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Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  Market	
  Assessment	
  
October	
  2012	
  
PREPARED	
  BY	
  BUSINESS	
  DISTRICTS,	
  INC.	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  
	
   	
  
2	
   Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  Market	
  Assessment	
  
	
  
Table	
  of	
  Contents	
  
Executive	
  Summary	
  ...................................................................................................................................................................	
  4	
  
Project	
  Introduction	
  and	
  Process	
  ...............................................................................................................................................	
  6	
  
Introduction	
  ........................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  6	
  
Study	
  Area	
  ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  7	
  
Project	
  Purpose	
  and	
  Approach	
  ...........................................................................................................................................................................	
  7	
  
Retail	
  and	
  Restaurant	
  Market	
  Characteristics	
  ............................................................................................................................	
  9	
  
Overview	
  ............................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  9	
  
Local	
  Market	
  Conditions	
  ...................................................................................................................................................................................	
  11	
  
Strategic	
  Implications	
  for	
  Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  ............................................................................................................................................	
  17	
  
Office	
  Market	
  Characteristics	
  ..................................................................................................................................................	
  18	
  
Overview	
  ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  18	
  
Local	
  Market	
  Conditions	
  ...................................................................................................................................................................................	
  18	
  
Strategic	
  Implications	
  for	
  Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  ............................................................................................................................................	
  19	
  
Residential	
  Market	
  Characteristics	
  ..........................................................................................................................................	
  20	
  
Overview	
  ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  20	
  
Local	
  Market	
  Conditions	
  ...................................................................................................................................................................................	
  20	
  
Strategic	
  Implications	
  for	
  Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  ............................................................................................................................................	
  21	
  
Peer	
  Communities	
  ...................................................................................................................................................................	
  22	
  
Comparison	
  Demographics	
  ..............................................................................................................................................................................	
  23	
  
Andersonville,	
  Chicago	
  .....................................................................................................................................................................................	
  26	
  
Logan	
  Square,	
  Chicago	
  .....................................................................................................................................................................................	
  27	
  
Park	
  Slope,	
  Brooklyn	
  .........................................................................................................................................................................................	
  28	
  
Silver	
  Lake/Los	
  Feliz,	
  Los	
  Angeles	
  .....................................................................................................................................................................	
  29	
  
Uptown,	
  Minneapolis	
  .......................................................................................................................................................................................	
  31	
  
Consumer	
  Survey	
  Results	
  ........................................................................................................................................................	
  34	
  
Survey	
  Methodology	
  ........................................................................................................................................................................................	
  35	
  
Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  Market	
  Assessment	
   3	
  
	
  
Business	
  Survey	
  Results	
  ..........................................................................................................................................................	
  70	
  
Methodology	
  ....................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  70	
  
Strengths,	
  Weaknesses,	
  Opportunities,	
  and	
  Threats	
  (SWOT)	
  ...................................................................................................	
  99	
  
Strengths	
  ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  99	
  
Weaknesses	
  ....................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  100	
  
Opportunities	
  .................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  100	
  
Threats	
  ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  101	
  
Business	
  Mix	
  Analysis	
  ............................................................................................................................................................	
  102	
  
Strategic	
  Implications	
  for	
  Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  ..........................................................................................................................................	
  104	
  
Market	
  Share/Leakage	
  Analysis	
  ............................................................................................................................................	
  105	
  
Introduction	
  ....................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  105	
  
Methodology	
  ..................................................................................................................................................................................................	
  106	
  
Logical	
  Markets	
  ..............................................................................................................................................................................................	
  106	
  
Market	
  Share	
  Analysis	
  by	
  Business	
  Category	
  .................................................................................................................................................	
  109	
  
Opportunity	
  Profiles	
  .............................................................................................................................................................	
  111	
  
Market-­‐Driven	
  Opportunities	
  .........................................................................................................................................................................	
  111	
  
Management	
  Opportunities	
  ...........................................................................................................................................................................	
  114	
  
Convening	
  Opportunities	
  ................................................................................................................................................................................	
  115	
  
Opportunity	
  Summary	
  ....................................................................................................................................................................................	
  116	
  
Strategic	
  Action	
  Plans	
  ............................................................................................................................................................	
  117	
  
Appendices	
  ...........................................................................................................................................................................	
  128	
  
Glossary	
  of	
  Terms	
  ...........................................................................................................................................................................................	
  129	
  
