3. Page 3
WORLDWIDE MEGATRENDS
Certain megatrends are visible all over the world
Growing world
population
Especially in
emerging nations
Increased mobility
and “spillover”
Population growth
Movement from
rural to urban areas
Growth/ agglomeration
of cities
Establishment of
megacities
Increasing urbanization
Increasing income and media
presence raises tendency to
consume energy,
products, services
demand communication,
participation
Growing aspiration level
Imminent end of oil, gas
and coal resources
Despite improved
extraction technologies
Increasing cost/
price per unit
Reduction of fossil fuels
4. Seite 4
MEGATRENDS AND CITY CHALLENGES
The worldwide trends raise specific challenges in regards to the design,
organization and required technologies of future cities
Population growth
Provision of adequate framework and infrastructure
Organization of means of daily living (provision, interaction etc.)
Management diverse requirements/ interests and big data
Increased urbanization
Sustainable production, building and housing
Effective mobility and traffic management
While ensuring/ improving (high) livability
Higher aspiration level
Sustainable treatment of resources while meeting increased
demand for (more sophisticated) products
Enable easy communication and broad participation (political,
social, economic)
Reduction of fossil fuels
Need for alternative energy sources, as well as alternative ways
of electricity production and distribution
While maintaining a reliable provision with (increased amount
of) energy
6. Page 6
(BASIC) REQUIREMENTS OF THE FUTURE CITY
The ideal future city features at least six essential components
Approaches
for city planning
Effective
Building/
Housing
Efficient
real-time
communication
Sustainable
mobility
Waste &
resources
management
Ensured
high livability
Renewable
energy
7. Page 7
Efficient infrastructure (smart grids, local micro-grids etc.), energy storage technologies
and ICT framework enable a
production oriented consumption in real-time PROsumer markets
POSSIBLE RENEWABLE SOURCES
Substituting a major share of conventional with renewable
energy sources is unavoidable
Offshore/ onshore
Efficient production
Grid adaption/ expansion
Suitable energy storage
concepts
Field and roof top (private/
commercial) PV-installations
Efficient photovoltaic
modules
Suitable energy storage
concepts
Ocean energy/ tidal
technologies
Solar hot water heating
Biomass power and heat
Biogas
Hydropower
Geothermics
Etc.
Wind Sun Others
8. Page 8
New houses and buildings should be planned and constructed
according to energy saving and producing parameters
Private renewable
energy production
Use of human
energy sources
(body heat, walking,
dancing, work-out)
Biomass
technologies
Increase energy production
Heat insulation
bidirectional smart
meters and smart
electrical household
appliances
Storage and/ or sale of
residual (privately
produced) energy
Reduce waste of energy
Sustainable, autarkic, smart homes, shops and factories provide the
„cells“ of sustainable, autarkic, smart cities
MEANS OF RESIDUAL ENERGY SAVING
9. Page 9
SUSTAINABLE PRODUCT CYCLE
A comprehensive cycle of resources, products and waste should
be promoted to become the “general case”
Recycled products “better than
new”
No „green ideologists“-
approach
Intensified consumer
information
Incentives/ subsidies to
enhance the sale and purchase
of recycled products
Mainstreaming of
recycling products
Intense R&D for high recycling
technologies
Recycling of everything
Re-use of resources prepared
by the production
Extended producer
responsibility/ company
internal recycling
Improved deposit return
systems
Effective and comprehensive
recycling approach
Efficient production of goods
and services (energy and
material saving)
Production linked to
consumption (especially in
agricultural production)
100% biodegradable or
recyclable products and
packages
Incentives/ laws to establish
responsible consumption
amongst consumers
Reasonable treatment of
resources
Reduced use of new recourses
Residualwaste,ifpossible,shouldbeusedfor
additionalenergyproduction
“close to zero” footprint
waste
product
product
waste
10. Page 10
ELEMENTS OF FUTURE MOBILITY
The future city’s mobility is efficient, customized, shared and
connected
No (local) exhausts
No (unnecessary) noise
Connected (with infrastructure
and other vehicles)
Individual/ customized
Collective/ shared
Self steering
Features
Smart distribution and
fueling systems for
renewable energy
alternative fuels
ICT-Infrastructure for
multimodal transport
services, vehicle2x-
communication and
navigation
Infrastructure
Shared mobility (shared vehicles, shared rides, shared parking)
Integrated multimodal (public transport, cars, ships, planes, taxis, bikes, busses etc.) transport system
