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India  - At Inflection Point Shantanu Bhagwat The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should not be used, quoted,  transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2006 Email:  shantanu20ATgmail.com
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should not be used, quoted,  transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2006  Email:  [email_address]
“ The Rise of India ”
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
India - at an Inflection Point… * Source WEFA-WMM, BHP Billiton Slides ** Economic Times, 8 th  Jul ‘05 Breaking through the 4% barrier…  ,[object Object],[object Object],Trivia** 11kms per year 11kms per day
[object Object],[object Object],India - at an Inflection Point… Source: Nokia, “New Horizons”, Q2 ’05  http://sifybroadband.techwhack.com/category/hutch/   New Additions in Apr ’06: 3.9m (5.1m including CDMA); At end-Apr ’06, total no. of subscribers at 90m+; Forecast CAGR between ’04 – ’07 ~ 85%
India - at an Inflection Point… Growth in Tele-density  Source: Capitaline, SBIMF; CAGR between ’92 – ’06 ~ 23%  % Tele-density Net Profit of all Listed Cos. Rs Cr. CAGR (’00 – ’06) ~ 26%
India - at an Inflection Point… Stupendous Growth in Consumer Electronics  Source: FICCI
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Re-Discovery of India… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  http://www.newindpress.com/column/News.asp?Topic=-97&Title=S%2EGurumurthy&ID=IE620061115230938&nDate=&Sub=&Cat
The Re-Discovery of India… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Hindu Contribution to Science and Mathematics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Hindu Contribution to Science and Mathematics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Fore more information, please read:  http://in.rediff.com/news/2003/aug/22kak.htm  and  http://karigar.sulekha.com/blog/post/2006/12/karnataki-karbon-nanotube-swords-forget-s-indian.htm
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why this is more than a “blip”… A demographics-driven , consumer-led growth… Population (m)
Why this is more than a “blip”… * Stephen Roach, Chief Economist, Morgan Stanley. May ’06  http://us.rediff.com/money/2006/may/12spec.htm ** Consumer expenditure as % of GDP (67% of GDP); Second only to US (70%); China – 42% Demographics Consumer Spend Infrastructure Spend ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“… the Indian economy is going through an absolutely critical point in its own transition”*
Why this is more than a “blip”… … making India  the third largest economy in the world by 2035 Together, these factors will lead to sustained GDP growth over the next decade and several years after… Demographics Consumer Spend Infrastructure Spend 6% ~ 8%  GDP Growth 3 rd  largest economy in the world ~ 2035 2005 - 2015 2005 - 2015
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The World in 2050… Source:  http://doku.cac.at/world_by_geography_2.jpg
The World in 2050… Source: McKinsey Quarterly, Nov ’04 (“The scrutable East”, Marc H. Goedhart, Timothy Koller, Nicolas C. Leung Forecast GDP ($ trillions)
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A role model for the 21 st  century ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Questions, Comments? Shantanu Bhagwat @  www.global-themes.com   The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should not be used, quoted,  transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2006 Email:  shantanu20ATgmail.com

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India's Rise to Power

  • 1. India - At Inflection Point Shantanu Bhagwat The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should not be used, quoted, transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2006 Email: shantanu20ATgmail.com
  • 2.
  • 3. “ The Rise of India ”
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. India - at an Inflection Point… Growth in Tele-density Source: Capitaline, SBIMF; CAGR between ’92 – ’06 ~ 23% % Tele-density Net Profit of all Listed Cos. Rs Cr. CAGR (’00 – ’06) ~ 26%
  • 8. India - at an Inflection Point… Stupendous Growth in Consumer Electronics Source: FICCI
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Why this is more than a “blip”… A demographics-driven , consumer-led growth… Population (m)
  • 17.
  • 18. Why this is more than a “blip”… … making India the third largest economy in the world by 2035 Together, these factors will lead to sustained GDP growth over the next decade and several years after… Demographics Consumer Spend Infrastructure Spend 6% ~ 8% GDP Growth 3 rd largest economy in the world ~ 2035 2005 - 2015 2005 - 2015
  • 19.
  • 20. The World in 2050… Source: http://doku.cac.at/world_by_geography_2.jpg
  • 21. The World in 2050… Source: McKinsey Quarterly, Nov ’04 (“The scrutable East”, Marc H. Goedhart, Timothy Koller, Nicolas C. Leung Forecast GDP ($ trillions)
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Questions, Comments? Shantanu Bhagwat @ www.global-themes.com The contents of this presentation and the opinions expressed therein (unless stated otherwise), are the intellectual property of Shantanu Bhagwat and should not be used, quoted, transmitted or distributed in any form or manner, without the explicit and written consent of the author. © Shantanu Bhagwat, 2006 Email: shantanu20ATgmail.com