Interview	
  Summaries	
  ......................................................................................................................................................................................	
  131	
  
List	
  of	
  Separate	
  Attachments	
  .........................................................................................................................................................................	
  134	
  
Maps:	
  WPB’s	
  Market	
  Geographies	
  ................................................................................................................................................................	
  135	
  
	
  
	
   	
  
4	
   Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  Market	
  Assessment	
  
	
  
Executive	
  Summary	
  
	
  
The	
  Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  Chamber	
  (WPBCC)	
  and	
  the	
  Commissioners	
  of	
  Chicago’s	
  Special	
  
Service	
  Area	
  #33	
  (WPB	
  SSA	
  #33)	
  retained	
  Business	
  Districts,	
  Inc.	
  (BDI)	
  in	
  December	
  2011	
  to	
  
conduct	
  a	
  market	
  assessment	
  of	
  Wicker	
  Park	
  and	
  Bucktown’s	
  commercial	
  areas.	
  BDI	
  is	
  an	
  
Evanston,	
  Illinois	
  based	
  consulting	
  firm	
  specializing	
  in	
  market	
  analysis,	
  competitive	
  positioning,	
  
strategy	
  development,	
  and	
  historic	
  preservation	
  work	
  for	
  traditional	
  downtowns,	
  commercial	
  
corridors,	
  and	
  neighborhood	
  business	
  districts	
  throughout	
  the	
  Midwest.	
  This	
  market	
  
assessment	
  process	
  had	
  two	
  basic	
  objectives:	
  to	
  identify	
  successful	
  uses,	
  based	
  upon	
  the	
  
unique	
  attributes	
  of	
  the	
  Wicker	
  Park	
  and	
  Bucktown	
  (WPB)	
  markets,	
  and	
  to	
  assist	
  in	
  making	
  
local	
  businesses	
  even	
  more	
  economically	
  viable.	
  	
  
	
  
Wicker	
  Park	
  and	
  Bucktown	
  is	
  nationally	
  perceived	
  as	
  a	
  vibrant	
  urban	
  set	
  of	
  commercial	
  
districts	
  with	
  a	
  successful	
  mix	
  of	
  diverse	
  businesses,	
  great	
  nightlife,	
  and	
  quality	
  cultural	
  events.	
  
Most	
  urban	
  commercial	
  districts	
  and	
  traditional	
  downtowns	
  would	
  love	
  to	
  be	
  WPB,	
  given	
  the	
  
neighborhoods’	
  strong	
  local	
  markets,	
  sustained	
  investor	
  interest,	
  and	
  national	
  reputation	
  as	
  
unique.	
  The	
  WPBCC	
  and	
  WPB	
  SSA	
  #33	
  provide	
  comprehensive	
  marketing	
  programs,	
  including	
  retail	
  promotions,	
  special	
  events,	
  and	
  image	
  
building,	
  maintenance	
  and	
  incentives	
  for	
  improvements,	
  and	
  public	
  art	
  programs.	
  All	
  of	
  these	
  activities	
  contribute	
  to	
  WPB’s	
  reputation	
  as	
  an	
  
interesting	
  place	
  to	
  visit.	
  Complementing	
  its	
  commercial	
  character,	
  WPB	
  is	
  also	
  two	
  adjoining	
  communities,	
  with	
  residents	
  committed	
  to	
  their	
  
neighborhoods	
  and	
  local	
  success.	
  
	
  
In	
  assessing	
  WPB’s	
  markets,	
  work	
  was	
  completed	
  in	
  three	
  phases:	
  assembling	
  information,	
  analyzing	
  consumer	
  and	
  business	
  surveys	
  and	
  
secondary	
  data	
  sources,	
  and	
  formulating	
  WPB’s	
  opportunities	
  and	
  strategies.	
  The	
  two	
  project	
  objectives	
  noted	
  above	
  provided	
  the	
  research	
  and	
  
analysis	
  framework	
  for	
  each	
  phase.	
  There	
  is	
  a	
  significant	
  amount	
  of	
  primary	
  and	
  secondary	
  market	
  data	
  presented	
  within	
  this	
  assessment.	
  This	
  
accumulated	
  data	
  is	
  intended	
  to	
  support	
  and	
  guide	
  strategic	
  actions	
  versus	
  ongoing	
  conversations	
  about	
  the	
  data	
  itself.	
  Ultimately,	
  the	
  essence	
  
