Promoting sustainable national broadband development in the USA


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Paul Kenefick, Vice President at Alcatel-Lucent in the US, says that all available analysis projects massive growth in broadband services, particularly in mobile broadband, but that users will continually be seeking more as third party content and applications also booms. The communications industry is moving fundamentally from a service provider-centric model to a user-centric model. The US needs coherent broadband policymaking that will drive sustainable private sector activity but analyses need to look beyond simple penetration levels into other factors. International comparisons are also relevant.

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Promoting sustainable national broadband development in the USA

  1. 1. International Institute of Communications Telecommunications and Media Forum December 1, 2009 Paul Kenefick Vice President, Public Affairs Americas Region
  2. 2. Alcatel-Lucent at a Glance <ul><li>R&D PROFILE </li></ul><ul><li>Budget: €2.5 billion </li></ul><ul><li>Active Patents Held: More than 26,000 </li></ul><ul><li>Patents Awarded in 2008: More than 2,700 </li></ul><ul><li>Nobel Prizes Won: 7 </li></ul><ul><li>Ben Verwaayen Chief Executive Officer </li></ul><ul><li>Worldwide Presence: More than 130 countries </li></ul><ul><li>Annual Revenues: €16.98 billion (2008) </li></ul><ul><li>Employees: More than 77,000 </li></ul><ul><li>Employee Nationalities: More than 100 </li></ul>
  3. 4. Not only a quantitative increase but a qualitative increase in consumer demand | September 2009 Cost Challenge Traffic Revenues Time Mainly voice Multimedia/multiservice Video and content rich services are booming… Affordable broadband, proliferation of smart devices, multiplicity of multimedia/video applications. Consumers increasingly intolerable of poor quality . … but users expect more… Simple, personalized access and interaction, across any device. Application Enablement is application continuity and session continuity . … and access to 3 rd party apps & content Paid for by advertisers, free to end-users – network providers extract limited value. Moving from service provider centric model to a user centric model.
  4. 5. Beyond the initial access point, networks are increasingly converged for cost and management purposes, also to provide the seamless user experience. NMS, EMSs Converged Aggregation Service Router (BNG/MSE) Service Router SGW / PGW IP / MPLS Converged Backbone IP / Optical Converged Backbone Converged Edge 7750 SR Ethernet/MPLS Transport Converged IMS SDE Converged Policy Mobility Management (MME)
  5. 6. … so broadband demand may be recession proof, but Carrier CapEx is not… <ul><li>Spending Priorities have been changed. Moved from wireline to wireless, but these networks converge at the edge. </li></ul><ul><li>2009 . 6.1% overall CapEx decline, with cable down 9.1% and wireline down 16.2%. Only wireless capex sees growth with a 2.2% increase. Oppenheimer & Co. November 2009. </li></ul><ul><li>2010 . Growth expected to be flat. Oppenheimer & Co. November 2009. </li></ul>
  6. 7. Broadband Penetration <ul><li>The U.S. needs a plan to move towards ubiquitous broadband availability and subscription. Plans must recognize and promote sustainable investment by the private sector. </li></ul><ul><li>Counting household availability is acceptable, but international comparisons should take into account different systems, demographics, subsidies, etc. </li></ul><ul><li>Broadband statistics are a snapshot and tell only part of the story. Users of the statistics must ask why, look at trends, note historical events, etc. </li></ul>
  7. 8. Regulation and Competition Policy <ul><li>Current Trends . Broadband deployment has accelerated since 2005. Increased availability and reliance on broadband with usage exploding . </li></ul><ul><li>National Broadband Plan . Plan will attempt to close the broadband availability gap through private sector investment, subsidies and public sector grants . FCC looking at new spectrum and new platforms for broadband availability and competitive alternatives. </li></ul><ul><li>Net Neutrality . Network management regulation will inhibit the ability of service providers to manager network demand and quality. Restrictions coming right at a time when service providers need network management tools . </li></ul>
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