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Alex Sutcliffe 01448486
Hormel Food Corporations Executive Summary
A comparison of Hormel’s stock returns to those of the S&P 500 index and a
financial analysis of the company itself reveal Hormel has performed consistently
well for its shareholders over the past several years. In January of 2010, Hormel was
trading close to $17. Within the past several months Hormel has approached share
prices of $60. No doubt, Hormel’s increasing market value is a reflection of a healthy
and competitive company.
Hormel share fluctuation has corresponded modestly with the S&P 500 (as shown in
graph); both have seen consistent growth in share price since January of 2010
without any sharp drops. Hormel’s share prices have experienced more volatility
than those of S&P 500, which is not surprising considering the S&P 500 has very
little unsystematic risk. The volatility in Hormel’s stock price has favored its
investors rather than hurt them. A choice of investing Hormel in 2010 would be
substantially more profitable than the less risky index.
Hormel’s returns for the past five years measured against those of the S&P 500 (a
rough approximation of the market portfolio) yield a Beta of approximately .66.
Examining the graph of returns, it is evident that while Hormel generally performs
similarly to the “market”, there are some dozen periods of time in which Hormel’s
share price behaves very differently than the S&P. Judging from the graph these
instances of idiosyncratic risk, ostensibly unrelated to factors affecting the “market”,
account for the .66 Beta calculated. Hormel has a substantial amount of
nonsystematic risk, whereas the S&P has very little due to diversification among
many firms. Alternatively Yahoo Finance calculates Hormel’s Beta at .94. This
difference is likely due to a much shorter time period (probably 52 weeks) Yahoo
used for its particular calculation. Also, Yahoo may have used several large indexes
in estimating Hormel’s systematic risk.
Financial Analysis
Hormel’s fast increasing share price is evidence investors see the firm’s profitability
growing substantially, and while Hormel has performed well, the share price may
seem overstated when examining key financial statistics. Notably, Hormel’s liquidity
has dropped substantially. The amount of cash and equivalents Hormel reported in
2014 covered 30% of its current liabilities. Two years prior, cash was 90% of
current liabilities. Perhaps of more importance, over a two-year period, Hormel
return on equity decreased slightly. While these ratios don’t predict the decline of
Hormel, they certainly do not explain the continued growth in share price. Hormel
has, however, maintained a high equity to debt ratio. Hormel has consistently
financed its operations 2:1 equity to debt financing. Perhaps Hormel used a large
amount of liquid assets in capital investments in order to maintain its low leverage.
The amount Hormel has spent on investments in the form of Goodwill has been
substantial in the past two years. Perhaps they have acquired a company or well-
known brand that has excited investors.
Date Return)S&P Return)Hormel S&P Hormel
7/1/15 2103.84009 59.209999
6/1/15 0.01974203 0.054939621 2063.11011 56.126434
5/1/15 =0.0210117 =0.014855045 2107.38989 56.972767
4/1/15 0.01049138 0.052805995 2085.51001 54.115162
3/2/15 0.00852082 =0.039809351 2067.88989 56.358768
2/2/15 =0.0173961 =0.028371232 2104.5 58.004425
1/2/15 0.05489251 0.142327231 1994.98999 50.777416
12/1/14 =0.0310408 =0.01200829 2058.8999 51.394577
11/3/14 =0.0041886 =0.018462716 2067.56006 52.361309
10/1/14 0.02453359 =0.015395994 2018.05005 53.180069
9/2/14 0.02320146 0.053179829 1972.29004 50.494766
8/1/14 =0.0155138 0.014009481 2003.37 49.797134
7/1/14 0.0376553 0.119752606 1930.67004 44.47155
6/2/14 =0.0150798 =0.079052081 1960.22998 48.288887
5/1/14 0.01905833 0.002844955 1923.56995 48.151897
4/1/14 0.02103028 0.03187257 1883.94995 46.664577
3/3/14 0.00620079 =0.027961671 1872.33997 48.006931
2/3/14 0.00693217 0.03835614 1859.44995 46.233589
1/2/14 0.04311703 0.04423417 1782.58997 44.275116
12/2/13 =0.0355829 0.01030988 1848.35999 43.823303
11/1/13 0.02356279 0.00333174 1805.81006 43.67778
10/1/13 0.02804947 0.035895116 1756.54004 42.164288
