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V     Valuehunt
                                                                                                  Morning Notes – 07 January 2013

 Market Commentary
 Margin of Safety – Wonderful concept coined by Great Benjamin Graham
 When an investor invest in any business through stock market, the cost at which he is investing is very vital. If the downside from this price point is low, investor has
 got enough margin of safety. In simple words, the probability of losing their capital invested is very minimal. Now the challenge is how to find out this particular price
 range of a stock that has got enough margin of safety. This value point is based on the possible fundamental upside of the underlying business. In case of cyclical
 stock, it happens at the lowest part of the industrial cycle. Example – Metal, Sugar, Banking, etc. But in non-cyclical business, the downside mostly happens in the bear
 market. So it is always advisable to invest more in bear market and sell more in bull market
 CP-Artha Model Portfolio
 We are initiating buy in β€˜Aarti Drugs Limited’ – manufacturer of drugs in anti-inflammatory, anti-biotic vitamins, and anti-diabetic, Anti-histamine, Antibiotics,Anti-
 Anginal, Antitussive, Anticonvulsant, Anti-diabetics, Anti-depressant, Anti-fungal, Anti-hypertensive and Antipsychotic. Valuation is cheap with strong fundamentals in
 place. Good for long term investment.
 Our holdings:
         1.   Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd
         2.   FDC Ltd
         3.   Menon Bearings Ltd
         4.   Jindal Poly Films Ltd
         5.   Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd
         6.   Kilitch Drugs India Ltd
         7.   Fairfield Atlas Ltd
         8.   Liberty Phosphate Ltd
         9.   Rossell India Ltd
         10. Aarti Drugs




Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V         Valuehunt
                                                                                                                  Morning Notes – 07 January 2013

Global Indices                                        Nifty Movement                              FII & DII Turnover                                   Currency

                 Close                    Change               6,100         6,016
                             Points                                                                                                     Buy     Sell                       Change (%)
                 Price                       (%)                             0.11%
                                                                                                  FII (Rs.mn)                     31,879      20,235   INR - USD   55.08          1.1
Nifty             6,016             6.6       0.1




                                                       Nifty
                                                               5,900                              Change (%)                             3%     20%    INR - EUR   72.01          1.4
Sensex           19,784            19.3       0.1
                                                                                                  DII (Rs.mn)                     11,486      19,740   INR - GBP   88.55          1.1
Nikkei           10,688           292.9       2.8
                                                                                                  Change (%)                        (63%)       17%    JPY – USD   88.18          0.6
Straight Time     3,225             0.4       0.1
                                                               5,700
Hang Seng        23,311        (67.5)       (0.3)                                              **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor
                                                                 28-Dec-12      4-Jan-13
                                                                                               **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor
Shanghai          2,277             7.8       0.3
FTSE 100          6,089            42.5       0.7
CAC 40            3,730             8.8       0.2   Special Situation Stocks
DAX               7,776            19.9       0.3
DJIA             13,435            43.8       0.3
S&P 500           1,466             7.1       0.5
                                                    Company                            Special Situation                    Comments
NASDAQ            3,101             1.1       0.1




Sectoral Indices

                 Close Price         Change (%)
 Realty                   2,198             0.2
 Oil & Gas                8,856             1.1                                                                           Company to conduct meeting of the Board of
 Metal                   11,290            (1.0)                                                                          Directors of the Company will be held on January 10,
 Bankex                  14,695             0.1     Hindustan Motors Ltd                   Restructuring
 Capital Goods           11,097            (0.1)
                                                                                                                          2013, inter alia, to consider restructuring of the
 Power                    2,032             0.5                                                                           Company
 IT                       5,799             1.0
 Auto                    11,591            (0.3)
 FMCG                     5,884            (0.3)
 HeathCare                8,206             0.2




Contact Us:
 Contact Us:
E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V        Valuehunt
                                                                                                            Morning Notes – 07 January 2013

