This presentation by Paul Schumann provides an introduction of his way of looking at the future and developing foresight.

1. Becoming Your Own Futurist Paul Schumann Glocal Vantage Inc.

2. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 2 Topics The Future Types of Futures Insight Into the Future Knowing Yourself Insight & Creativity

3. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 3 Topics The Future Types of Futures Insight Into the Future Knowing Yourself Insight & Creativity

4. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 4 Types of Futuring What are possible futures? Can we find a path to get to those futures? What is the trend? What may affect the trend? What are the potential futures? Future 2 Normative Today Future 1 Projective

5. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 5 Topics The Future Types of Futures Insight Into the Future Knowing Yourself Insight & Creativity

6. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 6 The Four Futures Simple Cyclical Chaotic Complex

7. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 7 The Four Futures Simple Cyclical Chaotic Complex

8. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 8 The Four Futures Simple Cyclical Chaotic Complex

9. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 9 The Four Futures Simple Cyclical Chaotic Complex

10. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 10 The Four Futures Simple Cyclical Chaotic Complex

12. Second Industrial Revolution (1860 - 1950)

14. Counter Productive (25 years)

16. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 14 The Four Futures Simple Cyclical Chaotic Complex

17. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 15 EPIC 2015 EPIC by Robin Sloan & Matt Thompson, http://www.albinoblacksheep.com/flash/epic (2005)

18. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 16 The Four Futures Simple Cyclical Chaotic Complex

19. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 17 The Four Futures Simple Cyclical Chaotic Complex Earthquakes

20. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 18 Topics The Future Types of Futures Insight Into the Future Knowing Yourself Insight & Creativity

21. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 19 Four Causes of Reality First Cause: Material Second Cause: Formal Third Cause: Efficient Fourth Cause: Final (Purpose)

22. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 20 Driving Forces Demographic Sociopolitical Technological Economic

23. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 21 Demographic Population Growth Age Distribution Multiculturalism

24. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 22 Population Growth

25. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 23 Age Distribution Source: Snyder, et al, “The Strategic Context of Education in America 2000 - 2020

26. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 24 Sociopolitical Openness Smart Mobs Innovation Commons Gender Equity Decentralization Pluralism Paradoxical Non-Career Lives

27. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 25 Technological Infocom Technologies Internet Personal Devices Wireless Digital Location Sensors Embedded Infocom Devices New Software Applications Genomics Nanomaterials Nanomachines

28. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 26 Internet Users

29. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 27 Economic Growth Innovation Service Virtual Integration Glocality Games

30. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 28 Nature of Work Source: Snyder, et al, “The Strategic Context of Education in America 2000 - 2020

31. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 29 Economic Maturation of Technology Nonproductive (25 years) Counter Productive (25 years) Hyperproductive and Transformational (25 years)

32. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 30 Developing Foresight Planning Implementation Decision/Question Qualitative Quantitative Time Probability Output Techniques Projective Normative Assumptions Data Insight Judgement Inputs

33. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 31 Techniques to Improve Foresight Surveillance Trend Analysis Expert Opinion Integrative

34. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 32 Techniques to Improve Foresight Surveillance Trend Analysis Expert Opinion Integrative Scanning Monitoring Tracking

35. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 33 Surveillance Moving away Moving tangentially Moving towards Scanning Monitoring Tracking Not moving, getting smaller Not moving, getting larger

36. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 34 Techniques to Improve Foresight Surveillance Trend Analysis Expert Opinion Integrative Analogy Precursor developments Trend extrapolation Limit curve Substitution analysis Multiple substitution analysis

37. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 35 Techniques to Improve Foresight Surveillance Trend Analysis Expert Opinion Integrative Interviews Surveys Groups

38. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 36 Techniques to Improve Foresight Scenarios SWOT Opportunity/Threat Analysis Cross Impact Analysis Innovation Map Mathematical models Road Map Four Laws Future Frequencies Surveillance Trend Analysis Expert Opinion Integrative

39. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 37 Topics The Future Types of Futures Insight Into the Future Knowing Yourself Insight & Creativity

40. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 38 Knowing Yourself Be Aware Temperament Blind Spots Values & Information The Most Important Driving Forces Are Invisible

41. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 39

42. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 40 Knowing Yourself Be Aware Temperament Blind Spots Values & Information The Most Important Driving Forces Are Invisible

43. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 41 Temperament NT “Rationalists” SJ “Guardian” NF “Idealists” SP “Artisans”

44. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 42 Knowing Yourself Be Aware Temperament Blind Spots Values & Information The Most Important Driving Forces Are Invisible

45. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 43 Blind Spots Unknown Others Known Known Unknown Self

46. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 44 Knowing Yourself Be Aware Temperament Blind Spots Values & Information The Most Important Driving Forces Are Invisible

47. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 45 Values and Information Different Values Same Different Same Information

48. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 46 Knowing Yourself Be Aware Temperament Blind Spots Values & Information The Most Important Driving Forces Are Invisible

49. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 47 Topics The Future Types of Futures Insight Into the Future Knowing Yourself Insight & Creativity

50. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 48 Insight and Creativity Creativity Wisdom Knowledge Creativity Data Creativity Noise Information

51. Glocal Vantage, Inc. 49 “There is absolutely no inevitability as long as there is a willingness to contemplate what is happening.” Marshall McLuhan

52. Paul Schumann PO Box 161475 Austin, TX 78716 512.632.6586 paul.schumann@glocalvantage.com http://incollaboration.ning.com http://centexwfs.ning.com Glocal Vantage, Inc. 50