9/3/13 0.04459575 0.0358865 1681.55005 40.703579
8/1/13 0.02974952 0.016654636 1632.96997 40.036781
7/1/13 =0.031298 =0.021723707 1685.72998 40.925842
6/3/13 0.04946208 0.102271538 1606.28003 37.128639
5/1/13 =0.0149993 =0.031140035 1630.73999 38.321987
4/1/13 0.02076281 =0.035134564 1597.56995 39.717442
3/1/13 0.01808577 0.002957729 1569.18994 39.600315
2/1/13 0.03598772 0.104517544 1514.68005 35.853043
1/2/13 0.01106065 0.080901358 1498.10999 33.169579
12/3/12 0.0504281 0.114443737 1426.18994 29.76335
11/1/12 0.00706823 0.006449547 1416.18005 29.57262
10/1/12 0.00284672 0.050118493 1412.16003 28.161222
9/4/12 =0.0197894 0.015053169 1440.67004 27.743593
8/1/12 0.02423615 0.018105808 1406.57996 27.250206
7/2/12 0.01976337 0.02902186 1379.31995 26.481659
6/1/12 0.01259757 =0.077707858 1362.16003 28.712875
5/1/12 0.03955498 0.017051097 1310.32996 28.231497
4/2/12 =0.0626507 0.029249929 1397.91003 27.429195
3/1/12 =0.0074975 =0.01033721 1408.46997 27.715698
2/1/12 0.03133232 0.036880904 1365.68005 26.729876
1/3/12 0.04058946 =0.010771318 1312.41003 27.020927
12/1/11 0.04358306 =0.012347174 1257.59998 27.35873
11/1/11 0.00853276 =0.027233465 1246.95996 28.124662
10/3/11 =0.0050587 0.021717006 1253.30005 27.526861
9/1/11 0.10772304 0.095508817 1131.42004 25.12701
8/1/11 =0.071762 =0.02136902 1218.89002 25.675674
7/1/11 =0.0567911 =0.046945084 1292.28003 26.940393
6/1/11 =0.0214744 =0.024033707 1320.64002 27.603815
5/2/11 =0.0182575 0.016365531 1345.19995 27.159338
4/1/11 =0.013501 =0.002720187 1363.60999 27.233418
3/1/11 0.02849538 0.061195058 1325.82996 25.662971
2/1/11 =0.0010473 0.016058397 1327.21997 25.257378
1/3/11 0.03195656 0.109311706 1286.12 22.768513
12/1/10 0.02264557 =0.03142448 1257.64002 23.507215
11/1/10 0.06530004 0.044417158 1180.55005 22.507496
10/1/10 =0.0022903 0.068815489 1183.26001 21.058355
9/1/10 0.03685599 0.034462728 1141.19995 20.356804
8/2/10 0.0875511 0.033603637 1049.32996 19.694981
7/1/10 =0.0474492 0.005358908 1101.59998 19.59
6/1/10 0.06877785 0.065508252 1030.70996 18.385592
5/3/10 =0.0538824 0.01708549 1089.41003 18.076742
4/1/10 =0.0819758 =0.023552507 1186.68994 18.512764
3/1/10 0.01475923 =0.024872212 1169.43005 18.984962
2/1/10 0.05879643 0.021892441 1104.48999 18.578239
1/4/10 0.02851369 0.062273845 1073.87 17.489124
SD 0.04676542 0.036491119
Correlations 0.51284526
Beta 0.65723998
Hormel Financial Statements
Income Statement
Period Ending 26-Oct-14 27-Oct-13 28-Oct-12
Total Revenue 9,316,256 8,751,654 8,230,670
Cost of Revenue 7,751,273 7,338,838 6,898,819
Gross Profit 1,564,983 1,412,816 1,331,851
Operating Expenses
Research Development - - -
Selling General and Administrative 650,948 627,340 605,868
Non Recurring - - -
Others - - -
Total Operating Expenses - - -
Operating Income or Loss 931,620 805,989 764,674
Income from Continuing Operations
Total Other Income/Expenses Net 3,236 4,971 6,520
Earnings Before Interest And Taxes 934,856 810,960 771,194
Interest Expense 12,704 12,453 12,859
Income Before Tax 922,152 798,507 758,335
Income Tax Expense 316,126 268,431 253,374
Minority Interest -3,349 -3,865 -4,911
Net Income From Continuing Ops 620,262 546,724 538,741
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations - - -
Extraordinary Items - - -
Effect Of Accounting Changes - - -
Other Items - - -
Net Income 602,677 526,211 500,050
Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments - - -
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares 602,677 526,211 500,050
Balance Sheet
Period Ending 26-Oct-14 27-Oct-13 28-Oct-12
Assets
Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 334,174 434,014 682,388
Short Term Investments - - 77,387
Net Receivables 722,057 625,043 592,061
Inventory 1,054,552 967,977 950,521
Other Current Assets 21,988 20,379 18,327
Total Current Assets 2132771 2047413 2,320,684
Long Term Investments 264,451 270,609 286,537
Property Plant and Equipment 1,001,767 955,333 924,480
Goodwill 1,226,406 934,472 630,875
Intangible Assets 554890 378093 123,072
Accumulated Amortization - - -
Other Assets 275,334 304,874 134,073
Deferred Long Term Asset Charges - 25,086 144,245
Total Assets 5455619 4915880 4,563,966
Liabilities
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 954,692 784,009 786,300
Short/Current Long Term Debt - - -
Other Current Liabilities - - -
