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Robot innovation for Resource Efficiency and Low-carbon development Global LaunchofRiREL 1.0 RiREL: A tool to help identify new markets and robot innovation for resource efficiency and low-carbon development  The 8th Asian Control Conference (ASCC 2011) 15 May, 2011 The Splendor Kaohsiung, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Agenda Introduction (10 min) The roleofroboticstoday (15 min) PresentingRiREL(30 min) The need for new solutions (10 min) Possiblecontributions (TBD - 10 min) Round table discussion (35 min) Summaryand next steps (10 min)
Introduction
Introduction Why RiREL?
Introduction To From
Introduction $350 trillion   to be invested in construction and use of urban infrastructures over the next 30 years  to provide basic services such as mobility, heat, lighting, etc, so 7 times current annual GDP Booz and Co. 2010
Introduction Robots?
Roleof robots today
The roleofroboticstoday Robots today and current research IDEAS FOR THIS SECTION Basic info about the money invested in Robots today and what they are used for (focus on Taiwan, but some global numbers/info if possible) Info about what Robots can do today in key areas Something about the need for policy makers to better understand the possibilities of robotics
PresentingRiREL
PresentingRiREL 1.0  RiREL 1.0 will: Identify areas where robots are needed in a resource efficient and low-carbon economy Highlight robot features that are needed for resource efficiency and low-carbon development Assess the market potential for low-carbon robots and investment and policy support needed Estimate the GHG reduction potential of 12 existing robots Provide a platform that allow robot developers and climate experts to meet and exchange ideas about potential uses for current robot solutions
PresentingRiREL 1.0  RiREL 1.0 will not: Be able to provide numbers for CO2 investment potenitals based on simple data: A process/collaboration in needed. Later such a tool could be developed Identify all important areas for carbon savings. Help robot developers to avoid high-carbon lock in. Will not answer all questions (it will not solve employment issues, answer what kind of life people want to live or other political/ethical issues)
PresentingRiREL 1.0  RiREL 1.0: Approach robots on three levels
PresentingRiREL 1.0  RiREL 1.0: The filter Solutions needed Resources needed Existing Robot solutions ,[object Object]
Robot
System solutionsLow-carbon solutions ,[object Object]
Function needed
New System neededRiREL 21st Century Resource Saving Robot Solutions Solutions available Resources available
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Results from RiREL beta demo: Four robots identified based on Taipei exhibition 250 million tonnes of CO2e could be reduced by 2020 with the help of such solutions. Idea: Should Taiwan set a target to export robots that help reduce global emissions with at least 300 million tonnes by 2030?  By 2020 investment of the magnitude $6.2 billion annualy can be expected only on the cost of carbon (assuming a modest price of $25/tonne) adding productivity and other material savings could add 3-4 times this with 5 years pay-back. Total approximately $30 billion.
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Beta demo 1: Sustainable Function needed: Less mobilityRobot available: Reception/service robot for elderly
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Context for beta demo 1:  Need: Personal aid Current challenges:  More many need personal aid Increased transport result in congestion and emissions Robot solution: Provide personal aid when needed
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Beta demo 1: CO2 savings: 20 million tonnes CO2Market opportunity: US$500 – 2,500 million
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Beta demo 2:Sustainable Function needed: Smart food delivery/eatingRobot available: Delivery robot 40 mil
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Context for beta demo 2: Need: Food Current challenges:  Unnecessary trips to buy food. 5% of personal transport 30% of food is wasted  Food waste accounts for 3% of domestic GHG emissions in OECD countries. Robot solution: get people fresh food when they need it help people use food waste for energy
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Beta demo 2:CO2 savings: 40 million tonnes CO2Market opportunity: US$1000 – 5,000 million
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Beta demo 3:Sustainable system needed: New city farmingFeature available: Gentle and accurate gripping robot 120 mil
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Context for beta demo 3:  Need: Food Current challenges:  Fertile soil is getting scarce Food transport result in emissions and less nutritious food Food is about 25-30% of global GHG emissions.18 percent of all greenhouse emissions were caused by the livestock sector, using an aggregate life cycle approach. Global milk production, processing and transportation contributes 2.7  Robot solution: Grow food in cities using vertical farming (smarter protein + more fresh food + less transport)
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Beta demo 3:CO2 savings: 120 million tonnes CO2Market opportunity: US$3 – 15 billion
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Beta demo 4:Sustainable feature needed: Light in buildingsRobots available: Inexpensive miniature robots 70 mil
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Context for beta demo 4:  Need: Lighting and temperature Current challenges:  Lighting use 19% of global electricity Buildings are built based on old solutions, much needs to be retrofitted. Robot solution: Use small robots to provide shade and reflect light in to provide confortable indoor temperature and light. Combined in retrofitting packages with solar solutions this could become a very significant contribution.