 Nifty Gainers                                         Headline News

                                                     Economic Times                                             Business Standard
                              Close    Change (%)
 Company
                              Price                  οƒ˜ A platinum solution to US fiscal woes: $1 tn coin        οƒ˜ ICRA blow to Bengal's stake sale plan in HPL
 Cairn India                337.15           2.95
 GAIL (India)               371.15           2.15    οƒ˜ Major fire breaks out at IOC's Hazira terminal           οƒ˜ Indian pharma companies make Malaysia a hub to tap
 BPCL                       374.00           2.12                                                                  Asean
                                                     οƒ˜ NTPC initiates power capacity expansion project
 ONGC                       284.80           1.79                                                               οƒ˜ Vodafone might use pact with Netherlands as shield in tax
 BHEL                       242.80           1.68    οƒ˜ Apparel exports can treble on central incentive
                                                                                                                   tussle
                                                     οƒ˜ Mahindra forays into motorcycle segment, unveils
                                                                                                                οƒ˜ KBC gets its first superwoman
                                                        two models -- Centuro and Pantero
 Nifty Losers                                                                                                   οƒ˜ Don't leave any area out of Aadhaar numbers: Rajan
                                                     οƒ˜ UCO Bank seeks Rs 800 crore from Centre
                                                                                                                οƒ˜ Rangarajan for higher taxes for super rich
                              Close                  οƒ˜ Cautious investment approach by private equity
 Company                               Change (%)
                              Price                     players in 2012                                         οƒ˜ Will it be easier for India Inc to set up infrastructure projects
 Tata Steel                  433.50         (1.99)                                                                 in 2013?
 Jindal Steel                457.80         (1.83)
                                                     οƒ˜ Vinyas Innovative Technologies raises Rs 10 crore
 Hindalco Inds.              132.55         (1.38)      from Canara Bank investment arm                         οƒ˜ Avoid emotion when investing in equity
 Sesa Goa                    201.70         (1.32)
                                                     Business Line                                              Money Control
 HDFC                        837.70         (0.92)

                                                     οƒ˜ A bull run hasn’t brought traders flocking to the        οƒ˜ Why central banks still hold all the cards in 2013
                                                        market
                                                                                                                οƒ˜ Focus on Q3 earnings; liquidity holds key to Nifty upside
  Commodity                                          οƒ˜ Cool discounts from summer offers of travel firms,
                                                                                                                οƒ˜ Why curbing gold demand won't tame ballooning CAD
                                                        airlines
                                 Rs.   Change (%)                                                               οƒ˜ Indian IT to do better in FY14, bet on HCL Tech: Goldman
                                                     οƒ˜ PNB, credit risk fund in tie-up for low-cost homes
 Crude (Rs/Bbl)               5,124           0.9                                                               οƒ˜ NBFCs knock RBI door to modify draft guidelines
 Gold (Rs/10 grms)           30,897          (0.2)   οƒ˜ Tata Steel zooms in on SMEs to power growth next
 Silver (Rs/Kg)              57,992          (1.3)      fiscal                                                  οƒ˜ Revenue dept sends reminder on tax liability to Vodafone
 Copper (Rs/Kg)                 452           0.6                                                               οƒ˜ CCI ruling on DLF: Changing the builder-buyer equation?
                                                     οƒ˜ LIC Housing Finance to raise Rs 1,200 crore by
Note: MCX near month Futures Price                      March-end

                                                     Note : Click on article to read the respective news



Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V       Valuehunt
                                                                                                        Morning Notes – 07 January 2013

 Insider Trading                                                                              Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE)
                                                            Shares Trans.         Holdin                                                          Buy
                                     Transaction    Buy                                     Company               Client Name                              Quantity     %
Company          Buyer / Seller                                                   g after                                                        /Sale
                                        Date       /Sale      Quantity      %
                                                                                  Trans.                              MS GMO EMERGING
                                                                                            Manappuram
                                                                                                                      DOMESTIC                    B         5,663,000         43
Eros                                                                                        Finance
                 Eros Worldwide FZ                                                                                    OPPORTUNITIES FUND
International                        20/12/2012     S       2,573,710       2.8
                 LLC
Media Ltd
                                                                                            Manappuram                HUDSON EQUITY
                                                                                                                                                  S        18,000,000   43.01
                                                                                            Finance                   HOLDINGS LIMITED
Graphite India   H L Investment
                                     20/12/2012     B          60,568                6.05
Ltd              Company Ltd
                                                                                                                      VINTEL SECURITIES PVT
                                                                                            VMS Inds                                              B          110,000    38.35
                                                                                                                      LTD