Total Current Liabilities 954,692 784,009 786,300
Long Term Debt 250,000 250,000 250,000
Other Liabilities 614869 565292 702,741
Deferred Long Term Liability Charges 24,002 - -
Minority Interest 6,378 5,539 5,470
Negative Goodwill - - -
Total Liabilities 1849941 1604840 1,744,511
Stockholders' Equity
Misc Stocks Options Warrants - - -
Redeemable Preferred Stock - - -
Preferred Stock - - -
Common Stock 7,724 7,725 7,707
Retained Earnings 3,805,654 3,452,529 3,135,317
Treasury Stock - - -
Capital Surplus - - -
Other Stockholder Equity -207,700 -149,214 -323,569
Total Stockholder Equity 3,605,678 3,311,040 2,819,455
Net Tangible Assets 1,824,382 1,998,475 2,065,508
Dupont and Liquidity Analysis
Return on
Equity (ROE)
Net Profit
Margin
(NPM)
Asset
Turnover
(ATO)
Equity
Multiplier
(EM)
NI/Equity NI/Sales Sales/Assets Assets/Equity
28-Oct-12 0.177 0.061 1.803 1.619
27-Oct-13 0.159 0.06 1.78 1.485
26-Oct-14 0.167 0.065 1.708 1.513
Current Ratio Quick Ratio Cash Ratio
CA/CL (CA-Inv)/CL Cash/CL
28-Oct-12 2.951 1.743 0.868
27-Oct-13 2.611 1.377 0.554
26-Oct-14 2.234 1.129 0.35
Final Project Finance Fall 2015

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Final Project Finance Fall 2015

  • 1. Alex Sutcliffe 01448486 Hormel Food Corporations Executive Summary A comparison of Hormel’s stock returns to those of the S&P 500 index and a financial analysis of the company itself reveal Hormel has performed consistently well for its shareholders over the past several years. In January of 2010, Hormel was trading close to $17. Within the past several months Hormel has approached share prices of $60. No doubt, Hormel’s increasing market value is a reflection of a healthy and competitive company. Hormel share fluctuation has corresponded modestly with the S&P 500 (as shown in graph); both have seen consistent growth in share price since January of 2010 without any sharp drops. Hormel’s share prices have experienced more volatility than those of S&P 500, which is not surprising considering the S&P 500 has very little unsystematic risk. The volatility in Hormel’s stock price has favored its investors rather than hurt them. A choice of investing Hormel in 2010 would be substantially more profitable than the less risky index. Hormel’s returns for the past five years measured against those of the S&P 500 (a rough approximation of the market portfolio) yield a Beta of approximately .66. Examining the graph of returns, it is evident that while Hormel generally performs similarly to the “market”, there are some dozen periods of time in which Hormel’s share price behaves very differently than the S&P. Judging from the graph these instances of idiosyncratic risk, ostensibly unrelated to factors affecting the “market”, account for the .66 Beta calculated. Hormel has a substantial amount of nonsystematic risk, whereas the S&P has very little due to diversification among many firms. Alternatively Yahoo Finance calculates Hormel’s Beta at .94. This difference is likely due to a much shorter time period (probably 52 weeks) Yahoo used for its particular calculation. Also, Yahoo may have used several large indexes in estimating Hormel’s systematic risk. Financial Analysis Hormel’s fast increasing share price is evidence investors see the firm’s profitability growing substantially, and while Hormel has performed well, the share price may seem overstated when examining key financial statistics. Notably, Hormel’s liquidity has dropped substantially. The amount of cash and equivalents Hormel reported in 2014 covered 30% of its current liabilities. Two years prior, cash was 90% of current liabilities. Perhaps of more importance, over a two-year period, Hormel return on equity decreased slightly. While these ratios don’t predict the decline of Hormel, they certainly do not explain the continued growth in share price. Hormel has, however, maintained a high equity to debt ratio. Hormel has consistently financed its operations 2:1 equity to debt financing. Perhaps Hormel used a large amount of liquid assets in capital investments in order to maintain its low leverage. The amount Hormel has spent on investments in the form of Goodwill has been substantial in the past two years. Perhaps they have acquired a company or well- known brand that has excited investors.
