Turkish Economy in the World.................................................................4
Demographic Profile.................................................................................7
Growth....................................................................................................11
Employment............................................................................................29
Inflation...................................................................................................41
Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments...............................................53
Public Finance........................................................................................73
Debt Management..................................................................................82
Financial Sector....................................................................................116
Market Indicators..................................................................................128
Investment Environment.......................................................................139
Relationship with the IMF and EU........................................................145
Social Security......................................................................................148
Labor Market.........................................................................................156
R&D......................................................................................................167
Energy Sector.......................................................................................182
4. 555
World’s Biggest Economies
(GDP based on Purchasing Power Parity, Trillion Dollar, 2014)
0 5 10 15 20 25
China
USA
India
Japan
Germany
Russia
Brazil
Indonesia
France
United Kingdom
Mexico
Italy
Korea
Saudi Arabia
Canada
Spain
Turkey
Iran
Australia
Taiwan
Nigeria
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2015
5. 666
Europe’s Biggest Economies
(GDP based on Purchasing Power Parity, Trillion Dolar, 2014)
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2015
16. 171717
Per Capita GDP, 2014
(Purchasing Power Parity, AB-27=100)
Source: EUROSTAT
Trend line: moving average
0
40
80
120
160
200
240
280
Luxembourg
Norway
Switzerland
UnitedStates
Ireland
Netherlands
Austria
Denmark
Sweden
Germany
Iceland
Belgium
Finland
UnitedKingdom
France
Japan
Italy
Spain
Cyprus
CzechRepublic
Slovenia
Portugal
Slovakia
Lithuania
Estonia
Greece
Poland
Hungary
Latvia
Croatia
Romania
Turkey
Bulgaria
Karadağ
Montenegro
Serbia
Albania
BosniaandHerzegovina
17. 181818
Source: Ministry of Development, Medium Term Economic Programme 2016-2018
(*) Estimation.
PPP Adjusted Per Capita GDP Projections (USD)
18. 191919
Source: OECD
Comparison of Europe and Turkey:
Real GDP Growth (2001=100)
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
120.0
130.0
140.0
150.0
160.0
170.0
180.0
190.0
200.0
210.0
2000Q1
Q3
2001Q1
Q3
2002Q1
Q3
2003Q1
Q3
2004Q1
Q3
2005Q1
Q3
2006Q1
Q3
2007Q1
Q3
2008Q1
Q3
2009Q1
Q3
2010Q1
Q3
2011Q1
Q3
2012Q1
Q3
2013Q1
Q3
2014Q1
Q3
2015Q1
Q3
Turkey Hungary Poland Spain Portugal Italy Euro Area
29. 3030
Unemployment Rate * (%)
9.5
9.0 9.2
10.0
13.1
11.1
9.1
8.4
9.0
9.9
10.7
10.5
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014Nov. 2015Nov.
Source: TURKSTAT
* The Household Labor Force Survey has started to report a new series of data since the period of February 2014 within the framework of the
European Union criteria. Results regarding the periods 2005-January 2014 are estimated by an econometric model.
31. 323232
Employment * (Seasonally Adjusted, Million People)
Source: TURKSTAT
32
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27 2008-1
3
5
7
9
11
2009-1
3
5
7
9
11
2010-1
3
5
7
9
11
2011-1
3
5
7
9
11
2012-1
3
5
7
9
11
2013-1
3
5
7
9
11
2014-1
3
5
7
9
11
2015-1
3
5
7
9
11
*As of November 2015.
The Household Labor Force Survey has started to report a new series of data since the period of February 2014 within the framework of the
European Union criteria. Results regarding the periods 2005-January 2014 are estimated by an econometric model.
33. Labour Force Indicators * (Seasonally Adjusted)
51.5
46.2
10.4
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
38
41
44
47
50
2008-1
3
5
7
9
11
2009-1
3
5
7
9
11
2010-1
3
5
7
9
11
2011-1
3
5
7
9
11
2012-1
3
5
7
9
11
2013-1
3
5
7
9
11
2014-1
3
5
7
9
11
2015-1
3
5
7
9
11
Labour Force Participation Rate (%) Employment Rate (%) Unemployment Rate (%, right axis)
34Source: TURKSTAT
*As of November 2015.
