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IIC: Next Generation Networks – what does the future hold? Brian Williamson 24-25 June 2008, Madrid, Spain
Sources of value from NGA Williamson and Marks.  June 2008.  “A framework for evaluating the value of next generation broadband.”  A report for the Broadband Stakeholder Group. http://www.plumconsulting.co.uk/ “ Creative destruction is the essential fact about capitalism” Joseph Schumpeter
Value from “creative destruction” 3 access networks plus NGN cores 1.5 access networks plus NGN cores “ Long tail” mobile  Networks “ Short tail” mobile networks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Copper network Deeper fibre access network Policy enablers for transformation Telecoms & broadcasting USO technology neutral Copper “switch off” - enabling policy  environment Disintermediation New relationships UHF spectrum  pricing and/or  trading Anchor product  regulation &  equivalence Price flexibility, ownership &  contracting freedom New services Resources Rationalisation Platform centric  services and  content Services on all  platforms,  over internet “ The difficulty lies, not in the new ideas, but in escaping the old ones” John Maynard Keynes
Price control will not lead to efficient investment ,[object Object],[object Object],Source: http://www.london.edu/assets/documents/PDF/LBS_functional_separation_investment_decisions_September_2007.pdf Need price flexibility, or very good central planning
Copper switch off would lower costs Williamson and Marks.  June 2008.  “A framework for evaluating the value of next generation broadband.”  A report for the Broadband Stakeholder Group. http://www.plumconsulting.co.uk/ Network element unbundling may make platform innovation harder
“ Anchor product” regulation Price Bandwidth offers over fibre Regulated “anchor product”  Emulation of service  over copper  Non “anchor product”  No price regulation “ Equivalence” only Non “anchor product”  No price regulation “ Equivalence” only Brian Williamson.  July 2007.  “New regulatory approaches to next generation access”  http://www.broadbanduk.org/component/option,com_docman/task,doc_download/gid,944/Itemid,9/ “ Anchor product” regulation balances flexibility and protection
Challenges to realising benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Some transformations may require process analogous to broadcast “digital switchover” involving industry, government and regulator

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Next Generation Networks: What does the future hold?

  • 1. IIC: Next Generation Networks – what does the future hold? Brian Williamson 24-25 June 2008, Madrid, Spain
  • 2. Sources of value from NGA Williamson and Marks. June 2008. “A framework for evaluating the value of next generation broadband.” A report for the Broadband Stakeholder Group. http://www.plumconsulting.co.uk/ “ Creative destruction is the essential fact about capitalism” Joseph Schumpeter
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Copper switch off would lower costs Williamson and Marks. June 2008. “A framework for evaluating the value of next generation broadband.” A report for the Broadband Stakeholder Group. http://www.plumconsulting.co.uk/ Network element unbundling may make platform innovation harder
  • 6. “ Anchor product” regulation Price Bandwidth offers over fibre Regulated “anchor product” Emulation of service over copper Non “anchor product” No price regulation “ Equivalence” only Non “anchor product” No price regulation “ Equivalence” only Brian Williamson. July 2007. “New regulatory approaches to next generation access” http://www.broadbanduk.org/component/option,com_docman/task,doc_download/gid,944/Itemid,9/ “ Anchor product” regulation balances flexibility and protection
  • 7.