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Higher Geography

Population
Let’s have a look at what’s in store for
            us in this unit...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nbF3fG2cc8I
...and look at how many of us there are!
http://www.ibiblio.org/lunarbin/worldpop
Aims of Unit
• To understand population structure and
  interpret ‘population pyramids’
• To know how a census is conducted and
  describe problems with its accuracy/use
• To describe and explain factors that cause
  changes in population – both in EMDCs &
  ELDCs
• To understand the Demographic Transition
  Model (DTM)
World Population Density




Pop. Density:
People per
sq.km
Population Structure
Population Structure describes the
composition of a country’s population in
terms of its age and gender.

The best way to show this data is by using a
‘Population Pyramid’
A simple way of understanding a population pyramid is
   to think of it as a visual aid telling you how many
   people of different ages there are in a population.




   In theory, there will be more babies at the base of
      the ‘pyramid’ than elderly people at the top!
What do the pyramids tell us?
• The shape of a population pyramid gives us information about birth
  and death rates as well as life expectancy.


• A population pyramid tells us how many dependants there are
  living in an area. There are two groups of dependants; young
  dependants (aged below 15) and elderly dependants (aged over
  65).


• Those of working age are classed as economically active
  Dependants rely upon the economically active for economic
  support.


• Many ELDCs have a high number of young dependants, whilst
  many EMDCs have a growing number of elderly dependants.
Progressive pyramid – A Pyramid with
a high birth rate and a high death rate.
Regressive pyramid – A declining birth
    rate and a low mortality rate.
Stationary pyramid – A population
 pyramid showing an unchanging
 pattern of fertility and mortality.
By studying a succession of
 pyramids from a country
  over different years, we
  can notice and interpret
 changes that can happen.

  This is Italy’s population
 from 2000 and predicted
            to 2050.

   What do you notice
happening? Describe the
 shapes and explain any
        changes.
In the exam you may be asked to interpret a population pyramid, with a
                            question such as:
Look at the diagram showing the projected population structure of Italy in
           2025 and describe the main features of the structure.
A good answer to this question would include the
  following information:

• The largest age groups in Italy are 50-54 and 55-59,
  where there are almost five million people in each
  group.
• There are much smaller numbers in the 0-4 and 5-9
  groups, with around two million people in each group.
• There are more than one million males and one million
  females in all age groups up to 75-79. In the age groups
  beyond this, there are more females than males.
• Boost your revision by looking again at the population
  pyramid.
  Can you suggest reasons for the pattern it shows? And
  can you explain the consequences of the population
  structure?
Impact of a changing population
 The increased population of older people means that:
• there is an increased demand for health and social care
• it becomes increasingly difficult for governments to
   provide satisfactory pensions, which are ultimately
   funded by the working population

 The reduced numbers of babies and children means that:
• there is less need for schools and school teachers
• industries which provide products for children - for
  example pram manufacturers - may suffer
• in the longer term, companies may have difficulty
  recruiting youthful workers
Possible Solutions
• These are some of the issues, but are there any
  solutions? A statement from an MSP that “Scots should
  be paid to breed” suggests that the use of financial
  incentives is one possible solution. The Singapore
  government has launched a pro-natalist campaign, and
  hopes to increase the birth rate by:
  o giving financial inducements for third children
  o giving paid maternity leave
  o providing state-funded child care centres
• Whether these incentives would make any difference in
  Western Europe is debatable. The alternative option,
  tried in a number of countries experiencing a labour
  shortage, is to encourage immigration.
The Demographic Transition Model
Population changes over time can be shown using a
Demographic Transition Model (DTM).

The key here is the word transition – as every country’s
population goes through periods of fluctuation, increase
and decrease over the long term.