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Date Return)S&P Return)Hormel S&P Hormel 7/1/15 2103.84009 59.209999 6/1/15 0.01974203 0.054939621 2063.11011 56.126434 5/1/15 =0.0210117 =0.014855045 2107.38989 56.972767 4/1/15 0.01049138 0.052805995 2085.51001 54.115162 3/2/15 0.00852082 =0.039809351 2067.88989 56.358768 2/2/15 =0.0173961 =0.028371232 2104.5 58.004425 1/2/15 0.05489251 0.142327231 1994.98999 50.777416 12/1/14 =0.0310408 =0.01200829 2058.8999 51.394577 11/3/14 =0.0041886 =0.018462716 2067.56006 52.361309 10/1/14 0.02453359 =0.015395994 2018.05005 53.180069 9/2/14 0.02320146 0.053179829 1972.29004 50.494766 8/1/14 =0.0155138 0.014009481 2003.37 49.797134 7/1/14 0.0376553 0.119752606 1930.67004 44.47155 6/2/14 =0.0150798 =0.079052081 1960.22998 48.288887 5/1/14 0.01905833 0.002844955 1923.56995 48.151897 4/1/14 0.02103028 0.03187257 1883.94995 46.664577 3/3/14 0.00620079 =0.027961671 1872.33997 48.006931 2/3/14 0.00693217 0.03835614 1859.44995 46.233589 1/2/14 0.04311703 0.04423417 1782.58997 44.275116 12/2/13 =0.0355829 0.01030988 1848.35999 43.823303 11/1/13 0.02356279 0.00333174 1805.81006 43.67778 10/1/13 0.02804947 0.035895116 1756.54004 42.164288 9/3/13 0.04459575 0.0358865 1681.55005 40.703579 8/1/13 0.02974952 0.016654636 1632.96997 40.036781 7/1/13 =0.031298 =0.021723707 1685.72998 40.925842 6/3/13 0.04946208 0.102271538 1606.28003 37.128639 5/1/13 =0.0149993 =0.031140035 1630.73999 38.321987 4/1/13 0.02076281 =0.035134564 1597.56995 39.717442 3/1/13 0.01808577 0.002957729 1569.18994 39.600315 2/1/13 0.03598772 0.104517544 1514.68005 35.853043 1/2/13 0.01106065 0.080901358 1498.10999 33.169579 12/3/12 0.0504281 0.114443737 1426.18994 29.76335 11/1/12 0.00706823 0.006449547 1416.18005 29.57262 10/1/12 0.00284672 0.050118493 1412.16003 28.161222 9/4/12 =0.0197894 0.015053169 1440.67004 27.743593 8/1/12 0.02423615 0.018105808 1406.57996 27.250206 7/2/12 0.01976337 0.02902186 1379.31995 26.481659 6/1/12 0.01259757 =0.077707858 1362.16003 28.712875 5/1/12 0.03955498 0.017051097 1310.32996 28.231497 4/2/12 =0.0626507 0.029249929 1397.91003 27.429195 3/1/12 =0.0074975 =0.01033721 1408.46997 27.715698 2/1/12 0.03133232 0.036880904 1365.68005 26.729876
  • 5. 1/3/12 0.04058946 =0.010771318 1312.41003 27.020927 12/1/11 0.04358306 =0.012347174 1257.59998 27.35873 11/1/11 0.00853276 =0.027233465 1246.95996 28.124662 10/3/11 =0.0050587 0.021717006 1253.30005 27.526861 9/1/11 0.10772304 0.095508817 1131.42004 25.12701 8/1/11 =0.071762 =0.02136902 1218.89002 25.675674 7/1/11 =0.0567911 =0.046945084 1292.28003 26.940393 6/1/11 =0.0214744 =0.024033707 1320.64002 27.603815 5/2/11 =0.0182575 0.016365531 1345.19995 27.159338 4/1/11 =0.013501 =0.002720187 1363.60999 27.233418 3/1/11 0.02849538 0.061195058 1325.82996 25.662971 2/1/11 =0.0010473 0.016058397 1327.21997 25.257378 1/3/11 0.03195656 0.109311706 1286.12 22.768513 12/1/10 0.02264557 =0.03142448 1257.64002 23.507215 11/1/10 0.06530004 0.044417158 1180.55005 22.507496 10/1/10 =0.0022903 0.068815489 1183.26001 21.058355 9/1/10 0.03685599 0.034462728 1141.19995 20.356804 8/2/10 0.0875511 0.033603637 1049.32996 19.694981 7/1/10 =0.0474492 0.005358908 1101.59998 19.59 6/1/10 0.06877785 0.065508252 1030.70996 18.385592 5/3/10 =0.0538824 0.01708549 1089.41003 18.076742 4/1/10 =0.0819758 =0.023552507 1186.68994 18.512764 3/1/10 0.01475923 =0.024872212 1169.43005 18.984962 2/1/10 0.05879643 0.021892441 1104.48999 18.578239 1/4/10 0.02851369 0.062273845 1073.87 17.489124 SD 0.04676542 0.036491119 Correlations 0.51284526 Beta 0.65723998