The Household Labor Force Survey has started to report a new series of data since the period of February 2014 within the framework of the
European Union criteria. Results regarding the periods 2005-January 2014 are estimated by an econometric model.
34. 3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5 2008-1
3
5
7
9
11
2009-1
3
5
7
9
11
2010-1
3
5
7
9
11
2011-1
3
5
7
9
11
2012-1
3
5
7
9
11
2013-1
3
5
7
9
11
2014-1
3
5
7
9
11
2015-1
3
5
7
9
11
Agriculture Employment (sea. adj.) Agriculture Employment
Agriculture (million people)
Employment Developments by Sector *
35
3.8
4.0
4.2
4.4
4.6
4.8
5.0
5.2
5.4
5.6
2008-1
3
5
7
9
11
2009-1
3
5
7
9
11
2010-1
3
5
7
9
11
2011-1
3
5
7
9
11
2012-1
3
5
7
9
11
2013-1
3
5
7
9
11
2014-1
3
5
7
9
11
2015-1
3
5
7
9
11
Industry Employment (sea.adj.) Industry Employment
Industry (million people)
0.9
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.1
2.3
2008-1
3
5
7
9
11
2009-1
3
5
7
9
11
2010-1
3
5
7
9
11
2011-1
3
5
7
9
11
2012-1
3
5
7
9
11
2013-1
3
5
7
9
11
2014-1
3
5
7
9
11
2015-1
3
5
7
9
11
Construction Employment (sea.adj.) Construction Employment
Construction (million people)
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
12.5
13.0
13.5
14.0
14.5
2008-1
3
5
7
9
11
2009-1
3
5
7
9
11
2010-1
3
5
7
9
11
2011-1
3
5
7
9
11
2012-1
3
5
7
9
11
2013-1
3
5
7
9
11
2014-1
3
5
7
9
11
2015-1
3
5
7
9
11
Services Employment (sea.adj.) Services Employment
Services (million people)
Source: TURKSTAT
*As of November 2015.
The Household Labor Force Survey has started to report a new series of data since the period of February 2014 within the framework of the
European Union criteria. Results regarding the periods 2005-January 2014 are estimated by an econometric model.
39. Labour Force Participation Rate by Education Level (2014, %)
40
Male Female
Higher
Education
Note: The balloon size reflects the labour force share of the relevant group.
Higher
Education
Source: TURKSTAT
50. 515151
Inflation Developments in the World
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Jan-05
Aug-05
Mar-06
Oct-06
May-07
Dec-07
Jul-08
Feb-09
Sep-09
Apr-10
Nov-10
Jun-11
Jan-12
Aug-12
Mar-13
Oct-13
May-14
Dec-14
Turkey
World
Developing Countries
Developed Countries
Source: IMF, TURKSTAT
51. 5252
Turkey’s Rank According to Inflation Figures
The total number of countries is 188 as of 2014. The ranking is in descending order.
