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The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Green Jobs for Poverty Reduction
and Social Inclusion
Peter Poschen (ILO)
Working towards a green economy after Rio+20
European Parliament
Brussels, 2 October 2012
1
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
The Green Jobs Initiative
• Since 2007
• First report 2008
• New report 2012
2
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
3
Green jobs = decent work which
Reduces consumption of energy and raw
materials (dematerializes economies)
Avoids greenhouse gas emissions
(decarbonizes economies)
Minimizes waste and pollution
Protects and restores ecosystems and
environmental services
Adapts to climate change
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Defining green jobs
= Decent + green
= Sectors + occupations
4
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
What the 2012 report contains
1. Analysis:
 Employment and income implications of green
economy
 8 most-affected sectors: agriculture, forestry,
fisheries, energy, manufacturing, recycling,
buildings, transport
 Policies for decent work and social inclusion
2. Exemples of good practice
3. Policy lessons
5
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
4 Key Findings:
1. The current development model is inefficient
and unsustanaible
2. Greening has created tens of millions of jobs
3. Net employment gains in a green economy
possible
4. Green economy can be pathway for reduced
inequality and more social inclusion
6
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
EXISTING GREEN JOBS
Tens of millions exist already:
• USA: 3 million in environm. goods and services
• EU: 14.2 million in biodiversity, nat. resources
• Brasil: 2.9 million (2010) 6.6% all formal jobs
• Renewable energy:
in 2009-10: 5 million (direct and indirect) +
20%/year
 double 2006: 2.3 million
7
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Net employment effects
Significant net employment gains possible:
• 0.5 – 2 % of global workforce
• = 15 – 60 million jobs
• More ambitious greening larger gains?
e.g. Germany and Australia
• More in developing countries? Leapfrogging
• Forest protection (REDD+): US$30 billion/year
= 8 million jobs in developing countries
8
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Transition:
OECD: ‘much smaller than from
globalization’ (?)
Shifts between sectors: ~ 1% (globalization 20%)
9
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Policies for sustainable
development with decent work
and social inclusion
1. Coherent economic policies:
1. Eco-tax
2. Green investment
3. SMEs
2. Decent work in sustainable development
1. Social protection (floor)
2. Skills for green jobs and transitions
3. Active labour market policies
3. Social dialogue
10
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Green Jobs
Programme countries
11
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Assessment methodology
• Based on Social Accounting Matrix
• Estimates Direct, Indirect & Induced
effect
• Allows for ‘What if’ Scenarios
(E.g. if policy shifts 5% investment into Green
sector how many jobs will be created?)
12
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Green Jobs Potential:
South Africa’s New Growth Path
• Development Strategy
• Component green jobs
• Assessment green jobs
potential:
13
Net direct jobs Short term
(2012)
Medium term
( 2017)
Long term
(2025)
Total 98,000 255,000 462,000
Energy generation 13,565 57,142 130,023
Energy efficiency 31,569 70,193 67,979
Pollution control 8,434 13,189 31,641
Nat. resources 44,512 114,842 232,926
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
14
South Africa - New Growth Strategy:
Green Economy Accord
• South African
government, business
and labour signed an
accord in 2011
• One of the most
comprehensive social
partnerships on "green
economy” in the world
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Social inclusion: housing,
sustainable construction
‘My house-my life’
social housing program
(5/2009)
• 300,000 units energy savings
measures
• - 40% electricity bill
• - 18% peak demand
• + 18,000 jobs
15
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Social protection
India: Rural employment guarantee
NREGA (Rural employment
guarantee act)
• Right to 100 days/year
• US$ 8 bill (~ 0.4% GDP)
• Beneficiaries 59 mill
households
• Adaptation, irrigation,
reforestation
16
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
ILO Green Youth Entrepreneurship
Program 2010-2014
Background
 East Africa: 70% youth unemployment;
economy highly dependent on environment
 e.g. Deforestation 83% biomass cooking
 Green Jobs for youth in business
opportunities: e.g. improved stoves
Success 2010-2012:
 4,680 students participated in green
entrepreneurship program of Junior
Achievement (world’s largest youth business network)
 2011 competition, 31 Student Companies
(43%) out of 73 created green businesses
17
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Conclusions
• Rio+20 outcome: green economy should
create decent work and promote social
inclusion
• Green growth/economy not equitable and
socially inclusive by definition
• Green economy necessary condition for
sustainable development, but not sufficient
• Policy coherence essential, complementary
social policies needed: UNEP – ILO partnership
18
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
More info?
