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V     Valuehunt
                                                                          Morning Notes – 04 February 2013

Market Commentary
Good Morning!!
Last three weeks, Indian equities reacted to quarterly results of corporate India and rate cut announcement by Reserve Bank of
India (RBI). Some of the leading blue-chip companies had come out with moderate or poor performance in Q3. Market reacted
negatively for this by bringing down the index by almost 2%. Our stand in the first week of Jan 2013 through our morning notes of
market facing the risk of going down is justified. We expect this market to correct further. So just wait and watch the marke t for
such fall.
Implied Risk Premium for Indian Equities
Equity Risk Premium for SENSEX as on the end of 1st Feb 2013 is 3.656% with Risk Free Rate of Return (Rf) 7.91% & default spread
adjusted Rf 9.91%. Hence the cost of equity for SENSEX is 15.086%. Equity investors in Indian equity market can expect a mini mum
return of 15.086%.
CP-Artha Model Portfolio
Our holdings:
             Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd                  Fairfield Atlas Ltd
             FDC Ltd                                                    Liberty Phosphate Ltd
             Menon Bearings Ltd                                         Rossell India Ltd
             Jindal Poly Films Ltd                                      Aarti Drugs
             Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd                                Ador Fontech




Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V         Valuehunt
                                                                                                           Morning Notes – 04 February 2013

Global Indices                                        Nifty Movement                            FII & DII Turnover                                   Currency

                 Close                    Change               6,200
                             Points                                          5,998                                                    Buy     Sell                       Change (%)
                 Price                       (%)                             (0.59%)
                                                                                                FII (Rs.mn)                     33,259      25,627   INR - USD   53.17        (0.1)
Nifty            5,998.9        (35.8)      (0.6)




                                                       Nifty
                                                               6,000                            Change (%)                        (24%)     (27%)    INR - EUR   72.55        (0.4)
Sensex           19,781      (113.8)        (0.6)
                                                                                                DII (Rs.mn)                       7,722     18,608   INR - GBP   83.48        (0.3)
Nikkei           11,191            52.7       0.5
                                                                                                Change (%)                        (33%)     (11%)    JPY – USD   92.87          0.3
Straight Time     3,291             8.5       0.3
                                                               5,800
Hang Seng        23,722           (7.7)     (0.1)                25-Jan-13      1-Feb-13     **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor
Shanghai          2,419            33.6       1.4                                            **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor
FTSE 100          6,347            70.3       1.1
CAC 40            3,773            40.9       1.1   Special Situation Stocks
DAX               7,833            57.3       0.7
DJIA             14,009           149.2       1.2
S&P 500           1,513            15.0       1.0
                                                    Company                            Special Situation                  Comments
NASDAQ            3,179            36.9       1.2




Sectoral Indices

                  Close Price        Change (%)
 Realty                   2,213            (1.2)
 Oil & Gas                9,375             0.2
                                                    Commercial                                                          Stock is trading at 5.4x PE with moderate
 Metal                   10,524            (0.8)
 Bankex                  14,465            (0.8)    Engineers & Body                       Plungers                     capital structure. This scrip might be
 Capital Goods
 Power
                         10,444
                          1,952
                                           (0.5)
                                            0.1
                                                    Builders Co Ltd                                                     interesting in the long term
 IT                       6,367            (0.4)
 Auto                    10,886            (1.0)
 FMCG                     5,934             0.2
 HeathCare                8,079             0.8




Contact Us:
 Contact Us:
E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V        Valuehunt
                                                                                                           Morning Notes – 04 February 2013