It is also important to remember that this a model – so it
only gives us a general idea/pattern about what we
would expect to see in terms of a country’s development.
Stage 1: High Fluctuating
• Birth Rate and Death rate are both high. Population growth is slow and
   fluctuating.
Reasons:
• Birth Rate is high as a result of:
• Lack of family planning
• High Infant Mortality Rate: putting babies in the 'bank'
• Need for workers in agriculture
• Religious beliefs
• Children as economic assets
• Death Rate is high because of:
• High levels of disease
• Famine
• Lack of clean water and sanitation
• Lack of health care
• War
• Competition for food from predators such as rats
• Lack of education
• Typical of Britain in the 18th century and the Least Economically
   Developed Countries (ELDCs) today.
Stage 2: Early Expanding
• Birth Rate remains high. Death Rate is falling.
  Population begins to rise steadily.
Reasons:
• Death Rate is falling as a result of:
• Improved health care (e.g. Smallpox Vaccine)
• Improved Hygiene (Water for drinking boiled)
• Improved sanitation
• Improved food production and storage
• Improved transport for food
• Decreased Infant Mortality Rates
• Typical of Britain in 19th century; Bangladesh;
  Nigeria
Stage 3: Late Expanding
• Birth Rate starts to fall. Death Rate continues to
  fall. Population rising.
Reasons:
• Family planning available
• Lower Infant Mortality Rate
• Increased mechanization reduces need for
  workers
• Increased standard of living
• Changing status of women
• Typical of Britain in late 19th and early 20th
  century; China; Brazil
Stage 4: Low Fluctuating
• Birth Rate and Death Rate both low.
  Population steady.

• NOW YOU THINK OF SOME REASONS WHY
  STAGE 4 IS LIKE THIS!!!

• Typical of USA; Sweden; Japan; Britain
Problems/Anomalies with the DTM
  Like all models, the demographic transition model has its
  limitations. It failed to consider, or to predict, several factors
  and events:

1 Birth rates in several EMDCs have fallen below death rates
  (Germany, Sweden). This has caused, for the first time, a
  population decline which suggests that perhaps the model
  should have a fifth stage added to it.
2 The model assumes that in time all countries pass through
  the same four stages. It now seems unlikely, however, that
  many ELDCs, especially in Africa, will ever become
  industrialised.
3   The model assumes that the fall in the death rate in Stage 2 was
    the consequence of industrialisation. Initially, the death rate in
    many British cities rose, due to the insanitary conditions which
    resulted from rapid urban growth, and it only began to fall after
    advances were made in medicine. The delayed fall in the death
    rate in many developing countries has been due mainly to their
    inability to afford medical facilities. In many countries, the fall
    in the birth rate in Stage 3 has been less rapid than the model
    suggests due to religious and/or political opposition to birth
    control (Brazil), whereas the fall was much more rapid, and
    came earlier, in China following the government-introduced
    ‘onechild’ policy.

4   The timescale of the model, especially in several South-east
    Asian countries such as Hong Kong and Malaysia, is being
    squashed as they develop at a much faster rate than did the
    early industrialised countries.

5    Countries that grew as a consequence of emigration from
    Europe (USA, Canada, Australia) did not pass through the early
    stages of the model.
Censuses
• Information about a population is often
  collected by a census
• Most countries update their census every
  10 years
• It is a legal requirement in the UK for
  each household to complete the census
  form and accurately disclose information
The first known census was taken by the
Babylonians (from an area that is now
Northern Iraq) in 3800 BC, over 5000
years ago!

Records suggest that it was taken every
six or seven years and counted the
number of people and livestock, as well
as quantities of butter, honey, milk, wool
and vegetables.
So, how does it work?
• Since 1801, every ten years the nation has set
  aside one day for the census - a count of all
  people and households. It is the most complete
  source of information about the population that
  we have. The latest census was held on Sunday
  29 April 2001.

• Every effort is made to include everyone, and
  that is why the census is so important. It is the
  only survey which provides a detailed picture of
  the entire population, and is unique because it
  covers everyone at the same time and asks the
  same core questions everywhere. This makes it
  easy to compare different parts of the country.
• The information the census provides allows
  central and local government, health
  authorities and many other organisations to
  target their resources more effectively and to
  plan housing, education, health and transport
  services for years to come.

