THE MAGNITUDE 6.0 NAPA VALLEY, CA EARTHQUAKE 3:20 AM, AUGUST 24, 2014. Strongest in area since the M 6.9 1989 Loma Prieta Quake, BUT about 1/30th the energy release. EARLY REPORTS OF SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS: Local damage to buildings and houses, injuries, but no deaths (yet), Damage to contents, Loss of Power, Damage to Highway 12, Local fires, Aftershocks
EVERY TIME AN EARTHQUAKE DISASTER OCCURS, WE HAVE NEW KNOWLEDGE TO ADD TO OUR “BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE” ON ANTICIPATING FUTURE IMPACTS. Presentation courtesy of Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction
2. THE MAGNITUDE 6.0 NAPA
VALLEY, CA EARTHQUAKE
3:20 AM, AUGUST 24, 2014
Strongest in area since the M 6.9
1989 Loma Prieta Quake, BUT about
1/30th the energy release
6. AUGUST 24: EARLY REPORTS OF
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS
• Local damage to buildings and
houses, injuries, but no deaths (yet)
• Damage to contents
• Loss of Power
• Damage to Highway 12
• Local fires
• Aftershocks
7. Dr. Walter Hays
US Geological Survey (Retired)
Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction
19. WHAT IS EARTHQUAKE PREPAREDNESS?
A state of readiness on individual, urban,
sub-regional, and national scales that is
sufficient to keep the expected and
unexpected effects of an earthquake from
causing a disaster
20. ANTICIPATION IS THE KEY TO
PREPAREDNESS
• Strong ground shaking
• Tsunami wave run up
• Liquefaction
• Landslides
• Aftershocks
• Vulnerabilities
24. WHAT IS PROTECTION?
A legally mandated state of planning and
verified robustness, strength, and
ductility for important buildings and
essential - critical infrastructure to prevent
loss of function
25. WHAT IS EMERGENCY RESPONSE
All of the scripted and unscripted heroic
and historic responses during the “race
against time” after a quake to save lives
and protect property
26. KEY ELEMENTS OF PREPAREDNESS
• Know your seimic activity (i.e.,
Seismicity )
• Know your fault zones
• Know your Vulnerabilites
34. FACILITATES ADVANCE PLANNING FOR
IMPLEMENTING ”INTELLIGENT EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT” PRACTICES BEFORE PAST MAJOR
EARTHQUAKES RECUR AND READINESS WHEN THEY
DO
Source: US Geological Survey and many
public-private sector partners
36. INTEGRATED
KNOWLEDGE
• WHAT IS LIKELY TO
HAPPEN
• WHERE
• WHY
• HOW BAD
• WHAT CAN WE DO TO
MINIMIZE THE
SOCIOECONOMIC
IMPACTS
EARTHQUAKE
SCENARIO
EARTHQUAKE RISK
REDUCTION
POSTDISASTER
INVESTIGATIONS
MONITORING
AND RESEARCH
38. NORTHERN CALIFORNIA: WHAT NEEDS
TO BE ANTICIPATED?
• How likely is a damaging
earthquake to occur?
• Where and when will it occur?
• How big will it be?
• How strong will its potential
disaster agents be?
39. • The Bay Area is prone to large
earthquakes because it straddles the
boundary between two major
tectonic plates — the North American
and Pacific plates.
40.
41.
42.
43.
44. • Much of the stress release happens
on the San Andreas fault, but some of
it is relieved by the Hayward fault and
other smaller parallel faults.
45. • Because of its location in the densely
populated Bay area of 7 million
people, a Hayward fault quake is likely
to cause worse societal impacts than a
San Andreas quake and be one of the
nation's largest natural disasters.
48. WHAT NEEDS TO BE ANTICIPATED
(Continued)?
• What kinds of buildings are at
risk?
• What kinds of basic, essential,
and critical infrastructure are
at risk?
• What are the physical
vulnerabilities?
49. • Potentially affecting 5 million people, a
Hayward fault quake damages homes,
schools, senior centers, hospitals,
businesses, the Bay bridge, and the campus
of University of California, Berkeley.
50. WHAT NEEDS TO BE ANTICIPATED
(Continued)?
• What are the social
vulnerabilities?
• What is the likely damage
distribution?
• What are the HAT ARE THE
LIKELY CASUALTIES, SOCIO-
ECONOMIC, AND
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS?
51. • Damage will be extensive to
buildings and infrastructure.
•The region's transportation
infrastructure and water delivery
systems are expected to take a major
hit in a M7.0 or greater earthquake.
52. • A M7.0 earthquake on the Hayward
fault will cause an estimated $210
billion dollars in damage.