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CNOOC / CVX - BOHAI BAY (PRC)
QHD 36 - 2 OIL FIELD RE-DEVELOPMENT
TECOP (Technical, Economic, Commercial, Organisational, Political)
Corporate Risks
R I S K T R E AT M E N T M E T H O D O L O G Y
Prepared by Angus Macleod MAPM. : conforming to ISO.IEC 31010:2009
Upstream Field Development - Risk Areas in Life-Cycle
for Capital Value Assurance (example only)
Risk Management – Business Risk Strategy
for Project Execution
Define Risk Management Business Level Strategy as below
Risk Management – Business Risk Tactical Strategy
for Project Execution
Define Risk Management Tactical Strategy as below
Risk Management – Business Risk Execution Strategy
for Project Execution
Define Risk Management Execution Strategy as below
Risk Management – Business Management Strategy
for Project Execution
Risk Management – Business Risk Response Strategy
for Project Execution
Risk Management – Assessment Process
for Project Execution
Define Project Risk Management an integral part of the Project Management Process
Proposed Risk Management Process – Introduction
Define Project Risk Management Process as below
Proposed Risk Management Process – Introduction
Identify some key elements to obtain Risk Parameters and implement the results for
Upstream Project Management Decision Making
Proposed Risk Management Process – Key Elements
Identified Project Risk Management Process as a Six Stage Cycle
Proposed Risk Management Process – Life Cycle
Identify the relationships between 6 stage Project Risk Management Process
Total Schedule Effect / Cost (+ / -) of Risk
Proposed Risk Management Process – Relationship
Consolidate Risks and Collect p10,p50,p90 estimates
Develop a flowchart to map the Risk Process & Methodologies
mitigation owned by
Project Function
(Subsurface, Drilling,
Facilities, Project Controls)
Proposed Risk Management Process – Flowchart
Methodology – Qualitative Risk Categories – Develop
Risk
Category
SupplyChain
Performance
Supply Chain
Disuption
Methodology – Qualitative Scoring System – Develop
Methodology – Qualitative Risk Scoring Index – Develop
and consequences
Methodology Qualitative Risk Analysis
Develop “Boston Square Matrix ” technique to model Qualitative Risk Probability / Impact
LEGEND
Quantative Risk Analysis
calculated ouput from
MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONS will indicate
which COST / SCHEDULE elements
contribute to contingency creation
and which RISK CATEGORIES
Defintion / Role of Monte Carlo Simulation Quantitative Risk Analyses
Establish Risk Management as a “Continuous” Management Process
Methodology Continuous Improvement Cycle
INSERT RISK OUTPUTS FROM WORKED EXAMPLES.
TBC
CONFIDENTI
AL ACCESS
Copy of CNOOC CVX QHD 36-2 BOHAI BAY.pdf
Copy of CNOOC CVX QHD 36-2 BOHAI BAY.pdf

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Copy of CNOOC CVX QHD 36-2 BOHAI BAY.pdf

  • 1. CNOOC / CVX - BOHAI BAY (PRC) QHD 36 - 2 OIL FIELD RE-DEVELOPMENT TECOP (Technical, Economic, Commercial, Organisational, Political) Corporate Risks R I S K T R E AT M E N T M E T H O D O L O G Y Prepared by Angus Macleod MAPM. : conforming to ISO.IEC 31010:2009
  • 2. Upstream Field Development - Risk Areas in Life-Cycle for Capital Value Assurance (example only)
  • 3. Risk Management – Business Risk Strategy for Project Execution Define Risk Management Business Level Strategy as below
  • 4. Risk Management – Business Risk Tactical Strategy for Project Execution Define Risk Management Tactical Strategy as below
  • 5. Risk Management – Business Risk Execution Strategy for Project Execution Define Risk Management Execution Strategy as below
  • 6. Risk Management – Business Management Strategy for Project Execution
  • 7. Risk Management – Business Risk Response Strategy for Project Execution
  • 8. Risk Management – Assessment Process for Project Execution
  • 9. Define Project Risk Management an integral part of the Project Management Process Proposed Risk Management Process – Introduction
  • 10. Define Project Risk Management Process as below Proposed Risk Management Process – Introduction
  • 11. Identify some key elements to obtain Risk Parameters and implement the results for Upstream Project Management Decision Making Proposed Risk Management Process – Key Elements
  • 12. Identified Project Risk Management Process as a Six Stage Cycle Proposed Risk Management Process – Life Cycle
  • 13. Identify the relationships between 6 stage Project Risk Management Process Total Schedule Effect / Cost (+ / -) of Risk Proposed Risk Management Process – Relationship
  • 14. Consolidate Risks and Collect p10,p50,p90 estimates Develop a flowchart to map the Risk Process & Methodologies mitigation owned by Project Function (Subsurface, Drilling, Facilities, Project Controls) Proposed Risk Management Process – Flowchart
  • 15. Methodology – Qualitative Risk Categories – Develop Risk Category SupplyChain Performance Supply Chain Disuption
  • 16. Methodology – Qualitative Scoring System – Develop
  • 17. Methodology – Qualitative Risk Scoring Index – Develop
  • 18. and consequences Methodology Qualitative Risk Analysis Develop “Boston Square Matrix ” technique to model Qualitative Risk Probability / Impact LEGEND
  • 19. Quantative Risk Analysis calculated ouput from MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONS will indicate which COST / SCHEDULE elements contribute to contingency creation and which RISK CATEGORIES
  • 20. Defintion / Role of Monte Carlo Simulation Quantitative Risk Analyses
  • 21. Establish Risk Management as a “Continuous” Management Process Methodology Continuous Improvement Cycle
  • 22. INSERT RISK OUTPUTS FROM WORKED EXAMPLES. TBC CONFIDENTI AL ACCESS