                                     19/12/2012                                             ** Weighted Average
Graphite India   The Bond
                                     -              B          60,000                8.29
Ltd              Company Ltd
                                     20/12/2012
                                                                                             Corporate Action
                 Norwest Venture                                                            Company                       Ex-Date               Purpose                 Rs.
Persistent
                 Partners FVCI       17/12/2012     S         500,000
Systems Ltd
                 Mauritius
                                                                                            NELCO                         4-Jan-13              Dividend                      1
                 Norwest Venture
Persistent
                 Partners FVCI       18/12/2012     S         210,000
Systems Ltd
                 Mauritius
                                                                                            Global Capital               10-Jan-13       Consolidation of Shares               -

                 Norwest Venture
Persistent
                 Partners FVCI       19/12/2012     S       1,945,000
Systems Ltd                                                                                 Siemens                      16-Jan-13              Dividend                      6
                 Mauritius




Disclaimer:
Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available
information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability,
neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the
accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.

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Morning news &_views_-_07012013

  • 1. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 07 January 2013 Market Commentary Margin of Safety – Wonderful concept coined by Great Benjamin Graham When an investor invest in any business through stock market, the cost at which he is investing is very vital. If the downside from this price point is low, investor has got enough margin of safety. In simple words, the probability of losing their capital invested is very minimal. Now the challenge is how to find out this particular price range of a stock that has got enough margin of safety. This value point is based on the possible fundamental upside of the underlying business. In case of cyclical stock, it happens at the lowest part of the industrial cycle. Example – Metal, Sugar, Banking, etc. But in non-cyclical business, the downside mostly happens in the bear market. So it is always advisable to invest more in bear market and sell more in bull market CP-Artha Model Portfolio We are initiating buy in β€˜Aarti Drugs Limited’ – manufacturer of drugs in anti-inflammatory, anti-biotic vitamins, and anti-diabetic, Anti-histamine, Antibiotics,Anti- Anginal, Antitussive, Anticonvulsant, Anti-diabetics, Anti-depressant, Anti-fungal, Anti-hypertensive and Antipsychotic. Valuation is cheap with strong fundamentals in place. Good for long term investment. Our holdings: 1. Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd 2. FDC Ltd 3. Menon Bearings Ltd 4. Jindal Poly Films Ltd 5. Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd 6. Kilitch Drugs India Ltd 7. Fairfield Atlas Ltd 8. Liberty Phosphate Ltd 9. Rossell India Ltd 10. Aarti Drugs Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 2. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 07 January 2013 Global Indices Nifty Movement FII & DII Turnover Currency Close Change 6,100 6,016 Points Buy Sell Change (%) Price (%) 0.11% FII (Rs.mn) 31,879 20,235 INR - USD 55.08 1.1 Nifty 6,016 6.6 0.1 Nifty 5,900 Change (%) 3% 20% INR - EUR 72.01 1.4 Sensex 19,784 19.3 0.1 DII (Rs.mn) 11,486 19,740 INR - GBP 88.55 1.1 Nikkei 10,688 292.9 2.8 Change (%) (63%) 17% JPY – USD 88.18 0.6 Straight Time 3,225 0.4 0.1 5,700 Hang Seng 23,311 (67.5) (0.3) **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor 28-Dec-12 4-Jan-13 **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor Shanghai 2,277 7.8 0.3 FTSE 100 6,089 42.5 0.7 CAC 40 3,730 