of	
  any	
  assessment	
  is	
  identifying	
  the	
  best	
  market-­‐supported	
  opportunities	
  and	
  how	
  to	
  incrementally	
  and	
  efficiently	
  capitalize	
  upon	
  them.	
  WPB’s	
  
opportunities	
  are	
  based	
  upon	
  its	
  formidable	
  markets	
  and	
  many	
  unique	
  businesses.	
  The	
  key	
  is	
  to	
  foster	
  profitable	
  businesses,	
  particularly	
  on	
  
ground	
  floors.	
  This	
  effort	
  includes	
  business	
  support	
  for	
  entrepreneurs	
  and	
  existing	
  business	
  owners,	
  tenant	
  attraction,	
  property	
  owner	
  
engagement,	
  and	
  building	
  relationships	
  with	
  WPB	
  developers.	
  	
  
	
  
Photo	
  1:	
  North	
  Damen	
  Avenue's	
  diverse	
  businesses.	
  
Wicker	
  Park	
  Bucktown	
  Market	
  Assessment	
   5	
  
	
  
This	
  market	
  assessment	
  looks	
  forward.	
  It	
  focuses	
  on	
  business	
  development	
  and	
  on	
  how	
  the	
  WPBCC	
  and	
  WPB	
  SSA	
  #33	
  can	
  work	
  to	
  maintain	
  
WPB’s	
  successful	
  commercial	
  character	
  and	
  authentic	
  experience.	
  It	
  assumes	
  that	
  the	
  WPBCC	
  and	
  WPB	
  SSA	
  #33	
  will	
  work	
  in	
  partnership	
  to	
  
achieve	
  even	
  greater	
  business	
  success.	
  WPB’s	
  markets	
  and	
  opportunities	
  suggest	
  three	
  broad	
  strategic	
  goals	
  for	
  acting	
  on	
  these	
  Market	
  
Assessment	
  results:	
  
	
  
• Building	
  upon	
  current	
  business	
  success	
  to	
  foster	
  business	
  expansion	
  and	
  entrepreneurship.	
  
• Establishing	
  ongoing	
  and	
  ad	
  hoc	
  partnerships	
  focused	
  on	
  WPB’s	
  economic	
  growth.	
  
• Supporting	
  creative	
  solutions,	
  whether	
  in	
  entrepreneurship,	
  the	
  arts,	
  ‘clean	
  and	
  safe,’	
  or	
  new	
  development.	
  
	
  
Given	
  the	
  affects	
  of	
  the	
  recent	
  economic	
  downturn,	
  there	
  have	
  been	
  significant	
  shifts	
  in	
  how	
  consumers	
  behave,	
  what	
  makes	
  any	
  business	
  
sustainable,	
  and	
  in	
  how	
  development	
  occurs.	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  strategies	
  and	
  action	
  steps	
  developed	
  for	
  this	
  assessment	
  provide	
  the	
  WPBCC	
  and	
  WPB	
  SSA	
  #33	
  with	
  the	
  framework	
  to	
  address	
  business	
  
growth.	
  These	
  strategies	
  incorporate	
  the	
  pragmatic	
  interests	
  of	
  WPB’s	
  businesses	
  and	
  consumers	
  and	
  integrate	
  them	
  into	
  this	
  assessment’s	
  
overall	
  business	
  development	
  emphasis.	
  To	
  maintain	
  market	
  leadership,	
  WPB	
  must	
  emphasize	
  business	
  growth.	
  Each	
  of	
  WPB’s	
  commercial	
  areas	
  
is	
  distinct,	
  and	
  all	
  of	
  them	
  are	
  part	
  of	
  a	
  commercial	
  whole,	
  or	
  ‘economic	
  system.’	
  	