For more information:
Para mayor información:
Pour plus d’informations:
ILO.org/green-jobs-programme
ILO.org/greenjobs
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Current development model
Environmentally unsustainable:
• climate change, biodiversity loss, overuse
natural resources a.o.
Socially inefficient:
• Too few jobs: 200 million unemployed
• Too few decent jobs: 900 million working poor
• Persistent social exclusion: 1.3 billion without
access to modern energy
20
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Growing cost of inaction
21
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Thank you
Merci beaucoup
Muchas gracias
Muito obrigado
Vielen Dank
22
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Carbon-intensive sectors not big
employers
8-12 % employment most
OECD countries
High share of low-skilled
workers
23
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Brazil : Formalization
Waste management & recycling
• ~ 60,000 formalized workers in
recycling industry
• Cooperatives, service
contracts, installations,
fair wages and OSH
• Approx 400,000 informal
• New law: Tax reductions if
recycling via cooperatives,
formalized waste pickers
• Goal 2011 poverty strategy:
formalize 250,000
24
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
25
21.07.2022 UNEP ETB
25
Source: Ben ten Brink (MNP) presentation at the Workshop: The Economics of the Global Loss of Biological Diversity 5-6
March 2008, Brussels, Belgium. Original source: Pauly
 Open Access & Perverse
Subsidies are key drivers of the
loss of fisheries
 Half of wild marine fisheries are
fully exploited, with a further
quarter already over-exploited
 at risk : $ 80-100 billion income
from the sector
 at risk :
est. 27 million jobs
 but most important of all…..
at risk : Health … over a billion rely on fish as their
source of animal protein
We are fishing down the food web
to ever smaller species…
An imminent transition challenge:
Preventing the Loss of Global Fisheries
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Social inclusion: better jobs
Agriculture:
• 1 billion workers
• 50% women
• 70 % of world poverty
Ethiopia:
Oromia Coffee Growers :
• 217 cooperatives
• 200,000 farmers
26
The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO
Better jobs
Brazil: Sustainable Forests
• Certificied Products
• New regulation:
Decent work in concession
agreements (Amazon)
In progress:
1. Practice DW
2. Sustainable non-wood
forest products
3. Sustainable biofuels

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ILO Green Jobs Programme Promotes Social Inclusion

  • 1. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Green Jobs for Poverty Reduction and Social Inclusion Peter Poschen (ILO) Working towards a green economy after Rio+20 European Parliament Brussels, 2 October 2012 1
  • 2. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO The Green Jobs Initiative • Since 2007 • First report 2008 • New report 2012 2
  • 3. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO 3 Green jobs = decent work which Reduces consumption of energy and raw materials (dematerializes economies) Avoids greenhouse gas emissions (decarbonizes economies) Minimizes waste and pollution Protects and restores ecosystems and environmental services Adapts to climate change
  • 4. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Defining green jobs = Decent + green = Sectors + occupations 4
  • 5. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO What the 2012 report contains 1. Analysis:  Employment and income implications of green economy  8 most-affected sectors: agriculture, forestry, fisheries, energy, manufacturing, recycling, buildings, transport  Policies for decent work and social inclusion 2. Exemples of good practice 3. Policy lessons 5
  • 6. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO 4 Key Findings: 1. The current development model is inefficient and unsustanaible 2. Greening has created tens of millions of jobs 3. Net employment gains in a green economy possible 4. Green economy can be pathway for reduced inequality and more social inclusion 6
  • 7. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO EXISTING GREEN JOBS Tens of millions exist already: • USA: 3 million in environm. goods and services • EU: 14.2 million in biodiversity, nat. resources • Brasil: 2.9 million (2010) 6.6% all formal jobs • Renewable energy: in 2009-10: 5 million (direct and indirect) + 20%/year  double 2006: 2.3 million 7
  • 8. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Net employment effects Significant net employment gains possible: • 0.5 – 2 % of global workforce • = 15 – 60 million jobs • More ambitious greening larger gains? e.g. Germany and Australia • More in developing countries? Leapfrogging • Forest protection (REDD+): US$30 billion/year = 8 million jobs in developing countries 8
  • 9. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Transition: OECD: ‘much smaller than from globalization’ (?) Shifts between sectors: ~ 1% (globalization 20%) 9
  • 10. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Policies for sustainable development with decent work and social inclusion 1. Coherent economic policies: 1. Eco-tax 2. Green investment 3. SMEs 2. Decent work in sustainable development 1. Social protection (floor) 2. Skills for green jobs and transitions 3. Active labour market policies 3. Social dialogue 10