8.8 0.2 Special Situation Stocks DAX 7,776 19.9 0.3 DJIA 13,435 43.8 0.3 S&P 500 1,466 7.1 0.5 Company Special Situation Comments NASDAQ 3,101 1.1 0.1 Sectoral Indices Close Price Change (%) Realty 2,198 0.2 Oil & Gas 8,856 1.1 Company to conduct meeting of the Board of Metal 11,290 (1.0) Directors of the Company will be held on January 10, Bankex 14,695 0.1 Hindustan Motors Ltd Restructuring Capital Goods 11,097 (0.1) 2013, inter alia, to consider restructuring of the Power 2,032 0.5 Company IT 5,799 1.0 Auto 11,591 (0.3) FMCG 5,884 (0.3) HeathCare 8,206 0.2 Contact Us: Contact Us: E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 3. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 07 January 2013 Nifty Gainers Headline News Economic Times Business Standard Close Change (%) Company Price οƒ˜ A platinum solution to US fiscal woes: $1 tn coin οƒ˜ ICRA blow to Bengal's stake sale plan in HPL Cairn India 337.15 2.95 GAIL (India) 371.15 2.15 οƒ˜ Major fire breaks out at IOC's Hazira terminal οƒ˜ Indian pharma companies make Malaysia a hub to tap BPCL 374.00 2.12 Asean οƒ˜ NTPC initiates power capacity expansion project ONGC 284.80 1.79 οƒ˜ Vodafone might use pact with Netherlands as shield in tax BHEL 242.80 1.68 οƒ˜ Apparel exports can treble on central incentive tussle οƒ˜ Mahindra forays into motorcycle segment, unveils οƒ˜ KBC gets its first superwoman two models -- Centuro and Pantero Nifty Losers οƒ˜ Don't leave any area out of Aadhaar numbers: Rajan οƒ˜ UCO Bank seeks Rs 800 crore from Centre οƒ˜ Rangarajan for higher taxes for super rich Close οƒ˜ Cautious investment approach by private equity Company Change (%) Price players in 2012 οƒ˜ Will it be easier for India Inc to set up infrastructure projects Tata Steel 433.50 (1.99) in 2013? Jindal Steel 457.80 (1.83) οƒ˜ Vinyas Innovative Technologies raises Rs 10 crore Hindalco Inds. 132.55 (1.38) from Canara Bank investment arm οƒ˜ Avoid emotion when investing in equity Sesa Goa 201.70 (1.32) Business Line Money Control HDFC 837.70 (0.92) οƒ˜ A bull run hasn’t brought traders flocking to the οƒ˜ Why central banks still hold all the cards in 2013 market οƒ˜ Focus on Q3 earnings; liquidity holds key to Nifty upside Commodity οƒ˜ Cool discounts from summer offers of travel firms, οƒ˜ Why curbing gold demand won't tame ballooning CAD airlines Rs. Change (%) οƒ˜ Indian IT to do better in FY14, bet on HCL Tech: Goldman οƒ˜ PNB, credit risk fund in tie-up for low-cost homes Crude (Rs/Bbl) 5,124 0.9 οƒ˜ NBFCs knock RBI door to modify draft guidelines Gold (Rs/10 grms) 30,897 (0.2) οƒ˜ Tata Steel zooms in on SMEs to power growth next Silver (Rs/Kg) 57,992 (1.3) fiscal οƒ˜ Revenue dept sends reminder on tax liability to Vodafone Copper (Rs/Kg) 452 0.6 οƒ˜ CCI ruling on DLF: Changing the builder-buyer equation? οƒ˜ LIC Housing Finance to raise Rs 1,200 crore by Note: MCX near month Futures Price March-end Note : Click on article to read the respective news Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 4. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 07 January 2013 Insider Trading Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE) Shares Trans. Holdin Buy Transaction Buy Company Client Name Quantity % Company Buyer / Seller g after /Sale Date /Sale Quantity % Trans. MS GMO EMERGING Manappuram DOMESTIC B 5,663,000 43 Eros Finance Eros Worldwide FZ OPPORTUNITIES FUND International 20/12/2012 S 2,573,710 2.8 LLC Media Ltd Manappuram HUDSON EQUITY S 18,000,000 43.01 Finance HOLDINGS LIMITED Graphite India H L Investment 20/12/2012 B 60,568 6.05 Ltd Company Ltd VINTEL SECURITIES PVT VMS Inds B 110,000 38.35 LTD 19/12/2012 ** Weighted Average Graphite India The Bond - B 60,000 8.29 Ltd Company Ltd 20/12/2012 Corporate Action Norwest Venture Company Ex-Date Purpose Rs. Persistent Partners FVCI 17/12/2012 S 500,000 Systems Ltd Mauritius NELCO 4-Jan-13 Dividend 1 Norwest Venture Persistent Partners FVCI 18/12/2012 S 210,000 Systems Ltd Mauritius Global Capital 10-Jan-13 Consolidation of Shares - Norwest Venture Persistent Partners FVCI 19/12/2012 S 1,945,000 Systems Ltd Siemens 16-Jan-13 Dividend 6 Mauritius Disclaimer: Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability, neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.