PresentingRiREL 1.0  Beta demo 4:CO2 savings: 70 million tonnes CO2Market opportunity: US$1.7 – 8.8 billion
The need for new solutions
The need for new solutions NivenHuang IDEAS FOR THIS SECTION That companies see climate/resource efficiency as very important That BCSD in Taiwan is part of a global network where business is turning the need for low-carbon/resource efficiency to business opportunities That new ways to provide services are needed and that robots could play a very important role.
Possible robot contribution
Round table
Summary &next steps
Summary and next steps Next steps:  Collect feedback
Summary and next steps Investment policy Next steps Develop policy recommendations RiREL 21st Century Resource Saving Robot Solutions Existing Robot  solutions > Features > Robot >System solutions Low-carbon  solutions > Feature needed > Function needed > New System needed Robot development strategy
Summary and next steps Next steps (Research):  Select eight more robots for RIREL 1.0 Verification and development of the results for the four initial robots + eight additional with a top-down approach Conduct bottom-up calculations for CO2 savings and investments for the 12 specific robots Identify the investment/research needed to ensure that the robots can deliver the services needed on the scale needed.
Summary and next steps Next steps (Policy):  Identification of relevant global processes that can support accelerated uptake of low-carbon robot solutions Explore the possibility to establish a Global Robot Initiative for a Sustainable 21st Century (GRIS-21) Work with low-carbon cities to ensure integration of robots as part of the agenda (e.g. three of six low-carbon cities in Taiwan should have low-carbon robot solutions by 2015)
Summary and next steps THANK YOU!
Appendix Assumptions and calculations

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110515 RiRel Global Launch

  • 1. Robot innovation for Resource Efficiency and Low-carbon development Global LaunchofRiREL 1.0 RiREL: A tool to help identify new markets and robot innovation for resource efficiency and low-carbon development The 8th Asian Control Conference (ASCC 2011) 15 May, 2011 The Splendor Kaohsiung, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
  • 2. Agenda Introduction (10 min) The roleofroboticstoday (15 min) PresentingRiREL(30 min) The need for new solutions (10 min) Possiblecontributions (TBD - 10 min) Round table discussion (35 min) Summaryand next steps (10 min)
  • 6. Introduction $350 trillion to be invested in construction and use of urban infrastructures over the next 30 years to provide basic services such as mobility, heat, lighting, etc, so 7 times current annual GDP Booz and Co. 2010
  • 9. The roleofroboticstoday Robots today and current research IDEAS FOR THIS SECTION Basic info about the money invested in Robots today and what they are used for (focus on Taiwan, but some global numbers/info if possible) Info about what Robots can do today in key areas Something about the need for policy makers to better understand the possibilities of robotics
  • 11. PresentingRiREL 1.0 RiREL 1.0 will: Identify areas where robots are needed in a resource efficient and low-carbon economy Highlight robot features that are needed for resource efficiency and low-carbon development Assess the market potential for low-carbon robots and investment and policy support needed Estimate the GHG reduction potential of 12 existing robots Provide a platform that allow robot developers and climate experts to meet and exchange ideas about potential uses for current robot solutions
  • 12. PresentingRiREL 1.0 RiREL 1.0 will not: Be able to provide numbers for CO2 investment potenitals based on simple data: A process/collaboration in needed. Later such a tool could be developed Identify all important areas for carbon savings. Help robot developers to avoid high-carbon lock in. Will not answer all questions (it will not solve employment issues, answer what kind of life people want to live or other political/ethical issues)
  • 13. PresentingRiREL 1.0 RiREL 1.0: Approach robots on three levels
  • 14.
  • 15. Robot
  • 16.
  • 18. New System neededRiREL 21st Century Resource Saving Robot Solutions Solutions available Resources available
  • 19. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Results from RiREL beta demo: Four robots identified based on Taipei exhibition 250 million tonnes of CO2e could be reduced by 2020 with the help of such solutions. Idea: Should Taiwan set a target to export robots that help reduce global emissions with at least 300 million tonnes by 2030? By 2020 investment of the magnitude $6.2 billion annualy can be expected only on the cost of carbon (assuming a modest price of $25/tonne) adding productivity and other material savings could add 3-4 times this with 5 years pay-back. Total approximately $30 billion.
