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Descriptive Studies:
Person, Place and Time
BY
DR MUHAMMAD TAUSEEF JAVED
CONSULTANT MINISTRY OF
HEALTH MAKKAH KSA
&
IPH LAHORE
Descriptive Epidemiology
• Includes activities related to
characterizing the distribution of
diseases within a population
Analytical Epidemiology
• Concerns activities related to
identifying possible causes for the
occurrence of diseases
Descriptive Epidemiology
• Epidemiological equivalent of the
game “20 Questions”
 animal, mineral or vegetable?
• In Descriptive Epidemiology:
 Who? - person
 Where? - place
 When? - time
Descriptive Epidemiology
PERSON
PLACE
TIME
Think of this as the standard
dimensions used to track the
occurrence of a disease.
Person
• WHO is getting the disease?
• Many variables are involved and
studied, but factors such as sex, age
& race often have a major effect.
Characteristics of Person
• Age
• Sex
• Ethnic group
• Socioeconomic status
• Nativity
• Religion
• Marital status
• Occupation
Age
Age
Sex
Time
• WHEN does the disease occur?
“Temporal”
Range from hours to decades
• Type of disease dictates “time”
element to be used
• Graphic format often used
 y-axis (vertical) - frequency
 x-axis (horizontal) - time
Characteristics Relating to Time
• Secular change (long-term)
• Point epidemics (short-term)
• Cyclic trends
• Seasonal variation
Secular Change
Secular Change
• Secular changes (“temporal
variation”) occur slowly over long
periods of time
 Longer than one year
Incidence Rates of
Cancers in Women
Incidence Rates of
Cancers in Men
Point Epidemics
• Short-term changes occur over
limited time frames
 Hours
 Days
 Weeks
 Months
• Used for short-term exposures or
diseases with short incubation
and/or illness durations
Point Epidemics
Point Epidemics
Cyclic Trends
• Cyclic trends may be either long-
term or short term events.
• Some are “seasonal” while others
are cyclic due to other factors:
 Immigration
 School year
 Military deployment
Cyclic Trends
Seasonal Variation
• Seasonal
variation can
be seen for
some diseases
or conditions
falling within a
calendar year
Seasonal Variation
• Seasonal variation can be used to
suggest possible etiology.
Migratory Birds?
Time Clustering
• Time clustering data can sometimes
be used to trace the “beginning” to
the introduction of a specific causal
agent
 Thalidomide & birth defects
First marketed in Europe in 1950’s as
sleeping pill and to treat morning sickness
in pregnant women
 Toxic Shock Syndrome
Staphylococcus aureus infection in women
using newly introduced hyperabsorbent
tampons
Time Clustering
Place
• WHERE are the rates higher? lower?
• Geographic location of source
• Geographic location of reservoir
John Snow and Cholera
5 Criteria of Place
•  Rate observed in all ethnic groups
in the area
•  Rate NOT observed in persons of
similar groups inhabiting other areas
• Healthy persons entering area get ill
at same frequency
• People who leave do NOT show
similar levels
• Similar levels of infestation in other
species (if zoonotic disease)
Characteristics Relating to Place
• International
• Variation within countries
 Urban-rural
 Local
• Building Maps
Place
Distribution of AIDS in the US 1990
Local
Building Maps
Interactions of
Time and Place
• Time-place clustering
• Migration
Descriptive Studies: Tracking Disease Occurrence by Person, Place and Time

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Descriptive Studies: Tracking Disease Occurrence by Person, Place and Time

  • 1. Descriptive Studies: Person, Place and Time BY DR MUHAMMAD TAUSEEF JAVED CONSULTANT MINISTRY OF HEALTH MAKKAH KSA & IPH LAHORE
  • 2. Descriptive Epidemiology • Includes activities related to characterizing the distribution of diseases within a population Analytical Epidemiology • Concerns activities related to identifying possible causes for the occurrence of diseases
  • 3. Descriptive Epidemiology • Epidemiological equivalent of the game “20 Questions”  animal, mineral or vegetable? • In Descriptive Epidemiology:  Who? - person  Where? - place  When? - time
  • 4. Descriptive Epidemiology PERSON PLACE TIME Think of this as the standard dimensions used to track the occurrence of a disease.
  • 5. Person • WHO is getting the disease? • Many variables are involved and studied, but factors such as sex, age & race often have a major effect.
  • 6. Characteristics of Person • Age • Sex • Ethnic group • Socioeconomic status • Nativity • Religion • Marital status • Occupation
  • 7. Age
  • 8. Age
  • 9. Sex
  • 10. Time • WHEN does the disease occur? “Temporal” Range from hours to decades • Type of disease dictates “time” element to be used • Graphic format often used  y-axis (vertical) - frequency  x-axis (horizontal) - time
  • 11.
  • 12. Characteristics Relating to Time • Secular change (long-term) • Point epidemics (short-term) • Cyclic trends • Seasonal variation
  • 14. Secular Change • Secular changes (“temporal variation”) occur slowly over long periods of time  Longer than one year Incidence Rates of Cancers in Women Incidence Rates of Cancers in Men
  • 15. Point Epidemics • Short-term changes occur over limited time frames  Hours  Days  Weeks  Months • Used for short-term exposures or diseases with short incubation and/or illness durations
  • 18. Cyclic Trends • Cyclic trends may be either long- term or short term events. • Some are “seasonal” while others are cyclic due to other factors:  Immigration  School year  Military deployment
  • 20. Seasonal Variation • Seasonal variation can be seen for some diseases or conditions falling within a calendar year
  • 21. Seasonal Variation • Seasonal variation can be used to suggest possible etiology. Migratory Birds?
  • 22. Time Clustering • Time clustering data can sometimes be used to trace the “beginning” to the introduction of a specific causal agent  Thalidomide & birth defects First marketed in Europe in 1950’s as sleeping pill and to treat morning sickness in pregnant women  Toxic Shock Syndrome Staphylococcus aureus infection in women using newly introduced hyperabsorbent tampons
  • 24. Place • WHERE are the rates higher? lower? • Geographic location of source • Geographic location of reservoir
  • 25. John Snow and Cholera
  • 26. 5 Criteria of Place •  Rate observed in all ethnic groups in the area •  Rate NOT observed in persons of similar groups inhabiting other areas • Healthy persons entering area get ill at same frequency • People who leave do NOT show similar levels • Similar levels of infestation in other species (if zoonotic disease)
  • 27. Characteristics Relating to Place • International • Variation within countries  Urban-rural  Local • Building Maps
  • 28. Place Distribution of AIDS in the US 1990
  • 29. Local
  • 31. Interactions of Time and Place • Time-place clustering • Migration