5
7
6
10
3
7
9
36
48
29
64
61
40
61
31
50
27
25
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: IMF
57. 585858
3.8
2.9
7.2
9.7
3.5
4.5
0
4
8
12
World Euro Area Developing
Asia
Middle East
and North
Africa
Latin America Turkey
Export Performance
(Average Annual Growth Rate, 2005-2014)
Source: TURKSTAT, IMF World Economic Outlook October 2015
63. 646464
Trend line: Moving Average
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Ireland
Norway
CzechRepublic
Russia
Netherlands
Germany
Switzerland
SlovakRepublic
Hungary
Slovenia
Belgium
Denmark
Italy
Sweden
Poland
Finland
Austria
Iceland
Spain
Japan
France
Romania
UnitedStates
Lithuania
UnitedKingdom
Portugal
Estonia
Latvia
Bulgaria
Turkey
Luxembourg
Greece
Morocco
Cyprus
Malta
Foreign Trade (% of GDP, 2014)
Source: WTO, IMF World Economic Outlook October 2015
65. 666666
Trend line: Moving Average
-10
-5
0
5
10
15 Netherlands
Norway
Germany
Switzerland
Slovenia
Denmark
Sweden
Luxembourg
Hungary
Ireland
Iceland
Malta
Russia
Italy
Belgium
Greece
Spain
Austria
CzechRepublic
Portugal
Japan
Lithuania
Estonia
SlovakRepublic
Bulgaria
Romania
France
Poland
Finland
UnitedStates
Latvia
Cyprus
Morocco
Turkey
UnitedKingdom
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook October 2015
Current Account Balance (% of GDP, 2014)
68. 696969
-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Short-Term Capital
Long-Term Capital
Direct Investments (Net)
Portfolio Investments
Capital Inflows (Billion USD)
69
Source: CBRT
69. 707070
Central Bank’s Gross FX Reserves (Billion USD)
(*) As of February 19, 2016.
Source: CBRT
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
J02
A
J
O
J03
A
J
O
J04
A
J
O
J05
A
J
O
J06
A
J
O
J07
A
J
O
J08
A
J
O
J09
A
J
O
J10
A
J
O
J11
A
J
O
J12
A
J
O
J-13
N
T
O
J-14
A
J
O
J-15
A
J
O
J-16
$92.9 billion*
76. 777777
General Government Deficit (% of GDP, 2013)
Source: Eurostat
-0.2
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Ireland
Greece
UK
Portugal
Spain
Latvia
Poland
Slovakia
Lithuania
France
Romania
Slovenia
S.Cyprus
Netherlands
CzechRep.
Italy
Austria
Germany
Hungary
Croatia
Belgium
Malta
Bulgaria
Turkey
Denmark
Finland
Luxembourg
Estonia
Sweden
Maastricht criterion: 3 %
80. 818181
Medium Term Program (% GDP)
Source: Ministry of Development, Revised Medium Term Program 2016-2018, January 2016
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Government Budget Balance -1.2 -1.3 -1.0 -0.8
Central Government Revenues 24.6 24.5 23.9 23.3
Central Government Expeditures 25.8 25.9 24.9 24.2
Central Government Primary Balance (IMF Definition) 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.0
Central Government Revenues (IMF Definition) 23.5 23.4 23.0 22.9
Central Government Primary Expenditures (IMF
Definition)
23.1 23.3 22.5 21.9
Rest Of Public Primary Balance (IMF Definition) 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3
Total Public Sector Primary Balance (IMF Definition) 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.3
84. 858585
EU Defined Debt Stock (% of GDP)
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Euro area (17 countries) 78.6 84.0 86.2 89.6 91.4 92.4
European Union (27 coun 73.1 78.5 81.1 83.8 85.5 86.8
Greece 126.7 146.2 172.0 159.4 177.0 178.6
Italy 112.5 115.3 116.4 123.2 128.8 132.3
Portugal 83.6 96.2 111.4 126.2 129.0 130.2
Belgium 99.5 99.6 102.2 104.1 105.1 106.7
Spain 52.7 60.1 69.5 85.4 93.7 99.3
France 79.0 81.7 85.2 89.6 92.3 95.6
United Kingdom 65.7 76.6 81.8 85.3 86.2 88.2
Austria 79.7 82.4 82.2 81.6 80.8 84.2
Hungary 78.0 80.6 80.8 78.3 76.8 76.2
Germany 72.5 81.0 78.4 79.7 77.4 74.9
Netherlands 56.5 59.0 61.7 66.4 67.9 68.2
Türkiye 46.0 42.3 39.1 36.2 36.1 33.5
Source: Eurostat, (Updated: 08-02-2016 ); Undersecretariat of Treasury, (As of December 31, 2015)
85. 868686
EU – Defined Debt Stock Targets
(% of GDP)
32.6
31.7
30.5
29.5
28
30
32
34
36
2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: Ministry of Development, Medium Term Economic Programme 2016-2018, January 2016
93. 949494
Sensitivity of General Government Debt to Shocks
2001 2014
Change in real exchange rate app/dep
by 5 percentage points
+ / - 2.2 points + / - 0.6 points
Change in TL interest rate by*
10 percent + / - 2.1 points + / - 0.2 points
25 percent + / - 5.2 points + / - 0.5 points
Change in GDP growth rate by
2 percentage points
+ / - 1.6 points + / - 0.7 points
Change in Primary Surplus/GDP ratio
by 1 percentage point
+ / - 1.0 points + / - 1.0 points
(*) Reflects percent change in TL interest rate in succeeding years.
