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Road Map for Portugal   Rei Fernandes Research Group on Energy & Sustainable Development Instituto Superior Técnico
Overview  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Hydrogen Economy ,[object Object],[object Object]
A Hydrogen Roadmap is: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Hydrogen Roadmap is: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Origins of PT Roadmap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
HyWays Recommendations
Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],These scenarios have a mandatory target for hydrogen technologies for the transport, residential and commercial sectors at two different penetration rates
Penetration Rates Transport   Stationary   40.0% 22.6% 7.6% 0.7% Moderate penetration 74.5% 54.4% 23.7% 3.3% High penetration 2050 2040 2030 2020 Scenario / Point in Time 1.7% 5% 0.7% 2% 0.2% 0.5% >0% 0.1% Moderate penetration 3.3% 10% 2.7% 8% 1.3% 4% 0.3% 1% High penetration Com Res Com Res Com Res Com Res 2050 2040 2030 2020 Scenario
Bounds  Minimum share of renewable energy in hydrogen production T echnology-specific bounds for hydrogen production   40% 33.3% 26.7% 20% 2050 2040 2030 2020 <30% <20% <15% Solar thermochemical cycles <10% <15% <20% <20% Centralised production with CCS (coal and natural gas) >7.5% >5% >5% >2.5% Wave >20% >20% >10% >7.5% Wind  5-10% 5-15% 5-15% >5% Biomass 2050 2040 2030 2020 Technology/fuel
Models used ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Modelling Schematic representation of the modelling process   (Adapted from  HyWays) Schematic representation of the TIMES modelling process
Total Hydrogen Production ,[object Object],[object Object]
Hydrogen Production Mix
CO2 & GHG Emissions: Commercial  Supply Sector Transport   Total GHG emissions
CO2 emissions: & driving cycle   According to  vehicle type   According to  driving cycle
Astra Modelling Results ,[object Object]
Impact on economic indicators
Impact on Employment
Overall Impact  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Remarks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
‘ 20-20-20’ target ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],&quot;Energy for a Changing World – An Energy Policy for Europe”,  the goals of its Lisbon Strategy and the European Council’s Conclusion on a European Energy Strategy for Transport, 29 May 2007
Governance of the JTI TRANSPORTATION POWER GENERATION PORTABLE & MICRO POWER HYDROGEN PRODUCTION & DISTRIBUTION SMALL & MEDIUM ENTERPRISES CROSS CUTTING RESEARCH INSTITUTES EUROPEAN COMMISSION Public Bodies 50% voting Private Bodies (Industry Group) 50% voting The governing board is to represent all major stakeholders ‘ Joint Undertaking’ on the basis of Article 171 of the EC Treaty E E E E E R T G P H S C E R T G P H S C
FCH JU  F uel  C ell   &  H ydrogen  J oint  U ndertaking ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EU Regions workshop in Turin
KCAM conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Actor Groups
Medium-term Prospects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Action plan for PT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Actions up to 2020 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],No  need dense hydrogen distribution network;
Actions 2020 to 2030 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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17 Nov08 Rei Fernandes

  • 1. Road Map for Portugal Rei Fernandes Research Group on Energy & Sustainable Development Instituto Superior Técnico
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Penetration Rates Transport Stationary 40.0% 22.6% 7.6% 0.7% Moderate penetration 74.5% 54.4% 23.7% 3.3% High penetration 2050 2040 2030 2020 Scenario / Point in Time 1.7% 5% 0.7% 2% 0.2% 0.5% >0% 0.1% Moderate penetration 3.3% 10% 2.7% 8% 1.3% 4% 0.3% 1% High penetration Com Res Com Res Com Res Com Res 2050 2040 2030 2020 Scenario
  • 12. Bounds Minimum share of renewable energy in hydrogen production T echnology-specific bounds for hydrogen production 40% 33.3% 26.7% 20% 2050 2040 2030 2020 <30% <20% <15% Solar thermochemical cycles <10% <15% <20% <20% Centralised production with CCS (coal and natural gas) >7.5% >5% >5% >2.5% Wave >20% >20% >10% >7.5% Wind 5-10% 5-15% 5-15% >5% Biomass 2050 2040 2030 2020 Technology/fuel
  • 13.
  • 14. Modelling Schematic representation of the modelling process (Adapted from HyWays) Schematic representation of the TIMES modelling process
  • 15.
  • 17. CO2 & GHG Emissions: Commercial Supply Sector Transport Total GHG emissions
  • 18. CO2 emissions: & driving cycle According to vehicle type According to driving cycle
  • 19.
  • 20. Impact on economic indicators
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Governance of the JTI TRANSPORTATION POWER GENERATION PORTABLE & MICRO POWER HYDROGEN PRODUCTION & DISTRIBUTION SMALL & MEDIUM ENTERPRISES CROSS CUTTING RESEARCH INSTITUTES EUROPEAN COMMISSION Public Bodies 50% voting Private Bodies (Industry Group) 50% voting The governing board is to represent all major stakeholders ‘ Joint Undertaking’ on the basis of Article 171 of the EC Treaty E E E E E R T G P H S C E R T G P H S C
  • 28.
  • 30.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.