  • 20. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Beta demo 1: Sustainable Function needed: Less mobilityRobot available: Reception/service robot for elderly
  • 21. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Context for beta demo 1: Need: Personal aid Current challenges: More many need personal aid Increased transport result in congestion and emissions Robot solution: Provide personal aid when needed
  • 22. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Beta demo 1: CO2 savings: 20 million tonnes CO2Market opportunity: US$500 – 2,500 million
  • 23. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Beta demo 2:Sustainable Function needed: Smart food delivery/eatingRobot available: Delivery robot 40 mil
  • 24. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Context for beta demo 2: Need: Food Current challenges: Unnecessary trips to buy food. 5% of personal transport 30% of food is wasted Food waste accounts for 3% of domestic GHG emissions in OECD countries. Robot solution: get people fresh food when they need it help people use food waste for energy
  • 25. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Beta demo 2:CO2 savings: 40 million tonnes CO2Market opportunity: US$1000 – 5,000 million
  • 26. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Beta demo 3:Sustainable system needed: New city farmingFeature available: Gentle and accurate gripping robot 120 mil
  • 27. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Context for beta demo 3: Need: Food Current challenges: Fertile soil is getting scarce Food transport result in emissions and less nutritious food Food is about 25-30% of global GHG emissions.18 percent of all greenhouse emissions were caused by the livestock sector, using an aggregate life cycle approach. Global milk production, processing and transportation contributes 2.7 Robot solution: Grow food in cities using vertical farming (smarter protein + more fresh food + less transport)
  • 28. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Beta demo 3:CO2 savings: 120 million tonnes CO2Market opportunity: US$3 – 15 billion
  • 29. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Beta demo 4:Sustainable feature needed: Light in buildingsRobots available: Inexpensive miniature robots 70 mil
  • 30. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Context for beta demo 4: Need: Lighting and temperature Current challenges: Lighting use 19% of global electricity Buildings are built based on old solutions, much needs to be retrofitted. Robot solution: Use small robots to provide shade and reflect light in to provide confortable indoor temperature and light. Combined in retrofitting packages with solar solutions this could become a very significant contribution.
  • 31. PresentingRiREL 1.0 Beta demo 4:CO2 savings: 70 million tonnes CO2Market opportunity: US$1.7 – 8.8 billion
  • 32. The need for new solutions
  • 33. The need for new solutions NivenHuang IDEAS FOR THIS SECTION That companies see climate/resource efficiency as very important That BCSD in Taiwan is part of a global network where business is turning the need for low-carbon/resource efficiency to business opportunities That new ways to provide services are needed and that robots could play a very important role.
  • 37. Summary and next steps Next steps: Collect feedback
  • 38. Summary and next steps Investment policy Next steps Develop policy recommendations RiREL 21st Century Resource Saving Robot Solutions Existing Robot solutions > Features > Robot >System solutions Low-carbon solutions > Feature needed > Function needed > New System needed Robot development strategy
  • 39. Summary and next steps Next steps (Research): Select eight more robots for RIREL 1.0 Verification and development of the results for the four initial robots + eight additional with a top-down approach Conduct bottom-up calculations for CO2 savings and investments for the 12 specific robots Identify the investment/research needed to ensure that the robots can deliver the services needed on the scale needed.
  • 40. Summary and next steps Next steps (Policy): Identification of relevant global processes that can support accelerated uptake of low-carbon robot solutions Explore the possibility to establish a Global Robot Initiative for a Sustainable 21st Century (GRIS-21) Work with low-carbon cities to ensure integration of robots as part of the agenda (e.g. three of six low-carbon cities in Taiwan should have low-carbon robot solutions by 2015)
  • 41. Summary and next steps THANK YOU!
  • 42. Appendix Assumptions and calculations
  • 43. Appendix Background data/calculations: In Cities next 3 years Moving people: 163 GT = 5 433MT/Year Heat/lighting: 249 GT = 8 300 MT/Year Food: = 7 500 MT/Year (today) Total: 21 230MT/year (all today appx 35 000) (Taiwan total 276 MT)
  • 44. Appendix Background data/calculations: In Cities:22 trillion dollars additional in infrastructure (linked to 248 in total)