Note: The effects of scenarios on “General Government Debt Stock/GDP” ratio (as defined by ESA standards)
measured by deviations from baseline scenarios based on end-2001 and end-2014 stock realizations.
Source: Undersecretariat of Treasury
100. 101101101
TRY Denominated Zero Coupon Borrowing Rates
(Comp. Ann., %)
Source: Undersecretariat ofTreasury
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
J
02
M S J
03
M S J
04
M S J
05
M S J
06
M S J
07
M S J
08
M S J
09
M S J
10
M S J
11
M S J
12
M S J
13
M S J
14
M S J
15
M S J
Monthly Average Yearly Cumulative
101. 102102102
Real Interest Rates (Comp. Ann., %)
Note: - The real interest rates are calculated by using 12 months ahead CPI rates. Calculations are based on zero coupon Treasury auction results and
Survey of Expectations of CBRT.
- Before 2013, the calculations are only based on zero coupon bonds however, as of 2013 they’re based on zero coupon bonds and 2-year fixed coupon
bonds together.
Source: CBRT, Undersecretariat of Treasury
105. Treasury Guaranteed Debt Stock
Source: Treasury
Million USD 2015 Q3
PUBLIC 6,530
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT 300
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS 838
PUBLIC BANKS 4,503
SOEs 888
PRIVATE 4,523
BANKS 4,523
GENERAL TOTAL 11,052
106
106. 107
The Ratio of Undertaken Treasury Guarantees to Total
Guaranteed Payments (%)
* Annualized as of January 2016
Source: Treasury
2,92,93,4
51,9
27,3
18,1 16,7
19,7
24,7
16,4
22,1
8,2
3,9
6,4
5,4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
January*
118. 119119119
Banking Sector: Capital Adequacy Ratio in Selected
Emerging Markets (%, 2015Q3*)
Source: IMF-FSI, BRSA
* Quarter-end figures or latest available.
20.2
18.1
17.4 17.2
16.7 16.5
15.5 15.5 15.3 15.3 15.2
14.2
13.0 13.0 13.0 12.9
6.00
10.00
14.00
18.00
22.00
Indonesia
Romania
Colombia
Hungary
CzechRep.
Thailand
Brazil
Malaysia
Mexico
Poland
Turkey
Korea
Chile
China
Russia
India
126. 127127127
Total Housing Loans (% of GDP)
Source: FED, ECB, Eurostat, Bank of England, UK National Statistics, CBRT, TURKSTAT, BRSA, HDAT
(*) Total housing loans for 2010 comprises of housing credits extended by banks and consumer finance companies as well as
Household liabilities to HDAT due to HDAT’s housing sales with long term maturity.
