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Licensing and IP Valuation Ruth Fisher, PhD www.QuantAA.com
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
When and Why You Need a Valuation Expert ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Valuation Effort Required Large Very High Litigation Large High Intra-Company Transfers Large High Joint Ventures Large High Tax-Related Ventures Level of Effort Required Expected Degree of Scrutiny Circumstance
Valuation Effort Required  (cont.) Medium Medium R&D Investment Medium Medium In-Kind Contribution Medium Medium Licensing  (Sale & Purchase) Medium Medium Business Decision Making Level of Effort Required Expected Degree of Scrutiny Circumstance
Valuation Effort Required  (cont.) Source:  Patrick H. Sullivan,  Profiting from Intellectual Capital: Extracting Value from Innovation .  John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1998, p.183. Small Low Initial Estimate Medium Medium Exploitation Potential Medium Medium Portfolio Management Level of Effort Required Expected Degree of Scrutiny Circumstance
Components of  IP Valuations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fields of Use ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Examples of Fields of Use ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fields of Use Matrix $50M $100M $75M Latin America $0 $200M $100M Household Products $750M $50M $500M Entertainment $50M $100M $250M Food Asia Europe U.S.
Present Discounted Value ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Present Discounted Value   (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Discount Factors:  A Graphical Illustration
Discounted Factor
Present Discounted Value:  A Tabular Example $2.61 ( ↓   48%) 0.20 0.30 0.44 0.67 1.00 Discount Factor  r = 50% $3.36 ( ↓   33%) 0.41 0.51 0.64 0.80 1.00 Discount Factor  r = 25% $4.17 ( ↓   17%) 0.68 0.75 0.83 0.91 1.00 Discount Factor  r = 10% $5.00 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 Nominal $ PV Period 5 Period 4 Period 3 Period 2 Period 1
Present Discounted Value:  A Tabular Example   (cont.)
Present Discounted Value:  Another Tabular Example $2.48 ( ↓   26%) $2 $2 $1 $0 $0 Nominal $ $4.24 ( ↑   26%) $0 $0 $1 $2 $2 Nominal $ $3.36 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 Nominal $ 0.41 0.51 0.64 0.80 1.00 Discount Factor:  r = 25% PV Period 5 Period 4 Period 3 Period 2 Period 1
Present Discounted Value:  Another Tabular Example   (cont.)
Discount Rates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sample Discount Rates Patrick H. Sullivan,  Profiting from Intellectual Capital: Extracting Value from Innovation . John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1998, p.339. Gordon V. Smith and Russell L. Parr,  Valuation of Intellectual Property and Intangible Assets, 3 rd  Edition.  John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2000, p.506.  Source 0-30%  25% Advanced 30-50% 30-40% Intermediate 50-75% 50% Basic Discount Rate 2 Discount Rate 1 Stage of Development
Profit If Successful ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cost-Based Approach ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market-Based Approach ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Size of Product Market Total Population Old Market = New Market Marginal Change Total Population Old Market Revolutionary Change New Market
Economic Analysis   (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contribution of IP to Profits
Economic Analysis   (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Analysis   (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Analysis   (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Product Lifecycle
Profit Allocation: Licensor v. Licensee Profit from Invention Licensor’s Share Licensee’s Share
Profit Allocation: Licensor v. Licensee ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Profit Allocation: Licensor v. Licensee   (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Profit Allocation: Licensor v. Licensee   (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Maximization of IP Value   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contact Information

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Licensing & IP Valutation

  • 1. Licensing and IP Valuation Ruth Fisher, PhD www.QuantAA.com
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Valuation Effort Required Large Very High Litigation Large High Intra-Company Transfers Large High Joint Ventures Large High Tax-Related Ventures Level of Effort Required Expected Degree of Scrutiny Circumstance
  • 5. Valuation Effort Required (cont.) Medium Medium R&D Investment Medium Medium In-Kind Contribution Medium Medium Licensing (Sale & Purchase) Medium Medium Business Decision Making Level of Effort Required Expected Degree of Scrutiny Circumstance
  • 6. Valuation Effort Required (cont.) Source: Patrick H. Sullivan, Profiting from Intellectual Capital: Extracting Value from Innovation . John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1998, p.183. Small Low Initial Estimate Medium Medium Exploitation Potential Medium Medium Portfolio Management Level of Effort Required Expected Degree of Scrutiny Circumstance
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Fields of Use Matrix $50M $100M $75M Latin America $0 $200M $100M Household Products $750M $50M $500M Entertainment $50M $100M $250M Food Asia Europe U.S.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Discount Factors: A Graphical Illustration
  • 15. Present Discounted Value: A Tabular Example $2.61 ( ↓ 48%) 0.20 0.30 0.44 0.67 1.00 Discount Factor r = 50% $3.36 ( ↓ 33%) 0.41 0.51 0.64 0.80 1.00 Discount Factor r = 25% $4.17 ( ↓ 17%) 0.68 0.75 0.83 0.91 1.00 Discount Factor r = 10% $5.00 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 Nominal $ PV Period 5 Period 4 Period 3 Period 2 Period 1
  • 16. Present Discounted Value: A Tabular Example (cont.)
  • 17. Present Discounted Value: Another Tabular Example $2.48 ( ↓ 26%) $2 $2 $1 $0 $0 Nominal $ $4.24 ( ↑ 26%) $0 $0 $1 $2 $2 Nominal $ $3.36 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 Nominal $ 0.41 0.51 0.64 0.80 1.00 Discount Factor: r = 25% PV Period 5 Period 4 Period 3 Period 2 Period 1
  • 18. Present Discounted Value: Another Tabular Example (cont.)
  • 19.
  • 20. Sample Discount Rates Patrick H. Sullivan, Profiting from Intellectual Capital: Extracting Value from Innovation . John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1998, p.339. Gordon V. Smith and Russell L. Parr, Valuation of Intellectual Property and Intangible Assets, 3 rd Edition. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2000, p.506. Source 0-30% 25% Advanced 30-50% 30-40% Intermediate 50-75% 50% Basic Discount Rate 2 Discount Rate 1 Stage of Development
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Size of Product Market Total Population Old Market = New Market Marginal Change Total Population Old Market Revolutionary Change New Market
  • 26.
  • 27. Contribution of IP to Profits
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 32. Profit Allocation: Licensor v. Licensee Profit from Invention Licensor’s Share Licensee’s Share
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.