• In England and Wales, the census is planned
  and carried out by the Office for National
  Statistics. Elsewhere in the UK, responsibility
  lies with the General Register Office for
  Scotland and the Northern Ireland Statistics
  and Research Agency.
What is asked in a census?

• No. of males & females
• No. and age of residents in household
• No. of rooms in household
• Country of birth of residents and languages
  spoken
• Occupation of residents
• How people get to work
DISCUSS:

How does the Government benefit from
having census data?

Describe and explain your findings.
Strange but true...
The 2001 census was the first year in which the
government asked about religion. Perhaps encouraged
by a hoax chain letter that started in New Zealand,
390,000 people entered their religion as Jedi Knight
(more than Sikhs, Buddhists or Jews), with some areas
registering up to 2.6% of people as "Jedi".
It was wrongly implied in emails that stating "Jedi" on
the form would cause it to become an "official
religion". No such thing exists in the United Kingdom.
However, the director of reporting and analysis at the
ONS stated that it may have helped with the collection
process as it encouraged young people, who are often
missed, to complete forms!
Problems with taking censuses
• Some countries have problems with either
  taking an accurate census or conducting a
  census altogether
• Vital Statistics (registration of births,
  marriages and deaths) can be used instead to
  monitor population change
• These can be up-to-date but aren’t as detailed
  whilst some countries would still encounter
  problems with accuracy from this information
Nomads in Mali, North Africa
Ethiopia: a poor country
Mountains in Afghanistan
Piraha Tribe: Amazon Rainforest, Brazil
Schoolgirl in Bangladesh
Bomb damage outside UN, Iraq
Why is a Census important?
A rich source of information...
o The Census collected information about people, households and
  their housing.

o The information from the forms was processed to produce a
  database from which results are drawn - information about
  identifiable individuals is never released.

o They are presented either as simple counts, such as the number of
  young children, or as figures which relate one topic to another,
  such as the number of children in one parent families.

o The linking of topics is one of the most valuable features of a
  Census.

o Most figures are about the people who live in an area, but others
  are about people who work in an area or about migrants from an
  area.
What does the Census tell us?
The last census in Scotland took place in 2001.
You can view this data at the SCROL (Scotland’s
  Census Results Online) website:

http://www.scrol.gov.uk/scrol/common/home.jsp

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SQA higher geography population