83.6
71.8
40.7
6.2
0.2
60.3
52.1
29.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
UK US Euro Zone Turkey*
2001 2010
133. 134134134
Credit Rating
Standard & Poor’s Credit Rating
Source: Bloomberg
Jan-04
Apr-04
Jul-04
Oct-04
Jan-05
Apr-05
Jul-05
Oct-05
Jan-06
Apr-06
Jul-06
Oct-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
Jan-14
Apr-14
Jul-14
Oct-14
Jan-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Jan-16
N
S
P
BB-
N
S
P
B
N
S
P
B-
N
S
P
BB
N
S
P
BB+
N
S
P
B+
134. 135135135
Rating Map (as of February 29, 2016)
A2 Botswana, Poland, Slovakia A Trianidad & Tobago, Slovenia A Malta, Ireland
A3 Malta, Mexico, Peru, Lithuania, Latvia A- Botswana, Lithuania, Latvia, Saudi Arabia A- Poland, Latvia, Lithuania
Baa1 Thailand, Mauritius, Ireland BBB+ Thailand, Malta, Poland BBB+ Thailand, Italy, Mexico, Slovenia,
Peru, Mexico, Spain, Iceland Peru, Spain, Iceland
Baa2 Kazakhstan, Bulgari, Italy, Iceland BBB Panama BBB Kazakhstan,
Panama, Spain, Uruguay, Colombia, Bahamas Colombia, Philippines, Uruguay Panama
South Africa, Philippines, Trianidad & Tobago, Iceland Colombia
Baa3 Turkey (negative), Namibia, India, Romania, BBB- Morocco, India, Kazakhstan BBB- Turkey (stable), Morocco, Namibia, India,
Indonesia, Slovenia, Bahrain Romania, South Africa Romania, Indonesia, Bulgaria
Italy, Bahamas Uruguay, Philippines, Russia, Bahrain, South Africa
Ba1 Morocco, Albania, Hungary, Costa Rica BB+ Turkey (negative), Indonesia BB+ Costa Rica, Brazil
Guatemala, Croatia, Portugal, Russia, Paraguay Bulgaria, Russia, Hungary Hungary, Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan Portugal, Azerbaijan
Ba2 El Salvador, Angola, Brazil BB Guatemala BB Guatemala, Croatia, Bolivia
Crotia, Bahrain, Brazil
Ba3 Bangladesh, Georgia, Montenegro, BB- Bangladesh, Georgia, Vietnam, El Salvador, BB- Sri Lanka, Georgia, Suriname,
Bolivia, Suriname, Tunisia Paraguay, Suriname, Bolivia, Montenegro, Jordan El Salvador, Tunisia, Vietnam, Bangladesh
Costa Rica
B1 Senegal, Sri Lanka, Jordan, B+ Senegal, Sri Lanka, Fiji B+ Angola
Dominican Republic, Fiji, Papua New Guinea, Papua New Guinea
St Vincent/Grenadine, Vietnam Honduras, Albania
B2 Cambodia, Mongolia, Lebanon, Nicaragua B Bosnia Herzegovina, Cambodia, Jamaica B Lebanon, Ecuador, Egypt, Mongolia, Jamaica
Tunisia, Barbados, Ecuador, Mongolia, Angola
B3 Moldova, Barbados, Egypt, Pakistan B- Pakistan, Belarus, Lebanon, Belize B-
Bosnia Herzegovina, Honduras, Ecuador Egypt, Ukraine, Greece
Caa1 Argentina, Belarus CCC+ CCC+
Caa2 Belize, Cuba, Greece, Jamaica CCC Venezuela CCC Venezuela, Greece, Ukraine
Caa3 Venezuela, Greece, Ukraine CCC- CCC-
Ca CC CC
C C C
SD Argentina DDD
D/RD Argentina
Source: Bloomberg
Moody's Standard & Poor's Fitch
135. 136136136
EMBI+ Index: Comparison with Other Countries
Change (bp) (02.01.2008 – 29.02.2016)
Source: Bloomberg
2379
627
279
190
163
161
104
100
77
38
-88
-300 0 300 600 900 1200 1500 1800 2100 2400 2700 3000 3300
Venezuela
Ukraine
Brazil
EMBI+
S. Africa
Colombia
Mexico
Russia
Turkey
Argentina
Phillipines
136. 137137137
Equity Markets (Emerging and Mature Markets)
% Change (02.01.2008 – 29.02.2016)
Source: Bloomberg
51.5
36.9
27.6
18.2
15.3
12.4
3.4
-9.6
-17.9
-33.8
-49
-52.6
-66.9
68.9
-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80
S. Africa
Mexico
Turkey
USA (DJI)
Russia
Malaysia
India
S. Korea
Hungary
Poland
Brazil
China
Japan
Chech Rep.
