The document summarizes recent evidence on the emerging impact of the recession on the voluntary and community sector in the UK. It finds that around 30% of organizations have seen funding fall due to the recession based on surveys. Confidence levels in the sector have also declined significantly. While demand for services is expected to rise, many organizations do not feel they can meet this rising demand due to concerns over future funding. The impact is expected to vary between organizations based on factors like income sources, assets, and size.

1. The emerging impact of the recession on the voluntary and community sector A review of recent surveys and evidence NCVO/OTS Recession Summit, June 2009 Karl Wilding & Elizabeth Chamberlain NCVO Public Policy Contact: [email_address] John Mohan Third Sector Research Centre Contact: [email_address] TSRC Third Sector Research Centre

3. Underlying stability?

10. What’s the baseline? Normal years see organisations experiencing falling income Larger charities Proportion of charities experiencing an increase in income, by decile Base: 56,663 56% 56% 56% 56% 56% 57% All 66% 66% 69% 67% 71% 68% 90-100 60% 59% 61% 60% 62% 60% 80-90 58% 59% 58% 58% 58% 56% 70-80 58% 58% 58% 57% 58% 54% 60-70 55% 54% 56% 55% 55% 52% 50-60 53% 54% 53% 53% 54% 49% 40-50 54% 52% 53% 55% 52% 54% 30-40 54% 54% 53% 54% 52% 58% 20-30 54% 52% 52% 53% 54% 60% 10-20 52% 50% 50% 49% 48% 59% 0-10 2008 vs 07 2007 vs 06 2006 vs 05 2005 vs 04 2004 vs 03 2003 vs 02 % Decile