  Through	
  efforts	
  to	
  enhance	
  WPB’s	
  overall	
  commercial	
  activity	
  
and	
  business	
  quality,	
  WPBCC	
  and	
  WPB	
  SSA	
  #33	
  can	
  amplify	
  the	
  neighborhoods’	
  appeal	
  to	
  customers,	
  visitors,	
  and	
  investors	
  and	
  maintain	
  the	
  
commercial	
  character	
  that	
  makes	
  WPB	
  truly	
  distinctive.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
   	
  

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Executive Summary

  • 1.   Wicker  Park  Bucktown  Market  Assessment   October  2012   PREPARED  BY  BUSINESS  DISTRICTS,  INC.                      
  • 2. 2   Wicker  Park  Bucktown  Market  Assessment     Table  of  Contents   Executive  Summary  ...................................................................................................................................................................  4   Project  Introduction  and  Process  ...............................................................................................................................................  6   Introduction  ........................................................................................................................................................................................................  6   Study  Area  ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................  7   Project  Purpose  and  Approach  ...........................................................................................................................................................................  7   Retail  and  Restaurant  Market  Characteristics  ............................................................................................................................  9   Overview  ............................................................................................................................................................................................................  9   Local  Market  Conditions  ...................................................................................................................................................................................  11   Strategic  Implications  for  Wicker  Park  Bucktown  ............................................................................................................................................  17   Office  Market  Characteristics  ..................................................................................................................................................  18   Overview  ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................  18   Local  Market  Conditions  ...................................................................................................................................................................................  18   Strategic  Implications  for  Wicker  Park  Bucktown  ............................................................................................................................................  19   Residential  Market  Characteristics  ..........................................................................................................................................  20   Overview  ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................  20   Local  Market  Conditions  ...................................................................................................................................................................................  20   Strategic  Implications  for  Wicker  Park  Bucktown  ............................................................................................................................................  21   Peer  Communities  ...................................................................................................................................................................  22   Comparison  Demographics  ..............................................................................................................................................................................  23   Andersonville,  Chicago  .....................................................................................................................................................................................  26   Logan  Square,  Chicago  .....................................................................................................................................................................................  27   Park  Slope,  Brooklyn  .........................................................................................................................................................................................  28   Silver  Lake/Los  Feliz,  Los  Angeles  .....................................................................................................................................................................  29   Uptown,  Minneapolis  .......................................................................................................................................................................................  31   Consumer  Survey  Results  ........................................................................................................................................................  34   Survey  Methodology  ........................................................................................................................................................................................  35  
  • 3. Wicker  Park  Bucktown  Market  Assessment   3     Business  Survey  Results  ..........................................................................................................................................................  70   Methodology  ....................................................................................................................................................................................................  70   Strengths,  Weaknesses,  Opportunities,  and  Threats  (SWOT)  ...................................................................................................  99   Strengths  ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................  99   Weaknesses  ....................................................................................................................................................................................................  100   Opportunities  .................................................................................................................................................................................................  100   Threats  ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................  101   Business  Mix  Analysis  ............................................................................................................................................................  102   Strategic  Implications  for  Wicker  Park  Bucktown  ..........................................................................................................................................  104   Market  Share/Leakage  Analysis  ............................................................................................................................................  105   Introduction  ....................................................................................................................................................................................................  105   Methodology  ..................................................................................................................................................................................................  