137. 138138138
Currency Markets (Against USD)
% Change (02.01.2008 – 29.02.2016)
Source: Bloomberg
-210.7
-153.3
-135.5
-125.8
-73.7
-67.1
-65.4
-62.9
-38.3
-34.9
-32.0
-26.9
-3.0
10.1
-240 -220 -200 -180 -160 -140 -120 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20
Russia
Turkey
S. Africa
Brazil
India
Mexico
Hungary
Poland
Czech Rep.
Euro
S. Korea
Malaysia
Japan
China
139. 140140140
Starting a Business (Number of Procedures)
Source: World Bank Doing Business Report, 2014
13
13
12
9
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
0 4 8 12 16 20
China
Brazil
India
Czech Rep.
Mexico
Croatia
Turkey
Europe&Central Asia
South Africa
OECD
Poland
Hungary
Bulgaria
Thailand
140. 141141141
Starting a Business (Duration, Days)
33
30
27.5
27
19.5
19
18
15
12.8
11.1
8
6
6
5
0 10 20 30 40 50
China
Poland
Thailand
India
Czech Republic
South Africa
Bulgaria
Russia
Europe& Central Asia
OECD
Croatia
Mexico
Turkey
Hungary
Source: World Bank Doing Business Report, 2014
141. 142142142
Starting a Business (Cost, % of GDP Per Capita)
Source: World Bank Doing Business Report, 2014
1
1.3
2
3.6
4.6
6.7
6.7
8.2
8.6
9.3
12.7
14.3
19.7
0 5 10 15 20 25
Bulgaria
Russia
China
OECD
Brazil
Thailand
Europe&Central Asia
Czech Rep.
Hungary
Croatia
Turkey
Poland
Mexico
142. 143143143
Taxes on Income and Profit (% of GDP, 2012)
Source: OECD Factbook 2014
(*) 2011 Data
6.0
11.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Mexico
SlovakRepublic
Turkey
Poland*
Hungary
Estonia
Slovenia
CzechRepublic
Korea
Chile
Greece
Portugal
Japan
Israel
Spain
Netherlands*
France
Germany
OECD*
UnitedStates
Ireland
UnitedKingdom
Austria
Switzerland
Luxembourg
Canada
Italy
Finland
Sweden
Australia*
Belgium
Iceland
NewZealand
Norway
Denmark
143. 144144144
Tax Revenue Comparisons (% of GDP, 2011)
(*) Includes Mexico, Korea, Czech Rep., Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Rep. and Spain.
Source: OECD, Factbook 2014
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Total Tax Revenue Income Taxes Taxes on Goods and
Services
Turkey OECD Comparative Group*
146. 147147147
For 1 Chapter
1- Science and Research
For 12 Chapters
For 2 Chapters
1- Education and Culture,
2- Economic and Monetary Policy
For 8 Chapters
Remaining chapters
EU Accession Process
Negotiations were opened and
provisionally closed
Negotiations were opened
provisionally but closing
benchmarks
Submission of our Position Papers
Opening benchmarks
Awaiting for the screening reports
I. Screening process: 3 October 2005 - 13 October 2006
II. Accession Talks :
1- Enterprise and Industrial Policy,2- Statistics,
3- Financial Control, 4- Consumer and Health Protection,
5- Trans-European Networks, 6- Company Law (fulfillment of opening benchmarks),
7-Intellectual Property Law (fulfillment of opening benchmarks)
8- Free Movement of Capital 9- Information Society & Media
10-Taxation, 11- Environment, 12- Food Safety, Veterinary & Phytosanitary Policy
148. 149149149
Social Security Reform
Uniform norm and standards for workers. civil servants and the self
employed
Gradual increase in retirement age to 65
Decrease in accrual rate to 2 %.