 Nifty Gainers                                         Headline News

                                                     Economic Times                                              Business Standard
                              Close    Change (%)
 Company
                              Price                   Trade cautiously, bears in control of markets:             Cost, Cargo & Commerce: The 3C's of Jet-Etihad deal
 BPCL                       422.65           2.97       Analysts
 Cipla                      414.40           1.81                                                                 Properties will be our fastest growing business: Adi Godrej
 Maruti Suzuki            1,609.70           1.78     Spice Jet to start operations from Dharamsala
                                                                                                                  MCA asks SFIO not to initiate prosecution against Sesa Goa
 Dr Reddy's Labs          1,945.30           1.53     Hero Motocorp posts highest ever monthly sales in
 Bajaj Auto               2,055.95           1.42                                                                 FIIs turn bullish on Tata group
                                                        Jan
                                                                                                                  Hiranandani in race for Bangladesh's first LNG terminal
                                                      Bajaj bike sales up 2 pc in January
                                                                                                                  Vodafone seeks immediate allotment of spectrum won in
 Nifty Losers                                         Car sales remain muted in 2013
                                                                                                                    Nov
                                                      Su-Kam to acquire solar panel firm by March-end
                              Close                                                                               NSE to remove price bands of 6 state-owned cos from
 Company                               Change (%)
                              Price                   Denim makers diversify to beat over-supply                   tomorrow
 Tata Motors                 281.65         (5.49)
 JP Associates                83.40         (4.08)
                                                      Samsung sets 50 per cent growth target in                  NHB to raise Rs 5,000 crore from tax-free bonds by March-
 DLF                         267.90         (3.49)      refrigerators and AC market                                 end
 UltraTech Cem.           1,837.75          (3.41)
                                                     Business Line                                               Money Control
 Bharti Airtel               329.40         (3.00)
                                                      Australia’s Glenn Maxwell is million-dollar catch at       Bulls may charge before Budget; bet on NBFCs: Dipan
                                                        IPL-6                                                       Mehta

  Commodity                                           Businesses should look equally at social growth, says      Kolkata or Cleveland, best jobs follow talent: Barack Obama
                                                        Tata Steel’s Muthuraman                                   Nifty may struggle at 6050; drop to 5940 likely: Mohindar
                                 Rs.   Change (%)     Religare blames technical glitch for fall in UltraTech,    Economic strategies are dynamic & need reviewing
 Crude (Rs/Bbl)               5,188           0.1       Tata Motors share prices
 Gold (Rs/10 grms)           30,598           0.3                                                                 RBI's proposed loan recast norms explained; why banks are
                                                      DSP steel output in Jan up 5%                                worried
 Silver (Rs/Kg)              58,432          (0.1)
 Copper (Rs/Kg)                 443          (0.1)    DVC in rejig mode to unlock value via IPO                  Bharti Q3 net plunges; Mittal says worst of price war may be
Note: MCX near month Futures Price                    GSK Pharma to forge India-specific alliance                  over

                                                     Note : Click on article to read the respective news



Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V       Valuehunt                                                                                Morning Notes – 04 February 2013

 Insider Trading                                                                              Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE)
                                                            Shares Trans.       Holdin                                                              Buy
                                      Transaction    Buy                                    Company               Client Name                                 Quantity       %
Company         Buyer / Seller                                                  g after                                                            /Sale
                                         Date       /Sale     Quantity      %
                                                                                Trans.
                                                                                                                      RAJESH MOHANBHAI
                                                                                            JRIIIL                                                   B           137,501     40.89
                                                                                                                      PATEL
Adani Power
                Adani Agro Pvt Ltd    15/01/2013     B        363,690               1.4
Ltd
                                                                                                                      CREDIT SUISSE
                                                                                            Liberty Phos              (SINGAPORE) LIMITED A/C        S           171,518    210.26
                                                                                                                      CREDIT SUISSE (SINGAPO
Kohinoor
                Jugal Kishore Arora   15/01/2013     B         98,891              16.4
Foods Ltd
                                                                                                                      HSBC INDIAN EQUITY
                                                                                            Speciality Rest                                          S           257,988      174
                                                                                                                      MOTHER FUND