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Let’s have a look at what’s in store for us in this unit... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nbF3fG2cc8I ...and look at how many of us there are! http://www.ibiblio.org/lunarbin/worldpop
  • 5. Aims of Unit • To understand population structure and interpret ‘population pyramids’ • To know how a census is conducted and describe problems with its accuracy/use • To describe and explain factors that cause changes in population – both in EMDCs & ELDCs • To understand the Demographic Transition Model (DTM)
  • 6. World Population Density Pop. Density: People per sq.km
  • 7. Population Structure Population Structure describes the composition of a country’s population in terms of its age and gender. The best way to show this data is by using a ‘Population Pyramid’
  • 8. A simple way of understanding a population pyramid is to think of it as a visual aid telling you how many people of different ages there are in a population. In theory, there will be more babies at the base of the ‘pyramid’ than elderly people at the top!
  • 9. What do the pyramids tell us? • The shape of a population pyramid gives us information about birth and death rates as well as life expectancy. • A population pyramid tells us how many dependants there are living in an area. There are two groups of dependants; young dependants (aged below 15) and elderly dependants (aged over 65). • Those of working age are classed as economically active Dependants rely upon the economically active for economic support. • Many ELDCs have a high number of young dependants, whilst many EMDCs have a growing number of elderly dependants.
  • 10. Progressive pyramid – A Pyramid with a high birth rate and a high death rate.
  • 11. Regressive pyramid – A declining birth rate and a low mortality rate.
  • 12. Stationary pyramid – A population pyramid showing an unchanging pattern of fertility and mortality.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. By studying a succession of pyramids from a country over different years, we can notice and interpret changes that can happen. This is Italy’s population from 2000 and predicted to 2050. What do you notice happening? Describe the shapes and explain any changes.
  • 17. In the exam you may be asked to interpret a population pyramid, with a question such as: Look at the diagram showing the projected population structure of Italy in 2025 and describe the main features of the structure.
  • 18. A good answer to this question would include the following information: • The largest age groups in Italy are 50-54 and 55-59, where there are almost five million people in each group. • There are much smaller numbers in the 0-4 and 5-9 groups, with around two million people in each group. • There are more than one million males and one million females in all age groups up to 75-79. In the age groups beyond this, there are more females than males. • Boost your revision by looking again at the population pyramid. Can you suggest reasons for the pattern it shows? And can you explain the consequences of the population structure?
  • 19. Impact of a changing population  The increased population of older people means that: • there is an increased demand for health and social care • it becomes increasingly difficult for governments to provide satisfactory pensions, which are ultimately funded by the working population  The reduced numbers of babies and children means that: • there is less need for schools and school teachers • industries which provide products for children - for example pram manufacturers - may suffer • in the longer term, companies may have difficulty recruiting youthful workers
  • 20. Possible Solutions • These are some of the issues, but are there any solutions? A statement from an MSP that “Scots should be paid to breed” suggests that the use of financial incentives is one possible solution. The Singapore government has launched a pro-natalist campaign, and hopes to increase the birth rate by: o giving financial inducements for third children o giving paid maternity leave o providing state-funded child care centres • Whether these incentives would make any difference in Western Europe is debatable. The alternative option, tried in a number of countries experiencing a labour shortage, is to encourage immigration.
  • 21.
  • 22. The Demographic Transition Model Population changes over time can be shown using a Demographic Transition Model (DTM). The key here is the word transition – as every country’s population goes through periods of fluctuation, increase and decrease over the long term. It is also important to remember that this a model – so it only gives us a general idea/pattern about what we would expect to see in terms of a country’s development.
  • 23.
  • 24. Stage 1: High Fluctuating • Birth Rate and Death rate are both high. Population growth is slow and fluctuating. Reasons: • Birth Rate is high as a result of: • Lack of family planning • High Infant Mortality Rate: putting babies in the 'bank' • Need for workers in agriculture • Religious beliefs • Children as economic assets • Death Rate is high because of: • High levels of disease • Famine • Lack of clean water and sanitation • Lack of health care • War • Competition for food from predators such as rats • Lack of education • Typical of Britain in the 18th century and the Least Economically Developed Countries (ELDCs) today.
  • 25.
  • 26. Stage 2: Early Expanding • Birth Rate remains high. Death Rate is falling. Population begins to rise steadily. Reasons: • Death Rate is falling as a result of: • Improved health care (e.g. Smallpox Vaccine) • Improved Hygiene (Water for drinking boiled) • Improved sanitation • Improved food production and storage • Improved transport for food • Decreased Infant Mortality Rates • Typical of Britain in 19th century; Bangladesh; Nigeria
  • 27.
  • 28. Stage 3: Late Expanding • Birth Rate starts to fall. Death Rate continues to fall. Population rising. Reasons: • Family planning available • Lower Infant Mortality Rate • Increased mechanization reduces need for workers • Increased standard of living • Changing status of women • Typical of Britain in late 19th and early 20th century; China; Brazil