The valorization of past earnings by CPI+30 % of GDP real growth
Indexation of pensions to CPI
Universal health insurance
A new health scheme for the poor as of 2012
Introduction of copayments for health care
Global budget in some health expenditures
Main Features
149. 150150150
Decrease in Pension System Deficits
(2007-2075,% of GDP)
Source: World Bank, 2007
Before the Reform
After the Reform
151. 152152
Retirement Age for Men (2010)
44.9
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70 Turkey
Greece
Italy
Hungary
Korea
Luxembourg
France
CzechRep.
SlovakRep.
Estonia
Slovenia
OECD
Japan
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Chile
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Ireland
Mexico
Netherlands
NewZealand
Poland
Portugal
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
UnitedKingdom
UnitedStates
Iceland
Israel
Norway
Source: OECD, Pensions at a Glance, 2012
153. 154154
Life Expectancy After Pensionable Age for Men (2010)
30.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35 Poland
Estonia
Slovakia
Norway
Denmark
Israel
USA
Hungary
Iceland
Portugal
Belgium
Mexico
Chile
Netherlands
Slovenia
Finland
Germany
Ireland
Austria
UK
Czechrep.
Spain
Swedish
newZealand
Canada
OECDAvg.
Switzerland
Australia
Japan
Korea
Luxembourg
France
Italy
Greece
Turkey
Source: OECD, Pensions at a Glance, 2012
154. 155155
Life Expectancy After Pensionable Age for Women (2010)
37.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40 Mexico
Iceland
Norway
Denmark
USA
Portugal
Germany
Ireland
Netherlands
Belgium
NewZealand
Swedish
Finland
Canada
Spain
Estonia
Hungary
Australia
OECDAvg.
Poland
Israel
Swiss
Slovenia
Czechrep.
Slovakia
UK
Chile
Luxembourg
Austria
Korea
France
Japan
Italy
Greece
Turkey
Source: OECD, Pensions at a Glance, 2012
156. 157157157
Labor Market Reform
Reduction of labor cost
5 points of social security premium is covered by state.
Benefiting of 5 points of social security premium incentive, simultaneously with other employment incentives is
enabled.
Employer contribution of newly employed young and female workers is covered by Unemployment Insurance
Fund.
The employers’ share of social security premium for disabled workers is covered from the budget.
The application area of short-term payment is extended to sectoral and regional crises together with general
economic crises.
Daily short time working allowance that was 40% of daily average gross income is increased to 60%.
Active labor market programs
The budget allocation for active labor market program is increased by four times and raised to 1.5 billion TL per
year. (In previous implementation it was 30% of state contribution now it is 30% of total premium income)
Elimination of non-financial burdens:
Obligation of ex-convicts employment is abolished.
Sports facility, kindergarden, health and security unit’s requirements regulated in the Labor Law are alleviated.
Increasing Flexibility of Labor Market
Part-time workers will be eligible for retirement benefits by indebting their remaining hours from regular working
hours.
Part-time workers are covered by Unemployment Insurance Fund as regular workers.