Customized, easy mobility service by “mobility provider” to align personal needs with public requirements
Concepts
Electric
Battery (incl. 2nd life)
Fuel Cells
Alternative fuels (e.g. Bio-
Hydrogen)
Zero emission from cradle
to grave
Propulsion
11. Page 11
POSSIBLE ICT SUPPORT DURING COURSE OF THE DAY (EXAMPLE)
Free ICT-services with high security standards allow for constant
creation, community, connection and curation
at work leisureWake up way home
Most efficient connection to work or meeting
calculated real-time, automatic travel planning
by “mobility provider”, free-hand communi-
cation ubiquitously available (mobile or in-
vehicle device)
If necessary, at all: through adequate ICT-
infrastructure and security systems, cloud
solutions, mobile data etc. large parts of
office work can be settled location-
independent, offices are predominantly
“meeting places” for personal exchange
Constant free communication enabled
(communication acknowledged as human
right and economy booster as well as
prerequisite for direct democracy); leisure
planning through automated personal
assistant and/ or trainer function
to work
Wake up according to scheduled day plan
and ideal R.E.M phase; coffee maker and
breakfast delivery in accordance, integrated
information/ communication system ubiqui-
tously available, health check by tooth brush
and scale, data sent to personal M.D.
Prepare smart home
according to needs
of the day (oven,
shopping, heating,
bath tub etc.)
evening
Customizable integrated
TV-music-web-library
with (cinema) sharing
function; set parameters
for next day, start medi-
cal sleep diagnostics
12. Page 12
ASPECTS & ROLE MODELS OF LIVABILITY
Despite all progress the livability should be improved or, in case,
kept at a high level
High
livability,
integrating
technologi-
cal progress
with human
needs
Environmental factors: politics,
economy traffic, pollution etc.
Progress in the
implementation of
future city components
should not neglect
essential factors of
human well being
Personal factors: security,
education, health, housing etc.
Social factors: connectivity, social &
cultural institution etc.
Vancouver Vienna ZurichAuckland Madrid
14. Page 14
COMPONENTS AND RESULTING VALUES
Establishing and securing the preceding components will lead to
creation and maintenance of high-level values
Large quantities of population can
live and be supplied in close
neighborhood
Effective building / housing
Long term security regarding
provision with goods/ service and
absence of corresponding pollution
Waste & resources management
Efficient and customized mass
mobility at zero emissions
Sustainable mobility
Local production secures
independence, reduces emissions
and saves cost
Renewable energy
Efficient inclusion (and
corresponding planning and
communication) of (results of) single
and group interests and demands
Efficient real-time communication
Essential values of human living are
being maintained and improved
Ensured high livability
Personal
health and
freedom
Availability of
goods and
services
Economic and
political
stability
Positive future
prospects
Sharing and
caring attitude
15. Seite 15
FACTORS AND APPROACHES (SELECTION)
In order to prepare the future city, several influencing factors
must be addressed
Involved
factors
Economy
Customers
Surrounding/
environment
General
mindset
Legal
framework
Politics
Connection with other cities,
rural areas, as well as state
and federal level towards
mutual support
Sustainable mainstreaming;
trust in new technologies;
openness for change;
Willingness to share
Cutting of subsidies for old
and investment into new
technologies; influence legal
framework
Detection of growth areas in
sustainable branches, new
applications and technnolo-
gies; develop new solutions
and business cases
Willingness to (partially)
accept higher prices, new pro-
ducts and purchasing models;
take over serious respon-
sibility for future generations
Establishment of laws and
incentives, on witch the
preceding components can
grow
16. Page 16
QUESTIONS (SELECTION) AND CITY ASSESSMENT (EXAMPLE)
Regarding the implementation of the components, particular
questions need to be analyzed according to the specific situation
Energy
Housing
Re-
sources
Mobility
Communi
-cation
Livability
City A (2014)
Energy
Housing
Re-
sources
Mobility
Communi
-cation
Livability
City A (2024)
“Smooth”
transition
componentOrder of component
implementation
Interaction of the
components in an
integrated system
Technological
readiness/ sourcing
Specific local influenceSpecific local influence
factors
Stakeholder/ interestStakeholder/ interest
groups
Cost of
implementation of
every single
component
Long term
business cases
…
Duration/ timeDuration/ time
table
