2. WHAT DO WE HAVE TO LOOK FORWARD TO?
As we plan into the future, are we considering the path of the
Case in point. The pendulum swings both ways. The farther it
swings one way, the farther it swings back.
3. Globalisation: Will the path of globalisation eventually lead to a
path of isolationism?
Information: Will the information that we are relying upon so
heavily, eventually become a curse that will lead people to
retrench? An information overload can make the information
virtually worthless if too much stuff cannot be accepted as reliable.
Technology: Will the technology that enhances our efforts become
so "intrusive" that we are paralysed by its intrusiveness?
Politics: Will the politics of globalisation lead to "Superpower
Centers" with a detente between i.e.: The Asian Center, The
African Center, The Middle Eastern Center, The European Center,
The Latin American Center, the North American Center?
4. THE CONSEQUENCES OF FAILURE
Before looking at the future of the G-20 in good times, it would be
beneficial to look at the consequences of the alternatives to cooperation.
The best way to do this would be to look at a Crisis Management COOP
(Continuity of Operations Programme)
The following is a suggested outline for how to deal with a crisis.
5. IMMEDIATE STEPS TO BE TAKEN
1. Establish a Crisis Management team with an established MIS for a continuity of
2. Determine potential threats from those outside the G20. Coordinate a defense
plan among the G20 nations.
3. Quantify the needs of the people of each of the countries, the resources
available from each of the G20 countries, and establish a coordinated distribution
system for the resources available.
4. Create a forecasting team to create a snapshot of the situation and to plan a
6. Follow Up
A: What are the potential threats?
1. Military invasion
2. Population dislocation
3. Starvation, disease, violence
4. Political unrest
(3 and 4 are also internal threats.)
7. B: identify the source or sources of the threats.
1. Hostile nations
2. Displaced persons
3. Agents provocateur
8. C: What will be your single point defense plan in addition to
(3) and (4) which are precisely what the G20 needs to do
Disseminate information trusted to be authentic.
Disseminate information directly through all available media to the
greatest number of people apprising them of the situation and
reassuring them of official protection and support.
Disseminate information through pre-determined media to principals
responsible for the mobilisation of forces to repulse external attack,
and to internal organisations responsible for the protection of
9. AS YOU CAN SEE
WHAT WE ARE DOING
IS PREPARING FOR A CRISIS
OF INTERNATIONAL PROPORTION
Why bring it up? To demonstrate that the alternative is more
pleasant than the medication.
10. “Some people, when confronted with new ideas, will
coagulate like white corpuscles designed to defend the
body from the medication intended to heal the illness.”
11. However, in the event that all goes well…
Perhaps we should, instead, focus on the positive aspects
of what can be accomplished with global cooperation
I will now leave my comfort-zone of being analytical to become philosophical.
12. Link the currency exchange rate to the trade
deficit/surplus numbers in a way that would balance
out the trade and currency issues. This would:
1. Help to stabilise the playing field and discourage trade and
2. Encourage co-operation instead of competition among the
nations while at the same time encouraging competition within
industries to become more efficient thus cost-effective.
13. Establish both shared agro technology and the
creation of a global food bank to stabilise and
increase the food supply among the G20 and to
stabilise emerging nations with the ability to offset
political and civil unrest arising from lack of food.
14. Provide for the co-operation among those in the
pharmaceutical industry to research and develop
medication that will be necessary to inveigh against
existing and emerging diseases. (Op. cit. B)
Whereas a heavy burden of the cost of medication arises from R&D, a
globally funded R&D programme would enable pharmaceutical companies
to work with a “fixed cost + variable cost + profit” equation enabling them to
remain profitable and fulfill shareholder and stakeholder interests by
eliminating the cost factor of R&D. These costs rise into the billions of
dollars. Pharmaceutical companies would conduct their own R&D but the
cost would not be factored into the pricing of the medication.
15. Establish an intra-G20 agency to inventory energy
resources and supplies, calculate current global
energy needs, an forecast future energy supplies
and demand among the G20 nations and among
the non-G20 nations.
16. What are the challenges for the New Managers in the
For now, Transition.
From analogue to digital. From mechanical to technical. From older bosses
with younger employees to younger bosses with both older employees and
A faster pace. From the letter, to the fax, to the email, to the iPhone to the
iPad. A faster pace in the barrage of questions and a demand for a faster
reply with answers.
17. Precision. Then: a little more, a little less, a couple of shims and a
few extra screws. Now: a digital answer with the engineer's zero.
6.54 is not acceptable. Now the answer must read 6.540
A compelling necessity for senior level expertise. Sometimes you
cannot delegate responsibility. With the abundance of expertise,
recognising the quality among the quantity is crucial. Now find the
person on your team capable of doing it.
Global interface. With so much coming from so many different
people in so many different places, try to find someone capable of
working with them.
18. LIMIT THE NUMBER OF EXPERTS
For every ten experts who say "Do this!", you have ten experts who say, "Do that!"
Then someone else will produce ten experts who say, "Do something else."
Another ten experts will say, "They're all right".
Another ten experts will say, "They're all wrong".
Another ten experts will ask, "Who's to say what's right or wrong?"
Then the facilitator of the group will say, " There's no "I" in team! :-) "
If you don't believe me, ask an expert.
LIMIT THE NUMBER OF EXPERTS
19. Establish a Global Consortia
20. S M E
Focus on Small and Medium Enterprise
Aid in Kind
Enhance the technologies of:
And the Study of Surficial Geology
22. ESTABLISH A
Management and Operations Structure
This will enable the Consortia to Manage the Process to Insure
That Those Working on the Project are Task Oriented, Goal
Oriented, and Result Oriented.