106   Logical  Markets  ..............................................................................................................................................................................................  106   Market  Share  Analysis  by  Business  Category  .................................................................................................................................................  109   Opportunity  Profiles  .............................................................................................................................................................  111   Market-­‐Driven  Opportunities  .........................................................................................................................................................................  111   Management  Opportunities  ...........................................................................................................................................................................  114   Convening  Opportunities  ................................................................................................................................................................................  115   Opportunity  Summary  ....................................................................................................................................................................................  116   Strategic  Action  Plans  ............................................................................................................................................................  117   Appendices  ...........................................................................................................................................................................  128   Glossary  of  Terms  ...........................................................................................................................................................................................  129   Interview  Summaries  ......................................................................................................................................................................................  131   List  of  Separate  Attachments  .........................................................................................................................................................................  134   Maps:  WPB’s  Market  Geographies  ................................................................................................................................................................  135        
  • 4. 4   Wicker  Park  Bucktown  Market  Assessment     Executive  Summary     The  Wicker  Park  Bucktown  Chamber  (WPBCC)  and  the  Commissioners  of  Chicago’s  Special   Service  Area  #33  (WPB  SSA  #33)  retained  Business  Districts,  Inc.  (BDI)  in  December  2011  to   conduct  a  market  assessment  of  Wicker  Park  and  Bucktown’s  commercial  areas.  BDI  is  an   Evanston,  Illinois  based  consulting  firm  specializing  in  market  analysis,  competitive  positioning,   strategy  development,  and  historic  preservation  work  for  traditional  downtowns,  commercial   corridors,  and  neighborhood  business  districts  throughout  the  Midwest.  This  market   assessment  process  had  two  basic  objectives:  to  identify  successful  uses,  based  upon  the   unique  attributes  of  the  Wicker  Park  and  Bucktown  (WPB)  markets,  and  to  assist  in  making   local  businesses  even  more  economically  viable.       Wicker  Park  and  Bucktown  is  nationally  perceived  as  a  vibrant  urban  set  of  commercial   districts  with  a  successful  mix  of  diverse  businesses,  great  nightlife,  and  quality  cultural  events.   Most  urban  commercial  districts  and  traditional  downtowns  would  love  to  be  WPB,  given  the   neighborhoods’  strong  local  markets,  sustained  investor  interest,  and  national  reputation  as   unique.  The  WPBCC  and  WPB  SSA  #33  provide  comprehensive  marketing  programs,  including  retail  promotions,  special  events,  and  image   building,  maintenance  and  incentives  for  improvements,  and  public  art  programs.  All  of  these  activities  contribute  to  WPB’s  reputation  as  an   interesting  place  to  visit.  Complementing  its  commercial  character,  WPB  is  also  two  adjoining  communities,  with  residents  committed  to  their   neighborhoods  and  local  success.     In  assessing  WPB’s  markets,  work  was  completed  in  three  phases:  assembling  information,  analyzing  consumer  and  business  surveys  and   secondary  data  sources,  and  formulating  WPB’s  opportunities  and  strategies.  The  two  project  objectives  noted  above  provided  the  research  and   analysis  framework  for  each  phase.  There  is  a  significant  amount  of  primary  and  secondary  market  data  presented  within  this  assessment.  This   accumulated  data  is  intended  to  support  and  guide  strategic  actions  versus  ongoing  conversations  about  the  data  itself.  Ultimately,  the  essence   of  any  assessment  is  identifying  the  best  market-­‐supported  opportunities  and  how  to  incrementally  and  efficiently  capitalize  upon  them.  WPB’s   opportunities  are  based  upon  its  formidable  markets  and  many  unique  businesses.  The  key  is  to  foster  profitable  businesses,  particularly  on   ground  floors.  This  effort  includes  business  support  for  entrepreneurs  and  existing  business  owners,  tenant  attraction,  property  owner   engagement,  and  building  relationships  with  WPB  developers.       Photo  1:  North  Damen  Avenue's  diverse  businesses.  
  • 5. Wicker  Park  Bucktown  Market  Assessment   5     This  market  assessment  looks  forward.  It  focuses  on  business  development  and  on  how  the  WPBCC  and  WPB  SSA  #33  can  work  to  maintain   WPB’s  successful  commercial  character  and  authentic  experience.  It  assumes  that  the  WPBCC  and  WPB  SSA  #33  will  work  in  partnership  to   achieve  even  greater  business  success.  WPB’s  markets  and  opportunities  suggest  three  broad  strategic  goals  for  acting  on  these  Market   Assessment  results:     • Building  upon  current  business  success  to  foster  business  expansion  and  entrepreneurship.   • Establishing  ongoing  and  ad  hoc  partnerships  focused  on  WPB’s  economic  growth.   • Supporting  creative  solutions,  whether  in  entrepreneurship,  the  arts,  ‘clean  and  safe,’  or  new  development.     Given  the  affects  of  the  recent  economic  downturn,  there  have  been  significant  shifts  in  how  consumers  behave,  what  makes  any  business   sustainable,  and  in  how  development  occurs.       The  strategies  and  action  steps  developed  for  this  assessment  provide  the  WPBCC  and  WPB  SSA  #33  with  the  framework  to  address  business   growth.  These  strategies  incorporate  the  pragmatic  interests  of  WPB’s  businesses  and  consumers  and  integrate  them  into  this  assessment’s   overall  business  development  emphasis.  To  maintain  market  leadership,  WPB  must  emphasize  business  growth.  Each  of  WPB’s  commercial  areas   is  distinct,  and  all  of  them  are  part  of  a  commercial  whole,  or  ‘economic  system.’    Through  efforts  to  enhance  WPB’s  overall  commercial  activity   and  business  quality,  WPBCC  and  WPB  SSA  #33  can  amplify  the  neighborhoods’  appeal  to  customers,  visitors,  and  investors  and  maintain  the   commercial  character  that  makes  WPB  truly  distinctive.