  • 11. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Green Jobs Programme countries 11
  • 12. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Assessment methodology • Based on Social Accounting Matrix • Estimates Direct, Indirect & Induced effect • Allows for ‘What if’ Scenarios (E.g. if policy shifts 5% investment into Green sector how many jobs will be created?) 12
  • 13. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Green Jobs Potential: South Africa’s New Growth Path • Development Strategy • Component green jobs • Assessment green jobs potential: 13 Net direct jobs Short term (2012) Medium term ( 2017) Long term (2025) Total 98,000 255,000 462,000 Energy generation 13,565 57,142 130,023 Energy efficiency 31,569 70,193 67,979 Pollution control 8,434 13,189 31,641 Nat. resources 44,512 114,842 232,926
  • 14. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO 14 South Africa - New Growth Strategy: Green Economy Accord • South African government, business and labour signed an accord in 2011 • One of the most comprehensive social partnerships on "green economy” in the world
  • 15. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Social inclusion: housing, sustainable construction ‘My house-my life’ social housing program (5/2009) • 300,000 units energy savings measures • - 40% electricity bill • - 18% peak demand • + 18,000 jobs 15
  • 16. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Social protection India: Rural employment guarantee NREGA (Rural employment guarantee act) • Right to 100 days/year • US$ 8 bill (~ 0.4% GDP) • Beneficiaries 59 mill households • Adaptation, irrigation, reforestation 16
  • 17. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO ILO Green Youth Entrepreneurship Program 2010-2014 Background  East Africa: 70% youth unemployment; economy highly dependent on environment  e.g. Deforestation 83% biomass cooking  Green Jobs for youth in business opportunities: e.g. improved stoves Success 2010-2012:  4,680 students participated in green entrepreneurship program of Junior Achievement (world’s largest youth business network)  2011 competition, 31 Student Companies (43%) out of 73 created green businesses 17
  • 18. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Conclusions • Rio+20 outcome: green economy should create decent work and promote social inclusion • Green growth/economy not equitable and socially inclusive by definition • Green economy necessary condition for sustainable development, but not sufficient • Policy coherence essential, complementary social policies needed: UNEP – ILO partnership 18
  • 19. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO More info? For more information: Para mayor información: Pour plus d’informations: ILO.org/green-jobs-programme ILO.org/greenjobs
  • 20. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Current development model Environmentally unsustainable: • climate change, biodiversity loss, overuse natural resources a.o. Socially inefficient: • Too few jobs: 200 million unemployed • Too few decent jobs: 900 million working poor • Persistent social exclusion: 1.3 billion without access to modern energy 20
  • 21. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Growing cost of inaction 21
  • 22. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Thank you Merci beaucoup Muchas gracias Muito obrigado Vielen Dank 22
  • 23. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Carbon-intensive sectors not big employers 8-12 % employment most OECD countries High share of low-skilled workers 23
  • 24. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Brazil : Formalization Waste management & recycling • ~ 60,000 formalized workers in recycling industry • Cooperatives, service contracts, installations, fair wages and OSH • Approx 400,000 informal • New law: Tax reductions if recycling via cooperatives, formalized waste pickers • Goal 2011 poverty strategy: formalize 250,000 24
  • 25. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO 25 21.07.2022 UNEP ETB 25 Source: Ben ten Brink (MNP) presentation at the Workshop: The Economics of the Global Loss of Biological Diversity 5-6 March 2008, Brussels, Belgium. Original source: Pauly  Open Access & Perverse Subsidies are key drivers of the loss of fisheries  Half of wild marine fisheries are fully exploited, with a further quarter already over-exploited  at risk : $ 80-100 billion income from the sector  at risk : est. 27 million jobs  but most important of all….. at risk : Health … over a billion rely on fish as their source of animal protein We are fishing down the food web to ever smaller species… An imminent transition challenge: Preventing the Loss of Global Fisheries
  • 26. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Social inclusion: better jobs Agriculture: • 1 billion workers • 50% women • 70 % of world poverty Ethiopia: Oromia Coffee Growers : • 217 cooperatives • 200,000 farmers 26
  • 27. The Green Jobs Programme of the ILO Better jobs Brazil: Sustainable Forests • Certificied Products • New regulation: Decent work in concession agreements (Amazon) In progress: 1. Practice DW 2. Sustainable non-wood forest products 3. Sustainable biofuels