1. Estimation &
Release Planning

2. Why did you
make this deck?

3. To avoid...

4. Disappointed
Customers

5. Reduced
Margins

6. Unnecessary
Stress

7. Estimation Release Planning

8. Estimation

9. An Informed
Guess

10. We want to know...

11. Size

12. Speed

13. Uncertainty

14. Cost

15. Schedule

16. Requirements Estimation

17. What makes a
good story?

18. INVEST

19. Independent

20. Negotiable

21. Valuable

22. Estimable

23. Small

24. Testable

26. Non Functional Requirements

27. Requirements Variation

28. Complexity

29. Volatility

30. Completeness

31. To recap

32. Requirements Variation

33. Requirements Variation

34. Requirements Variation

35. Requirements Variation

36. Remember...

37. Take Notes

39. Quantifying Risk

40. Complexity
Simple (1)
Volatility
Standard (2)
Completeness
Complex (3)

41. Complexity
Volatility
Low (1)
Completeness
Medium (2)
High (3)

42. Complexity
Volatility
Completeness
Complete (1)
Incomplete (2)
Unknown (3)

43. Calculate
Risk

44. Story Size

45. A mile is a mile...

46. regardless of
who’s running

47. Story Points .
. .

48. 3 estimates

49. Minimum

50. Likely

51. Maximum

52. Yet again...

53. Take Notes

54. Take Lots of Notes!

55. Use the Likely Estimate...

56. for Planning & Tracking...

57. T-shirt
sizing

58. Team Estimation

59. For each story...

60. For each story...
X 3

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$?P 4;MEMg

65. Now what are
we estimating?

66. Assumptions?

67. Agree your
constraints

68. Determining
initial velocity

69. Remember....

70. Don’t forget the
notes!

71. Estimation Release Planning

72. Release
Planning

75. Get Raw Scope

76. Get Raw Scope

77. Get Raw
Get Raw Scope
Velocity

78. Get Raw
Get Raw Scope
Velocity

79. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation

80. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation

81. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Build dev
capacity plan

82. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Build dev
capacity plan

83. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Adjust for Build dev
Velocity change capacity plan

84. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Adjust for Build dev
Velocity change capacity plan

85. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Determine no Adjust for Build dev
of iterations Velocity change capacity plan

86. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Determine no Adjust for Build dev
of iterations Velocity change capacity plan

87. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Determine no Adjust for Build dev
of iterations Velocity change capacity plan
Prepare
Timeline

88. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Determine no Adjust for Build dev
of iterations Velocity change capacity plan
Prepare
Timeline

89. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Determine no Adjust for Build dev
of iterations Velocity change capacity plan
Prepare Finalize
Timeline Resource Plan

90. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Determine no Adjust for Build dev
of iterations Velocity change capacity plan
Prepare Finalize
Timeline Resource Plan

91. Get Raw Adjust for
Get Raw Scope
Velocity Variation
Determine no Adjust for Build dev
of iterations Velocity change capacity plan
Prepare Finalize
Timeline Resource Plan Publish!!

92. Adjust for Scope Variation

93. Project Risk Profile

94. Fixed Price
Commercial Risk
(CAB?MN 2CME
Materials
Time &
,IQ?MN 2CME
Inception RFP Response
Uncertainty

95. Build a Dev Capacity Plan

96. Identify....

97. available dev pair days...

98. Consider...

100. 3C=EH?MMg
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4?=B ,?;>Mg

101. Adjust for Velocity
Variation

103. Number of Iterations

104. Prepare Timeline

108. Initiation
•Iteration 0 deprecated
•Size & resource this
carefully/ appropriately!

111. Testing
•System Integration/
UAT/ OAT, Usability...
•Phased? Incremental?

113. Deployment
Test environments,
testing, rehearsals, data
conversion, training....

115. Finalize Resource Plan

116. Release Plan
Contingency
200
150
100
50
0
I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Likely Scope Maximum Scope Cumulative Velocity

117. What happens next?

118. The Start

119. Things C hne
a g

120. If we manage change
well...

121. Clients are happy!

123. Your margins are
intact!

125. Sustainable Pace, a
Successful project...

126. and a happy team

127. Questions?

128. Thank You