                                      14/01/2013                                            ** Weighted Average
Ruchira         Subhash Chander
                                           -         B         27,323              5.83
Papers Ltd      Garg
                                      17/01/2013
                                                                                             Corporate Action
                                      14/01/2013                                            Company                       Ex-Date                 Purpose                   Rs.
Ruchira         Subhash Chander
                                           -         B         27,323              5.83
Papers Ltd      Garg
                                      17/01/2013
                                                                                            Sulabh Engr                   4-Feb-13   Stock Split from Rs. 10/- to Re. 1/-         -
SKS
                Mauritius Unitus
Microfinance                          17/01/2013     S         51,252
                Corporation
Ltd
                                                                                            BHEL                          5-Feb-13            Interim Dividend                    -

                Seahorse
Vakrangee
                Mercantile Co Pvt     14/01/2013     S        508,428              5.33
Softwares Ltd                                                                               D B CORP                     30-Jan-13            Interim Dividend                    2
                Ltd




Disclaimer:
Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available
information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability,
neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the
accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.

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  • 1. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 04 February 2013 Market Commentary Good Morning!! Last three weeks, Indian equities reacted to quarterly results of corporate India and rate cut announcement by Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Some of the leading blue-chip companies had come out with moderate or poor performance in Q3. Market reacted negatively for this by bringing down the index by almost 2%. Our stand in the first week of Jan 2013 through our morning notes of market facing the risk of going down is justified. We expect this market to correct further. So just wait and watch the marke t for such fall. Implied Risk Premium for Indian Equities Equity Risk Premium for SENSEX as on the end of 1st Feb 2013 is 3.656% with Risk Free Rate of Return (Rf) 7.91% & default spread adjusted Rf 9.91%. Hence the cost of equity for SENSEX is 15.086%. Equity investors in Indian equity market can expect a mini mum return of 15.086%. CP-Artha Model Portfolio Our holdings:  Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd  Fairfield Atlas Ltd  FDC Ltd  Liberty Phosphate Ltd  Menon Bearings Ltd  Rossell India Ltd  Jindal Poly Films Ltd  Aarti Drugs  Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd  Ador Fontech Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 2. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 04 February 2013 Global Indices Nifty Movement FII & DII Turnover Currency Close Change 6,200 Points 5,998 Buy Sell Change (%) Price (%) (0.59%) FII (Rs.mn) 33,259 25,627 INR - USD 53.17 (0.1) Nifty 5,998.9 (35.8) (0.6) Nifty 6,000 Change (%) (24%) (27%) INR - EUR 72.55 (0.4) Sensex 19,781 (113.8) (0.6) DII (Rs.mn) 7,722 18,608 INR - GBP 83.48 (0.3) Nikkei 11,191 52.7 0.5 Change (%) (33%) (11%) JPY – USD 92.87 0.3 Straight Time 3,291 8.5 0.3 5,800 Hang Seng 23,722 (7.7) (0.1) 25-Jan-13 1-Feb-13 **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor Shanghai 2,419 33.6 1.4 **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor FTSE 100 6,347 70.3 1.1 CAC 40 3,773 40.9 1.1 Special Situation Stocks DAX 7,833 57.3 0.7 DJIA 14,009 149.2 1.2 S&P 500 1,513 15.0 1.0 Company Special Situation Comments NASDAQ 3,179 36.9 1.2 Sectoral Indices Close Price Change (%) Realty 2,213 (1.2) Oil & Gas 9,375 0.2 Commercial Stock is trading at 5.4x PE with moderate Metal 10,524 (0.8) Bankex 14,465 (0.8) Engineers & Body Plungers capital structure. This scrip might be Capital Goods Power 10,444 1,952 (0.5) 0.1 Builders Co Ltd interesting in the long term IT 6,367 (0.4) Auto 10,886 (1.0) FMCG 5,934 0.2 HeathCare 8,079 0.8 Contact Us: Contact Us: E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 3. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 04 February 2013 Nifty Gainers Headline News Economic Times Business Standard Close Change (%) Company Price  Trade cautiously, bears in control of markets:  Cost, Cargo & Commerce: The 3C's of Jet-Etihad deal BPCL 422.65 2.97 Analysts Cipla 414.40 1.81  Properties will be our fastest growing business: Adi Godrej Maruti Suzuki 1,609.70 1.78  Spice Jet to start operations from Dharamsala  MCA asks SFIO not to initiate prosecution against Sesa Goa Dr Reddy's Labs 1,945.30 1.53  Hero Motocorp posts highest ever monthly sales in Bajaj Auto 2,055.95 1.42  FIIs turn bullish on Tata group Jan  Hiranandani in race for Bangladesh's first LNG terminal  Bajaj bike sales up 2 pc in January  Vodafone seeks immediate allotment of spectrum won in Nifty Losers  Car sales remain muted in 2013 Nov  Su-Kam to acquire solar panel firm by March-end Close  NSE to remove price bands of 6 state-owned cos from Company Change (%) Price  Denim makers diversify to beat over-supply tomorrow Tata Motors 281.65 (5.49) JP Associates 83.40 (4.08)  Samsung sets 50 per cent growth target in  NHB to raise Rs 5,000 crore from tax-free bonds by March- DLF 267.90 (3.49) refrigerators and AC market end UltraTech Cem. 1,837.75 (3.41) Business Line Money Control Bharti Airtel 329.40 (3.00)  Australia’s Glenn Maxwell is million-dollar catch at  Bulls may charge before Budget; bet on NBFCs: Dipan IPL-6 Mehta Commodity  Businesses should look equally at social growth, says  Kolkata or Cleveland, best jobs follow talent: Barack Obama Tata Steel’s Muthuraman  Nifty may struggle at 6050; drop to 5940 likely: Mohindar Rs. Change (%)  Religare blames technical glitch for fall in UltraTech,  Economic strategies are dynamic & need reviewing Crude (Rs/Bbl) 5,188 0.1 Tata Motors share prices Gold (Rs/10 grms) 30,598 0.3  RBI's proposed loan recast norms explained; why banks are  DSP steel output in Jan up 5% worried Silver (Rs/Kg) 58,432 (0.1) Copper (Rs/Kg) 443 (0.1)  DVC in rejig mode to unlock value via IPO  Bharti Q3 net plunges; Mittal says worst of price war may be Note: MCX near month Futures Price  GSK Pharma to forge India-specific alliance over Note : Click on article to read the respective news Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 4. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 04 February 2013 Insider Trading Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE) Shares Trans. Holdin Buy Transaction Buy Company Client Name Quantity % Company Buyer / Seller g after /Sale Date /Sale Quantity % Trans. RAJESH MOHANBHAI JRIIIL B 137,501 40.89 PATEL Adani Power Adani Agro Pvt Ltd 15/01/2013 B 363,690 1.4 Ltd CREDIT SUISSE Liberty Phos (SINGAPORE) LIMITED A/C S 171,518 210.26 CREDIT SUISSE (SINGAPO Kohinoor Jugal Kishore Arora 15/01/2013 B 98,891 16.4 Foods Ltd HSBC INDIAN EQUITY Speciality Rest S 257,988 174 MOTHER FUND 14/01/2013 ** Weighted Average Ruchira Subhash Chander - B 27,323 5.83 Papers Ltd Garg 17/01/2013 Corporate Action 14/01/2013 Company Ex-Date Purpose Rs. Ruchira Subhash Chander - B 27,323 5.83 Papers Ltd Garg 17/01/2013 Sulabh Engr 4-Feb-13 Stock Split from Rs. 10/- to Re. 1/- - SKS Mauritius Unitus Microfinance 17/01/2013 S 51,252 Corporation Ltd BHEL 5-Feb-13 Interim Dividend - Seahorse Vakrangee Mercantile Co Pvt 14/01/2013 S 508,428 5.33 Softwares Ltd D B CORP 30-Jan-13 Interim Dividend 2 Ltd Disclaimer: Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability, neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.