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HelmsBriscoeMeeting Industry Trends2011 September 10, 2010
Agenda ,[object Object]
Market Conditions
Key Meeting Industry Trends
Q&A,[object Object]
Cancun Production
% Revenue Per City
Destination Partner Cancun is a Preferred Partner with HelmsBriscoe As of July, 2010 – December, 2011 Unique access to associates Exposure via marketing, events & education Host of “MOMs” conference November, 2010 HBs ABC in January, 2011 January 5-7, 2011 - Gaylord National
Market Conditions
Contrary to popular belief,  the global economy is in recovery
GDP has rebounded around the world Global GDP Change Source:  Oxford Economics
Global Private Consumption Change Source:  Oxford Economics And consumers are buying more
Total retail spending now at pre-recession levels, except in Japan and the US. Retail Spending Monthly--Last Six Months—Indexed to 2007 2007 Level Source:  Oxford Economics
Business confidence continues to rise while its rate of growth has slowed considerably Business Confidence Last Six Months—Year-Over-Year Change Source:  Oxford Economics
Hotel performance is on the rise & increasing occupancy is driving recovery Global Industry RevPAR Change Constant USD—Year-Over-Year Change Source: STR Global; Smith Travel Research
But…overall occupancy is still well below pre-recession levels  Occupancy By Region July YTD—Last Four Years (2007 – 2010) Source:  STR Global, Smith Travel Research
Most key countries have increasing occupancy, but most well below 2007  Occupancy By Selected Countries July YTD—Last Four Years (2007 – 2010) Source:  STR Global, Smith Travel Research
Last year’s US occupancy was the lowest since the early 1970s US Occupancy July YTD Source: PWC; Smith Travel Research
The US has sold about the same number of rooms as it did prior to the recession US Industry Rooms Sold Last Three Months Ending July YTD Source: STR Global
After declining for a record 17-monthsaverage rates are beginning to rise Global Industry Average Rate Change Constant USD Source: STR Global
Average rates are still depressed in most countries Average Rate By Selected Countries July YTD—Last Four Years (2007 – 2010) Source:  STR Global, Smith Travel Research
Over the last three months, nearly all segments posted gains in average rate  Global Industry Performance By Industry Segments  Last Three Months Ending July 2010 Source: Smith Travel Research
Occupancy has been strong across most segments, especially over the past three months Global Industry Occupancy By Industry Segments  Last Three Months Ending July 2010 Source: Smith Travel Research
The growth in demand is the result of increasing transient and group business US Upper Tier Demand Change By Consumer Segment 28-Day Moving Average Source: Smith Travel Research
Average rate is now rising for both group and transient US Upper Tier Average Rate Change By Consumer Segment 28-Day Moving Average Source: Smith Travel Research
The last three months have seen many key cities at near sell-out levels Occupancy By Selected Markets Last Three Months Ending July 2010 Source: Smith Travel Research
In the last three months, nearly all key cities had an increase in ADR Average Rate Change By Selected Markets Last Three Months Ending July 2010 Source: Smith Travel Research
Outlook
The road ahead is  still likely  to be rough
Global and US leading indicators have flattened or declined - soft patch ahead Economic Leading Indicators Source: Global data from Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD); US data from Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI)
Not surprisingly, travel intentions also appear to be slowing US Travel Intentions Diffusion Index, 4-Week Moving Average Source: US Travel Association
Economic growth is expected to strengthen in 2011 and 2012 GDP Change Annual Percentage Change Source: Oxford Economics
Summary ,[object Object]
ADR is beginning to recover
Continued volatility of airline industry
A more difficult second half of the year may be in store
A 1 in 4 chance of a US double-dip recession
Odds are greater for another European recession
Solid overall long-term economic and industry recoveryStronger 2011 Much stronger 2012
Key Meeting Industry Trends
General Industry Trends ,[object Object]
Shorter booking windows

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