  • 29.
  • 30. Stage 4: Low Fluctuating • Birth Rate and Death Rate both low. Population steady. • NOW YOU THINK OF SOME REASONS WHY STAGE 4 IS LIKE THIS!!! • Typical of USA; Sweden; Japan; Britain
  • 31. Problems/Anomalies with the DTM Like all models, the demographic transition model has its limitations. It failed to consider, or to predict, several factors and events: 1 Birth rates in several EMDCs have fallen below death rates (Germany, Sweden). This has caused, for the first time, a population decline which suggests that perhaps the model should have a fifth stage added to it. 2 The model assumes that in time all countries pass through the same four stages. It now seems unlikely, however, that many ELDCs, especially in Africa, will ever become industrialised.
  • 32. 3 The model assumes that the fall in the death rate in Stage 2 was the consequence of industrialisation. Initially, the death rate in many British cities rose, due to the insanitary conditions which resulted from rapid urban growth, and it only began to fall after advances were made in medicine. The delayed fall in the death rate in many developing countries has been due mainly to their inability to afford medical facilities. In many countries, the fall in the birth rate in Stage 3 has been less rapid than the model suggests due to religious and/or political opposition to birth control (Brazil), whereas the fall was much more rapid, and came earlier, in China following the government-introduced ‘onechild’ policy. 4 The timescale of the model, especially in several South-east Asian countries such as Hong Kong and Malaysia, is being squashed as they develop at a much faster rate than did the early industrialised countries. 5 Countries that grew as a consequence of emigration from Europe (USA, Canada, Australia) did not pass through the early stages of the model.
  • 33.
  • 34. Censuses • Information about a population is often collected by a census • Most countries update their census every 10 years • It is a legal requirement in the UK for each household to complete the census form and accurately disclose information
  • 35. The first known census was taken by the Babylonians (from an area that is now Northern Iraq) in 3800 BC, over 5000 years ago! Records suggest that it was taken every six or seven years and counted the number of people and livestock, as well as quantities of butter, honey, milk, wool and vegetables.
  • 36.
  • 37. So, how does it work? • Since 1801, every ten years the nation has set aside one day for the census - a count of all people and households. It is the most complete source of information about the population that we have. The latest census was held on Sunday 29 April 2001. • Every effort is made to include everyone, and that is why the census is so important. It is the only survey which provides a detailed picture of the entire population, and is unique because it covers everyone at the same time and asks the same core questions everywhere. This makes it easy to compare different parts of the country.
  • 38. • The information the census provides allows central and local government, health authorities and many other organisations to target their resources more effectively and to plan housing, education, health and transport services for years to come. • In England and Wales, the census is planned and carried out by the Office for National Statistics. Elsewhere in the UK, responsibility lies with the General Register Office for Scotland and the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency.
  • 39. What is asked in a census? • No. of males & females • No. and age of residents in household • No. of rooms in household • Country of birth of residents and languages spoken • Occupation of residents • How people get to work
  • 40. DISCUSS: How does the Government benefit from having census data? Describe and explain your findings.
  • 41. Strange but true... The 2001 census was the first year in which the government asked about religion. Perhaps encouraged by a hoax chain letter that started in New Zealand, 390,000 people entered their religion as Jedi Knight (more than Sikhs, Buddhists or Jews), with some areas registering up to 2.6% of people as "Jedi". It was wrongly implied in emails that stating "Jedi" on the form would cause it to become an "official religion". No such thing exists in the United Kingdom. However, the director of reporting and analysis at the ONS stated that it may have helped with the collection process as it encouraged young people, who are often missed, to complete forms!
  • 42.
  • 43. Problems with taking censuses • Some countries have problems with either taking an accurate census or conducting a census altogether • Vital Statistics (registration of births, marriages and deaths) can be used instead to monitor population change • These can be up-to-date but aren’t as detailed whilst some countries would still encounter problems with accuracy from this information
  • 44. Nomads in Mali, North Africa
  • 45. Ethiopia: a poor country
  • 47. Piraha Tribe: Amazon Rainforest, Brazil
  • 50. Why is a Census important?
  • 51. A rich source of information... o The Census collected information about people, households and their housing. o The information from the forms was processed to produce a database from which results are drawn - information about identifiable individuals is never released. o They are presented either as simple counts, such as the number of young children, or as figures which relate one topic to another, such as the number of children in one parent families. o The linking of topics is one of the most valuable features of a Census. o Most figures are about the people who live in an area, but others are about people who work in an area or about migrants from an area.
  • 52. What does the Census tell us? The last census in Scotland took place in 2001. You can view this data at the SCROL (Scotland’s Census Results Online) website: http://www.scrol.gov.uk/scrol/common/home.jsp