157. 158158158Source: OECD Taxing Wages, 2013
Not: UR-07 is the level of tax wedge for Turkey in 2007
42.7
38.2
35.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60 Belgium
France
Germany
Hungary
Austria
Italy
Sweden
TUR-07
Finland
CzechRepublic
Greece
EU-21
Spain
SlovakRepublic
Netherlands
Denmark
Turkey
Norway
Portugal
Luxembourg
OECD-Average
Poland
Iceland
UnitedKingdom
Japan
Canada
UnitedStates
Australia
Ireland
Switzerland
Korea
Mexico
NewZealand
Tax Wedge After Reform
(Single person at 100% of average earnings, no child, 2012)
158. 159159159
(*) Single without children at the income level of average worker
Source: OECD Taxing Wages 2013
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0
N.Zealand
Mexico
Korea
Sw itzerla
Ireland
Australia
USA
Canada
Japan
UK
Iceland
Poland
OECD
Luxembo
Portugal
Norw ay
Turkey
Netherlan
Denmark
Spain
Greece
Czech
Finland
Sw eden
Italy
Austria
Hungary
Germany
France
Belgium
Income Tax Employee's SSC Employer's SSC
Income Tax Plus Employee’s and Employer’s Social
Security Contributions* (% of labor costs, 2012)
159. 160
Number of Insured Employees (Million Persons)
Source: Social Security Instutions, Montly Statistical Bulletin January 2015
160. 161
Social Security Coverage (Million Persons)
(Employees and Dependents)
Source: Social Security Instutions, Monthly Statistical Bulletin January 2015
162. 163163163
Source: stats.oecd.org
Agriculture Industry Services
Turkey 25.5 26.5 48.1
Mexico 13.4 24.4 62.2
Poland 13.1 30.7 56.2
Korea 6.4 24.8 68.9
Hungary 4.9 30.9 64.2
Spain 4.2 21.9 73.9
Italy 3.7 28.8 67.5
Japan 3.5 24.8 71.7
Czech Rep. 3.0 38.5 58.5
Canada 2.1 19.8 78.1
UK 1.2 19.1 79.7
Distribution of Employment by Economic Activity, 2011 (%)
163. 164164164
Restrictiveness of Protection Legislation on Temporary
Employment (Index Scale of 0-6 from Least to Most Restrictive)
4.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Canada
USA
UK
SlovakRep.
Ireland
Australia
Switzerland
CzechRep.
Hungary
Netherlands
Japan
N.Zeland
Denmark
Austria
Sweden
Korea
Germany
Spain
Poland
EU-19
Finland
Italy
Belgium
Portugal
Norvey
Greece
France
Mexico
Luxembourg
Turkey
1998 2008
OECD Avg. 1.77
Source: OECD Labour Force Statistics Database, 2010
164. 165165
Part-time Employment (%, 2011)
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
CzechRep.
SlovakRep.
Hungary
Belgium
Poland
Slovenia
Estonia
Greece
Portugal
Turkey
USA
Finland
Spain
Korea
France
Israel
Sweden
Luxembourg
OECD
Italy
Iceland
Chile
Mexico
Austria
Denmark
Canada
Norway
Japan
NewZealand
Germany
UK
Australia
Part-time Employment as a Proportion of Total Employment Women's Share in Part-time Employment
Source: OECD, Labor Force Statistics Database
165. 166166166
Severance Payments Burden (2010)
(As weeks of Payment for 20 Years Work)
87
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
USA
Poland
Bulgaria
Romania
Russia
Ireland
UK
CzechRep.
Canada
Hungary
France
Greece
Brazil
Germany
Spain
Portugal
Turkey
Source: World Bank, Doing Business in 2011
167. 168168168
In 2002, 3 billion dollars.
In 2012, 12.7 billion dollars.
R&D expenditures increased by 320.6 % between 2002
and 2012
Turkey: R&D Expenditures (Current PPP, USD)
Source: OECD, Main Science and Technology Indicators
170. 171171171
In 2002, 28,964 people.
In 2012, 105,122 people.
Number of R&D personnel increased by 262 %
between 2002-2012
Turkey: Number of FTE* R&D Personnel
(*) Full Time Equivalent
Source: TURKSTAT
172. 173173173
In 2002, 23,995 people.
In 2012, 82,122 people.
Number of researchers increased by 242 % between
2002-2012
Turkey: Number of FTE Researchers
(*) Full Time Equivalent
Source: TURKSTAT
174. 175175175
In 2002, 8,975 publications.
In 2012, 25,018 publications.
Number of scientific publications increased by 179 %
between 2002 and 2012
Turkey: Number of Scientific Publications
Source: TUBİTAK
176. 177177177
Number of Scientific Publications per Million People
Source: TUBITAK
331
319313
301
274
257
219
208
197
159
136
100
150
200
250
300
350
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
177. 178178178
In 2002, 85 international patent applications.
In 2012, 535 international patent applications.
Number of international patent applications increased by
529 % between 2002-2012.
Turkey: Number of International Patent Applications
Source: WIPO, World Intellectual Property Indicators Report