  • 6. Hormel Financial Statements Income Statement Period Ending 26-Oct-14 27-Oct-13 28-Oct-12 Total Revenue 9,316,256 8,751,654 8,230,670 Cost of Revenue 7,751,273 7,338,838 6,898,819 Gross Profit 1,564,983 1,412,816 1,331,851 Operating Expenses Research Development - - - Selling General and Administrative 650,948 627,340 605,868 Non Recurring - - - Others - - - Total Operating Expenses - - - Operating Income or Loss 931,620 805,989 764,674 Income from Continuing Operations Total Other Income/Expenses Net 3,236 4,971 6,520 Earnings Before Interest And Taxes 934,856 810,960 771,194 Interest Expense 12,704 12,453 12,859 Income Before Tax 922,152 798,507 758,335 Income Tax Expense 316,126 268,431 253,374 Minority Interest -3,349 -3,865 -4,911 Net Income From Continuing Ops 620,262 546,724 538,741 Non-recurring Events Discontinued Operations - - - Extraordinary Items - - - Effect Of Accounting Changes - - - Other Items - - - Net Income 602,677 526,211 500,050 Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments - - - Net Income Applicable To Common Shares 602,677 526,211 500,050 Balance Sheet Period Ending 26-Oct-14 27-Oct-13 28-Oct-12 Assets Current Assets Cash And Cash Equivalents 334,174 434,014 682,388 Short Term Investments - - 77,387 Net Receivables 722,057 625,043 592,061 Inventory 1,054,552 967,977 950,521 Other Current Assets 21,988 20,379 18,327 Total Current Assets 2132771 2047413 2,320,684 Long Term Investments 264,451 270,609 286,537
  • 7. Property Plant and Equipment 1,001,767 955,333 924,480 Goodwill 1,226,406 934,472 630,875 Intangible Assets 554890 378093 123,072 Accumulated Amortization - - - Other Assets 275,334 304,874 134,073 Deferred Long Term Asset Charges - 25,086 144,245 Total Assets 5455619 4915880 4,563,966 Liabilities Current Liabilities Accounts Payable 954,692 784,009 786,300 Short/Current Long Term Debt - - - Other Current Liabilities - - - Total Current Liabilities 954,692 784,009 786,300 Long Term Debt 250,000 250,000 250,000 Other Liabilities 614869 565292 702,741 Deferred Long Term Liability Charges 24,002 - - Minority Interest 6,378 5,539 5,470 Negative Goodwill - - - Total Liabilities 1849941 1604840 1,744,511 Stockholders' Equity Misc Stocks Options Warrants - - - Redeemable Preferred Stock - - - Preferred Stock - - - Common Stock 7,724 7,725 7,707 Retained Earnings 3,805,654 3,452,529 3,135,317 Treasury Stock - - - Capital Surplus - - - Other Stockholder Equity -207,700 -149,214 -323,569 Total Stockholder Equity 3,605,678 3,311,040 2,819,455 Net Tangible Assets 1,824,382 1,998,475 2,065,508
  • 8. Dupont and Liquidity Analysis Return on Equity (ROE) Net Profit Margin (NPM) Asset Turnover (ATO) Equity Multiplier (EM) NI/Equity NI/Sales Sales/Assets Assets/Equity 28-Oct-12 0.177 0.061 1.803 1.619 27-Oct-13 0.159 0.06 1.78 1.485 26-Oct-14 0.167 0.065 1.708 1.513 Current Ratio Quick Ratio Cash Ratio CA/CL (CA-Inv)/CL Cash/CL 28-Oct-12 2.951 1.743 0.868 27-Oct-13 2.611 1.377 0.554 26-Oct-14 2.234 1.129 0.35